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Full Version: Iraq News Volume 7 September 14, 2005
Common Ground Common Sense > Issues that Affect Our Lives > Foreign Policy and National Defense > Foreign Policy & National Defense Issues Archive
Pages: 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9
Snuffysmith
Cindy Sheehan plans arrest to protest Iraq war:

Cindy Sheehan, said that she planned to be arrested outside the White House on Wednesday to protest against US troops presence in Iraq as US military deaths hit 2,000.
http://www.metimes.com/articles/normal.php...26-061230-7132r
Snuffysmith
Civil war is a U.S. option in Iraq:

The U.S. is now in fact feeding violence in Iraq by using the country’s disparate sectarian, ethnic and religious factions in a way that will eventually help it realize some of its aims of coming to Iraq.
http://www.azzaman.com/english/index.asp?f...23\567.htm
Snuffysmith
U.S. Rep. Jim McGovern To Introduce Bill Ending Funding For Iraq War:

As the number of U.S. military deaths in Iraq reaches 2,000, U.S. Rep. Jim McGovern (D-MA) this week will introduce legislation to prohibit the use of taxpayer funds to deploy United States Armed Forces to Iraq.
http://www.afterdowningstreet.org/?q=node/4032
Snuffysmith
Improve security or we quit: Saddam's lawyers:

Lawyers representing Saddam Hussein announced on Wednesday that they would boycott the special tribunal trying the ousted Iraqi president until they are given better security.
http://www.hindustantimes.com/news/181_153...01300180001.htm
Snuffysmith
Saddam's defense team wants to put Bush on trial:

"We shall contact international and Arab lawyer associations and will put forward the proof allowing for a trial of the criminal Bush at the same time as the fake trial takes place in Iraq," Saleh Armouti told a meeting of the Amman-based Saddam defense committee.
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?ed...rticle_id=19589
Snuffysmith
Detainee says he wishes to die:

A detainee on a hunger strike at the U.S. prison for terrorism suspects at Guantánamo Bay wants a judge to order the removal of his feeding tube so he can be allowed to die, one of his lawyers said Tuesday.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article10770.htm
Snuffysmith
Vice President for Torture:

VICE PRESIDENT Cheney is aggressively pursuing an initiative that may be unprecedented for an elected official of the executive branch: He is proposing that Congress legally authorize human rights abuses by Americans.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article10774.htm
Snuffysmith
Legalized Torture, Reloaded :

Cheney's proposal - Would give the president the power to allow government agencies outside the Defense Department (the administration has in mind the C.I.A.) to mistreat and torture prisoners as long as that behavior was part of "counterterrorism operations conducted abroad" and they were not American citizens.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article10775.htm
Snuffysmith
A new Sunni strategy in Iraq
After failing to defeat Iraq's charter, Sunni Arab parties are merging
- with an anti-US agenda. By Jill Carroll
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1027/p01s01-woiq.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/bee4ed9c-4655-11d...000e2511c8.html

Sunni political groups to join forces in Iraq
By Steve Negus, Iraq Correspondent
Published: October 26 2005 20:28 | Last updated: October 26 2005 20:28

Several of Iraq’s major Sunni Arab political movements announced on Wednesday that they were forming an alliance to contest December parliamentary elections, in a sign of increased mobilisation of what has been until now the least organised of the country’s main ethnic blocs.

The Iraqi Islamic Party and the National Dialogue Council, two well-established Sunni organisations, declared they were joining with the Conference of the People of Iraq to form the Iraqi Concord Front, the groups said in a statement.

The front, which also aimed to pick up the non-Sunni vote, would run on a platform that included setting a timetable for the withdrawal of US forces from Iraq, said Iyad al-Samarrai of the Islamic Party.

The Sunni Arabs largely stayed away from the polls in the last elections in January thanks to insurgent threats and a boycott called by their religious leadership.

However, Sunni leaders now admit that the boycott was a mistake which led to their political marginalisation.

Politicians from Iraq’s two other major blocs, the Shia and the Kurds, have welcomed increased Sunni political participation, saying that negotiations with Sunnis have been difficult because it is unclear which leaders represented a genuine constituency.

Other possible contenders for the Sunni vote include former secular Shia prime minister Iyad Allawi as well as planned separate lists headed by current Sunni parliamentarian Mishan al-Juburi and Saleh al-Mutlek, a former member of the National Dialogue and a prominent critic of the constitution.

Spokesmen for radical Shia leader Muqtada al-Sadr also announced on Wednesday that they would seek to make alliances with Sunni groups.

Mr Sadr’s movement like many Sunni groups wants a withdrawal of foreign forces and is opposed to both the federal system enshrined in the constitution, but breaks with them in its opposition to the rehabilitation of the former ruling Baath party.

Meanwhile, members of the pan-Shia alliance that swept the January vote say that they were still engaged in talks to maintain the alliance, which has reportedly been frayed by the rivalry between the two major parties, the Supreme Council for Islamic Revolution in Iraq and the Dawa party.
Snuffysmith
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/conte...2602512_pf.html

washingtonpost.com
The New Sunni Jihad: 'A Time for Politics'
Tour With Iraqi Reveals Tactical Change

By Ghaith Abdul-Ahad
Special to The Washington Post
Thursday, October 27, 2005; A01



NORTH OF BAGHDAD -- For weeks before Iraq's constitutional referendum this month, Iraqi guerrilla Abu Theeb traveled the countryside just north of Baghdad, stopping at as many Sunni Arab houses and villages as he could. Each time, his message to the farmers and tradesmen he met was the same: Members of the disgruntled Sunni minority should register to vote -- and vote against the constitution.

"It is a new jihad," said Abu Theeb, a nom de guerre that means "Father of the Wolf," addressing a young nephew one night before the vote. "There is a time for fighting, and a time for politics."

For Abu Theeb and many other Iraqi insurgents, this canvassing marked a fundamental shift in strategy, and one that would separate them from foreign-born fighters such as Abu Musab Zarqawi, the Jordanian who leads the group al Qaeda in Iraq.

Two years of boycotting the process had only marginalized Sunnis while Iraqi's Shiite majority gained power. And Abu Theeb's entry into politics was born partly of necessity; attacks by Shiite militias, operating inside and outside the government security apparatus, were taking an increasing toll on Sunni lives.

So at 6:30 a.m. on the day of the referendum, Oct. 15, Theeb was already at the polling center in his village, which he had scouted out days in advance. Two of his fighters took up positions. Abu Theeb and the rest of the fighters, more relaxed, propped their Kalashnikov rifles against walls or placed them on tables.

"No one will attack," Abu Theeb assured a reporter. "I made sure some wrongdoers are protecting the school," he said, jokingly referring to al Qaeda loyalists. To head off any violence, he had co-opted the group by enlisting two of its supporters as his polling site guards.

This article is based on five days of travel and interviews with Abu Theeb and his associates before and after the referendum. The reporter was allowed such access on the condition that the guerrilla commander's real name and the name of his village would not be disclosed.

It was not possible to confirm directly how many Sunnis share his views on the political process. But Iraqi and U.S. analysts in Baghdad express hope that such a shift in outlook will eventually lead large numbers of radical Sunnis to abandon their weapons permanently and take part in the political process.

For men such as Abu Theeb -- who said he shaved his bushy beard, a sign of an Islamic holy fighter, to pass more easily into and out of Baghdad -- taking part in politics is a step taken only reluctantly.

"Politics for us is like filthy, dead meat," he said, referring to pork, which is eschewed by observant Muslims. "We are not allowed to eat it, but if you are crossing through a desert and your life depends on it, God says it's okay." Even if politics gets him a result he likes, he said, he will continue to wage war against the Americans, because he views them as occupiers.

To Vote, by All Means

Abu Theeb's tribe has a reputation for kidnappings and executions, and election officials declined to make the trip from Baghdad to his village to operate a polling station there. Instead, an elderly local sheik, deputized by Abu Theeb and village leaders as election monitor, settled onto a wooden bench in the classroom polling center.

Men of the village trickled in. Guerrillas soon realized that the women of this deeply conservative Tigris River hamlet were not ready to leave their homes to cast ballots. So each man who came with his identity card received a stack of ballots to take back to his family.

"Nine ballots to Haji Abu Hussein," shouted the registration official, a local villager the government had certified as an election worker. Another local, also deputized by the government, handed Haji Abu Hussein a sheath of forms.

Ignoring the voting booth set up for privacy in a corner, Haji Abu Hussein stood at the table, checked "no" boxes against the Shiite-led government's proposed constitution, folded the ballots and chucked them into the ballot box.

By midday, as the flow of voters slowed, Abu Theeb's men decided to chuck the formalities as well.

Setting a ginger-bearded man at his own table, they assigned him the task of checking "no" boxes on all the ballots they could find. As they exhausted the ballots of the village's 1,500 registered voters, they telephoned Baghdad for 20,000 more ballots. Government officials sent over about 5,000.

Two days later, Abu Theeb and two insurgent clerics were sitting on the floor of a mosque debating the next step for Sunnis, and for his group: what role to play in Iraq's Dec. 15 national elections.

"We should keep all options open, even forming a coalition with Allawi," Abu Theeb advised, referring to the secular Shiite Ayad Allawi, who was prime minister in the previous U.S.-formed government. "People have problems with Islamists. We should put the secularist in front."

On Tuesday, officials in Baghdad announced that the constitution had passed. Although more than 50 percent of voters in Iraq's three Sunni-majority provinces rejected the charter, that was not enough to prevent its passage. Earlier, officials had cited signs of possible voting irregularities. But despite scenes like the one in Abu Theeb's village, they certified that the vote was on the whole fair and was binding.

It was not possible to contact Abu Theeb for his views on the outcome.

From Secret Service to Holy War

The serpentine road to Abu Theeb's village is lined with palm groves and pockmarked with craters from bombs planted by the insurgents to catch passing American and Iraqi forces.

A few thousand Sunnis from one tribe live there, almost all related. Residents trace their lineage back to the prophet Muhammad. Most are Salafis, members of a fundamentalist branch of Islam that believes life and law should be guided by a literal interpretation of the Koran, the Islamic holy book.

Women are rarely seen in public. Men wear the bushy beards and ankle-length dishdasha garments of Salafis. When the call to prayer comes five times daily from the minarets of the village's many mosques, all activity stops.

Entering the hamlet by the main road requires passing 100 yards of blast walls, concrete barriers and concertina wire. U.S. troops command the checkpoint, and masked Shiite government soldiers from the south man it. Government forces have sprayed graffiti on the blast barriers, all of it with anti-Sunni subtext. "Despite the anger of those who denounce people as infidels, democracy will prevail in Iraq," reads one message.

A narrow, bumpy farm road provides the resistance fighters with safe access into the village.

In interviews, Abu Theeb said he was born in the village four decades ago, one of five brothers. His father was an illiterate farmer who always clutched his shortwave radio and loved to talk politics.

As a young man, Abu Theeb studied law, then joined the Institute of National Security, an elite academy reserved chiefly for Sunni Arabs slated for the secret services of President Saddam Hussein.

Abu Theeb had strong pride in his country, but it was broken in 1991 by the Persian Gulf War. "I hated the government," he said. "I realized that all what they were telling us about the nation and the leader was false. They had neither pride nor honor."

Abu Theeb took a four-year leave from the secret services and joined an Islamic religious school. He became enraptured, he said, with the teachings of Ibn Tamiya, a 13th-century scholar, and graduated as a cleric. When his leave was up, he went back to his job at General Security, one of Hussein's feared security agencies. Abu Theeb said he stayed until U.S. troops captured the capital in 2003.

The sight of American soldiers in the Iraqi city was an unspeakable outrage to him. "I roamed the streets with a dagger in my pocket," he said. "I was too ashamed to come back home and see my family while Baghdad was under occupation."

Abu Theeb met a group of Syrians who had come to Baghdad. Like him, they were looking for a fight with the Americans, so he took them to his home village and formed a jihad cell.

It started off with rocket and small-arms attacks on U.S. convoys, he said. Later, a fellow Salafi fighter taught him how to set a roadside bomb using simple techniques -- a TV remote control and some artillery shells.

A former Iraqi army general who visited the village laid down ground rules for the group: Roadside bombs were the most effective weapon, but they should always be planted at least 1 1/2 miles outside the village, so as to spare its people retaliation by the Americans.

Abu Theeb's group kept up the attacks. "Something like fire was inside us," he said. ". . . When the infidel conquers your home, it's like seeing your women raped in front of your eyes and like your religion being insulted every day."

Abu Theeb said he eventually sent the Syrians home, feeling that foreigners had no role in the resistance. He and other Salafi fighters formed the Anger Brigade, which has also kidnapped people it perceives as collaborating with the Americans and their Iraqi allies.

The group was dominated in its first months by fundamentalists such as Abu Theeb who saw armed jihad as a religious duty equal to praying and fasting. To hit a U.S. target, they believed, was a sign that God was with them. "By the help of God, this America with its might and glory would be hit by a bunch of barefoot but pure men, in dishdashas with rusty weapons," Abu Theeb said.

After nearly a year, others joined the group: local men with moderate religious views and, like Abu Theeb, prior service with Hussein's government who had grown increasingly angry over the American occupation.

Abu Theeb recounted how once he was driving to Baghdad carrying a sack filled with anti-tank rocket detonators. American soldiers stopped him at a checkpoint, ordered him out and began searching his car.

"I prayed to God. I told him, 'God, if I am doing what I am doing for your sake, then spare me. If not, let them get me,' " he recounted. "The American soldier opened the trunk where I had the sack filled with rocket detonators. He moved it away and started to search. He finished and asked me to leave. I knew then I was blessed by God."

But if God had spared Abu Theeb, he didn't spare his family. One brother and a nephew were killed early on fighting the Americans, he said. A second brother was killed several weeks ago when the roadside bomb he was planting exploded.

Rejecting the Foreigners

Eight months ago, another group of Syrian men came calling on Abu Theeb. Identifying themselves as part of al Qaeda in Iraq, they asked for his cooperation to establish the organization in that area. The group's leader "told me that he had support and money and he wanted to open a new front here. I asked him, 'And what about the village? Do you want this to become a new Fallujah?' " Abu Theeb said, referring to the insurgent stronghold all but razed and emptied by U.S. forces last year.

"When al Qaeda came here, I was the first to fight it," Abu Theeb said. "They go to the clerics and say, 'Denounce this man, and if not, your blood will be spilled.' They kill and slaughter too easily."

Abu Theeb and other Salafi clerics and Iraqi insurgent leaders north and south of Baghdad talk of a growing rift between their camp and groups that are foreign-led and supported by al Qaeda.

Initially, al Qaeda in Iraq gained support in parts of the Sunni community for its meticulous planning, its ferocious fighting and its funding. "If it wasn't for al Qaeda fighting alongside the Sunnis in Iraq, the whole battle would have had a different outcome," said Abu Hafsa, a regional guerrilla commander based north of Baghdad.

"They have experience in fighting; they did very clever stuff," Abu Theeb agreed. "They attacked all the centers of the Iraqi state and by doing so prevented the Americans from creating a puppet state that they can hand everything to. The Iraqi resistance was preoccupied with fighting the Americans only and couldn't see that strategic goal."

"Lots of the mujaheddin groups are in need of money and weapons, so they join the umbrella of the al Qaeda for support. But they differ with them in ideology," said Abu-Qutada, a guerrilla leader based south of Baghdad.

But many fundamentalist Sunnis object to al Qaeda's rigid interpretation of Islamic law. Taliban-style Islamic justice already is being enforced in the western Iraqi cities and towns under Zarqawi's control.

"Al Qaeda believes that anyone who doesn't follow the Koran literally is a kafir and should be killed," explained Abu Theeb, using a term for apostate, or a believer who abandons the faith. "This is wrong. We can't take Islamic theory from the time of the prophet and implement the same rules in the 21st century."

Abu Theeb argues that al Qaeda in Iraq's religious views stand to alienate not only Iraqi nationalists but supporters in Syria and other Persian Gulf countries.

More importantly, al Qaeda's war on Shiite civilians-- it has bombed mosques, buses and other places where Shiites gather -- is drawing the wrath of Iraqi government security forces and Shiite militias.

Scores of Sunnis have been found bound and shot after being abducted from their homes -- some rounded up just because of their tribal name, their families claim. Many Sunnis blame the killings on paramilitary units of Iraq's Interior Ministry, which includes many veterans of Shiite militias. Fearing the raids, more than 300 Sunni families have come to Abu Theeb's area, leaving their homes in Baghdad.

Still, for Abu Theeb, turning in unwanted foreign guests in his area is not an option. "We know them all -- there are no more than 15 of them here. But what can we do with them, hand them to the Americans or the Shiite government?" the guerrilla leader asked. "That's not allowed in our religion."



© 2005 The Washington Post Company
Snuffysmith
http://www.dailystar.com.lb/article.asp?ed...rticle_id=19618
Copyright © 2005 The Daily Star

Thursday, October 27, 2005


Sadr, Sunnis join hands to contest polls
Radical cleric says alliance aims to 'consolidate national unity'

By Agence France Presse (AFP)




Radical Iraqi Shiite cleric Moqtada al-Sadr said Wednesday he would present a joint list of candidates with Sunni Arabs in the Al-Anbar Province to contest the upcoming legislative elections.

His comments come shortly after three Sunni Arab parties set up a coalition to contest the December 15 elections.

Sadr's organization said it decided to ally itself with the Sunnis due to "the difficult situation facing the country, to prevent the occupier and enemies of Iraq from attaining their goals, to consolidate national identity and to reaffirm its unity."

Al-Anbar includes the rebel strongholds of Ramadi and Fallujah, which overwhelmingly rejected the Iraq constitution that was approved by referendum on October 15.

Sadr's office said: "Deputy Fattah al-Sheikh has been designated to form a list in Al-Anbar for the elections." Sheikh told AFP he would "run in Al-Anbar at the head of a list that includes eight Sunni candidates.

"Consultations have taken place in recent days to create a national Islamic force" to run against a secular bloc being mooted by former Prime Minister Iyad Allawi, he said. The talks are continuing, he added.

Meanwhile, the Conference of the People of Iraq, the Iraqi Islamic Party, and the Iraqi National Dialogue "agreed to run on one list under the name Iraqi Concord Front," a joint statement said.

The Islamic Party boycotted the January elections but called on voters to approve the constitution. Both the National Dialogue and the Conference of the People both opposed ratifying the constitution.

The group's platform will be known in the next few days.

In another political development, the Muslim Scholars Association, an influential group of Sunni clerics, criticized the new constitution, saying it will only "benefit the occupiers and those who collaborate with them." Reading a statement to reporters, spokesman Abdel-Salam al-Kubaissi claimed that "no" votes in the referendum had been blocked in a "big conspiracy against our Iraq."

For that reason, he said: "The association will not take part in any political process" in Iraq.

The current government is dominated by a Shiite alliance led by two religious parties - the Daawa Party of Prime Minister Ibrahim al-Jaafari and the formerly Iran-based Supreme Council for the Islamic Revolution in Iraq (SCIRI).

"Talks are ongoing to maintain the Shiite alliance," said senior SCIRI official Ammar Hakim, although he acknowledged it was still too early to say if they would allow the bloc to run common candidates.

Secular Allawi's new group, the Iraqi Conference on National Unity, said it condemned "attempts from some quarters to divide Iraqi society along sectarian lines." The group called on Iraqis "to refrain from recourse to sectarian politics, and to work together for national Unity."

The new government emerging from the election will have a four-year term and have to deal with a raging insurgency.

Meanwhile, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia called for unity in Iraq after the adoption of the new constitution.

"We do hope the Iraqi people will unite in an independent Arab country," Saudi Crown Prince Sultan bin Abdel-Aziz said, according to the official SPA news agency.

Kuwaiti leaders also voiced hope the constitution would help achieve unity.

"We express our sincere wishes for Iraq and its people to achieve progress and prosperity and lay strong foundations for democracy and equality," Emir Sheikh Jaber al-Ahmad al-Sabah said.

Prime Minister Sheikh Sabah al-Ahmad al-Sabah said he hoped for "more understanding, solidarity and unity" among the Iraqi people.

In fresh violence, unidentified gunmen shot dead Nabil Yasser al-Moussawi, a top Culture Ministry official, along with his driver, security sources said.

Al-Qaeda in Iraq, meanwhile, claimed responsibility for kidnapping two Moroccan Embassy employees.

In Amman, lawyers representing Saddam announced they will boycott the tribunal trying the ousted president until they are given better security.

The decision followed the killing of Saadoun Janabi, an attorney representing one of Saddam's co-defendants, just a day after the opening of the trial. - Agencies



Copyright © 2005 The Daily Star
Snuffysmith
http://www.mg.co.za/articlePage.aspx?artic...rnational_news/


'We don't need al-Qaeda'

Ghaith Abdul-Ahad



27 October 2005 07:48

Abu Theeb is a tall, handsome, well-built man with a thin beard and thick eyebrows. His name is a nom de guerre: it means Father of the Wolf. He is a farmer during daylight and a commander of a mujahedin cell, a group of holy warriors, at night. He and his men roam the farmland north of Baghdad in search of prey -- a United States armoured Humvee, perhaps, or an Iraqi army unit.

On the eve of last week's constitutional referendum, Abu Theeb, the leader of a group of Sunni insurgents, was to be found in the middle of a schoolyard in a village north of Baghdad. The school was to be a polling centre the next day. He stood flanked by 10 bearded fighters in white robes and chequered headscarves.

There were a few posters on the walls, and plastic ribbons marking out lanes where voters would queue, but other than Abu Theeb and his men, the building was deserted. The security guards hired by the referendum committee in Baghdad had failed to show up -- not all that surprising an event in one of the most dangerous areas in Iraq. The local tribe, that is Abu Theeb and company, are notorious for kidnappings and executions.

Abu Theeb looked around him, a commander inspecting the field before battle. He moved with his men around the school, inspecting the adjacent streets and the back gate, looking for weak points, looking for easy access for a car bomb or an armed onslaught. The school guard sheepishly followed the entourage around, a Kalashnikov on one shoulder.

At one point, Abu Theeb grabbed a piece of paper and drew a sketch of the school, marking out where his men should be posted the next day. He turned to a short, chubby, ginger-haired guy in his 30s with a big jihadi beard.

"You will be the commander tomorrow," he said. "Distribute some of our weapons to the men."

The stakes were high for Abu Theeb and his men. Al-Qaeda forces in Iraq -- forces that are, at least on paper, allies of the Sunni insurgents -- had vowed to kill anyone who took part in the referendum. But in the Sunni areas of Iraq, the people and the local Iraqi insurgents among them had a different view: they were eager to vote.

There was a widespread sense of regret about the boycotting of the last elections, which left Parliament in Baghdad dominated by Shia and Kurdish parties -- and left the Sunnis, who held the power in Saddam Hussein's Iraq, out in the cold. The Sunnis wanted to take part in last week's referendum; they wanted a no-vote on the draft Constitution.

Curious position
This left Abu Theeb, a man who has devoted himself and his resources to fighting the Americans, in a curious position. His battle on polling day would be to secure a safe and smooth voting for his people -- in a referendum organised by the enemy. In doing so, he would be going up against the al-Qaeda forces, and risking a split in the insurgency in Iraq.

I spent five days with Abu Theeb and his people last week, and I witnessed a very curious thing: a bunch of mujahedins talking politics and urging restraint.

"Politics for us is like filthy dead meat," Abu Theeb told me. "We are not allowed to eat it, but if you are passing through the desert and your life depends on it, God says it's OK."

This is a profound shift in thinking for these insurgents, a shift that might just change the way things develop in Iraq.

While we were at the school, Abu Theeb pulled one of his young men aside and rebuked him for an IED -- an improvised explosive device -- bombing the night before: "I thought we agreed that nothing will happen for the next few days." The short young man mumbled that it wasn't his group -- someone else must have done it.

Abu Theeb's village, where the polling station was based, is a small hamlet that lies on the banks of the Tigris River north of Baghdad. A serpent-like road passes through the village. The palm groves on either side of the road are pockmarked by bomb craters.

A couple of thousand Sunni Arabs from one tribe live here. Everyone is related; they say they can trace their history back to the prophet Muhammad. Women are rarely seen in public and almost everyone is a fundamentalist Salafi Muslim. The men sport big bushy beards and wear ankle-length dishdashas (robes). Mosques are scattered everywhere and at prayer time the place grinds to a halt.

There are two ways into the village. The official way in takes you through a 100m-long checkpoint of blast walls, concrete barriers and barbed wire. It is manned by masked Shia Iraqi soldiers from the south of the country and commanded by US soldiers. Cars and cards are checked regularly and the roads are closed down, forcing people to drive for hours through the farmlands around the village before hitting the main road again.

Driving in and out through this checkpoint reminds one of a World War II movie of an eastern European town under German occupation. The locals call the checkpoint the Rafah crossing, in reference to the notorious checkpoint in Gaza.

Then there is the unofficial way in. A narrow, bumpy farm road provides the mujahedins with safe access into the village away from the weary eyes of the Iraqi soldiers. This is the road Abu Theeb took in last week. I went with him on condition that I did nothing to reveal his identity or the location of the village. For the purposes of the assignment, I was advised to pray, fast and dress like the men of the village, although I am not religious.

The road to jihad
Abu Theeb was born in this village four decades ago. He was one of five brothers and several sisters and his father was an illiterate farmer who went everywhere with his short-wave radio and loved to talk politics. In the 1980s, Abu Theeb's eldest brother was killed fighting in the Iran-Iraq war.

Abu Theeb studied law at university in Baghdad before joining the Institute of National Security, an elite academy reserved mostly for Sunni Arabs. It was the graduates of this academy who were used to staff Saddam's secret services; Abu Theeb was a loyal citizen, and he went on to a job in the security services. But his nationalism evaporated after Saddam's invasion of Kuwait.

"I hated the government," he says. "I realised that all that they were telling us about the nation and the leader was false. They had no pride, no honour. I wanted to leave, to take a long break, so I left the service to do religious studies."

He joined an Islamic sharia school to train as a cleric. There he fell in love with two subjects: the teachings of Ibn Taimia, the father of the fundamentalist Salafi school of thinking, and religious politics. Later, however, he was obliged to return to his old job at the Amn al-Aam, the General Security, one of Saddam's feared security apparatuses, and there he stayed until the American occupation toppled the regime.

"When the fall happened, I went to a cleric I knew who was preaching jihad and asked him for weapons," he says. "I was weeping. He said, 'Go away, things are too dangerous.' I roamed the streets with a dagger in my pocket. I was too ashamed to come back home and see my family while Baghdad was under the occupation, dead bodies and bullet shells everywhere."

He finally met up with a group of Syrian volunteers in Baghdad. They, like him, were looking for a fight with the Americans. He brought them back to his home, he says, and formed one of the first jihadi cells. They got to work.

"When the infidel conquers your home, it's like seeing your women raped in front of your eyes and like your religion being insulted every day," says Abu Theeb.

He joined others and started first with direct rocket-propelled grenade hits and small-arms attacks on US convoys around his area, until a fellow Salafi fighter taught him how to set an IED using primitive techniques, a TV remote control and some artillery shells.

A visiting Iraqi army general laid the ground rules for the group: IEDs were the most successful weapon, but should always be laid at least 2km outside the village to spare the people the wrath of the Americans.

"Everyone was fighting, men who under Saddam spent years as military deserters became zealous fighters," says Abu Theeb. "Something like fire was inside us. We would go out to fight for days, leaving our families and wives behind."

He and other Salafi fighters became known as the Anger Brigade, an insurgent group that has claimed responsibility for numerous attacks on US and Iraqi targets and is involved in kidnapping those who are perceived as collaborating with the much-hated occupation.

This is truly a holy war for Abu Theeb. He tells me how once he was driving to Baghdad carrying a sack filled with anti-tank rocket heads for an operation in Baghdad. He was stopped at a checkpoint and American soldiers ordered him to step out and begun a car search.

"I prayed to God," he says. "I told him, 'God, if I am doing what I am doing for your sake, then spare me this. If it's not, let them get me.' The American soldier opened the boot where I had the sack filled with rocket heads. He moved it aside and started to search. When he finished and asked me to leave, I knew then I was blessed by God."

God has not been so merciful with the rest of his family. One of his brothers and a nephew have died fighting the Americans; another brother was killed a month ago as he was setting an IED on the side of the road. But Abu Theeb's faith remains strong.

A visit from al-Qaeda
For more than two years, Abu Theeb had been taking part in insurgent attacks on US and Iraqi targets, laying IEDs, carrying out ambushes and kidnappings. Then, about eight months ago, a group of Syrian men visited him. They identified themselves as part of the al-Qaeda group in Iraq, and they asked for his cooperation in establishing a foothold for their organisation in his area.

"They told me that they had support and money and wanted to open a new front here," says Abu Theeb. "I said to them, 'What about the village -- do you want this to become a new Fallujah?'"

Abu Theeb didn't want al-Qaeda, even if their aims were ostensibly the same.

"When al-Qaeda came here, I was the first to fight it," he says. "They went to the clerics and said, 'Denounce this man. If not, your blood will be spilled.' They can kill and slaughter easily."

Abu Theeb and other Salafi clerics and leaders of the insurgency north and south of Baghdad are now talking about a rift -- a split between Iraqi Islamist and nationalistic insurgent groups, and the mainly foreign-led and -supported al-Qaeda forces.

They say that al-Qaeda initially gained support among the Sunnis because of its ferocity and meticulous planning, and because it had money pouring in from jihadis all over the Arab world. Made up mostly of foreign Arabs, it quickly became the most feared insurgent group in Iraq, claiming responsibility for the bloodiest attacks against not only US and Iraqi forces but also civilians.

"If it wasn't al-Qaeda fighting with the Sunnis in Iraq, the whole battle would have had a different outcome," says Abu Hafsa, another mujahedin commander based north of Baghdad. Abu Qutada, a mujahedin leader based in south Baghdad, agrees.

"Lots of the mujahedin groups are in need of money and weapons, so they join the umbrella of al-Qaeda for support," he says. But he adds: "They differ with them in ideology."

Tipping point
The tipping point came when al-Qaeda, known then as the Tawhid al-Jihad, decided to target the Iraqi police and army and other Iraqi ministries and institutions. Its goal was to prevent the Americans establishing an Iraqi state that could lead the fight against the insurgency -- and allow the Americans to take a back seat.

"They have experience in fighting and they did very clever stuff," says Abu Theeb. "They attacked all the centres of the Iraqi state and prevented the Americans from creating a puppet state that they could hand everything to. The Iraqi resistance was occupied by fighting the Americans and couldn't see that strategic goal."

Perhaps inevitably, though, the insurgents turned out not to have the same stomach for Iraqi blood.

"Al-Qaeda believes that anyone who doesn't follow the Qur'an literally is a Kaffir -- apostate -- and should be killed," says Abu Theeb. "This is wrong."

Al-Qaeda marked down not only those who cooperated with the American occupation, but also everyone who worked with the Iraqi government, police or army, as Kaffirs. Then they said that the entire Shia community were Kaffirs. For Sunnis like Abu Theeb, this was a step too far.

The second serious stumbling block has been al-Qaeda's call for the establishment of an Islamic state (caliphate) based on the Taliban model in Afghanistan. This has already started taking place in towns and villages where al-Qaeda is dominant.

"The resistance now is made up of nationalist and religious elements," says Abu Theeb. "By calling for a caliphate, you will alienate not only the resistance but [also] the support we get from Syria and the Gulf countries." The last thing these countries want is a Taliban state as a neighbour.

Al-Qaeda's policies have drawn a furious response from the Iraqi security forces and the Shia militias, and it is Sunnis who have suffered. Scores have been executed after being kidnapped by paramilitary units. In Abu Theeb's area alone, more than 300 Sunni families have taken refuge after fleeing Shia areas in Baghdad.

"Every time al-Qaeda attacks a Shia mosque, we are making all the Shias our enemies," he says. "We are cementing them against us." Later he says: "We have lost more men to the Shias than we have lost to the Americans."

This rift in the insurgency has already gone far beyond angry words. Clashes erupted between al-Qaeda fighters and Iraqi mujahedin cells after al-Qaeda killed a group of Iraqi insurgents who it claimed were spying for the Americans.

Heated politics
Back in the village, politics has become a hot issue. Everywhere -- in the mosques after prayers, at weddings, in the main market and in private mujahedin circles -- the talk is of politics. Abu Theeb says his move into politics has come at a price: he has had to shave off his beard so that he can visit Baghdad. For weeks he has been travelling, visiting houses, urging people to register to vote.

"It's a new jihad," he says. "There is time for fighting and a time for politics."

I went back to the school with Abu Theeb on polling day. There was a festival atmosphere. Two of his guards were already at their positions, but the rest were more relaxed -- their weapons lay against the wall and on tables.

"No one will attack," said Abu Theeb. Inside the classroom that had become the polling station, an old sheik sat on a wooden bench.

"The judge and the monitors didn't come from Baghdad -- they said this is a hot area -- so the sheik of the village is going be the monitor," said Abu Theeb.

People began to trickle in. The officials present soon decided that it was not realistic to expect the women to come in, so each man who came in with an ID card was given a whole stack of ballot papers.

"Nine papers to Haji Abu Hussein," shouted a registration official. Another official sitting on another table handed Haji Abu Hussein the nine ballots. The man took his ballots, but instead of voting in private in the ballot box, he publicly ticked the "no" boxes, folded the papers and then chucked them in the box.

By midday, people had stopped coming and the officials started ticking the boxes on ballot papers themselves. The next day, the US and the authorities were crowing about how well the referendum had gone; on Wednesday -- after a yes-vote had been returned -- leading Sunni politicians accused the Shia in the south of stuffing ballot boxes. Well, some of the Sunnis in the north are certainly guilty of it.

Two days after the balloting, Abu Theeb and two other clerics sat on the floor of a mosque debating the political future of their group and the Sunnis in general.

"We should keep all the options open," Abu Theeb told them. Even a coalition with the enemy. -- Guardian Unlimited © Guardian Newspapers Limited 2005
Snuffysmith
Outside View: Russian Eye On Plamegate
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iraq-05zzzzzd.html

Moscow (UPI) Oct 26, 2005 - Moscow is looking with concern as a political hurricane whose consequences could be worse than the destruction wrought by Hurricane Wilma moves toward Washington.
Snuffysmith
27 killed in clashes between Iraqi police and civilians:

At least 27 people, most of them police, were killed in clashes with civilians in Nahrawan township, 30 kilometres south of Baghdad, Thursday, said Iraqi army sources.
http://tinyurl.com/8nffk
Snuffysmith
Iraq: 10 Killed in Continuing Violence:

A police colonel was killed by gunmen in the northern city of Kirkuk, police said. He had previously been reported as wounded.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/KAM740773.htm
Snuffysmith
Bodies of three Iraqis discovered :

The three men, engineers who had been working at an Iraqi army base, had been kidnapped recently, police said.
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/middle_east/4381574.stm
Snuffysmith
Three U.S. Soldiers Killed in Iraq :

Anti occupation forces used roadside bombs and small arms fire to killed three U.S. soldiers and wound four, the military said Thursday.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/worldlatest/stor...5373223,00.html
Snuffysmith
Sunni Arabs Launch Political Campaign to Kick U.S. Out :

' "Our political program will focus more on getting the Americans out of Iraq," Hussein al-Falluji, a prominent Sunni who took part in talks on the constitution, told Reuters. "Our message to the American administration is clear: get out of Iraq or set a timetable for withdrawal or the resistance will keep slaughtering your soldiers until Judgment Day." '
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article10787.htm
Snuffysmith
Mother of slain US soldier arrested in Iraq war protest:

US police arrested Cindy Sheehan, the mother of a US soldier killed in Iraq who has become a prominent war opponent, along with two dozen people for demonstrating without authoritization in front of the White House.
http://tinyurl.com/afwh7
Snuffysmith
Iraqis Forced to Take in Uninvited Troops:

The Marines call it a necessary evil — taking over houses and buildings for military use. For the Iraqis who become unwilling hosts, it can be anything from a mild inconvenience to a disruption that tears apart lives.
http://tinyurl.com/a689g
Snuffysmith
Dozens of Abu Ghraibs :

U.S. human rights groups have denounced before the U.N. Human Rights Committee that there are perhaps dozens of secret detention centres around the world where Washington is holding an unknown number of prisoners as part of its "war on terror".
http://www.ipsnews.net/print.asp?idnews=30773
Snuffysmith
http://www.wpherald.com/storyview.php?Stor...27-011806-9482r

U.S. panel: Iraq took 1.8 billion in kickbacks
By UNITED PRESS INTERNATIONAL

Published October 27, 2005


UNITED NATIONS -- The panel investigating the U.N.'s Iraq Oil-for-Food Program says Baghdad gained $11 billon through oil smuggling and took $1.8 billion in kickbacks.

The Independent Inquiry Committee into the U.N. Oil-for-Food Program, headed up by former U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker, said Thursday the U.N. Security Council "failed officially to recognize the problem and authorize an effective response.


"The value of oil smuggled outside of the program is estimated by the committee to be nearly $11 billion as opposed to an estimated $1.8 billion of illicit revenues from (former Iraqi President) Saddam Hussein's manipulation of transactions occurring under the program," said Volcker in a statement accompanying the 623-page report.

"Companies and other individuals and entities which paid the illicit kickbacks came from 66 (U.N.) member states, while those paying illicit surcharges on oil purchases came from or were registered in some 40 member states," Volcker said.

"Iraq began directing oil allocations to particular countries and individuals, clearly favoring countries 'friendly to Iraq'," the statement said. "Iraqi leaders decided to deny American, British and Japanese companies direct oil allocations due to the opposition of these countries to the lifting of sanctions on Iraq.

"At the same time, Iraqi leaders gave preferential treatment to France, Russia and China because these countries were permanent members of the Security Council and perceived to be more favorable to lifting sanctions," it said.

Under the oil-for-food program, Iraq sold $64.2 billion in oil to 248 companies and 3,614 companies sold $34.5 billion of humanitarian goods to Iraq, the report said, adding "oil surcharges were paid in connection with the contracts of 139 companies and humanitarian kickbacks were paid (involving) 2,253 companies."
theglobalchinese
Iraqis Submit Candidate List for Elections Guardian Unlimited
A Sunni Arab coalition submitted its list of candidates for the December election Friday, joining other political factions in the race and signaling greater Sunni participation in a process Washington hopes will help speed the day when U.S. soldiers can go home. The U.S. command announced that five more American service members were killed in Iraq, indicating the challenges still facing the United States and its partners as this country approaches a decisive stage in its political development. It has been six months since Iraq's government took office April 28.
AP Count Tallies Suicide Bombing Deaths ABC News
Shiites form strong Iraq alliance Taipei Times
Minneapolis Star Tribune (subscription) - New York Times - Los Angeles Times - USA Today - all 551 related »
theglobalchinese
Three more US troops die in Iraq as campaigns begin USA Today
Insurgents used a land mine and a roadside bomb to kill three US Army soldiers and wound four on Saturday in attacks that brought to eight the number of American service members who have died in the last three days.
Ambush deaths fuel Iraq's ethnic tension London Free Press
Iraqis Submit Candidate List for Elections ABC News
New York Times - Scotsman - ABC Online - Arab News - all 732 related »
theglobalchinese
Bomb kills 26 in Iraqi village Scotsman
A bomb hidden in a lorry loaded with dates exploded at sunset in the centre of a Shiite farming village north-east of Baghdad, killing 26 people and injuring at least 34, police said.
Iraq car bomb kills more than 20 BBC News
Car bomb kills many civilians in Iraq, three US soldiers dead Outlook (subscription)
Reuters.uk - CNN International - Minneapolis Star Tribune (subscription) - Xinhua - all 29 related »
Snuffysmith
Despite Iraq, US Military Suppliers Face Earnings Pressure
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iraq-05zzzzze.html

New York (AFP) Oct 30, 2005 - Profits might be up, but leading US military contractors such as Boeing, Lockheed Martin and Northrop Grumman have reason to be nervous about government budget cuts, despite the Iraq war.
Snuffysmith
Outside View: Iraq's Terror Gangs
http://www.spacewar.com/news/iraq-05zzzzzf.html
Snuffysmith
More than 26,000 Iraqis killed, injured since 2004: estimate
http://www.spacewar.com/2005/051030212757.hy3lq91c.html
Snuffysmith
An Iraqi city becomes turnaround story
Despite violence, including a nearby attack Saturday, Baquba sees
improvement. By Dan Murphy
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1031/p06s01-woiq.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
40 Killed as U.S. Bombs Iraqi Village:

A hospital doctor in al-Qaim town confirmed that 40 people had been killed and 20 wounded, many of them women and children. The area had been cut off by US forces, who had blocked roads preventing people from leaving the village and going to al-Qaim
http://tinyurl.com/7fab6
Snuffysmith
At Least 20 Killed In Basra Blast: :

The blast went off in a busy area filled with shops and restaurants, many of them packed with people out for the evening during the Ramadan festivities.
http://www.sky.com/skynews/article/0,,3020...7,00.html?f=rss
Snuffysmith
Iraqi Police Uncover 14 Bodies in Shallow Grave:

Twelve of the corpses were bound and appear to have been shot in the head while two others were decapitated, the military said in a statement e-mailed from the capital, Baghdad. The victims were probably killed 1-3 months ago, according to the statement, which gave no further details.
http://tinyurl.com/cbseg
Snuffysmith
Another 11 bodies found :

Late Sunday, police found the bodies of 11 unidentified men - blindfolded, hands bound and with gunshot wounds in their heads - in a village near Baghdad where Sunnis and Shiites clashed three days ago.
http://www.theeagle.com/stories/103105/world_20051031006.php
Snuffysmith
7 U.S. Soldiers among 15 killed in continuing violence:

Two Iraqi soldiers were killed and four wounded by a roadside bomb north of Falluja, 50 km (30 miles) west of Baghdad, police said.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/NKAR133699.htm
Snuffysmith
Mosul Leaders Threaten to Join Guerrilla Movement :

51 clan elders from the Sunni Arab and Kurdish families of Mosul agreed with policemen in the city that they will return it to the control of armed guerrillas if the Interior Ministry implemented its decision to fire Ninevah's police chief
http://www.indybay.org/news/2005/10/1779458.php
Snuffysmith
In case you missed it:

Bush Planned Iraq 'Regime Change' Before Becoming President :

A SECRET blueprint for US global domination reveals that President Bush and his cabinet were planning a premeditated attack on Iraq to secure 'regime change' even before he took power in January 2001.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article1221.htm
Snuffysmith
Iraq truck bomb killed 30 on Saturday, police say :

Thirty people were killed and 42 wounded in a suicide truck bomb attack on a small Shi'ite Muslim town north of Baghdad, hospital staff said on Sunday, raising the death toll in Saturday evening's blast.
http://www.metronews.ca/reuters_international.asp?id=105315
Snuffysmith
U.S. Soldier Among 20 killed Saturday:

Two Iraqi soldiers were killed by roadside bomb in Falluja. Other soldiers with them then opened fire, killing a woman and a 12-year-old boy who were passing by, police said.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/KAM923259.htm
Snuffysmith
Fighting In Iraq to Liberate...America?:

The idea that we are now fighting in Iraq to protect America has gained some currency, and its popularity is a testament to how far down the rabbit hole we have truly fallen.
http://lefthook.org/Politics/Alam102605.html
Snuffysmith
Letter from Iraq: America - Behind the Curtain:

Libby and the likes of him have devastated my already ruined country. Anything that exposes these people for what they are must bring some gratification.
http://iraquna.blogspot.com/2005/10/americ...nd-curtain.html
Snuffysmith
UAE Says Saddam Agreed to Exile Before War :

Saddam Hussein accepted an 11th-hour offer to flee into exile weeks ahead of the U.S.-led 2003 invasion, but Arab League officials scuttled the proposal, officials in this Gulf state claimed.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article10828.htm
Snuffysmith
Aziz denies naming George Galloway in oil probe, Says "These are lies":

Former Iraqi deputy prime minister Tareq Aziz has denied telling investigators that a British lawmaker personally profited from the United Nations' oil-for-food program for Iraq.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article10821.htm
Snuffysmith
Galloway allegation 'based on lies' :

George Galloway has accused a US Senate committee of making allegations based solely on lies and demanded that it clear his name.
http://www.informationclearinghouse.info/article10821.htm
Snuffysmith
http://www.foreignpolicy.com/story/cms.php?story_id=3266

The Blame Game

By Stephen M. Walt Page 1 of 1


November/December 2005

Who will be blamed for Iraq? It’s easy for politicians to point fingers at each other. But ultimately, the buck stops at the Oval Office.


The United States’ involvement in Iraq just keeps getting messier every day. The insurgency is as potent as ever, and U.S. troops and Iraqi civilians are dying at a higher rate than they were a year ago. Efforts to reconcile Iraq’s ethnic and religious divisions have failed, and progress on building competent security forces has been painfully slow. A series of supposedly decisive “turning points” have come and gone—including the transfer of sovereignty in June 2004, national elections in January 2005, and the drafting of a new constitution in August 2005—but the country is no closer to stability. Public support for the war is plummeting in the United States, and current U.S. troop levels cannot be sustained without breaking the Army, the Reserves, and the National Guard. Once U.S. forces withdraw, a full-blown civil war is likely. Although our armed forces have fought with dedication and courage, this war will ultimately cost us more than $1 trillion, not to mention thousands of lives. And what will the United States have achieved? Remarkably, we will probably leave Iraq in even worse shape than it was under Saddam Hussein.

“Victory has a hundred fathers, but defeat is an orphan.” Those famous words penned long ago have a special resonance today. If the United States loses the war in Iraq, there will inevitably be a bitter debate over who is responsible. With prospects for victory fading, the people who led us into this bastard conflict are already devising various rationales to explain the failure and deny their paternity. As the debate over “who’s losing Iraq” heats up, the American people should not be hoodwinked by these after-the-fact alibis. The architects of defeat must be held responsible.

Moderates who backed the war, including a number of prominent Democrats, now argue that they did so only because they were misled by the cia’s faulty intelligence and deliberately deceived by President George W. Bush’s administration. This line of reasoning was Sen. John Kerry’s defense during the 2004 presidential campaign. Similar explanations have been offered by other pro-war Democrats and repentant pundits such as the Brookings Institution’s Kenneth Pollack, whose prewar book The Threatening Storm made the moderates’ case for war. The problem with this alibi, however, is that there was already plenty of evidence that cast doubt on the administration’s case, information that was publicly available before the fighting started. Invading Iraq was not their idea, but the moderates who went along deserve no credit for being so gullible.


Pro-war hawks offer a different set of excuses. Some assert that going to war was the right idea, but the operation was bungled by incompetent leadership in the Pentagon. William Kristol, editor of the conservative Weekly Standard, wants Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld to resign, yet the pundit simultaneously claims that the debacle in Iraq vindicates his earlier call for vast increases in U.S. defense spending. In this view, we are losing because we don’t have a big enough army to run an empire and because civilians at the top were never serious about winning.

This excuse suffers from two glaring weaknesses. First, the war may not have been winnable no matter what we did, because Iraq was a deeply divided society from the onset, and occupying powers almost always face fierce resistance. That the occupation was badly executed is indisputable, but it is by no means clear that any occupation would have succeeded. Second, if hawks such as Kristol thought we needed a bigger military to perform a global imperial role, they should have withheld their support until adequate forces were available. Instead, they did everything they could to get us into the regime-changing business as quickly as possible.

For their part, Secretary Rumsfeld and other administration officials blame our problems on Baathist “dead-enders” and radical jihadis, aided and abetted by Syria and Iran. It’s not the Bush administration’s fault we’re losing, we are told; it’s our enemies’ fault. That is no defense at all, of course, because it merely reminds us that the Bush team failed to anticipate what would happen once Saddam was gone and we “owned” Iraq. And given that the Bush administration has repeatedly threatened Syria and Iran with regime change, it is hardly surprising that these regimes are now happy to see us bogged down in Baghdad. U.S. leaders should have considered these possibilities before they went to war, and their failure to do so is hardly a reason to excuse them now.

The most scurrilous alibi, however, blames our difficulties on eroding public support at home. Grieving antiwar mother Cindy Sheehan gets pilloried by right-wing commentators such as Rush Limbaugh and Ann Coulter, and President Bush declares that Americans who favor withdrawing “are advocating a policy that would weaken the United States.” Similarly, neoconservative pundit Max Boot recently maintained that Iraqi democracy would survive its birth pangs only “if we don’t cut and run prematurely.” So, we are told, “staying the course” will work, unless we are forced to pull out by weak-willed critics back home.

This argument is a clever bit of political jujitsu, because it in effect blames any future defeat on the people who have long contended that the war was unnecessary and unwise. But it is also a bogus excuse. In a democracy, a commander in chief who wants to go to war is responsible for building and maintaining public support for sending our sons and daughters into harm’s way. President Bush sold the war brilliantly before the fighting started, but his sales pitch could not survive the failure to find weapons of mass destruction, the embarrassing revelations of torture at Abu Ghraib, the bungled occupation, the mounting list of dead and wounded, and the rising economic toll. Most of all, this rationale highlights the conspicuous lack of a plausible theory of victory now. We are not losing because our troops lack public support. The war lacks support because we are losing.

If our Iraq adventure ends badly, there will be ample blame to go around. But the buck should stop, as President Harry Truman famously said, in the Oval Office. President Bush was quick to claim credit when things were going well, and he cannot escape blame when things turn ugly. This is President Bush’s war, and America’s failure will be his legacy.



Stephen M. Walt is academic dean at Harvard University's John F. Kennedy School of Government. His latest book is Taming American Power: The Global Response to U.S. Primacy (New York: Norton, 2005).

All contents ©2005 ForeignPolicy.com. All rights reserved.

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theglobalchinese
US soldier killed by roadside bomb in Iraq Newsday
A US Army soldier was killed by a roadside bomb in central Iraq, the military said Tuesday, raising to at least 93 the number of American service members who died during October, the fourth deadliest month for the troops in the Iraq war.
US Death Toll in Iraq for Oct. Up to 93 ABC News
Iraqi Car Bomb Kills at Least 20 FOX News
CBC News - Xinhua - Charlotte Observer - Independent - all 1,291 related »
Snuffysmith
Bush administration hopes for Sunni participation are premature

The Bush administration is still pushing the idea that the Sunnis are joining the supporting the U.S.-sponsored system. This analysis suggests that the other shoe has yet to drop on that issue:

Asia Times online Middle East
Nov 2, 2005



The game's still on for Sunnis
By Gareth Porter

WASHINGTON - The George W Bush administration is citing the formation of a coalition of Sunni political organizations to run candidates in Iraq's December parliamentary elections, and high Sunni turnout in the recent referendum, as evidence that its policy of attracting Sunnis away from the insurgency is working.

But this argument ignores the evidence from both the January election and the October 15 referendum that the overwhelming majority of Sunnis have followed the political strategy urged by the insurgent leadership and anti-occupation Sunni clerics.

After the announcement last week by three Sunni political groups that they had united to run candidates on December 15, the Los Angeles Times quoted a "Western official" in Baghdad - the usual term for US Ambassador Zalmay Khalilzad speaking on background - as arguing that Sunni involvement in the political system would eventually cause "a gradual erosion of support for the insurgency".

Even as the votes in the constitutional referendum were still being counted on October 16, Khalilzad had said the high Sunni voter turnout "was a good indication that our approach to the Sunnis is producing results". US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice echoed the same theme, declaring, "The Sunnis are joining the base of this broad political process."

This view of the relationship between the Sunni population and insurgency is politically convenient for the administration. However, the evidence indicates that the overwhelming majority of Sunnis went to the polls on October 15 not because they had been urged to do so by Sunni politicians, but because Sunni clerics and armed organizations had agreed on a campaign to defeat the constitution.

The nearly complete absence of violence that could disrupt the poll throughout most of the Sunni heartland, which US military spokesman Major General Rick Lynch later credited to the "vigilance of American and Iraqi security forces", was in fact the result of a decision by the leaders of major Sunni insurgent organizations in August to get out the maximum number of Sunni votes against the constitution.

That decision was supported by the influential Muslim Scholars Association and most secular political organizations. It was almost reversed in early October after Shi'ite and Kurdish lawmakers passed a law that would have required opponents to get two-thirds of all eligible voters rather than two-thirds of those who voted to defeat the draft constitution.

In response to that move, a senior commander of the "Army of Mohammed" told Time magazine that the leaders of several insurgent groups had been considering "a total shutdown" of the three key Sunni provinces for 10 days before and after October 15 to enforce a boycott of the vote.

After the parliament reversed its position under pressure from world opinion, however, the Sunni insurgent leaders coordinated a ceasefire intended to ensure a huge Sunni voter turnout, as confirmed by a spokesman for those leaders to Reuters on October 19.

Foreign jihadis, on the other hand, tried to disrupt the voting in Sunni areas by violence, including an attack on a polling center in Ramad. Combined with offensive US military actions in Anbar province, jihadi threats and violence reduced Sunni turnout in Anbar to a very low level, except in Fallujah.

The announcement by the three Sunni groups that they will participate in the December elections should not be confused with a broader Sunni decision to participate. The Iraqi Islamic Party, the Iraqi People's Gathering and the National Dialog Council are all elite groups with no mass base of their own.

The primary motivation of the leaders of these three elite groupings is to get elected to the Iraqi parliament. That motivation has made both the Iraqi Islamic Party and the Iraqi People's Gathering willing to compromise with Shi'ite and Kurdish leaders - and the US officials standing behind them.

Just four days before the referendum, a small group of Sunni political figures, including leaders of the Iraqi Islamic Party, agreed to a deal with Shi'ite and Kurdish leaders under which they would support the constitution in return for assurances that the new parliament could negotiate on certain points in the constitution.

One of the Sunni politicians who agreed to campaign for the constitution, Mishan al-Jabouri, owns a satellite channel and he declared confidently that 80% of the population of Salahuddin province would vote "yes" to the constitution. But the vote in Salahuddin showed that traditional Sunni power brokers no longer influence Sunni voters. Eighty-one percent of the vote in Salahuddin was against the constitution.

In Tikrit, 96% voted "no", according to election officials. In Fallujah, the figure was 97%, and in Samarra, 95%. No figures have been released for the Sunni districts of Mosul, but Sunni leaders said the vote there was similar to those in the other major Sunni urban areas.

Last January's parliamentary election also demonstrated the decided lack of support for the Sunni parties now counted by Khalilzad to help rescue US policy. Both the Iraqi People's Gathering and the Iraqi Islamic Party wanted to run candidates in the January election, but the Sunni insurgent leaders and clerics called for a boycott.

The Iraqi Islamic Party registered for that election, but then threatened to boycott if the election was not postponed, and ultimately did not campaign. The Iraqi People's Gathering did campaign, but received only 15,000 votes.

Although it was never acknowledged by US officials or news media, the boycott of the election organized by insurgent groups and clerics was stunningly successful. Based on first-hand reports from virtually all the Sunni population centers, it appears that 95% to 98% of Sunnis stayed away from the polls.

Based on the results of the election and referendum, there can no longer be any doubt that the Sunni community has been remarkably united, and that it has responded to the strategic direction of clerics and insurgent leaders.

There are already some indications that the new Sunni electoral coalition does not reflect the views of those who will decide Sunni strategy toward the December election. Other Sunni politicians have already pointed to the apparent vote-rigging in favor of the constitution in Nineveh province as the critical factor in strategy toward the elections.

Hussein al-Falluji, a Sunni negotiator who rejected the final draft of the constitution, warned on October 18, "If the referendum was corrupt, then we will boycott the December elections."

Saleh al-Mutlak, a leading figure in the National Dialogue Council, said it would be "very difficult to convince people to come back to the political process", because they would be "disappointed that their voices mean nothing". After the decision by others on the council to join the electoral coalition, Mutlak publicly rejected that course.

The other political shoe has yet to drop in regard to the Sunni participation in the December election, and a decision to return to the boycott stance of last January now seems most likely.

Gareth Porter is an independent historian and foreign-policy analyst. He is the author of The Third Option in Iraq: A Responsible Exit Strategy in the Fall issue of Middle East Policy.

(Inter Press Service)
Snuffysmith
Basra bomb kills 20 as Iraq violence escalates :

The carnage continued throughout the country with reports that about 40 people, many of them women and children, had been killed in American air strikes in the west towards the Syrian border.
http://news.independent.co.uk/world/middle...ticle323780.ece
Snuffysmith
U.S. Soldier Among 6 Killed In Continuing Violence:

One civilian was killed in eastern Baghdad when Iraqi police commandos opened fire by mistake, police said.
http://www.alertnet.org/thenews/newsdesk/PAR134140.htm
Snuffysmith
.50-caliber ammo used so much that supplies run low :

U.S. troops in Iraq are firing .50-caliber machine guns at such a high rate, the Army is scrambling to resupply them with ammunition. - At closer ranges, it is so powerful that a round will obliterate a person, penetrate a concrete wall behind him and several houses beyond that, gunners in Iraq have said.
http://tinyurl.com/d9okf
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