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Snuffysmith
No Policy Of Regime Change In Iran: British Foreign Secretary
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzl.html

London (AFP) Nov 01, 2005 - British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw ruled out a policy of regime change against Iran on Tuesday amid mounting concern about Tehran's development of nuclear weapons and its stance towards Israel.
Snuffysmith
Iran parliament delays reprisal threat over nuclear pressure
http://www.spacewar.com/2005/051101160119.s9lkurk3.html
Snuffysmith
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GK02Ak02.html

Iran searches for nuclear exit
Story and pictures: Iason Athanasiadis

TEHRAN - Last Thursday night, in the imposing Qajar-era villa that the Center for Middle East Strategic Studies occupies in central Tehran, Iran's chief nuclear negotiator, Ali Larijani, addressed a select audience of foreign ambassadors, diplomats and Iranian academics.

His speech came at a time of gridlock in the nuclear negotiations that were conducted between Iran and the West until Iran broke them off and restarted uranium enrichment this summer after the European Union tabled an offer that Tehran judged to be humiliating.

Resplendent in a sharply tailored suit and a Hindu turban, the Indian ambassador took the floor. Fiddling with a malfunctioning microphone, he launched into a description of how India ended up having a military nuclear program. His conclusion was that "we only weaponized in 1998, when there was proliferation already in the neighborhood".

"My minister has already said in Moscow today that this issue must be finished in the IAEA [International Atomic Energy Agency] in Vienna. Please take this as a word of advice from a good friend," he concluded. This notwithstanding, India voted with the majority of IAEA members recently to open the way for Tehran's case to be sent to the United Nations Security Council, pending one more IAEA meeting this month.

But referral to the UN may already be a foregone conclusion. When Iranian President Mahmud Ahmadinejad made his infamous remarks about wiping Israel "off the face of the earth" last week, he might well have sealed his country's fate. Iranian analysts are now estimating that concerted Western pressure could lead to Iran being passed on to the UN and possible sanctions at the next IAEA meeting.

In Tehran, Westernized Iranians expressed their surprise at their president's naivete in playing into the hands of Tel Aviv and Washington. Reflecting Ahmadinejad's gaffe, the US reaction was muted and allowed others - notably British Prime Minister Tony Blair - to lash out at Iran.

"He has no control over his words," was the reaction of an Iranian academic. "Add to this some bad advisors around him, and you have a lethal combination."

Still, referral to the UN is not a nightmare scenario for Tehran. With booming oil exports and a record selling price per barrel of oil, Iranian officials know that sanctions are unlikely to hurt too bad. Having already slapped unofficial trade embargoes on two countries that supported the IAEA vote against them - Britain and South Korea - Iran has shown that it's willing to hit back just as hard.

At the same time, Tehran might not relish a resumption of talks at a time when some of its top nuclear negotiators have resigned from their posts.

The trend was started when former head of the National Security Council, Hassan Rowhani, resigned in the summer, to be replaced by Larijani. He was followed out by Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's ambassador to the UN and widely considered to be a pragmatist with a moderating influence over Iran's foreign policy.

Zarif's departure was a double blow to any hopes Iran had of restarting talks with the US as he had been involved in closed-door talks with Washington in 2001 on the formation of a post-Taliban government for Afghanistan and then again before the invasion of Iraq.

Incidentally, reports have surfaced that Seyed Muhammad Hossein Adeli, who was posted to London last year as Iran's ambassador, has been replaced. According to other reports, Muhammad Reza Alborzi, Iran's ambassador to the UN in Geneva, was also being recalled. Alborzi was part of the Iranian team involved in negotiations with Britain, France and Germany (the EU-3) in Paris this year over Tehran's nuclear program.

Back in Tehran, the foreign diplomatic community continues to reel from the anti-Israeli statement that - while constituting part of the Islamic republic's official policy - would have been inconceivable under the former president, Mohammad Khatami. A Western diplomat privately expressed his anger at "a country whose president is destroying eight years of hard work re its international relations ... this is terribly frustrating and depressing."

The Iranian Foreign Ministry hit back with accusations that the West was seeking to ratchet up pressure on a country it has already decided to target. "Since Iran has been proven right in the atomic field, they are trying to pressure us in another sphere and make us abandon our legitimate rights," it said.

Unsurprisingly, the phrase "atomic apartheid" is being heard increasingly in Iranian government circles as well as by ordinary Iranians who feel that their country is being unfairly singled out. At the same time, Iranian analysts estimate that the new government's actions are plunging the country deeper into international isolation.

With the nuclear standoff unlikely to be resolved by Iran being referred to the UN, it is unclear how the crisis can be ended through diplomacy. Within the EU, the bloc's eastern-most member, Greece, is seeking to introduce a softer approach to Iran than the one currently being used by Britain, France and Germany.

On the evening of the nuclear speech, Greek Ambassador to Tehran Merkourios Karafotias received the sole complimentary comment of the evening by the Iranian nuclear negotiator after he posed a constructive question on what incentives Iran would like to see the Europeans offering. But Western diplomats privately pointed out that the conciliatory approach to Tehran has been tried and failed.

In the absence of other options, the deadlock is most likely to be solved through involving Iran's Russian ally - the source of much of the nuclear technology being used by Tehran today. It is thought that only Russia has enough credibility with both the Iranians and with the West to convince Tehran to forfeit the uranium-enrichment aspect of its nuclear program and Washington to settle for Russian supervision of the process. (Iran said recently that industrial contracts between Iran and Russia could reach US$10 billion per year if Russia participated in various oil projects and more nuclear power plant constructions - a healthy inducement for an ally.)

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing .)
Snuffysmith
Iran Purges 40 Ambassadors in Shake-Up

By ALI AKBAR DAREINI

TEHRAN, Iran -- Iran's hard-line government said Wednesday it was removing 40 ambassadors and senior diplomats, including supporters of warmer ties with the West, from their posts in a shake-up that comes as the Islamic republic takes a more confrontational international stance.

Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki announced the changes to parliament, saying "the missions of more than 40 ambassadors and heads of Iranian diplomatic missions abroad will expire by the end of the year," which is March 20 under the Iranian calendar.

Mottaki, quoted by the state-run Islamic Republic News Agency, did not specify which ambassadors were among those being removed.

But IRNA said they included the ambassador to London, Mohammad Hossein Adeli, one of Iran's top diplomats and a leading member of the pragmatic foreign policy wing that supports contacts with Europe.

The moves give the new government of ultraconservative President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad the chance to purge pro-reform figures brought in by his predecessor, moderate Mohammad Khatami, and install its own supporters.

Ahmadinejad has taken a tougher line on a number of issues, particularly negotiations with Britain, France and Germany over Iran's controversial nuclear program. Hard-liners have criticized Khatami's government for agreeing to freeze much of the country's atomic activities during the talks, and Ahmadinejad already has replaced much of the negotiating team with hard-liners.

The new president, elected in June, also generated a storm of international criticism last week when he called for Israel's eradication, saying it should be "wiped off the map."

Tensions with Europe and the United States over the nuclear issue are high after Iran ended part of its freeze on nuclear activities earlier this year, resuming uranium conversion at a plant in Isfahan. Washington accuses Iran of secretly aiming to develop nuclear weapons, while Tehran counters that its nuclear program is for generating electricity.

The U.N. nuclear watchdog agency, the International Atomic Energy Agency, will review Iran's cooperation on the nuclear issue during a Nov. 24 meeting, and Washington is pressing for Tehran to be referred to the U.N. Security Council, where it could face sanctions for violating the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.

Sanctions, however, are unlikely.

Iran is sending conflicting signals to an international community concerned about its nuclear agenda, granting U.N. inspectors access to a secret military site but also saying it would process a new batch of uranium that could be used to make atomic weapons, diplomats in Vienna, Austria, said Wednesday on condition of anonymity because they were not authorized to talk to the media.

The diplomats said IAEA experts were allowed to revisit a high-security military site in Parchin as they try to establish whether Tehran has a secret nuclear weapons program.

Parchin has been linked by the United States and other nations to alleged experiments linked to nuclear arms. The IAEA had for months been trying to follow up on a visit in January for further checks of buildings and areas within the sprawling military complex as it looks for traces of radioactivity.

Iran also has handed over documents and granted interviews with several senior officials believed linked to black market purchases of uranium enrichment technology, the diplomats said.

Ahmadinejad's victory in June elections sealed the decline of Iran's reform movement and solidified the control of hard-liners over the government. Some Iranians fear Ahmadinejad _ a longtime member of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards _ will bring back the policies of restrictions at home and confrontation abroad seen after the 1979 Islamic Revolution led by Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini.

On Wednesday, more than 10,000 demonstrators shouted "Death to America!" and "Death to Israel!" in front of the former U.S. Embassy in Tehran in the largest such demonstration in years.

Hard-liners organize protests at the site annually to mark the anniversary of the Nov. 4, 1979 seizure of the embassy by student militants.

Demonstrators carried a large picture of Ahmadinejad emblazoned with his quote, "Israel must be wiped off the map." They burned U.S. and Israeli flags and effigies of President Bush and Israeli Prime Minister Arial Sharon. Some wore a traditional Palestinian kaffiyah headdress, symbolizing their readiness to fight Israel.

"We have to continue our confrontation with the United States and Israel. This could help the world get rid of the arrogant powers," the hard-line Jomhuri Eslami daily said in an editorial.

___

Associated Press reporter George Jahn in Vienna, Austria, contributed to this report.


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Snuffysmith
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GK03Ak02.html


British Arabism and the bombings in Iran
By Mahan Abedin and Kaveh Farrokh

Following the recent bomb attack in Ahwaz and the riots and bombings in late spring, the Iranian government, as well as other sections of Iranian society both inside and outside the country, has pointed an accusing finger at the United Kingdom.

On the surface the accusations seem implausible, not least because they invoke irrational Iranian fears of British guile and omnipotence. However, there is a mass of evidence that connects the British secret state to Arab separatism in Iran.

Whether these connections make the United Kingdom complicit in the recent troubles in Khuzestan is currently unclear. But, at



the very least, the British connection fatally undermines claims that the recent troubles in Iran's strategic southwestern province are either wholly rooted in local conditions or the work of elements in the Islamic republic who seek to "militarize" the country.

British Arabism
An in-depth understanding of the British sponsorship of Arab separatism in Iran requires an understanding of British Arabism in its entirety. Francis Fukuyama, in his description of the American Arabists, opines that they are "... a sociological phenomenon ... Arabists not only take on the cause of the Arabs, but also the Arabs' tendency for self-delusion".

That tendency for self-delusion is vividly expressed by the main tenets of Arab nationalism, which views all non-Arab Muslim peoples as subsidiary to the Arab language and culture. Moreover, Robert Kaplan observes that psychologically the English-speaking Arabist is "obsessed with the Arabs ... a defining Arabist trait". This psychological process is subsumed under British commercial and political interests. This is vividly exemplified in the case of T E Lawrence, as defined by Kaplan (1993): "Lawrence ... among Arabs in the desert ... became pro-Arab; in Whitehall he was pro-Empire."

British Arabism can trace its origins to geopolitical imperialism, namely the need to project political, economic, and if necessary, military power into Persia. The first official Arabists are Sir Charles Lyall (1845-1920) and William Muit, both civil servants of the British East India Company.

Lyall published works on Arabic literature, including pre-Islamic odes, while Muit wrote extensively about the Arab caliphate. It is difficult to ascertain why they were so keenly interested specifically in Arabic, as Arabic, along with Persian and Sanskrit, had been banned from India's educational system since the 1830s. Another early Arabist was a Cambridge professor, E H Palmer, whose knowledge of Arabic was useful in his role as a secret agent in Egypt, where he died in action in August 1882.

It was in the Arab Bureau of Cairo, however, where British Arabism was formally implemented as a tool for the advancement of British geopolitical and economic interests. The Arab Bureau was set up on February 4, 1916. It was from here that the British coordinated their activities with the local Arab sheikhs of the Persian Gulf.

Their main mission by World War I was to foster an Arab rebellion by way of the invention of Arab nationalism, a domain viewed as a "product" by the British Foreign Office and the Arab Bureau. The primary objective was to accomplish the dissolution of the Ottoman Empire. Arab nationalism, since the conclusion of World War I, has been encouraged to focus itself against Iran, an ideological proclivity that was taken to its logical extremes by the Ba'athist regime of Saddam Hussein.

Today, the Arab Bureau survives in the form of various innocuous-sounding organizations, namely the Arab-British Center, the CAABU (Council for the Advancement of Arab-British Understanding), the Arab-British Charitable Trust, the Labor Middle East Council, the Anglo-Arab Association and (until 1979) MECAS (Middle East Center for Arab Studies).

While British Arabism has penetrated many sectors of British national life, it is particularly influential in the intelligence, academic and media fields. It is interesting to note that British academic Arabists do not focus on the entire Arab world, which includes Egypt and Libya. Instead, the British academic Arabists have been almost exclusively preoccupied with the eastern Arab world, which is contiguous to Iran (historical Persia) and the Persian Gulf, areas rich in fossil fuels and hence of prime importance to British economic and commercial interests.

To summarize, British Arabism, although a genuine academic discipline and psychological condition, is ultimately a device for furthering British interests in the Middle East. Moreover, the apparent advocacy of Arab issues among British Arabists is selective in three ways:


They have remained largely silent (or neutral) with respect to the Arab-Palestinian disputes with the Israelis.

They have opposed the formation of a single unified Arab superstate along the lines proposed by T E Lawrence.

They actively support anti-Persian views with respect to the role of Persia in the geography, linguistics, anthropology, archaeology, history and culture of Islam, the Arabic world, and the Persian Gulf.

British intelligence and Iranian Arab separatists
The severing of Iran's Khuzestan province and its "Arabization" has been a long-held British goal. In fact, this policy was made clear in the November 2, 1944 editorial of the Times of London, which proposed Iran's dismemberment by having Khuzestan appropriated by the British.

To achieve this long-term objective, British Arabists have supported Arab nationalist activities (academic and military) against Iran and in Khuzestan in particular. Needless to say, this plan neatly converged with the ideology and geopolitical aspirations of Arab nationalists, particularly of the Ba'athist variety.

When Iraq invaded Iran on September 22, 1980, with the stated intent of annexing Khuzestan, the BBC news network and English print media, as well as other major Western media outlets, provided full overage of the Iraqi invasion in the first week.

There were two main premises to the reporting: (a) Iranian resistance would collapse quickly; ( the Arabs of Khuzestan would fully support the invasion. These premises proved to be utterly unfounded, with Iranian resistance actually stiffening, leading to the permanent expulsion of Saddam's armies from Khuzestan in 1982. The vast majority of Iranian Arabs not only did not support Saddam, but were in fact at the forefront of resistance to the Iraqi invaders.

The failed Iraqi invasion of Khuzestan (which was partly based on British invasion plans dating back to 1937) has been, to date, the most concerted and determined effort to sever the province from Iran. The fact that it failed was a massive blow to small groups of separatists in the area, and they would have likely faded away had it not been for the patronage of the Iraqi and British intelligence services.

Although Iranian Arab separatists have had a presence in the UK since the 1970s, their activities became noteworthy after the 1979 Islamic revolution. Working in concert with Iraqi intelligence services, Khuzestani separatists engaged in low-level sabotage operations against Iranian interests in the UK and mainland European countries.

These sabotage activities reached a dramatic climax on April 30, 1980 when Iraqi-backed Khuzestani separatists seized the Iranian Embassy in London. The subsequent siege lasted for five days, during which time Iraqi agents killed two of the embassy's staff. But the terrorists offered virtually no resistance when Britain's elite Special Air Services stormed the embassy building, killing five out of the six Iraqi agents.

The dramatic events at the embassy were very much the exception to the rule, as far as British pressure on UK-based Khuzestani separatists was concerned. Indeed, from the early 1980s, the UK has been home to almost all expatriate Khuzestani separatists (with a small number also based in Baghdad), where their activities are tolerated as long as they do not engage in brazen acts of violence on British soil.

Behind the scenes, however, British toleration in the 1980s translated into active cooperation with the separatists. In some cases, the British even shared separatist agents with the Iraqi intelligence services. In two specific cases dating back to 1985, the British used Khuzestani separatists to infiltrate the Iranian consulate in Manchester and the Iranian Air Force logistics office in the National Iranian Oil Company office in Westminster.

It is interesting to note that both the Iranian consulate in Manchester and the logistics office were closed down by the British government in 1987. It is unclear whether information supplied by the separatist agents was a decisive factor in the closure of these establishments.

But the spirit of public toleration and private cooperation collapsed, almost overnight, after the Iraqi invasion of Kuwait on August 2, 1990. Saddam's brazen challenge to the West and Iraq's desire to change the geopolitical balance of the region forced Western intelligence services to cease their cooperation with their Iraqi counterparts. Khuzestani Arab separatists were one of the many victims of this sudden collapse in relations between Iraq and the West.

The Gulf War of early 1991 and the catastrophic defeat of Iraq further added to the separatists' woes. Today, Khuzestani separatist spokesmen in the UK claim that their cooperation with Iraqi intelligence services ended after the Iran-Iraq War in 1988.

While it is clearly convenient for the separatists to make such claims, this stance raises far more questions than answers. Firstly, intelligence links (particularly those that are deep-rooted and underpinned by ideological affinity, as in the case of the Khuzestani separatists and the Iraqi Ba'athists) are too complex to be severed so immediately and abruptly.

Secondly, given that Khuzestani separatism (because of its unpopularity with almost all Iranian Arabs) is only viable when allied to the foreign policy of a powerful state, severing links with the Iraqis would have been followed by patronage by another state.

But this was not the case. The only other state with the historical motivation, connections and unique resources to consistently support the separatists is the United Kingdom, but evidence strongly suggests that the British authorities dramatically decreased their cooperation after the events of 1990 and early 1991. Indeed, in some cases the British even put up serious obstacles, for instance making it difficult for separatists to travel to countries such as Greece, Cyprus, Turkey and Lebanon to meet with their Iraqi handlers.

British government opposition notwithstanding, Khuzestani separatists continued to operate in the UK in the 1990s. In many cases they were absorbed by the Anglo-Arab organizations mentioned earlier. While in many cases these organizations are engaged in genuine academic, media and advocacy work, there is little doubt that they are ultimately controlled by the British secret state.

The US-led invasion and occupation of Iraq in 2003 and the consequent pressures this has exerted on Iran has made Khuzestani separatism (and other separatist movements in Iran) relevant insofar as it can be used by the West as a pressure point on Tehran. The recent events in Khuzestan are a good example of this.

Trouble in Khuzestan
The riots and bomb attacks that occurred in Khuzestan in late spring, coupled with the latest bombing, have been attributed to widely different causes. The Iranian government claims that both the riots and the bombings were essentially the work of foreign elements.

The Khuzestani separatists in the UK, anxious to deflect attention from separatist violence, pin the blame on elements in the Islamic republic which seek to militarize the country. Both positions suffer from serious flaws.

Firstly, while the Iranian government is correct to attribute the bombings to foreign elements, it is not being wholly truthful when it dismisses the riots as foreign-inspired. Iranian Arabs in Khuzestan have a number of economic grievances, with roots that may go back decades. These economic woes were sharply exacerbated by the failed Iraqi invasion of Khuzestan, which destroyed the livelihoods of many Iranian Arabs. It would be safe to assume that economic grievances were, at the very least, a factor in the riots of late spring.

Secondly, the Khuzestani separatist position that the bombings were the work of the Iranian government smacks of clumsily constructed conspiracy theory that does not stand up to even perfunctory scrutiny. The statement by the Khuzestani separatist spokesman that the bombings were either the work of the "Pasdaran or the Basij" immediately discredits their argument, as the Basij and the Pasdaran (Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps) are effectively the same entity.

The contention that terrorist organizations do not target their own people is clearly false, as virtually every terrorist organization in the world has victims (in varying degrees) among the people they purports to represent. Furthermore, claims that the Khuzestani separatists are "non-violent" fly in the face of their actual record (the seizure of the Iranian Embassy in London and the killing of two of its employees was clearly not an example of peaceful activism) and is in fact oxymoronic: how can dismembering a nation and producing false historical narratives be achieved by "non-violence"?

Sources in Tehran are in little doubt that the recent bombings are the work of separatists in Khuzestan who are ultimately controlled by the remnants of the former Iraqi intelligence services. These intelligence services controlled impressive intelligence and sabotage networks in Khuzestan, and it is safe to assume that some of these networks have remained intact since the collapse of the Ba'athist regime in April 2003.

The motivation behind the bombings is not altogether clear. While sources in Tehran claim that former officers of Iraq's Istikhbarat and Mukhabarat agencies are keen to export the Iraqi insurgency into Iran, it is unclear how this can be done with infrequent and isolated bombings in Khuzestan.

A more likely explanation is that the remnants of Istikhbarat and Mukhabarat are exacting revenge on Iran for the targeted assassinations of their members since the collapse of the Ba'athist regime. A generally under-reported feature of the troubles in Iraq is the very careful and systematic targeting of influential elements in the former regime by either Shi'ite organizations (in particular the Badr Organization - formerly the Badr Corps - of the Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq) or by covert Iranian operatives in Iraq. The Badr organization has been particularly prolific in this regard, and has recently been accused of even targeting Arab Sunni pilots in the Iraqi air force.

Iranian allegations that the British government is complicit in this terrorist campaign have as yet not been substantiated by any evidence on the ground. But warming relations between the British government and the very small number of Khuzestani Arab separatists in the UK does raise concerns about the British government's position on this complex situation.

But it is important to place these concerns in perspective, not least because, contrary to their claims, the Khuzestani separatists have no proper organization in the UK. Their presence is reducible to a few key personalities who run several websites that try to create the impression that there are large socio-political networks behind them. [1]

What all these websites have in common is the desire to produce a spurious ethnic counter-narrative. To do this the Khuzestani separatists (and their British patrons) amalgamate a series of suppositions, half-truths and myths. All of this is underpinned by the assertion that the Arabs in Khuzestan constitute a majority, yet no valid ethnic statistics have been produced to verify such claims.

Little mention is made of the fact that Khuzestan is inhabited not only by Arabs but by an array of ethnic groups, including Bakhtiaris, Behbahanis, Lurs in the north, Afshari and Qashqai tribes, and Persians in the major cities.

Moreover, the separatists' counter-narrative is guided by a very biased selection of information and the retroactive Arabization of Iranian history and civilization. Furthermore, claims that Arabs in Iran constitute a persecuted minority are as false as they are amusing. In fact, since the Islamic revolution of 1979, the Iranian government has gone out of its way to promote the Arabic language (at the expense of Persian) in its drive to "Islamize" Iranian society.

It is also important to note that Iran's current defense minister, Ali Shamkhani, is an ethnic Arab from Khuzestan. Claims by Khuzestani separatists that the Iranian regime is engaged in the persecution of minorities is particularly strange when one considers the fact that the Islamic republic has shown extreme sympathy for Arab causes both inside and outside of Iran.

Conclusion
The terrorist campaign in Iran's Khuzestan province is essentially a by-product of the invasion and occupation of Iraq. There can be little doubt that the terrorists are ultimately controlled by insurgent networks in Iraq. There is simply no other rational or convincing explanation for these unusual events.

Moreover, the deteriorating security situation in Iraq makes it likely that Khuzestan will continue to experience terrorist bombings for the foreseeable future.

While the Iranian government is keen to implicate the British in the terrorist campaign for obvious propaganda and counter-propaganda reasons, the British have much to answer for their historical connections to Khuzestani separatists. Furthermore, it is clear that the British see the situation in Khuzestan, and the presence of separatists in the UK, as a useful pressure point on the Islamic republic, as the stand-off over Iran's nuclear infrastructure steadily deteriorates into a crisis.

In the final analysis, Khuzestani Arab separatism does not pose any serious threat to Iran's territorial integrity. The only entity with the overriding ideological and geopolitical motivation to provide significant support to Khuzestani separatists was a strong Iraqi state, and this was blasted away - probably forever - by the US-led invasion of Iraq in 2003.

Note
[1] The main so-called "Ahwazi" websites are the following:

al-Ahwaz This site has a fancy introduction along with a "national anthem". Their symbols are almost a carbon copy of Ba'athist Party insignia (note the Ba'athist eagle). There is a Persian version of the al-Ahwaz site.

The Ahwaz Studies Center purports to be an academic establishment, when in fact it is an anti-Persian site complaining of "ethnic cleansing". This is a dangerous and misleading term - falsely implying violence. For instance, the article on Minoo Island conveniently fails to mention that in any industrial project people are relocated.

The London-based British-Ahwazi Friendship Association is a relatively new site and claims as its chairman Daniel Brett, an Englishman. The site is linked directly to the aforementioned Ahwaz Studies Center, the Democratic Solidarity Party of Ahwaz, Ahwaz Human Rights Organization, and al-Ahwaz Television. Interestingly, the site is also selectively linked to other separatist organizations such as "The Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan" as well as to the "Iraqi Turkmen Human Rights" organization. Of interest is the "treasurer" of the British-Ahwazi Friendship Association: Mansour Silawi-Ahwazi, who also hosts a separate and particularly amusing site. On this he posted An Arab National Re-Birth Searching for its Identity in an attempt to convey the impression of a separate Arab state since 4000 BC; ie about 4,500 years before the efflorescence of Arab civilization on the Arabian peninsula.

Mahan Abedin is the editor of Terrorism Monitor, which is published by the Jamestown Foundation, a non-profit organization specializing in research and analysis on conflict and instability in Eurasia. The views expressed here are his own.

Dr Kaveh Farrokh has a PhD from the University of British Columbia, specializing in the cognitive and linguistic processes of Persian. He has researched and written extensively on the role of British imperialism in Persia, as well as the pan-Turanian movement. His book, Sassanian Elite Cavalry AD 224-642 was published by Osprey Publishing. He lectures on the history of pre-Islamic Persia at the University of British Columbia in Vancouver. A new book encompassing Persia's military and cultural relations with the Greco-Roman world between 553BC-637 AD is due to be released in the fall of 2006.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)
theglobalchinese
Help bring 20,000 troops home over the holidays John Kerry
Dear Friend,
No more shell games. No more false reports of progress. No more misleading rhetoric about "staying as long as it takes."
It's time for the American people to demand that George W. Bush put forward a clear understandable plan for achieving America's goals in Iraq and bringing the vast majority of our troops home by the end of 2006.
The time is overdue for a plan with a clarity and vision equal to the valor and sacrifices of America's brave armed forces. Help make that kind of plan a reality by supporting our "20,000 troops home over the holidays" campaign. We're kicking off this vitally important initiative with a clear goal - collecting 20,000 signatures a day each and every day until Thanksgiving.
Sign our "20,000 home over the holidays" petition right now:
http://www.johnkerry.com/action/20000

It won't be easy to achieve our goal. But, every day that we gather another 20,000 Americans to our side, we'll be upping the pressure on the Bush administration to come up with the concrete, detailed plan for Iraq that our fighting men and women deserve.
And, with your help, we won't stop there.
  • We'll place our "20,000 home over the holidays" message on billboards in the home districts of Republican leaders.
  • We'll organize 20,000 letters to the editors in newspapers all across the nation.
  • We'll set up days of action and, in 24 hours, flood Congress and the White House with 20,000 phone calls.
  • We'll run newspaper and radio ads advancing our "20,000 home over the holidays" message.
  • We'll organize personal email campaigns with tens of thousands of people sending "20,000 troops home over the holidays" postcards to their friends and neighbors.
Can I count on you to join me in this effort? I hope so - because we can't let the Bush administration's "stay as long as it takes" approach stay in place any longer.
Sign our "20,000 home over the holidays" petition right now:
http://www.johnkerry.com/action/20000

By galvanizing the American public around our specific goal of responding to the December elections in Iraq with the withdrawal of 20,000 troops, we can put an end, once and for all, to this administration's directionless approach to the disastrous situation that their failures have created in Iraq.
The way forward in Iraq is not to pull out precipitously or merely promise to "stay as long as it takes." Neither course does justice to the sacrifices of America's soldiers. To undermine the insurgency, we have to simultaneously pursue both a political settlement and the withdrawal of American combat forces linked to specific, responsible benchmarks.
Our "20,000 troops home over the holidays" drive is about taking a first critical step.
Upon the completion of the December elections, we can start the process of reducing our forces by withdrawing 20,000 troops over the course of the holidays. You can provide the momentum for this campaign.
Sign our "20,000 home over the holidays" petition right now:
http://www.johnkerry.com/action/20000

It will be hard for this administration, but it is essential to acknowledge that the insurgency will not be defeated unless our troop levels are drawn down, starting immediately after successful elections in December.
The draw down of troops should be tied not to an arbitrary timetable, but to a specific timetable for transfer of political and security responsibility to Iraqis and realignment of our troop deployment. That timetable must be real and strict. The goal should be to withdraw the bulk of American combat forces by the end of 2006. If the administration does its work correctly, that is achievable.
If George W. Bush can't achieve this first critical goal, then, at the start of 2006, we will demand that Congress acts to take the decision out of his hands.
And, if the Republican Congress fails to call the Bush administration to account, we will use the 2006 elections to take the decision out of their hands. We won't stop until we succeed.
Sign our "20,000 home over the holidays" petition right now:
http://www.johnkerry.com/action/20000

If we act together - if we drive our message home that America wants "20,000 troops home over the holidays" -- we can make this a real turning point. Let's move forward with the conviction and seriousness of purpose that this moment demands.

Sincerely,

John Kerry

P.S. We've set an ambitious goal of 20,000 signatures a day on our "20,000 troops home over the holidays" petition. We can only get there if you do two things - sign the petition yourself Let's demand a detailed PLAN ON IRAQ
We need a real plan to undermine the insurgency, achieve a political settlement, and withdraw American combat forces in line with specific, responsible benchmarks.
The first benchmark: completion of the December elections and the withdrawal of 20,000 troops over the holidays.
ADD MY NAME
Snuffysmith
UN Inspectors Visit Sensitive Iranian Military Site
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzm.html

Vienna (AFP) Nov 02, 2005 - Iran has allowed UN nuclear inspectors to visit the sensitive military site of Parchin, UN officials said Wednesday, but diplomats said it was also continuing fuel work at another site that has raised concerns of a covert atomic weapons program.
Snuffysmith
Italy-Iran Tension Grows Over Israel, Nuclear Dossier
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzn.html
Snuffysmith
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GK04Ak02.html

Iran's diplomatic coup
By Neda Bolourchi

In a dramatic move, Iran's new neo-conservative government on Wednesday announced that the terms of about 40 diplomats and ambassadors on missions to foreign countries would expire by the end of the current Iranian year (March 20, 2006).

Attempting to temper the predictable onslaught of speculation the massive recall would incite, Foreign Minister Manouchehr Mottaki said: "Some of the ambassadors have reached the age of retirement and have applied for it. New diplomats should replace them."

As he described the drastic changes affecting nearly half of the
Islamic republic's foreign posts, Motakki insisted in characterizing the changes as normal.

With London, Paris, Berlin, Rome, Dehli, Baghdad and the UN missions in New York and Geneva said to be listed, critics noted that President Mahmud Ahmadinejad intended to remove key negotiators and diplomats who had been involved in months of delicate mediation between the Islamic republic and Europe over Tehran's nuclear program.

Thus, Mottaki's assurances failed to silence critics. Instead, commentators insist that the dismissals signal the Ahmadinejad administration's intolerance for moderates and those closely identified with the reformist policies of former presidents Mohammed Khatami and Hashemi Rafsanjani.

Last week, Ahmadinejad caused an international storm by saying Israel should be "wiped off the map".

Observers cite the Abadgaran coalition's censures of Khatami for agreeing to freeze nuclear activities during previous negotiations. The challenge of second-generation revolutionaries to the clerical supremacists is spearheaded by a right-wing coalition known as the Abadgaran Iran-e-Islami (Developers of Islamic Iran). Although it is widely assumed that Abadgaran is a "neo-conservative" coalition with strong links to the establishment, the grouping is in fact made up mostly of second-generation revolutionaries critical of traditional conservatives who strive to reconcile the values of the Islamic revolution with Iran's current realities.

Other observers note the almost immediate replacement of nuclear negotiator Hasan Rohani with conservative Ali Larajani months ago (following Ahmadinejad's surprise presidential election victory in June) as a key indicator that the wave of replacements is not normal but is a policy change.

More importantly, however, seems to be that a number of ambassadors are not near completing their tenures. For instance, London's relatively popular Muhammad Hossein Adeli will be completing the first of two years of deployment come March. Similarly, Mohmmad Ghasem Ali is just six months into his posting in Malaysia.

Therefore, neither man appears to be of retirement age come March 2006. While Mottaki informed the majlis (parliament) of the removals on Wednesday, news of the recalls had been known to some for more than a month.

Such a move supports reports that the new executive branch is not communicating with its traditional allies in the now conservative-dominated legislative branch (majlis). As a result, the majlis has caused problems for Ahmadinejad already by opposing four of his proposed cabinet ministers.

With Mottaki reinstating Mohammad Zavad Zarif, ambassador to the United Nations in New York, within 24 hours of the public statement of his dismissal, a similar situation may occur over the postings at other missions.

Other conflicting signals are emanating from Tehran. In the past several days, Iranian officials were said to have granted UN inspectors access to a military site. Simultaneously, word spread that Tehran had also decided to begin processing a new batch of uranium at its Isfahan plant next week. The Islamic republic froze all work there last year as a show of good faith under a deal with France, Britain and Germany - the EU-3. On Ahmadinejad's inauguration, Tehran removed International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) seals in August, which prompted the EU-3 to suspend talks. Within days, the IAEA will meet to discuss sending Iran to the UN Security Council for possible sanctions.

Also adding to the conflicting signals coming out of Iran are the expanded powers of the Expediency Council. Under new rules, the council has supervisory power over the executive, legislative and judiciary powers, but can also originate top-down decision-making to shape macro and micro policies.

In addition many believe that the nuclear dossier has moved from the office of the president to that of Rafsanjani, the chairman of the Expediency Council.

In an October 27 report from Aftab-i Yazd, Rafsanjani denied controlling the nuclear dossier. "This is not true and nothing has been said about this." Acknowledging that support for the nuclear program enjoyed solid and wide support, Rafsanjani continued, "There is no need for my presence there ... this is a collective matter and does not involve negotiations alone. The collective is behind the case."

While Rafsanjani's statement may likely be the typical obfuscation of an Iranian official, Ahmadinejad continues to take the offensive to strengthen his handling of governmental affairs.

As of now, the Islamic republic's news regarding its diplomatic corps is the biggest purge since the 1979 revolution. With Ahmadinejad having arguably succeeded with his first revolution in June, just by being elected, the impending changes and confusion signal an attempt for another.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing.)
Snuffysmith
http://www.voanews.com/english/2005-11-03-voa11.cfm

Diplomats Say Iran Close to Restarting Uranium Processing
By VOA News
03 November 2005



Diplomats say Iran is readying a new phase of uranium processing, despite a call by the U.N. atomic agency to suspend all sensitive nuclear work.


Two technicians carry box containing uranium ore concentrate, known as yellowcake, at the Uranium Conversion Facility of Iran, just outside the city of Isfahan (file photo)
Officials at the International Atomic Energy Agency said Iran will begin feeding a new batch of uranium into its plant at Isfahan next week.

Earlier this year, the 35-nation IAEA board warned it would refer Iran to the U.N. Security Council if the country failed to suspend uranium enrichment and allow nuclear inspections.

This week, Iran allowed U.N. inspectors access to its Parchin military complex to collect environmental samples, in an apparent effort to avoid possible sanctions.

The United States says the Parchin site has been used for nuclear weapons testing. But Tehran insists its nuclear program is peaceful.

Meanwhile, Iran's state media quoted the country's foreign minister saying more than 40 of the country's ambassadors were being replaced. He said some envoys had reached retirement age, adding their terms will expire by the end of the year.
Snuffysmith
Analysis: Time For A Clear Iran Policy
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzo.html

Washington (UPI) Nov 03, 2005 - The United States is at a crossroads over Iran. Regime change or nuclear security, action or negotiation; American strategy for countering Iranian development of nuclear weapons has long been hampered by a confusion of objectives. The time has come to formulate a clear plan to stop an Iranian bomb from becoming a reality.
Snuffysmith
Advanced Member


Group: Moderator
Posts: 33,717
Joined: 5-November 04
From: Washington D.C.
Member No.: 9



http://www.antiwar.com/solomon/?articleid=7915

November 5, 2005
Axis of Hardliners, From Tehran to Washington

by Norman Solomon
The huge gap between Tehran and Washington has widened in recent months. Top officials of Iran and the United States are not even within shouting distance. The styles of rhetoric differ, but the messages in both directions are filled with hostility.

While visiting Iran's capital in early summer, during the home stretch of the presidential campaign, I was struck by paradoxes. From all appearances, most Iranians despise the U.S. government but love Americans. Repression, imposed from above, coexists with freedom taken from below. The press is largely dogmatic, but some media outlets show appreciable independence.

I was fascinated to observe a rally of 10,000 people who gathered in a Tehran stadium to vocally support a reform candidate for the presidency, Mostafa Moin. One speaker after another called for political freedom. The Tehran Times reported that Moin was promoting "a Democracy and Human Rights Front in Iran to defend the rights of all Iran's religious and ethnic groups, the youth, academicians, women, and political opposition groups."

That seems like a long time ago. The Moin campaign didn't make it into the runoff. And the wily Iranian power broker Hashemi Rafsanjani, a former president with centrist inclinations, lost his deep-pockets bid to return to his old job.

Since taking office, the triumphant presidential contender, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has provided ample evidence that he is a reactionary zealot. While not a cleric himself, Ahmadinejad is aligned with fundamentalist ayatollahs whose agenda includes continuing to suppress the rights of women. And the president's foreign-policy views are also grim. In late October he twice expressed a wish to "wipe Israel off the map."

At the same time – despite the impression routinely left by U.S. media accounts – Iran is far from monolithic. Ahmadinejad's recent statements about Israel, which came in the form of approvingly quoting the Islamic Republic's founder Ayatollah Khomeini, caused an uproar in Iran. "The reason is that Iran has changed since Khomeini," the insightful British journalist Peter Beaumont explained in the London-based Observer. "Despite the continued grip on power by institutions set up by Khomeini, a large part of its youthful population has made complex accommodations between life lived in public and private. That has masked the loosening of those institutions' grip on the individual. The newly resurgent hardliners, with their strongest support among the poor and ill-educated, are now trying to reimpose that grip."

Those hardliners in Tehran are benefitting from other nationalistic ideologues – in Washington. When President Bush denounced Iran's election campaign as meaningless while it was still underway, there was palpable resentment in Iran, and not just among pro-government propagandists. I talked with reform-minded Iranians who were angered by Bush's declaration. They saw bombast from Washington as red meat that was much appreciated by Iran's fundamentalist rulers.

Between the hardliners in Tehran and Washington, there is a love – or at least mutual justification – that dares not speak its name. The more belligerent Iran gets, the more administration officials in Washington use that belligerency to justify their own. And vice versa.

On Wednesday, the Tehran government announced the removal of 40 Iranian diplomats from their posts abroad; Reuters described some as "supporters of warmer ties with the West." No one could doubt that the Bush administration would cite the news as further justification for Washington's increasingly threatening stance toward Iran.

The overt flashpoint of tensions between Tehran and Washington has to do with Iran's atomic program. Stripping away the propaganda from both sides, it seems fair to say that the Iranians are pursuing nuclear power development for electricity while keeping their options open for nuclear weapons later on.

By any credible estimate, Iran could not build an atomic bomb before the end of this decade. The Iranian government is allowing U.N. inspections but asserting its right to process uranium. Given the U.S. government's relentless hypocrisies and geopolitical agendas – including a covetous eye on Iran's enormous quantities of oil and natural gas – there's big trouble ahead.

An Associated Press story, appearing in newspapers on Nov. 3, noted that "Washington is pressing for Tehran to be referred to the U.N. Security Council, where it could face sanctions for violating the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty." Such news accounts rarely mention that Israel – which has a nuclear arsenal estimated at 200 warheads – cannot be accused of violating that treaty because Israel has never been willing to sign it. The same is true of Pakistan and India, two other nuclear-weapons states also embraced by Uncle Sam.

American media coverage of Iran is often driven by righteousness that detours around U.S. double standards. That may seem professional. But we're much better off when journalists strive for independence.
theglobalchinese
Iran request for fresh nuclear talks rebuffed by EU Forbes
Iran formally requested fresh talks with the EU on its controversial nuclear programme today but was swiftly rebuffed for so long as it rejects a renewed freeze on fuel cycle work.
Iran calls for reopening EU nuke talks Aljazeera.net
Iran opens military site to UN team Scotsman
Xinhua - Reuters.uk - Aljazeera.com - Financial Times - all 151 related »
Snuffysmith
European Diplomat Nixes Iranian Talks Request
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzp.html

Vienna (AFP) Nov 06, 2005 - A European Union diplomat said an Iranian request Sunday to resume nuclear talks with the EU was unacceptable since Iran refuses to suspend fuel work that raises fears Tehran is secretly developing atomic weapons.

-
Snuffysmith
Iran Request For Fresh Nuclear Talks Rebuffed By EU
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzq.html
theglobalchinese
Iran positive about nuclear talks BBC News
Iran's chief nuclear negotiator Ali Larijani has said the resumption of talks with Europe could be "fruitful". But he told the BBC that Iran would not give up its determination to enrich uranium to produce nuclear fuel. He has written to the foreign ministers of the UK, France and Germany, offering to resume negotiations. Meanwhile, the UN's atomic watchdog has suggested that an international nuclear fuel bank could be a way to persuade Iran to forsake uranium enrichment. Mr Larijani told the BBC that it would be a mistake for Europe to insist on Iran stopping uranium conversion once again, and risk greater achievements.
EU demands nuke compliance from Iran ABC News
EU mulls response to Iran's nuclear talks offer Ireland Online
Forbes - Malaysia Star - People's Daily Online - Tehran Times - all 409 related »
Snuffysmith
Iran Insists On Right To Nuclear Technology
http://www.spacewar.com/news/nuclear-doctrine-05zzv.html

Tehran (AFP) Nov 07, 2005 - Iran on Monday insisted on its right to peaceful nuclear technology but said negotiations were the best way to solve disputes over its atomic programme.

-
Snuffysmith
Iran Uncompromising In EU Talks Offer
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzr.html

Vienna (AFP) Nov 08, 2005 - Iran's letter offering fresh talks with the European Union is uncompromising about its right to nuclear fuel work, which the West fears could give Tehran the ability to make atom bombs.
Snuffysmith
Iran Says Nuclear Offer Final Chance
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzs.html
Snuffysmith
Boeing Projects $770bn Market For New Airplanes In Asia-Pacific
http://www.spacewar.com/news/aerospace-05zzn.html

Taipei, Taiwan (SPX) Nov 08, 2005 - Boeing detailed its 2005 Current Market Outlook (CMO) for the Asia-Pacific region today, forecasting a market for about 7,200 new airplanes worth $770 billion over the next 20 years. Over the forecast period, Asia-Pacific will remain the largest market outside North America for new commercial airplanes.
Snuffysmith
The Revolution Begins Anew in Iran

by William O. Beeman


Those who hate the clerical establishment in Iran and wish it would
disappear should be delighted with President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Too
late, the clerics have discovered that they have a tiger by the tail. Mr.
Ahmadinejad may be dedicated to their eradication.

The bad news for the West is that Mr. Ahmadinejad's assault on the Iranian
government is an assault from the right. He has rejected both the
reformist politics of President Khatami, and the establishment Islamic
leadership of Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamene'i.

Mr. Ahmadinejad's election was the crowning success of Iran's own
neoconservative movement, the Abadgaran-e Iran-e Islami, ("Developers of
an Islamic Iran") or the Abadgaran for short. The Abadgaran have been
described as second-generation revolutionaries. They are people who
participated in the Revolution of 1978-79, who have become disillusioned
with the ruling clerical establishment in Tehran, and have been dedicated
to re-establishing the ideals of the original revolution. In the past 26
years they have grown up and established themselves in positions of power
everywhere. They were the dominant political group in almost every major
municipality in Iran before the election. Operating from the mosques, just
as in the original revolution, they flew under the media radar, thus
creating an illusion of surprise when Mr. Ahmadinejad roared to victory on
a populist platform promising economic reform and financial equality for
Iran's poor.

Mr. Ahmadinejad appeared benign enough in June. A pious, ruthlessly honest
and modest civil engineer, he had done an excellent job as Tehran's mayor.
However, he immediately sent shockwaves through the establishment by
proposing ill-suited ideologues as ministers in his new government, by his
badly received appearance at the United Nations, by his fiery condemnation
of the "Zionist regime" in Israel -- an action that attracted
international condemnation ­ and finally, by his recall of 40 moderate
Iranian ambassadors.

His actions have caused consternation in segments of the Iranian public as
well. On November 3, his government introduced a scheme to provide shares
of national industries to Iran's poor, allowing them 20 years to repay the
cost of the equities. Rumors have flown that the next target is Iran's
private industrial holdings. There is no opposition between Islam and
capitalism, and Iran is ruthlessly capitalist. Iranian owners of industry
were not going to wait to find out whether the rumors were true.
Reportedly more than 200 billion dollars in investment income have fled
Iran for Dubai, where some 2000 new businesses have been established in
the past four months. The capital flight was accelerated by Mr.
Ahmadinejad's remarks against Israel, after which the Tehran stock
exchange plummeted to its lowest point in two years.

The irony for the establishment clerics was that no matter who had won the
election, they were going to be in trouble, since all candidates but the
one they had handpicked, former Radio and Television head Ali Larijani,
opposed one or another aspect of their governance. Mr. Larijani has now
been reappointed as head of Iran's Supreme National Security Council and
chief negotiator for Iran's nuclear energy initiative with European powers
and the United Nations.

Mr. Larijani's reassignment is indicative of the current state of affairs
as cracks begin to show in Iran's Islamic leadership. Confusion reigns as
the establishment clerics try to contain Mr. Ahmadinejad while presenting
a smooth face to the world. The Iranian Foreign Ministry as well as
Ayatollah Khamene'i tried to soften Mr. Ahmadinejad's anti-Israel remarks
and assure the world that Iran intended no violence against any other
nation. Presidential runner-up Ayatollah Ali-Akbar Hashemi-Rafsanjani,
who went back to his old job as head of Iran's intra-governmental
Expediency Council, has quietly moved to relieve Mr. Ahmadinejad of his
foreign policy and diplomatic duties. However, Ayatollah
Hashemi-Rafasanjani, and other clerics rumored to be rich and corrupt, is
anathema to the Abadgaran that support Mr. Ahmadinejad.

What is at stake is nothing less than the Islamic Republic itself if an
internal feud breaks out. The Velayat-e Faqih-or rule of the chief
jurisprudent, on which the Iranian government is based, and through which
Ayatollah Khamene'i holds his authority, was established after the
revolution. No senior Shi'a cleric in the world agrees with it any longer.

If Mr. Ahmadinejad is placed under too much pressure by the likes of
Ayatollahs Khamene'i or Rafsanjani, he may well have the political clout
through his followers to force a reconsideration of the entire base of the
Iranian government. There are many, many Iranians who would welcome such a
move. The Iranian Parliament is eager to overhaul the Iranian
constitution, which gives control of government to the clerics, but they
have been prevented from doing so by the powerful indirectly chosen
Council of Guardians. The result of constitutional revision might still be
an Islamic Republic not to the taste of the Bush administration, but it
would end clerical rule in Iran.

One thing is certain: change is inevitable in Iran. Moreover, President
Ahmadinejad and the Abadgaran, if they achieve their aims, should not rest
on their laurels. The whirlwind they are setting in motion today is
nothing compared to the tornado that will sweep into power in the next
decade -- the youth of Iran, who in five years will be the majority of
voters. None of them participated in the original Revolution, brought the
Ayatollah Khomeini to power, or ratified the Islamic Republic.


William O. Beeman is Professor of Middle East Anthropology at Brown
University. He has conducted research in Iran for more than 30 years. He
is the author of The "Great Satan" vs. the "Mad Mullahs": How the United
States and Iran Demonize Each Other, published in September, 2005.

Copyright 2005 William O. Beeman

This article may be reprinted or distributed for any non-commercial purpose.
For commercial use, please contact the author wbeeman@Brown.edu or AgenceGlobal
jahan@agenceglobalcom
Snuffysmith
Iran Warns Of 'Consequences' Over Nuclear Issue
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzt.html

Helsinki (AFP) Nov 09, 2005 - Any move to refer Iran's nuclear program to the United Nations Security Council for possible sanctions would have "unpredictable consequences," the country's representative at the UN atomic agency warned on Wednesday.

- Iranian Atom Chief Vows To Continue, Woos Investment
http://www.spacewar.com/news/nuclear-doctrine-05zzy.html
Snuffysmith
http://www.geostrategy-direct.com/geostrat...005/11_01/1.asp?

Basij militia gets top billing as Iran regime's most trusted military force

Iran plans a major upgrade of its Basij militia to protect the regime from any Israeli or U.S. attack.
Iranian officials said supreme leader Ali Khamenei has approved a plan to greatly expand the regime-sponsored volunteer militia to more than 1 million men under arms.



Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad speaks during a conference on Oct. 26, 2005 in Tehran entitled 'The World without Zionism.' AP Photo / ISNA
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Under the plan, the Basij, which began as a volunteer movement, would essentially turn into Iran's third military ground force, rivaling the elite Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
The force would be deployed both along Iran's long borders with Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan and Turkey as well as in major cities.

Gen. Mohammed Mirahmadi, the Basij's deputy commander, said the militia's Ashura forces would be greatly expanded over the next few years, forming 2,000 Ashura battalions.

Addressing a Basij urban warfare exercise in Teheran on Sept. 24, Mirahmadi said Ashura units would focus on riot control and protection of the regime. The Basij are said to have more than 11 million members, but most of them have not received weapons.

Earlier, Basij commander Gen. Mohammad Hejazi said the militia would maintain a range of security missions, including preventing the violation of Islamic norms and monitoring dissidents.

"Among the most important tasks of the Basij are boosting everlasting security, strengthening development infrastructures, equipping resistance bases [and] increasing employment," Hejazi said.

The Basij has undergone a reshuffling of its command and an increase in authority since the election of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad in June 2005.

The Basij's new commander is Gen. Mohammad Baqir Zolfaqar and deputies include Gen. Ahmad Zolqadr and Gen. Seyyed Mohammad Haj Aqamir.


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


Report: Iran signed chemical weapons agreement this year with Syria

LONDON — Iran plans to assist Syria in the construction of up to five chemical weapons installations, according to a published report. The facilities would produce chemical weapons precursors as part of a plan to ensure indigenous Syrian capability.
The London-based Jane's Defense Weekly said Syria hopes to construct the CW facilities by late 2006. The magazine said Teheran and Syria signed an agreement in mid-2005 for CW technical assistance.

Under the agreement, Iran would construct the CW precursor facilities and train Syrian personnel. The facilities would also contain equipment to detect CW agents in the air.

Jane's said Syria, which has not signed the 1993 Chemical Warfare Convention, intends to achieve independent capability in CW production. The facilities were designed to produce precursors for VX and sarin nerve agents and mustard blister agent.

"This project is unprecedented and millions of U.S. dollars have been allocated to implement it," a diplomatic source told Jane's. "The project includes building major facilities, including advanced equipment to produce tens to hundreds of tons of CW precursors per year that are sufficient for CW industrial manufacturing pilot production."

Syria's CW program has been operated by the Scientific Studies and Research Center. The center has produced VX and sarin agents, but failed to achieve independent production of precursors.

Under the accord, Iran, a signatory to the CWC, would help Syria end dependency on the import of precursors. Iranian engineers and scientists have been working in Syria to assess requirements.

Teheran has been the leading supplier of CW precursors to Syria. In 2004, Iran exported sulfide, hydrochloric acid and ethylene glycol-MEG for Syrian missile warheads and aerial bombs.

Jane's said Iran and Syria have not yet signed a contract. The magazine said construction of the facilities would begin in late 2005.
Snuffysmith
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1110/dailyUpdate1111.html

Rice: No new EU-US offer to Iran

US isn't interested in any plan that might still allow Iran room to develop nuclear weapons.

By Tom Regan | csmonitor.com

US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice Thursday denied reports of a US-European compromise that would allow Iran to continue a "limited" nuclear program. The BBC reports that some "unnamed diplomats" have said the compromise would allow Iran to convert uranium into gas – which it has been doing since last August, anyway – but that gas would be transported to Russia, where it would be converted into nuclear fuel in Russia.
But Ms. Rice seems to squash any talk of a compromise.

"There isn't and there won't be. We are not parties to these negotiations and we don't intend to become parties to the negotiations," Ms Rice said on her way to the Middle East.
The New York Times reports that this latest proposal was discussed at a meeting earlier this week between Rice and Mohammed ElBaradei, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations' nuclear monitoring agency. The proposal has "deeply divided" the Bush administration, which still believes that Iran wants to develop nuclear weapons, a charge that the Iranians have denied.

"The problem with this offer is that if the Iranians have a secret enrichment plant someplace that we don't know about, we're leaving them with the raw material they need," said a senior American official who contends that the new proposal is flawed. "But the thinking was that the West has to show we are willing to break the logjam."




11/10/05

Blair loses key terror vote

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Rice warned that more than enough support exists to refer Iran to the UN Security Council if a deal on its nuclear program is not reached by Nov. 24, the date of the next IAEA meeting. But Reuters reports that British Foreign Minister Jack Straw said he did not want to see Iran referred to the Council, although that remains an option. The Scotsman reports that Mr. Straw also said that military action against Iran is "inconceivable."

The Foreign Secretary told BBC Radio 4's Today program: "I know there is speculation about this, I understand that. But military action is not on the agenda for the United Kingdom, for the EU/E3, nor is it, as Secretary Rice has made clear, for the United States."
He said [Iranian] President Ahmadinejad's "outrageous" comments [about Israel] had not only affected Iran's diplomatic position, but had also weakened his own position in the country.

The BBC's diplomatic correspondent Bridget Kendall reports that since the election in early August of the hardline Mr. Ahmadinejad, relations between Iran and the West have been "hurtling downhill like a snowball out of control." Ahmadinejad comments in late October that he looked forward to seeing Israel "swept away" were universally condemned in the West. While Ms. Kendall notes that it's not unusual for an Iranian leader to denounce Israel, a country that it sees as an enemy, it is the "vehemence of President Ahmadinejad's language that has caused such concern."
It is one thing for Iran to refuse to acknowledge the state of Israel's right to exist. It is quite another to applaud the prospect of a new wave of Palestinian attacks that might "sweep Israel away", just as new diplomatic moves are afoot to try to nudge Israeli and Palestinian leaders back to direct talks and away from further violence.
"It's a crass thing for any head of state to say about another country," said one British diplomat.

The key to the Iranian nuclear issue is where Russia stands, writes Kaveh Afrasiabi, author of "After Khomeini: New Directions in Iran's Foreign Policy," in Singapore's Asia Times. Mr. Afrasiabi says that despite its declared support for Iran's right to develop its own nuclear fuel program, Russia's position is actually "less than iron-clad." The new proposal discussed this week may have been put forward less to get Iran's approval and more to "weaken" Russia's support for Iran.
First, contrary to appearances, there is no Russian "groupthink" on Iran's nuclear program that would be immune to such concerted efforts led by Washington. Russia is occasionally reminded of the perils of a nuclear-armed Iran, and the recent Iranian announcement of willingness to share nuclear technology with other Muslim nations cannot possibly be music to the ears of Moscow policy leaders grappling with their home-gown threats of Muslim extremism.
Although Iran may still be at odds with the US and the EU, Reuters reports that Iranian officials are still "confident" that the IAEA's November report on its nuclear program will be positive.

"As our cooperation with the IAEA is on the right track, I believe the report will be positive," said Gholamreza Aghazadeh, head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization. "Iran's improved cooperation with UN inspectors will be reflected in (IAEA chief) Mohamed ElBaradei's next report," the official IRNA news agency quoted him as saying.
Reuters adds that Iran has been praised by the IAEA for improved cooperation in recent weeks, including allowing inspectors to visit the Parchin military complex near Tehran.
Snuffysmith
http://www.forbes.com/work/feeds/afx/2005/...afx2332063.html

AFX News Limited
Iran 'open to offers' on nuclear enrichment abroad
11.11.2005, 09:15 AM


TEHRAN (AFX) - Iran wants to conduct sensitive nuclear work on its territory but is open to the possibility of uranium being enriched abroad for its needs, nuclear chief Ali Larijani said.

'What is important for Iran is to enrich (uranium) on its soil,' Larijani was quoted as saying by local news agencies, but added that if there was a formal proposal for enrichment abroad 'we will discuss it.'

Under a proposal reportedly being floated, Iran would be allowed to carry out an initial step in making nuclear fuel -- converting uranium ore into the uranium hexafluoride gas that is the feedstock for making enriched uranium.

But enrichment itself could be carried out in Russia under an offer reportedly being considered by the European Union and the United States.

Russia has staunchly backed Iran's right to a civilian nuclear energy programme, but the United States has alleged that Tehran's effort is a cover to develop weapons.

sgh-lal/txw





COPYRIGHT



Copyright AFX News Limited 2005. All rights reserved.
Snuffysmith
http://news.xinhuanet.com/english/2005-11/...ent_3764814.htm

EU may allow Iran to partly keep atomic fuel yields

www.chinaview.cn 2005-11-11 10:13:58


VIENNA, Nov. 10 (Xinhuanet) -- Germany, France and Britain are considering allowing Iran to continue part of its atomic fuel production programs, the Austrian press agency reported Thursday.

The report quoted diplomats as saying that the three powers, working on behalf on the European Union (EU), were considering accepting last week's Russian proposal to allow Iran to continue with uranium conversion, but the enrichment process will be handled by Moscow.

The bloc intends to unravel the protracted deadlock over Iran's nuclear issue, the report said.

After several days of negotiations, the EU has announced that it will not refer the issue to the UN Security Council.

The UN's nuclear watchdog said in a statement on Thursday that its chief, Mohamed ElBaradei, hoped that in the coming days the international community would coalesce around a solution on the issue which is acceptable to all sides, including Iran.

The board of governors of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will discuss Iran's nuclear issue in the meeting on Nov. 24.

Iran resumed uranium conversion activities in early August, a move that scuttled the nuclear negotiations with the EU which started after Tehran suspended all activities related to uranium enrichment in November 2004.

The United States accuses Iran of developing nuclear weapons secretly, a charge rejected by Tehran as politically motivated.

The IAEA board of governors adopted an EU-drafted resolution onSept. 24, urging Iran to re-suspend all enrichment-related activities with a warning that it would refer its nuclear case to the UN Security Council.

Iran has rejected the resolution as politically motivated, saying it will never return to full suspension. Enditem
Snuffysmith
http://www.antiwar.com/orig/hirsch.php?articleid=8007

November 12, 2005
A Legal US Nuclear Attack Against Iran
The real reason for the IAEA Iran resolution
by Jorge Hirsch
On September 24 of this year, the United States finally achieved a goal it had persistently pursued over several years. Iran was declared by the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Agency) to be in "non compliance" with its obligations under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT).

The resolution passed by the IAEA is remarkably weak. It does not set a date for Iran to be referred to the UN Security Council, and it does not even mention the possibility of sanctions. It even notes that Iran has made "good progress" in correcting its "breaches," all of which date back to before October 2003. The LA Times characterized it as a "gentle slap." It is instead an enormous thud.

We pointed out before that the probable reason for the U.S. to insist on the passage of such a weak resolution (on the face of opposition by Russia and China to stronger resolutions) was to reach a stalemate in the Security Council that would provide an excuse for U.S. military action, which would necessarily include the use of nuclear weapons against Iran [1], [2], [3]. There is, however, an even stronger reason for the U.S. to have pushed for this resolution so adamantly, a reason which is valid even if Iran is not referred to the Security Council at the forthcoming November 24 meeting or thereafter, and that supports the predicted scenario.

The IAEA resolution of September 24 2005 allows the United States to carry out a nuclear attack against Iran "legally."

Non-nuclear states have sought for many years that nuclear states issue clear "negative security assurances," meaning a committment from nuclear states not to use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear states. No matter how logical such a desire appears to you and me, nuclear states have been notoriously reluctant to make such pledges, especially the United States.

The latest such assurances from the five nuclear states date back to 1995, and are the subject of UN Security Council Resolution 984, which was passed with unanimity. The legal status of these assurances is not totally clear, and non-nuclear states have continued to request "legally binding" assurances, implying that the existing assurances are not. In fact, in 2002 John Bolton, then Undersecretary of State for Arms Control and International Security, in an interview with "Arms Control Today" explicitly disavowed any U.S. committment to the 1995 resolution.

Nevertheless, a case can be made that these assurances are at the very least "politically binding" and may even be "legally binding." The reason is that they were made for the explicit purpose of having the non-nuclear states extend the NPT in 1995. The fact that the non-nuclear states indeed did extend the NPT based on these assurances confers them legally binding character even if it was not so intended originally, according to G. Bunn (1997).

The text of the 1995 U.S. negative security assurance (S/1995/263) reads:

"The United States reaffirms that it will not use nuclear weapons against non-nuclear-weapon States Parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons except in the case of an invasion or any other attack on the United States, its territories, its armed forces or other troops, its allies, or on a State towards which it has a security commitment, carried out or sustained by such a non-nuclear-weapon State in association or alliance with a nuclear-weapon State."

Good news, the U.S. cannot nuke Iran, a party to the NPT? Think again. The paragraph immediately before in the U.S. declaration reads:

"It is important that all parties to the Treaty on the Non- Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons fulfil their obligations under the Treaty. In that regard, consistent with generally recognised principles of international law, parties to the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons must be in compliance with these undertakings in order to be eligible for any benefits of adherence to the Treaty."

Iran was "in compliance" until September 24th, 2005. Thereafter, the "benefit" of not being subject to nuking no longer applies. An analysis of this qualification of the U.S. negative security assurance declaration and its implications for non-nuclear states has been made by Jean du Preez in 2003 and is consistent with our conclusion.

Bolton's statements were made at a time when the US had already been denouncing for several years that Iran was pursuing a secret nuclear weapons program in violation of the NPT. The detailed analysis of Gordon Prather, however, shows that Iran's 'violations' did not then nor do now amount to "non-compliance." Nevertheless it will be politically very important for the US that the 1995 security assurance is no longer applicable to Iran, and Bolton (now US Ambassador to the UN) will surely emphasize it at the United Nations when the time comes to justify the US action.

Iran's protective shield against US nukes, however feeble it was, is no longer. Any "negotiating proposal" of the EU and the US towards Iran will be carefully tailored so that Iran cannot possibly accept it. Irrespective of what happens at the November 24th IAEA meeting, the US plan to nuke Iran will continue moving forward, focused and unrelenting.
Snuffysmith
Iran Confirms Rejection Of Nuclear Compromise
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzu.html

Tehran (AFP) Nov 13, 2005 - Iran confirmed Sunday it would not accept a compromise on its disputed nuclear programme that involved sensitive uranium enrichment activities being conducted outside the country.
Snuffysmith
Analysis: Can Syria and Iran be persuaded to fight terrorism?
By John P. Gramlich
UPI Correspondent
Published November 14, 2005


WASHINGTON -- With two Iraqi leaders paying separate visits to Washington last week and President Bush addressing the war on terrorism in a Veterans' Day speech on Friday, the question of Iraq's neighbors -- and their role in the war -- looms large.

The Bush administration has kept up its tough rhetoric against Syria and Iran. Speaking in Pennsylvania Friday, Bush said the two countries have "a long history of collaboration with terrorists" and called on Syria in particular to "stop exporting violence and start importing democracy."


But the position of the Iraqi leaders in Washington last week was softer. In his own speech at a think tank on Thursday, Iraqi deputy vice president Adel Abdul-Mahdi said the problem of terrorism does not rest with Syria and Iran, but with a wider culture in the Middle East of propaganda being spread through mosques. He said terrorism affects all states in the region -- citing the Nov. 9 hotel bombings in Jordan -- and called for "full cooperation" among countries in the Middle East to combat the problem.

Meanwhile, Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Ahmed Chalabi -- fresh from a visit to Tehran -- called Syria and Iran "somewhat problematic," but indicated that cooperation with both was possible. Chalabi said Iranian leaders shared his wish that Iraq and Iran form "good, wide-ranging, transparent relationships." On the issue of Syria, which the United States has accused of allowing terrorists to cross the border into Iraq, Chalabi was tougher, but indicated that Damascus could be persuaded to stop those terrorists. A major factor in Syrian-Iraqi relations is oil, he said, and opening a pipeline from Iraq to the Mediterranean Sea through Syria would be of "enormous benefit" to Syria and could be used to negotiate help in the war on terrorism.

With different diplomatic signals coming from Bush and Iraqi leaders, the question remains: Is it realistic to expect Syria and Iran to help fight terrorism in Iraq?

Not with the current U.S. approach to the region, according to James Dobbins, director of the International Security and Defense Policy Center at the nonprofit RAND Corp. That's because the Bush administration is pursuing its own objectives in the Middle East illogically and decreasing the likelihood of regional cooperation, said Dobbins, a former U.S. envoy in Kosovo, Bosnia, Haiti, Somalia and Afghanistan. While the United States is calling for democracy in Syria and trying to halt nuclear proliferation in Iran, it has lost sight of the region's most immediate concern, Dobbins said -- Iraq's instability.

"The administration's problem is that it's trying to do too much in the greater Middle East," Dobbins said. "It's trying to stabilize Iraq, destabilize Syria and denuclearize Iran all at the same time. You can do any one of those [things] and maybe, eventually, over a very extended period of time, all three of them. But you can't possibly do all three at once. We don't prioritize."

Although Syria and Iran deserve U.S. attention, the Bush administration has focused too much on Iraq's neighbors, Dobbins said, noting Iran is still years away from acquiring a nuclear weapon. Current U.S. policy in the Middle East is counterproductive because Syria and Iran are unlikely to help stabilize Iraq as long as the United States is threatening them, he said.

By way of comparison, Dobbins said that stabilization efforts in Afghanistan have been far more successful than in Iraq because the United States has engaged Afghanistan's neighbors in a positive way.

"We went into Afghanistan not with the objective of making Afghanistan a model for central Asia and then democratizing every other country in central Asia as soon as we finished," Dobbins said. "As a result, we were able to engage all of its neighbors constructively in its stabilization. All of the neighbors have, in fact, continued to support [Afghani President] Karzai because we're not saying, 'As soon as we finish here, you're next.'"

One of the problems with Iran and Syria is their seemingly contradictory motivations in Iraq. A stable Iraq would be in both countries' interest, yet to date they have done little to help their neighbor, analysts said. That's probably the result of the war on terrorism's American face, and could change as the United States stands down, according to some experts.

Another way for the United States to stabilize Iraq and engage its neighbors constructively would be to encourage greater Arab League involvement, said Jon Alterman, director of the Middle East Program at the Center for Strategic and International Studies.

The disenchanted Sunni minority that is leading the insurgency in Iraq are "the people who feel like their country's been taken away from right under their noses," Alterman said, and do not trust the United States at all. But calling for help in Iraq from the Arab League -- an organization of Arab states including Syria -- could protect the Sunni and "make them feel like their interests are being looked after," Alterman said.

"We can talk about how useless the Arab League has been for so much of its existence, but I think this is a task (in which) the Arab League can play a very constructive role," Alterman said. "I think because so many of the countries around Iraq are terrified this whole thing is going to turn into a disaster, they're poised to play a constructive role and I think we should seize on that."

But perhaps the last word goes to Abdul-Mahdi, the Iraqi deputy vice president, whose brother was assassinated Oct. 30 in Baghdad as he traveled to Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari's office, where he was an adviser.

Although the United States has reason to focus on the influence of Syria and Iran in Iraq, Abdul-Mahdi predicted that terrorism will start "shifting" away from Iraq as local security forces gain experience. Terrorism is not only an Iraqi problem, but will become a problem of the country's neighbors as well, he said.

"The responsibility ... is on all of us," Abdul-Mahdi said.
Snuffysmith
Iran Starts New Round Of Uranium Conversion: Diplomats
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzw.html

Vienna (AFP) Nov 16, 2005 - Iran on Wednesday started a new round of converting uranium ore into the feedstock gas for making enriched uranium, a move likely to complicate diplomacy over Iran's disputed nuclear program, diplomats said.

-
Snuffysmith
Is An Iran Nuke Compromise Viable?
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iran-05zzzzzx.html
Snuffysmith
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GK18Ak02.html


Friendly fire and the US in Iran
By Neda Bolourchi

In recent months, the Mujahideen-e Khalq (MEK) and its attempts to prove that the Islamic Republic of Iran intends to develop nuclear weapons garnered widespread media coverage and speculation. While bringing forth a modicum of new information, the attention fails to illuminate just how dangerous the MEK could be to the United States.

Grappling in Iraq, the Bush administration now faces an analogous yet graver situation in the Islamic Republic. In the years leading up to the Iraq war, Ahmad Chalabi led the exiled Iraqi National Congress. In courting Bush officials like Richard Perle and Paul Wolfowitz to stoke the war flames in Iraq, Chalabi materialized defectors who affirmed suspicions about Saddam



Hussein's ethereal weapons of mass destruction. Chalabi then secured administration support by seducing it with visions of Iraqis showering American liberators with flowers and a quick handover of a well-ordered Iraq from US troops to his Free Iraqi Fighters.

Today, Maryam Rajavi, the so-called president-elect of the MEK's National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), conjures up the same desert visions for Iran.

Like the case of Chalabi, who offered information on the seemingly impenetrable Iraq, reliance on Rajavi and her supporters superficially makes sense. Given the US's lack of human intelligence inside the Islamic Republic's government, supporting the MEK would naturally appeal to the US administration as a means to quickly develop and install agents who can provide reliable information regarding the Islamic Republic's nuclear advancements.

The MEK even appears to fit the bill better than Chalabi in many respects. As an Iranian opposition group with members inside and outside the country, the MEK can utilize its nativist connection to seamlessly merge with countrymen without fear of being detected by foreign accents, mannerisms or characteristics.

Moreover, the MEK is the largest and the best-organized Iranian opposition group, with realistic estimates between 6,000 to 10,000 fighters, members and supporters combined. More importantly, the MEK demonstrated its ability to deliver reliable information when it revealed, on August 14, 2002, that the Islamic Republic possessed an advanced nuclear program that included facilities at Natanz and Arak.

The MEK now finds support within parts of the American government as a "third option". Such support is built on the fallacy that the MEK can not only provide information, but also enjoys enough popular support so that diplomacy and direct military action can be skirted. By lobbying to remove the MEK from the US's list of foreign terrorist organizations and considering the group as leverage to destabilize, overthrow, and/or replace Tehran's clerical government, supporters ignore the unsavory history of the MEK.

And that puts the United States, its citizens and its interests in grave danger.

Under the Bill Clinton administration, the State Department placed the MEK on its terrorist organization list in 1997 as a conciliatory gesture to the then newly elected Mohammed Khatami moderates. In justifying its decision, the State Department used several acts of violence committed against Americans to justify its actions.

These acts included the November 1971 attempt to kidnap the American ambassador, as well as the 1972 bombings of the offices belonging to Pepsi-Cola, General Motors, the Hotel International, the Marin Oil Company, the Iranian-American Society and the US Information Office. Over the next three years, the MEK robbed six banks, assassinated the deputy chief of the US Military Mission (Colonel Lewis Hawkins), killed the chief of the Tehran police, killed five American civilians and/or military advisers, attempted to assassinate the chief of the US Military Mission in Iran (General Harold Price), and bombed the offices of Pan-American Airlines, Shell Oil Company, British Petroleum, El Al and British Airways. [1]

In a military tribunal in 1972, MEK leader Massoud Rajavi explained such acts of violence by premising that the future of Iran depended on armed resistance.

Blaming most of the world's problems on imperialism, Rajavi insisted that "American imperialism" was the main enemy of Iran because the United States conducted the 1953 coup d'etat that overthrew the then prime minister, Mohammad Mossadeq. [2] In retaliation, the Shah attempted to discredit the group by labeling the mujahideen as "Islamic Marxists" and by claiming that Islam merely served as a cover to hide the group's Marxist ideology.

In response, the MEK declared its respect for Marxism "as a progressive social philosophy" but stated that "their true culture, inspiration, attachment and ideology was Islam". [3] Attempting to clarify its position, the MEK later published an article declaring that
[T]he regime is trying to place a wedge between Muslims and Marxists ... Of course, Marxism and Islam are not identical. Nevertheless, Islam is definitely closer to Marxism than to Pahlavism. Islam and Marxism contain the same message for they inspire martyrdom, struggle, and self-sacrifice. Who is closer to Islam: the Vietnamese who fight against American imperialism or the Shah who helps Zionism? Since Islam fights oppression it will work together with Marxism which also fights oppression. They have the same enemy: reactionary imperialism. [4]
With this history, news that the MEK engaged coalition forces during Operation Enduring Freedom should not be surprising. [5] With their obvious ideological differences, the US and MEK have been separately battling the Islamic Republic of Iran for about the past 25 years. Now, however, the MEK and its supporters within the American government want to temporarily put aside such differences to bring about regime change.

Intelligence sources, though, are quick to note that the information the MEK/NCRI provides is only sometimes correct.

For example, on September 16, the group's "spokesman", Alireza Jafarzadeh of Strategic Policy Consulting, a corporation viewed as established to circumvent US laws prohibiting the MEK/NCRI's existence on American soil, proffered that the Islamic Republic had secretly built an underground tunnel-like facility deep in the mountains of the Parchin military complex, in order to transfer secret nuclear components and conduct other activities related to a supposedly vibrant nuclear weapons program.

The tunnels allegedly house secret "military-nuclear factories" and serve as storage space. Diagrams that were produced appear to show that the tunnels are supplied with water, electricity and ventilation, providing a suitable and seemingly extensive working space deep underground. Jafarzadeh claims that Iranian officials decided to construct the tunnels in response to continuing leaks regarding the country's nuclear activities, and that they serve to prevent the easy destruction of essential facilities by US "bunker-busting" munitions.

Yet neither a direct inquiry into the credibility of the statement nor confirmation from reliable sources seems to exist. Given that American satellites would be able to detect the mass movement and transit required to perform the alleged tunneling activities, and with access given again to international nuclear inspectors, additional skepticism is in order.

In much the same manner that the American intelligence community questioned the credibility of Chalabi over his allegations regarding Iraq, it is rightfully wary of the MEK.

Unlike Chalabi, though, the MEK's disdain for democracy is clear. In the years following the Islamic Revolution of 1979, when the MEK arguably reached its height both in popular domestic support and sheer strength, the mujahideen avoided legitimate elections for its top leadership positions and any democratic formulation for an official strategy.

Instead, Massoud Rajavi assumed the chairmanship of the NCRI, with the result that as other Iranian dissident groups joined the MEK in the 1980s, most quickly left the national council because the MEK insisted on full control over all important decisions, including who could join the NCRI, who would receive full voting rights within the NCRI and who could represent the NCRI at international meetings.

Although in recent years the MEK has recast itself as a pro-democratic, pro-capitalist organization that provides equal opportunities to minorities and women, the group continues to exert authoritarian control over its members.

Having essentially declared himself the leader for life of the Iranian people, Massoud Rajavi appointed his wife, Maryam, as so-called president-elect. Saddled with one appointed leader for life in Ayatollah Ali Khameini, the Iranian people are unlikely to want another. Like Tehran's regime, the MEK has its own interpretation of Islam that includes mandatory Islamic dress for women. On the verge of potentially re-embracing secularism, Iranians do not want another government-mandated and imposed interpretation of Islam.

Moreover, supporting the MEK will irrevocably alienate all classes because Iranians do not consider the group a legitimate source of resistance. Now alienated from the Islamic government, Iranians remember that the MEK significantly aided Khomeini in bringing about the revolution and the current government. Multiplying their grievances against the group, Iranians say that when Khomeini pushed out the former icons of the Islamist movement, the MEK used assassinations and terrorism in an attempt to destabilize the regime.

Once beloved by the masses, "the hypocrites" turned and fought for Saddam Hussein during the grizzly Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s - an act that continues to outrage Iranians. At the war's end, Saddam attempted to use the MEK as a fifth column, but the Islamic Republic set a trap and massacred thousands of MEK paramilitary fighters and prisoners. No Iranian publicly objected at the time. Thus, despite arguments that empowering the MEK would "support President [George W] Bush's assertion that America stands with the people of Iran in their struggle to liberate themselves", Iranians with their long and collective history will neither forgive nor forget the "traitors" who attacked their own country and people.

As such, the MEK cannot be an asset to the US because the group carries a deadly legacy from the Iran-Iraq War that only stokes the embers of Iranian nationalism. Such nationalism brought about much in the last century: from the 1905 constitutional revolution to the nationalization of oil and the Mossadeq movement; from a vital role in the 1979 revolution to surviving a deadly war with Iraq. Any foreign military action can expect a similar reaction.

The MEK and its supporters, however, will encounter a rare ferociousness because the group presents the kind of common enemy against whom the reformists, the conservatives, the students and common people will all rally against - something that has not happened since the conclusion of the Iran-Iraq War.

But now the Islamic Republic is dangerously better armed, holds a network of relations throughout the Middle East, and is bolstered by proxies operating widely and freely from Russia to Bosnia and from Lebanon to Iraq and Afghanistan.

Although the Iranian people are clearly the most pro-American populace in the Middle East, does the United States really want to turn that advantage on its head and be on the receiving end of such an Iranian nationalist movement?

While the Persian puzzle continues to perplex, Chalabi-style fantasies are not an answer. The lessons from Iraq have been too many, at too high a price, for that mistake to be made again.

Notes
[1] In defending the current Rajavi leadership, supporters cite that Massoud Rajavi was in jail at the time of the American murders. However, in the critical early months preceding the Revolution, the MEK (under the leadership of the freed Rajavi) not only moved towards clerical power bases but cooperated with radical clerics to weaken and eliminate the moderate leadership of prime minister Bazargan, whom they viewed as bourgeois and pro-American. See Ervand Abrahamian, Radical Islam: The Iranian Mojahedin 184-85 (1989).

[2] Viewing the Pahlavi regime as having little social support outside the middle class, the MEK asserted that the monarchy had to rule through terror, intimidation, and propaganda. In aiming to shatter the "atmosphere of terror" through heroic acts of violence that would bring the collapse of the regime, the Mujahideen ultimately intended to could out carry out "radical reforms" that included ending Iranian dependence on the West, building an independent society, and redistributing wealth while giving a free voice to the masses. See Ervand Abrahamian, The Guerrilla Movement in Iran, 1963-77, 86 Merip Reports 9 (1980)

[3] See The Mujahideen Organization, Dafa'at-i Naser Sadeq (The Defense Speech of Naser Sadeq) 24 (1972).

[4] See The Mujahideen Organization, Pasokh Beh Etemat-i Akher-I Rezhin (An Answer to the Regime's Latest Slanders) 10-13 (1973).

According to Abrahamian, note 1, 92-93, original members of the MEK's "Ideological Team", Hosayn Ruhani and Torab Haqshenas, explained that their "original aim was to synthesize the religious values of Islam with the scientific thought of Marxism ... for [the two] were convinced that true Islam was compatible with the theories of social evolution, historical determinism, and the class struggle." The fusion of Islam and Marxism made sense because the Mujahideen believed that the Prophet Mohammed sought to establish not just a new religion but a new ummat(progressive society) that sought social justice by delivering the message of nezam-e tawhidi (a classless society free of poverty, corruption, war, inequality, and oppression).

In contrast, at least one author asserts that the MEK, as a group of Marxists, realized they lacked grass roots support and tried to legitimize their movement by utilizing Islam and following Ali Shariati's interpretation. In opposing the view of Frantz Fanon, who believed that people from non-Western countries must give up their religion to bring about revolutions in their countries, Shariati argued that without rooting identity within religion and culture, non-Western peoples could not fight Western imperialism See Asaf Hussain, Islamic Iran: Revolution and counter-revolution 85 (1985).

[5] See Sam Dealey, Iran "Terrorist" Group Find Support on the Hill, The Hill, April 2, 2003.

(Copyright 2005 Asia Times Online Ltd. All rights reserved. Please contact us for information on sales, syndication and republishing .)
theglobalchinese
UN: Iran Got Nuclear Info on Black Market ABC News
U.N. Nuclear Agency Says Iran Obtained Instructions on Enriching Uranium From Black Market Network. Iran obtained detailed instructions on how to set up the complicated process of enriching uranium, which can used to make nuclear arms, from the black market network run by a Pakistani scientist, the U.N. atomic monitoring agency said Friday. In a confidential report, the International Atomic Energy Agency also said Iran was not giving inspectors access to a sensitive site that could be used to store equipment indicating whether the military is running a secret nuclear program.
IAEA says Iran still blocking access to crucial military sites Forbes
France criticises Iran for uranium moves Independent Online
Reuters - Guardian Unlimited - Reuters.uk - AKI - all 411 related »
Snuffysmith
http://www.atimes.com/atimes/Middle_East/GK18Ak02.html

Friendly fire and the US in Iran
By Neda Bolourchi

In recent months, the Mujahideen-e Khalq (MEK) and its attempts to prove that the Islamic Republic of Iran intends to develop nuclear weapons garnered widespread media coverage and speculation. While bringing forth a modicum of new information, the attention fails to illuminate just how dangerous the MEK could be to the United States.

Grappling in Iraq, the Bush administration now faces an analogous yet graver situation in the Islamic Republic. In the years leading up to the Iraq war, Ahmad Chalabi led the exiled Iraqi National Congress. In courting Bush officials like Richard Perle and Paul Wolfowitz to stoke the war flames in Iraq, Chalabi materialized defectors who affirmed suspicions about Saddam



Hussein's ethereal weapons of mass destruction. Chalabi then secured administration support by seducing it with visions of Iraqis showering American liberators with flowers and a quick handover of a well-ordered Iraq from US troops to his Free Iraqi Fighters.

Today, Maryam Rajavi, the so-called president-elect of the MEK's National Council of Resistance of Iran (NCRI), conjures up the same desert visions for Iran.

Like the case of Chalabi, who offered information on the seemingly impenetrable Iraq, reliance on Rajavi and her supporters superficially makes sense. Given the US's lack of human intelligence inside the Islamic Republic's government, supporting the MEK would naturally appeal to the US administration as a means to quickly develop and install agents who can provide reliable information regarding the Islamic Republic's nuclear advancements.

The MEK even appears to fit the bill better than Chalabi in many respects. As an Iranian opposition group with members inside and outside the country, the MEK can utilize its nativist connection to seamlessly merge with countrymen without fear of being detected by foreign accents, mannerisms or characteristics.

Moreover, the MEK is the largest and the best-organized Iranian opposition group, with realistic estimates between 6,000 to 10,000 fighters, members and supporters combined. More importantly, the MEK demonstrated its ability to deliver reliable information when it revealed, on August 14, 2002, that the Islamic Republic possessed an advanced nuclear program that included facilities at Natanz and Arak.

The MEK now finds support within parts of the American government as a "third option". Such support is built on the fallacy that the MEK can not only provide information, but also enjoys enough popular support so that diplomacy and direct military action can be skirted. By lobbying to remove the MEK from the US's list of foreign terrorist organizations and considering the group as leverage to destabilize, overthrow, and/or replace Tehran's clerical government, supporters ignore the unsavory history of the MEK.

And that puts the United States, its citizens and its interests in grave danger.

Under the Bill Clinton administration, the State Department placed the MEK on its terrorist organization list in 1997 as a conciliatory gesture to the then newly elected Mohammed Khatami moderates. In justifying its decision, the State Department used several acts of violence committed against Americans to justify its actions.

These acts included the November 1971 attempt to kidnap the American ambassador, as well as the 1972 bombings of the offices belonging to Pepsi-Cola, General Motors, the Hotel International, the Marin Oil Company, the Iranian-American Society and the US Information Office. Over the next three years, the MEK robbed six banks, assassinated the deputy chief of the US Military Mission (Colonel Lewis Hawkins), killed the chief of the Tehran police, killed five American civilians and/or military advisers, attempted to assassinate the chief of the US Military Mission in Iran (General Harold Price), and bombed the offices of Pan-American Airlines, Shell Oil Company, British Petroleum, El Al and British Airways. [1]

In a military tribunal in 1972, MEK leader Massoud Rajavi explained such acts of violence by premising that the future of Iran depended on armed resistance.

Blaming most of the world's problems on imperialism, Rajavi insisted that "American imperialism" was the main enemy of Iran because the United States conducted the 1953 coup d'etat that overthrew the then prime minister, Mohammad Mossadeq. [2] In retaliation, the Shah attempted to discredit the group by labeling the mujahideen as "Islamic Marxists" and by claiming that Islam merely served as a cover to hide the group's Marxist ideology.

In response, the MEK declared its respect for Marxism "as a progressive social philosophy" but stated that "their true culture, inspiration, attachment and ideology was Islam". [3] Attempting to clarify its position, the MEK later published an article declaring that
[T]he regime is trying to place a wedge between Muslims and Marxists ... Of course, Marxism and Islam are not identical. Nevertheless, Islam is definitely closer to Marxism than to Pahlavism. Islam and Marxism contain the same message for they inspire martyrdom, struggle, and self-sacrifice. Who is closer to Islam: the Vietnamese who fight against American imperialism or the Shah who helps Zionism? Since Islam fights oppression it will work together with Marxism which also fights oppression. They have the same enemy: reactionary imperialism. [4]
With this history, news that the MEK engaged coalition forces during Operation Enduring Freedom should not be surprising. [5] With their obvious ideological differences, the US and MEK have been separately battling the Islamic Republic of Iran for about the past 25 years. Now, however, the MEK and its supporters within the American government want to temporarily put aside such differences to bring about regime change.

Intelligence sources, though, are quick to note that the information the MEK/NCRI provides is only sometimes correct.

For example, on September 16, the group's "spokesman", Alireza Jafarzadeh of Strategic Policy Consulting, a corporation viewed as established to circumvent US laws prohibiting the MEK/NCRI's existence on American soil, proffered that the Islamic Republic had secretly built an underground tunnel-like facility deep in the mountains of the Parchin military complex, in order to transfer secret nuclear components and conduct other activities related to a supposedly vibrant nuclear weapons program.

The tunnels allegedly house secret "military-nuclear factories" and serve as storage space. Diagrams that were produced appear to show that the tunnels are supplied with water, electricity and ventilation, providing a suitable and seemingly extensive working space deep underground. Jafarzadeh claims that Iranian