Lebanon's Political Stalemate Lingers
http://enews.voanews.com/t?ctl=C85226:2F72C9DSince assassination of former PM Hariri country has had massive street
protests, no working government and a series of bomb attacks in
predominantly Christian neighborhoods
Large memorial banner with picture of slain former PM Rafik Hariri
hangs between buildings on a street in central BeirutSince the
assassination of former Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, February
14, Lebanon has been in political turmoil, with massive street
protests, no working government and a series of bomb attacks in
predominantly Christian neighborhoods. A lingering political stalemate
could threaten general elections, due in May.
Lebanon's political leaders have been talking - either directly or
through envoys - but, so far, without concrete results.
Prime Minister Omar Karami has called for a unity government and
threatened to resign again, if he is unable to form one. Opposition
leaders are still rejecting his offer and saying he should get on with
organizing elections to be held on time.
The government and its supporters argue that the opposition is
jeopardizing the upcoming elections by refusing to join a Karami
government that could then prepare the vote.
Opposition lawmaker Samir Franjieh rejects that notion.
"This is not true. They can form the government they want," he said.
"They have the majority in the parliament. And, they have to assume
their responsibility. What we want is a democratic and free election."
Opposition politicians and many average Lebanese blame Syria and the
pro-Syrian Lebanese government for Mr. Hariri's assassination - an
accusation both authorities have denied.
Emile LahoudThe opposition has backed away from initial demands for
pro-Syrian President Emile Lahoud to resign. But, Mr. Franjieh told
VOA there are still other demands, including the resignation of senior
security chiefs and uncovering the truth about Mr. Hariri's death.
"We want an international investigation," he said. "We want the
withdrawal of the Syrian troops. We want also the real democratic
possibility to speak - our basic rights."
The just released United Nations report on the Hariri assassination is
likely to embolden the opposition to press its demands. The report
calls for a full international inquiry and accuses the Lebanese
authorities of negligence and the Syrians of having at least
indirectly contributed to the death of the popular former prime
minister.
Lebanon's Shi'ite Hezbollah faction prefers to be seen as staying out
of the fray, but has met with both sides of the political divide.
Sheikh Mohammed Katharani is a member of Hezbollah's political bureau
and tells VOA the politicians are being stubborn.
Sheikh Katharani says, in particular, the opposition's refusal to sit
at the "roundtable of negotiations" and to form a national unity
government is creating a political void and could lead the country to
a catastrophe.
Anti-Syrian protester carries Lebanese flag at site of explosion in
mainly Christian neighborhood of BeirutThere are increasing concerns
about the lingering political crisis and fears of instability,
especially should the elections not take place on time or be flawed.
Political analyst, Professor Sami Baroudi of Beirut's Lebanese
American University, says the current stalemate is serious.
"Any postponing of the election will definitely add fuel to the
political situation," he said. "And, equally important, the economy
may not be able to handle this lengthy period of waiting, uncertainty
and not knowing the direction in which the country is heading."
But, Professor Baroudi says the government should be careful about
blaming the opposition for any postponement because that could
backfire.
"Everyone will basically say you [the government] are not holding the
election because you're afraid about losing power," he said. "So, they
[the government] are really in a weak position. They know that if they
hold the election according to schedule, they're going to lose many,
many seats in parliament. How many, we don't know. And, at the same
time, postponing the election will definitely further undermine the
legitimacy of the existing regime. So, they are in a quandary."
Behind the scenes, there has been some political haggling. Christian
factions want some of their former leaders released from prison or
returned from exile. Hezbollah has gotten assurances from a prominent
Druze leader that the opposition will not push for the militant
Islamic group to be disarmed - at least not at this time.