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Snuffysmith
http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/...tem/itemID/9710

Libby Investigation Important for Most Americans

(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Many adults in the United States believe the inquiry into the alleged leak of an undercover Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) officer’s identity is significant, according to a poll by CBS News. 86 per cent of respondents think the matter is of great or some importance to the nation.

On Oct. 28, special prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald announced that vice-president Dick Cheney’s chief of staff Lewis Libby had been indicted on one count of obstruction of justice, two counts of perjury, and two counts of making false statements. According to the indictment, Libby lied to Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI) agents and a federal grand jury about his conversations regarding the identity of CIA operative Valerie Plame with both Time reporter Matthew Cooper and Tim Russert of NBC News.

Plame is married to former ambassador Joseph Wilson, who in July 2003 wrote an op-ed in the New York Times that severely criticized the Bush administration for its claim that Saddam Hussein’s regime had sought to purchase uranium from Niger.

On Nov. 3, Libby pleaded not guilty to all charges. If convicted, Libby could be sentenced to 30 years in jail, and fined $1.25 million U.S. 54 per cent of respondents say they do not know enough to say if the charges against Libby are true.

Yesterday in Argentina, U.S. president George W. Bush referred to the situation, saying, "We’re going through a very serious investigation. And I have told you before that I’m not going to discuss the investigation until it’s completed. (...) My obligation is to set an agenda, and I’ve done that."

Polling Data

A special prosecutor has been investigating whether a crime was committed when a CIA officer’s identity was revealed to reporters. How important do you think the matter is to the nation?

Great importance
51%

Some importance
35%

Very little importance
12%

No importance
--

No opinion
2%



Lewis "Scooter" Libby, vice-president Dick Cheney’s former Chief of Staff, has been indicted on five felony charges of lying to investigators and misleading the grand jury in the CIA leak case. From what you’ve heard or read, do you think the charges are probably true, or probably not true, or don’t you know enough about it yet to say?

Probably true
39%

Probably not true
4%

Don’t know enough yet
54%

No opinion
3%



Source: CBS News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 936 American adults, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1, 2005. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Other poll highlights: 51 per cent say investigation mostly politics, 43 per cent call it a serious matter. 61 per cent of respondents believe Libby’s situation calls for criminal prosecution, 36 per cent say the same about White House chief of staff Karl Rove.



• Complete Poll (PDF)
Snuffysmith
http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/index.cfm/...em/itemID/9718I

raq Conflict Not Worth Fighting, Say Americans

(Angus Reid Global Scan) – Many adults in the United States believe their federal administration should not have launched the coalition effort, according to a poll by CBS News. 64 per cent of respondents believe the result of the war with Iraq was not worth the loss of American life and other costs.

The coalition effort against Saddam Hussein’s regime was launched in March 2003. At least 2,037 American soldiers have died during the military operation, and more than 15,300 troops have been injured.

In his Oct. 29 radio address, U.S. president George W. Bush ruled out any changes to current policies, saying, "The best way to honour the sacrifice of our fallen troops is to complete the mission and win the war on terror." 50 per cent of respondents believe U.S. troops leave Iraq as soon as possible, even if Iraq is not completely stable, while 43 per cent think the soldiers should stay in Iraq.

Yesterday in Argentina, Bush discussed his strategy, saying, "My job is to set clear goals and deal with the problems we face. Now, look, we’ve got an ongoing war on terror. And my administration is working with friends and allies to find these terrorists and bring them to justice before they strike us again. We’re fighting the terrorists in Iraq." 62 per cent of respondents disapprove of the way Bush is handling the situation in Iraq.

Polling Data

Do you think the result of the war with Iraq was worth the loss of American life and other costs of attacking Iraq, or not?

Nov. 2005
Oct. 2005
Sept. 2005

Worth it
31%
32%
33%

Not worth it
64%
64%
61%

Don’t know
5%
5%
6%



Should the United States troops stay in Iraq as long as it takes to make sure Iraq is a stable democracy, even if it takes a long time, or should U.S. troops leave Iraq as soon as possible, even if Iraq is not completely stable?

Nov. 2005
Oct. 2005

Stay as long as it takes
43%
36%

Leave as soon as possible
50%
59%

Don’t know / No answer
7%
5%



Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling the situation with Iraq?

Nov. 2005
Oct. 2005
Sept. 2005

Approve
32%
32%
36%

Disapprove
62%
64%
59%

No opinion
6%
4%
5%



Source: CBS News
Methodology: Telephone interviews with 936 American adults, conducted from Oct. 30 to Nov. 1, 2005. Margin of error is 3 per cent.

Other poll highlights: 57 per cent say things going badly for U.S. in Iraq, 48 per cent say Iraq will never become a democracy, 38 per cent say the Bush administration hid "important elements" when discussing the existence of weapons of mass destruction in Iraq.



• Complete Poll (PDF)
Snuffysmith
http://rawstory.com/news/2005/Zogby_Americ...hment_1104.html


Zogby poll: Majority of likely voters support considering impeachment
over Iraq, 51-45 percent
John Byrne and Miriam Raftery

Impeachment support is greater among all adults than likely voters

A new poll of likely voters by Zogby International has found that a majority of Americans support Congress considering the impeachment of President Bush if he “did not tell the truth about his reasons for going to war with Iraq,” RAW STORY has learned.

The poll, to be released this afternoon, finds that 51 percent of likely voters want Congress to eye impeachment, while 45 percent do not. It was commissioned by AfterDowningStreet.org, a coalition of progressive groups seeking a Congressional investigation of the events leading up to war in Iraq.

Among all adults surveyed, the numbers were higher: 53 percent supported impeachment, while 42 percent did not. The poll, which has a +/- 2.9% margin of error, interviewed 1,200 U.S. adults from Oct. 29 through Nov. 2.

Not surprisingly, Democrats supported the consideration of impeachment by a broad margin (76 percent) while Republicans opposed (66 percent). However, 29 percent of Republicans told Zogby pollsters that they supported Congress examining impeachment over Iraq.

"These results are stunning," AfterDowningStreet.org co-founder Bob Fertik said in a statement. "A clear majority of Americans now supports President Bush's impeachment if he lied about the war. This should send shock waves through the White House - and a wake-up call to Democrats and Republicans in Congress, who have sole power under the Constitution to impeach President Bush."

Whites were more likely to oppose impeachment proceedings, while Hispanics and African Americans supported them. Asians who took the poll were more likely to oppose impeachment, though only 21 answered questions about their views.

Also notable: 46 percent of those who considered themselves "born again" said they would support Congress considering impeachment.

The House of Representatives has the sole authority to impeach a president. Democrats, however, have not touched the issue, and they do not constitute a majority in the chamber.

Zogby last polled likely voters on impeachment in June. At that time, 42 percent supported considering impeachment, while 50 percent opposed.

Another poll of American adults conducted in early October by Ipsos, the agency used by the Associated Press, found that 50 percent supported Congress examining the issue, while 42 percent opposed.

RAW STORY placed calls to some of the more liberal members of the House, among them Reps. Maxine Waters (D-CA), Lynn Woolsey (D-CA), Bob Filner (D-CA), John Conyers (D-MI) and Nancy Pelosi (D-CA). None of the offices returned calls for comment.

Fertik, who also runs Democrats.com, has also set up ImpeachPAC, a political action committee aimed at supporting Democrats who say they will seek impeachment.

The following are from Zogby's current poll of likely voters.

go to link to see chart


Correction: The first edition of this article incorrectly stated the percentage of Americans who oppose an impeachment inquiry in the text of the article, though it was correct in the headline. The second version of this article also adds a second round of questions broken down by all adults.


Originally published on Friday November 4, 2005
Last Updated: 11/4/3905
Snuffysmith
http://iht.com/articles/2005/11/04/news/rove.php

Rove inquiry narrows focus
By David Johnston and Richard W. Stevenson The New York Times

FRIDAY, NOVEMBER 4, 2005


WASHINGTON The prosecutor in the CIA leak case has narrowed his investigation of Karl Rove, the senior White House adviser, to whether Rove tried to conceal from the grand jury a conversation with a Time magazine reporter in the week before an intelligence officer's identity was made public more than two years ago, according to lawyers in the case.

The special counsel, Patrick Fitzgerald, has centered on what are believed to be his final inquiries on whether Rove was fully forthcoming about the belated discovery of an internal e-mail message that confirmed his conversation with the Time reporter, Matthew Cooper, to whom Rove had mentioned the CIA officer.

Fitzgerald no longer seems to be actively examining some of the more incendiary questions involving Rove. At one point, he explored whether Rove misrepresented his role in the leak case to President George W. Bush - an issue that led to discussions between Fitzgerald and James Sharp, a lawyer for Bush, said an associate of Rove.

Rove's lawyer, Robert Luskin, declined on Thursday to discuss his client's legal status, but referred to a statement issued last week in which he expressed confidence that Fitzgerald would conclude that Rove had done nothing wrong.

Fitzgerald's spokesman, Randall Samborn, declined to discuss Rove's legal status. If nothing else, the uncertainty that continues to surround Rove's legal case has led to intense speculation about his standing within the White House. People with close ties to Bush said there had been no discussion about Rove stepping down if he was not indicted. They said that any serious consideration of how he should address his role in the case had been put off until the inquiry into Rove was completed.
Snuffysmith
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/story.cf...jectID=10353731

Four charged with stealing US military secrets

05.11.05 12.00pm


LOS ANGELES - An engineer at a California defence contractor and three others who authorities say are "foreign intelligence officers" for China have been arrested and charged with stealing US military secrets, according to court documents.

Federal prosecutors declined to comment on the arrest a week earlier of the two married couples, who were taken into custody at Los Angeles International Airport as they prepared to board a late-night flight for China.

An FBI affidavit unsealed this week showed Chi Mak and his wife, Rebecca Laiwah Chiu, were charged in US District Court along with Chi's brother, Tai Wang Mak and Tai's wife, Fuk Heung Li, with theft of government property, conspiracy and transportation of stolen goods.

Chi, an engineer at California-based defence contractor Power Paragon, and his wife are naturalised US citizens originally from China. Tai and his wife are legal US residents who emigrated from China in 2001.

Although none of the defendants was charged with spying, FBI Special Agent James Gaylord wrote in the affidavit he believed them to be foreign intelligence officers involved in stealing US military secrets and delivering them to the Chinese government.

Attorneys for the defendants could not immediately be reached for comment.

Chi, the lead engineer on a classified research project involving quiet propulsion systems - known as Quiet Electric Drive - for US Navy warships, is accused of taking sensitive information about the project, copying it onto CDs and delivering them to his brother, Tai.

Tai, according to the affidavit, is accused of encrypting the information and making plans to take it to China with his wife. Chiu is accused of assisting her husband in copying the material.

"Based on my experience and training, I believe the targets are foreign intelligence operatives," Gaylord wrote in asking a judge to approve a special nighttime search of their residences.

"The arrests of Tai and Fuk must take place at LAX before the targets departure ... to ensure that the disks containing the government property are retrieved before they can leave the country," he wrote.

Gaylord said in the affidavit that evidence against the four defendants included torn-up documents recovered from the trash at Chi's residence that included lists of sought military technologies as well as intercepted phone calls and e-mails.

- REUTERS
Snuffysmith
http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/20051104/pl_af...05546&printer=1


Democrats to avoid rushed report on pre-Iraq intelligence Fri Nov 4, 3:55 PM ET

Opposition Democrats said they would not rush to deliver a report on possible White House manipulations of intelligence during the runup to the Iraq war.

"It will be thorough," said the number-two of the Senate intelligence committee, John Rockefeller.

"Also it's going to be prompt," he said.

"These are very, very complicated investigations."

The matter reached a boiling point in the Senate on Tuesday. Democrats in the Senate used a rare parliamentary maneuver to force lawmakers to discuss the issue behind closed doors, infuriating Republicans.

The debate came on the heels of an indictment of Vice President Dick Cheney's chief of staff, I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby, who quickly resigned.

Democrats said the closed-door debate was necessary to allow a full discussion on alleged manipulation of prewar intelligence by President George W. Bush's administration.

Libby was accused as part of a federal investigation into who in the administration revealed the name of a CIA agent whose husband is a critic of Bush administration use of prewar intelligence, and who claims the revelation of his wife's name was retribution for his outspokenness.

After Tuesday's two-hour secret Senate session, Democrats and Republicans decided that a six-person task force will issue a "phase one" report by November 14 on how best to complete the investigation.

"We cannot allow the long delay in our proceeding forward with phase two to compromise the quality of that investigation. Each of us will repeat that, because we feel really strongly about it," Rockefeller said.

The Republican chairman of the Senate intelligence committee, Pat Roberts, late Tuesday blamed procrastination by the Democrats for holding up the report on how intelligence information was used prior to the invasion of Iraq, planned since February 2004.

He said that he hoped to finish it by next week.




Copyright © 2005 Agence France Presse. All rights reserved. The information contained in the AFP News report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without the prior written authority of Agence France Presse.


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Snuffysmith
http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?...&type=printable

Chalabi Returns to Court Washington Elite
- By BARRY SCHWEID, AP Diplomatic Writer
Friday, November 4, 2005


(11-04) 13:09 PST WASHINGTON, (AP) --

Face-to-face meetings with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and probably other senior Bush administration officials await Ahmed Chalabi as the Iraqi deputy prime minister pursues political rehabilitation in Washington.


While some Senate Democrats want to probe the role of the Iraq National Congress, an exile group headed by Chalabi, in drumming up support for the war that deposed Saddam Hussein, he is about to receive high-profile attention from the Bush administration.


Chalabi, who begins his eight-day visit on Tuesday, is due to see Rice on Wednesday and make a speech that day at the American Enterprise Institute, a conservative think tank that provides personnel and considerable support to the administration.


He expects to see other senior U.S. officials as well, but he has not yet nailed down a meeting with Vice President Dick Cheney, another goal as Chalabi maneuvers to become Iraq's next prime minister after elections in December.


Chalabi is linked with ultimately unfounded claims by President Bush and his top aides that Saddam had amassed hidden arsenals of weapons of mass destruction. The claim helped the president gain support from Congress and much of the American public for the war in 2003.


A former banker and MIT graduate, Chalabi has been a controversial figure on several fronts, accused sometimes of being an Iranian agent.


Patrick Clawson, of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy, dismissed the allegation.


"He is not an agent, but he wants to work with Iran to the extent it is compatible with Iraq's best interest," Clawson said in an interview.


"Mr. Chalabi is convinced that good relations with Iran are in Iraq's best interest, and that the United States would benefit," said Clawson, author of a new book titled "Eternal Iran."


"I think he is mistaken in his optimism," Clawson said.


The Bush administration often appeared to be of two minds about Chalabi. Pentagon officials seemed to hold him in higher esteem than officials at the State Department.


Still, Rice, whose schedule is packed with travel abroad, found time on her schedule for a meeting the day before she departs on a 10-day trip to the Middle East and Asia.


URL: http://sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file.../w130903S85.DTL
Snuffysmith
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1104/dailyUpdate.html

posted November 4, 2005 at 11:00 a.m.

Italy denies faking Niger documents

Italian secret service names 'occasional spy' as source of forged documents.

By Tom Regan | csmonitor.com

Italy's chief of military intelligence Thursday named Rocco Martino, an "occasional spy," as the source of the forged documents that said Saddam Hussein was trying to buy uranium from Niger. The New York Times reports that Mr. Martino has "long been suspected" of being the person responsible for "peddling" the documents on the Iraq-Niger connection that were ultimately proved to be false.
In a day of extraordinary developments, the Times says that Gen. Nicolo Pollari told a closed-door meeting of a key Italian parliamentary committee on secret services that Rocco Martino was "a former intelligence agency informer who had been kicked out of the agency." Gen. Pollari did not name Martino as the forger.

News reports have quoted [Martino] as saying he obtained [the documents] through a contact at the Niger Embassy [in Rome]. But this was the first time his role was formally disclosed by the intelligence agency. Neither Mr. Martino nor his lawyer, Giuseppe Placidi, [was] available for comment.
Pollari also told the Italian committee that no Italian intelligence officers were involved in the forging or distribution of the documents. According to a senior Italian lawmaker, Pollari also told the group that Martino had told a prosecutor in Rome that he was working for the French intelligence service, not Sismi (Italian intelligence). A French intelligence spokesman in Paris would not tell the Times if Martino was a French intelligence agent, but called Pollari's comments "scandalous."




11/03/05

Blair backs down on terror legislation

11/02/05

Indonesia will cut Bali bomber sentences

11/01/05

US inspector general for Iraq paints 'grim' picture of reconstruction effort



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Newsday reports that La Repubblica, whose original series of articles a week ago alleged that Italian intelligence had been involved with forging the documents, has also named Martino as the originator of the documents. The newspaper reported that Martino had "produced the forgeries from letterhead and stamps he purloined from Niger's embassy in Rome in 2000."

According to La Repubblica, SISMI's earliest attempts to disseminate the false documents occurred in late 2001, when forgeries personally corroborated by Pollari were sent to the CIA station chief in Rome after the Sept. 11 attacks." SISMI purported the truth of documents it knew to be false," prompting the CIA to dispatch former US Ambassador Joseph Wilson to Niger in 2002 on a fact-finding mission that came up empty, La Repubblica reported.
Having failed to convince the CIA, the report said, Pollari took the phony intelligence straight to the Bush administration, arranging a Washington briefing with Stephen Hadley, then deputy national security adviser. Hadley confirmed Wednesday that the meeting had occurred but denied getting fake documents from Pollari on Hussein's alleged uranium purchase. Hadley said he consulted with staff members to "refresh my memory" before reaching this conclusion.

Former and current US intelligence officials have said that after the 9/11 attacks, Italian intelligence did send reports to the US that Iraq was trying to buy uranium from Niger that could be used for nuclear weapons. Sismi confirmed that it had sent information about Iraq's attempts to buy Niger's uranium as early as the 1990's "but it never said the information was credible."
The Associated Press reports that commission member Sen. Massimo Brutti created a sensation when he emerged from the meeting and told reporters that the Italian secret service had warned the US in January of 2003 that the documents were forged. But he later called AP to "retract and clarify" his statement.

Brutti said what he meant to say was that the commission was told that a Sismi official, contacted by the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna about the dossier, told the UN agency that "those documents didn't come from Sismi, they weren't produced nor supplied by Sismi."
"Our [intelligence services] were not involved," Brutti said the briefing was told.

President Bush included the allegation about Iraq seeking the uranium in his January 2003 State of the Union address, accusing Iraq of pursuing banned weapons of mass destruction programs.
Also Thursday, The New York Times reported that the FBI confirmed a report in an Italian newspaper that the Italian government had received a letter from Robert Mueller, the director of the FBI, in late July, expressing the highest appreciation for Italy for its cooperation with the investigation.

The letter added that the cooperation had given the FBI proof that the documents were produced and disseminated by one or more people likely for monetary gain, and ruled out the possibility that the Italian service had intended to influence American policy.
Snuffysmith
http://www.sftt.org/main.cfm?actionId=glob...=30&htmlId=4234

10.31.2005

On War #137: True Confessions


William S. Lind

On October 19, 2005, the American Secretary of State, aka the Tea Lady, did something extraordinary for the Bush administration. She told the truth. According to the October 20 Washington Times, in testimony to the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, Miss Rice said that it was always the Bush administration's intent to redesign the Middle East after the September 11 attacks, which exposed a "deep malignancy growing" in the region, and that the Iraq was part of that plan.

Well. There we have it. It's not official: Saddam's eternally elusive Weapons of Mass Destruction were just eyewash. The decision to invade Iraq came first, and the various contrived justifications came after. Thos Iraqi WMDs were as real as Polish attacks on Germany in 1939, and as cynical. The cynicism is, if anything, ever more brazen: Herr Ribbentrop never testified to the Reichstag that "Polish aggression" was just a set-up, even if everyone knew.

Does it matter? To the American press and people, apparently not. Miss Rice's official confirmation of everyone's suspicions got virtually no coverage. After all, the NFL season has started.

But in other respects, I think it does matter. It matters, first, because it reveals this administration's utter cynicism, a cynicism born of the neo-cons, who seldom met a lie they didn't like. In effect, Miss Rice testified, "Yea, we lied. So what?"

Well, beyond 2000 dead and 15,000 wounded, so cavalier an attitude toward the truth suggests the lies have probably continued. As they have: the administration routinely engages in (illegal) domestic propaganda, puffing anything it can call a "success" in Iraq while classifying or otherwise burying the bad news. The latest example is the spin on the Iraqi constitutional referendum. The Bushies are hailing it an "another victory of democracy," when in fact the outcome could not have been worse. The Sunnis pulled out all their stops and still lost, telling them the system is stacked so heavily against them they have no political future. Where ballots fail, bullets still offer promise.

Another reason the WMD lie matters is that the real reason the administration invaded Iraq, "to redesign the Middle East," reveals (officially) a truly breathtaking hubris, coupled to a monumental ignorance of the region in question. Redesign the Middle East? What do the Bushies think it is, a Chevrolet?

At it happens, the war in Iraq is redesigning the Middle East, but not exactly in a planned fashion. Just as the calling of the Estates General in 1789 opened the door to the French Revolution, so the American destruction of the Iraqi state has opened the door to a broader collapse of the state system in that region, an outcome the administration is now pushing in Syria as well. Osama, sitting in his cave, no doubt continues to thank Allah for President George W. Bush.

Finally, the official revelation, in Congressional testimony no less, that the Bush administration's motto is "Lies R US" will matter politically, as the American people begin to come to grips with the fact of a lost war. That may happen by the elections of 2006; it will certainly happen by 2008. It is safe to say that the public will not be happy, and the realization that they were lied into the lost war won't make them any happier. As Republican Members of Congress are beginning to realize, the blowback may be of historic proportions. Anyone seen any Whigs lately? (The fact that the Democrats continue to offer a profile in cowardice on the war might even open the door to a serious third party, God willing. There have to be some real, small-r republicans out there still.)

And so Wilsonianism will come full circle. Wilson lied America into World War I, with fables of German soldiers bayoneting Belgian babies. The result was Lenin, Hitler and World War II. But the experience did give America a lesson in minding her own business and, for a time, a foreign policy for Americans (first). This time, Wilsonianism will give us a vastly disordered Middle East, the greatest Islamic victory since the fall of Constantinople and oil prices that might make the Trabant America's best-selling car. Will it also give us, again, a foreign policy for Americans, as Senator Robert A. Taft put it? We can hope, we can hope.

Contributing Editor William S. Lind, a veteran defense policy analyst, is Director of the Center for Cultural Conservatism at the Free Congress Foundation. The views expressed in this article are those of Mr. Lind writing in his personal capacity. He can be reached through the foundation's mailform. Please send
Snuffysmith
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Dating Cheney's nuclear drumbeat
By Jim Lobe

In the wake of the release of the Downing Street memo, there has been much talk about how the Bush administration "fixed" its intelligence to create a war fever in the US in the many months leading up to the invasion of Iraq. What still remains to be fully grasped, however, is the wider pattern of propaganda that underlay the administration's war effort - in particular, the overlapping networks of relationships that tied together so many key figures in the administration, the neo-conservatives and their allies on the outside, and parts of the media in what became a seamless, boundary-less operation to persuade the American people that Saddam Hussein represented an intolerable threat to their national security.

Vice President Dick Cheney, for instance, is widely credited with having launched the administration's nuclear drumbeat to war in Iraq via a series of speeches he gave, beginning in August 2002, vividly accusing Saddam of having an active nuclear weapons program. As it happens though, he started beating the nuclear drum with vigor significantly earlier than most remember; indeed at a time that was particularly curious given its proximity to the famous mission former ambassador Joseph Wilson took on behalf of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA).

Cheney's initial public attempts to raise the nuclear nightmare did not in fact begin with his August 2002 barrage of nuclear speeches, but rather five months before that, just after his return from a tour of Arab capitals where he had tried in vain to gin up local support for military action against Iraq. Indeed, the specific date on which his campaign was launched was March 24, 2002, when, on return from the Middle East, he appeared on three major Sunday public-affairs television programs bearing similar messages on each. On CNN's Late Edition news show he offered the following comment on Saddam:
This is a man of great evil, as the president said. And he is actively pursuing nuclear weapons at this time.
On NBC's Meet the Press news program he said:
There's good reason to believe that he continues to aggressively pursue the development of a nuclear weapon. Now will he have one in a year, five years? I can't be that precise.
And on CBS's Face the Nation show:
The notion of a Saddam Hussein with his great oil wealth, with his inventory that he already has of biological and chemical weapons, that he might actually acquire a nuclear weapon is, I think, a frightening proposition for anybody who thinks about it. And part of my task out there was to go out and begin the dialogue with our friends to make sure they were thinking about it.
Why do I think that Cheney moment, that particular barrage of statements about Saddam's supposed nuclear program, remains so significant today, in light of the Plame affair? (The identity of CIA agent Valerie Plame was leaked to the press, some believe because her ambassador husband, Joseph Wilson, did not go along with the Bush administration's nuclear line on Saddam.)

For one thing, that Sunday's drum roll of nuclear claims indicated that the "intelligence and facts" were already being "fixed around the policy" four months before Sir Richard Dearlove, head of Britain's MI6, reached that conclusion, as recorded in the Downing Street memo. It's worth asking, then: on what basis could Cheney make such assertions with such evident certainty, nearly six months before, on September 7, 2002, Judith Miller and Michael Gordon of the New York Times first broke a story about how Iraq had ordered "specially designed aluminum tubes", supposedly intended as components for centrifuges to enrich uranium for Saddam's nuclear weapons program. Even five months later, after all, those tubes would still be the only real piece of evidence for the existence of an Iraqi nuclear program offered by then-secretary of state Colin Powell in his presentation to the UN Security Council.

Indeed, on March 24 when Cheney made his initial allegations about an Iraqi nuclear program, we know of only two pieces of "evidence" available to him that might conceivably have supported his charges:

1) Testimony from Adnan Ihsan Saeed al-Haideri, a "defector" delivered up by Ahmad Chalabi's exile organization, the Iraqi National Congress (INC), and enthusiastically recounted by the Times' Miller on December 20, 2001 (although rejected as a fabrication by both the CIA and Defense Intelligence Agency). Al-Haideri claimed to have personally worked on renovations of secret facilities for biological, chemical and nuclear weapons in underground wells, private villas and under the Saddam Hussein Hospital in Baghdad as recently as 2000.

2) The infamous forged Niger yellowcake documents that, at some point in December 2001 or January 2002, somehow appeared on Cheney's desk, supposedly through the Defense Intelligence Agency or the CIA, though accounts differ on the precise route it took from Italian military intelligence to the vice president's office. It was these and related documents that spurred Cheney to ask for additional information, a request that would eventually result in Wilson's trip to Niger in late February, which, of course, set the Plame case in motion. Wilson's conclusion - that there was nothing to the story - would echo the conclusions of both US ambassador to Niger Barbro Owens-Kirkpatrick and Marine General Carlton W Fulford Jr, then-deputy commander of the US European Command who was also sent to Niger in February. A couple of days after his return to Washington, Wilson would be debriefed by the CIA.

How far up their respective chains of command Wilson's and Fulford's reports made it remains a significant mystery to this day. Cheney's office, which reportedly had reminded the CIA of the vice president's interest in the agency's follow-up efforts even while Wilson was in Niger, claims never to have heard about either report. We do know that Fulford's report made it up to Joint Chiefs chairman Richard Myers, whose spokesman, however, told the Washington Post in July 2003, shortly after Wilson went public on the New York Times op-ed page, that the general had "no recollection" of it and so no idea whether it continued on to the White House or Cheney's office.

Meanwhile, Cheney, whose initial curiosity set off this flurry of travel and reporting, appeared to have lost interest in the results by the time he left on a Middle Eastern trip in mid-March; at least, no information has come to light so far indicating that he ever got back to the CIA or anyone else with further questions or requests on the matter of whether Saddam had actually been in the market for Niger yellowcake uranium ore. Yet, within four days of his return to Washington, there he was on the Sunday TV shows assuring the nation's viewers that Iraq was indeed "actively pursuing nuclear weapons at this time".

Did he then acquire new information, perhaps from Iraq's neighbors, during his trip to the Middle East, or had he simply decided by then that the "facts" really had to be "fixed" - or more precisely in Wilson's case, ignored altogether - if the American people were to be persuaded that war was the only solution to the problem of Saddam? In any event, one can only describe his sudden lack of curiosity combined with his public certainty on the subject as, well ... curious.

That Cheney did indeed make the initial request to follow up on the Niger yellowcake report appears now to be beyond dispute, and it also draws attention to another little-noted curiosity of the Plame case - the knowledge and role of Clifford May, ex-New York Timesman, recent head of communications for the Republican National Committee (1997-2001), and president of the ultra-neo-conservative Foundation for the Defense of Democracies (FDD).

In an article at National Review Online (NRO) on September 29, 2003 (as pressure was building on attorney general John Ashcroft to appoint a special prosecutor in the case), he boasted that he had been informed by an unnamed former government official of Wilson's wife's identity long before her outing as a CIA operative by Robert Novak, on July 14, 2003, and so had assumed that her identity (and relationship to Wilson) had been an "open secret" among the Washington cognoscenti. He has subsequently told the Nation magazine's David Corn among others that he was interviewed by the Federal Bureau of Investigation but has never been asked to testify on the subject before special prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald's grand jury.

In that NRO article, he also noted that he "was the first to publicly question the credibility of Mr Wilson" following the ambassador's Times op-ed. Indeed, only five days after that op-ed appeared, on July 11, 2003, NRO published May's first attack on Wilson - many more would follow right up to the present - depicting the ambassador as a "pro-Saudi, leftist partisan with an axe to grind". The article - and this is the curious part - included the following passage: "Mr Wilson was sent to Niger by the CIA to verify a US intelligence report about the sale of yellowcake - because Vice President Dick Cheney requested it, because Cheney had doubts about the validity of the intelligence report." This phrasing is fascinating because it purports to know Cheney's subjective motivation, and the motivation ascribed to him - that he had "doubts" about the Niger story - conflicts with everything we've otherwise come to understand about why he asked for the Niger story to be investigated. It hints, certainly, at how consciously Cheney would indeed fix the facts when it came to Saddam's nuclear doings.

Given this tidbit of curious information hidden in May's piece, it's important to know what former government officials might not only have told May about Plame's identity but possibly about Cheney's real thoughts on the subject of Saddam's nuclear program - presuming, that is, that Cheney himself or "Scooter Libby", his chief of staff, was not the source. Among May's board of advisers at FDD were several former government officials, a number of whom were known to be very close to Cheney and Libby as well as to Pentagon hawks like then-deputy secretary of defense Paul Wolfowitz and under secretary of defense Douglas Feith. They included head of the Center for Security Policy Frank Gaffney, former CIA director James Woolsey, and Weekly Standard editor Bill Kristol. All of them played starring roles in efforts to tie Saddam's Iraq to al-Qaeda and the September 11 attacks, as well as in raising the nuclear bogeyman well before Cheney did so on March 24, 2002.

In fact, a close examination of how the pre-war propaganda machine worked shows that it was led by the neo-cons and their associates outside the administration, particularly those on the Defense Policy Board (DPB) like Richard Perle, Woolsey and Kenneth "Cakewalk" Adelman (and Judith Miller of the Times) who had long championed the cause of Ahmad Chalabi and his INC, and were also close to the Office of Special Plans that Douglas Feith had set up in the Pentagon to cherry-pick intelligence. They would invariably be the first to float new "evidence" against Saddam (such as the infamous supposed Prague meeting of September 11 conspirator Mohammed Atta with an Iraqi intelligence officer). They would then tie this "evidence" into ongoing arguments for "regime change" in Iraq that would often appear in the Times or elsewhere as news and subsequently be picked up by senior administration officials and fed into the drumbeat of war commentary pouring out of official Washington. It is by now perfectly clear that the neo-conservatives on the outside were aided by like-minded journalists, particularly the Times' Miller - then the only "straight" reporter on the client list of neo-conservative heavyweights and columnists represented by Benador Associates - and media outlets, especially the Wall Street Journal's editorial page and Fox News. Working hand-in-glove with the war hawks on the inside, they created a powerful and persuasive machine to convince the public that Saddam's Iraq represented an imminent and potentially cataclysmic threat to the US that had to be eliminated once and for all. The failure to investigate and demonstrate precisely how seamlessly this web of intra and extra-administration connections worked in the run-up to the war - including perhaps in the concoction of the Niger yellowcake documents, as some former intelligence officials have recently suggested - has been perhaps the most shocking example of the mainstream media's failure to connect the dots (the reporters from Knight-Ridder excepted.)

In that context, it is worth noting the first moment that the specter of an advanced Iraqi nuclear-weapons program was propelled into post-September 11 public consciousness. On December 20, 2001, the New York Times published Judith Miller's version of the sensational charges made by Chalabi-aided defector al-Haideri. Her report was immediately seized on by former CIA director and Defense Policy Board member Woolsey, (who had just spent many weeks trying desperately but unsuccessfully to confirm the alleged Mohammed Atta meeting in Prague that would have linked Saddam to the September 11 attackers). Appearing that same evening on CNBC's "Hard Ball", he breathlessly told Chris Matthews, "I think this is a very important story. I give Judy Miller a lot of credit for getting it. This defector sounds quite credible." Within a week, he was telling the Washington Post that the case that Iraq was developing nuclear weapons was a "slam dunk". (Now, there's a familiar expression!) He continued confidently, "There is so much evidence with respect to his development of weapons of mass destruction and ballistic missiles ... that I consider this point beyond dispute."

One week later, Perle weighed in with an op-ed in the New York Times in which he also referred to Miller's work, albeit without naming her. "With each passing day, [Saddam] comes closer to his dream of a nuclear arsenal," he wrote.

"We know he has a clandestine program, spread over many hidden sites, to enrich Iraqi natural uranium (Nigerian yellowcake perhaps?) to weapons grade. We know he has the designs and the technical staff to fabricate nuclear weapons once he obtains the material. And intelligence sources know he is in the market, with plenty of money, for both weapons material and components as well as finished nuclear weapons. How close is he? We do not know. Two years, three years, tomorrow even? We simply do not know, and any intelligence estimate that would cause us to relax would be about as useful as the ones that missed his nuclear program in the early 1990s or failed to predict the Indian nuclear test in 1998 or to gain even a hint of the September 11 attack."

It was a new argument being taken out for a test run, one that would become painfully familiar in the months that followed. At about that time, or shortly thereafter, a report about the mysterious Niger documents landed on Cheney's desk, and the rest would be history.

Jim Lobe is a reporter for the Rome-based international news agency Inter Press Service and has followed the paths of the neo-conservatives since the early 1970s.

(Copyright 2005 Jim Lobe)
Snuffysmith
Bush's Popularity Reaches New Low

By Richard Morin and Dan Balz

For the first time in his presidency a majority of Americans question the integrity of President Bush, and growing doubts about his leadership have left him with record negative ratings on the economy, Iraq and even the war on terrorism, a new Washington Post-ABC News poll shows.

On almost every key measure of presidential character and performance, the survey found that Bush has never been less popular with the American people. Currently 39 percent approve of the job he is doing as president, while 60 percent disapprove of his performance in office -- the highest level of disapproval ever recorded for Bush in Post-ABC polls.

Virtually the only possible bright spot for Bush in the survey was generally favorable, if not quite enthusiastic, early reaction to his latest Supreme Court nominee, Samuel A. Alito Jr. Half of Americans say Alito should be confirmed by the Senate, and less than a third view him as too conservative, the poll found.

Overall, the survey underscores how several pillars of Bush's presidency have begun to crumble under the combined weight of events and White House mistakes. Bush's approval ratings have been in decline for months, but on issues of personal trust, honesty and values, Bush has suffered some of his most notable declines. Moreover, Bush has always retained majority support on his handling of the U.S. campaign against terrorism -- until now, when 51 percent have registered disapproval.

The CIA leak case has apparently contributed to a withering decline in how Americans view Bush personally. The survey found that 40 percent now view him as honest and trustworthy -- a 13 percentage point drop in the past 18 months. Nearly 6 in 10 -- 58 percent -- said they have doubts about Bush's honesty, the first time in his presidency that more than half the country has questioned his personal integrity.

The indictment Friday of I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby, Vice President Cheney's former chief of staff, in the CIA leak case added to the burden of an administration already reeling from a failed Supreme Court nomination, public dissatisfaction with the economy and continued bloodshed in Iraq. According to the survey, 52 percent say the charges against Libby signal the presence of deeper ethical wrongdoing in the administration. Half believe White House Deputy Chief of Staff Karl Rove, the president's top political hand, also did something wrong in the case -- about 6 in 10 say Rove should resign.

Beyond the leak case, Americans give the administration low scores on ethics, according to the survey, with 67 percent rating the administration negatively on handling ethical matters, while just 32 percent give the administration positive marks. Four in 10 -- 43 percent -- say the level of ethics and honesty in the federal government has fallen during Bush's presidency, while 17 percent say it has risen.

Faced with its cascade of recent setbacks, the White House is hoping the latest court nomination can rally disaffected conservatives and score the president a victory akin to the one he enjoyed in the nomination of Chief Justice John G. Roberts Jr. Alito begins the confirmation process with the support of 49 percent of the public, while 29 percent say he should not be confirmed, the poll found. One in 5 Americans -- 22 percent -- did not yet know enough about him to make a judgment.

The dissatisfaction with Bush flows in part out of broad concerns about the overall direction of the country. Nearly 7 in 10 -- 68 percent -- believe the country is seriously off course, while only 30 percent are optimistic, the lowest level in more than nine years. Only 3 in 10 express high levels of confidence in Bush, while half say they have little or no confidence in this administration.

Just 35 percent of those surveyed rated the economy as either excellent or good, with 65 percent describing it as not so good or poor. Although the government reported last week that gross domestic product rose 3.8 percent in the last quarter, despite the effects of Hurricane Katrina, 29 percent of those surveyed said they regard the economy as poor, the highest recorded during Bush's presidency.

Attitudes toward Bush are sharply polarized by party, as they have been throughout his presidency. Almost 8 in 10 -- 78 percent -- of Republicans support the president, while just 11 percent of Democrats rate him positively. Republicans long have been the key to Bush's overall strength, but Bush has suffered some defections since the beginning of the year, when 91 percent approved of the way he was handling his job.

Among independents, Bush's approval has plummeted since the beginning of the year. In the latest poll, 33 percent of independents approved of his performance, while 66 percent disapproved. In January, independents were evenly divided, with 49 percent approving and an equal percentage disapproving.

The intensity of Bush's support has changed since his reelection a year ago, with opponents deepening their hostility toward the administration. In the latest survey, 47 percent said they strongly disapprove of the way he was performing in office, compared with 35 percent who expressed strong disapproval in January. At the same time, the percentage who say they strongly approve of his performance has fallen from 33 percent last January to 20 percent today.

Iraq remains a significant drag on Bush's presidency, with dissatisfaction over the situation there continuing to grow and with suspicion rising over whether administration officials misled the country in the run-up to the invasion more than two years ago.

Nearly two-thirds disapprove of the way Bush is handling the situation there, while barely a third approve, a new low. Six in 10 now believe the United States was wrong to invade Iraq, a seven-point increase in just over two months, with almost half the country saying they strongly believe it was wrong.

About 3 in 4 -- 73 percent -- say there have been an unacceptable level of casualties in Iraq. More than half -- 52 percent -- say the war with Iraq has not contributed to the long-term security of the United States.

The same percentage -- 52 percent -- says the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored, and only about 1 in 5 -- 18 percent -- say the United States should withdraw its forces immediately. In the week after U.S. deaths in Iraq passed the 2,000 mark, a majority of those surveyed -- 55 percent -- said the United States is not making significant progress toward stabilizing the country.

The war has taken a toll on the administration's credibility: A clear majority -- 55 percent -- now says the administration deliberately misled the country in making its case for war with Iraq -- a conflict that an even larger majority say is not worth the cost.

The president's handling of terrorism was widely regarded among strategists as the key to his winning a second term last year. But questions about Bush's effectiveness on other fronts have also depreciated this asset. His 48 percent approval now compares with 61 percent approval on this issue at the time of his second inauguration, down from a 2004 high of 66 percent.

Bush also set new lows in the latest Post-ABC News poll for his management of the economy, where disapproval topped 60 percent for the first time in his presidency. And 6 in 10 are critical of the way Bush is dealing with health care -- a double-digit increase since March. On gasoline prices, Bush's numbers have increased slightly over the past two months but still remain highly negative, with just 26 percent rating him positively.

The survey suggests a rapidly widening gulf between Bush and the American people. Two in 3 say Bush does not understand the problems of people like them, a 10 percentage point increase since January.

Nearly 6 in 10 -- 58 percent -- doubt Bush shares their values, while 40 percent say he does, another new low for this president. For the first time since he took office, fewer than half -- 47 percent -- said Bush is a strong leader, and Americans divided equally over whether Bush can be trusted in a crisis.

Told of the poll results, Republican National Committee Chairman Ken Mehlman said Bush will rally support through such issues as education reform, changes to the tax code, and a new energy strategy to show the public that he "will continue to push for changes in our government to serve the American people."

A total of 1,202 randomly selected adults were interviewed Oct. 30-Nov. 2 for this survey. Margin of sampling error for the overall results is plus or minus three percentage points.

Assistant polling director Claudia Deane contributed to this report.


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Bush's dishonest mistakes
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Jonathan Chait

November 4 2005

DID THE Bush administration mislead the country in the run-up to the Iraq war? Yes, it did. Did the administration "mislead us into war?" No, not exactly. The CIA leak scandal has again placed those questions at the center of the national agenda. Unfortunately, almost nobody seems to be getting them right.

The complete article can be viewed at:
http://www.latimes.com/news/printedition/o...,3256529.column
Snuffysmith
William M. Arkin on National and Homeland Security
Inside U.S. War Plans

"Do Pentagon war planners game-play war against Venezuela? Of course they do," says WS, commenting on my blog saying that the Pentagon was newly eyeing Venezuela as a military threat and initiating war planning, "they probably game-play war against the Swiss!"

"I'd guess that there are hundreds of contingency plans in existence," Dave comments, "perhaps … even including some developed to respond to changes in our current allies' positions."

WS and Dave credit the Pentagon with far more prescience and capability then it actually possesses. Though there is an awful lot of contingency planning going on in this military-first, post 9/11 world, there aren't plans for every country or even for every potentially hostile country.

On the other hand, under Secretary of Defense Donald Rumsfeld, the military has made radical changes in both its methods of war planning and the plans themselves, a move that ultimately eases the ability of the government to take military action. Since the act of preparing a war plan for a country like Venezuela has such profound political consequences, it is a system that requires much greater transparency. Here is my small contribution:


According to Pentagon documents, my research and a lot of educated guesswork, the United States military currently has some 70 overall plans. These plans themselves take many forms, some being full-fledged war plans, others short fused "strategic concepts" for plans.



Of the 70 operations plans, only 48 are actual plans contemplating combat with other countries. That is because 10 plans deal with the air defense of the United States, homeland defense and other domestic defense tasks while 11 are generic "functional" plans (FUNCPLANs) dealing with humanitarian assistance, counter-narcotics, peacekeeping, and other military operations in "permissive" environments.

Of the 48, five are what are called "complete" OPLANs, or operations plans. OPLANs are prepared for specific threats (that is, specific countries) of "compelling national interest" where prospective large scale operations demand detailed planning, actual target lists, and the logistics and choreography worked out for a conflict.

Of the five current OPLANs (and that is all that there are), one is the United States nuclear war plan (OPLAN 8044, and sometimes known as the Single Integrated Operational Plan or SIOP). Two are contingencies in Asia, one regarding defense of South Korea against a North Korea invasion (OPLAN 5027) and the other presumably a different Korean peninsula scenario (OPLAN 5077). Two war plans exist for the Middle East: one for Iraq (OPLAN 1003) that has already been implemented and another for an unknown contingency, possibly Iran. A sixth OPLAN (OPLAN 2002) exists, but it deals purely with homeland defense.

Thirty-nine of the remaining 43 plans are what are called CONPLANs, "Operations Plans in Concept Form Only." These are operations plans in an abbreviated format prepared for less compelling contingencies, plausible but not likely in the near term. CONPLANs can be prepared for smaller scale operations as well as for what are called non-specific threats.

In addition to OPLANs and CONPLANs, there are four "strategic concepts" that have been more recently prepared. Though every OPLAN and CONPLAN includes the commander's statement of his strategic concept, stand alone strategic concepts are a post 9/11 invention allowing regional commanders to develop plan concepts, enemy estimates, alternative courses of action, and target lists prior to the completion of a CONPLAN or OPLAN.

By regional command, the OPLANs, CONPLANs, and Strategic Concepts plans are broken down as follows:

Central Command (Middle East): 2 OPLANs, 7 CONPLANs, 2 strategic concepts
European Command: 10 CONPLANs
Pacific Command: 2 OPLANs, 12 CONPLANs, 2 strategic concepts
Southern Command (Latin America): 7 CONPLANs
U.S. Strategic Command (STRATCOM), in addition to preparing the central nuclear war plan (OPLAN 8044), also has responsibility for three global CONPLANs, one for nuclear and conventional "global strike" (CONPLAN 8022), which is the implementation of the Bush administration's policy of preemption, one for ballistic missile defense (CONPLAN 8055), and one of unknown nomenclature (CONPLAN 80??) presumably for "information operations," or cyber warfare, STRATCOM's newly assigned global mission.

The Joint Chiefs of Staff organization is also responsible for two weapons of mass destruction plans, one (CONPLAN 0400) dealing with offensive counter-proliferation and the other (CONPLAN 0300) for special operations support in the event of a WMD incident. A third JCS CONPLAN is for unknown purposes. Finally, it is presumed that the U.S. Special Operations Command (SOCOM) has a newly produced CONPLAN to fight the global war on terrorism.

For some contingencies, such as North Korea, there are multiple OPLANs and CONPLANs: CONPLAN 5026, 5027, 5029, and 5030 are all known to deal with different Korean peninsula scenarios. There are also specific OPLANs and CONPLANs for Iraq.

You must be thinking if you've kept up with the arithmetic that with some 30 plans left, clearly there is room for Venezuela. Not so quick. Each of the commands has war plans for the "defense" of key allies: CONPLAN 4305 exists for the defense of Israel; CONPLAN 5055 seems to deal with the defense of Japan. Add up U.S. treaty commitments and deployments, and the number now shrinks to about 20.

Then there are the one or two generic CONPLANs each command has to guide unassigned small scale contingencies. European command, in addition, has a new set of "non-specific" CONPLANs dealing with potential regional action in the Transcaucasus, the Baltics, West Africa, Equatorial Africa and Southern Africa. Pacific Command has regional plans for South Asia, the Southeast Asia mainland, and Southeast Asian islands. Central Command has a regional plan for the Horn of Africa; Southern Command has one for the Caribbean.

So there are no more than ten plans that deal with specific "threats" and that has to accommodate one or more plans for Iran and China, possible contingency plans if thing go sour with Russia, additional contingencies dealing with Syria and Cuba, and yes, even Venezuela.

So on the one hand there are generic contingencies for virtually every corner of the planet, as well as war plans supporting transnational global combat -- preemption, cyber warfare, the war on terrorism -- that cross command boundaries and can apply to more than one country.

On the other, there are only a limited number of staff officers and a limited amount of resources. A decision to undertake serious planning for a new contingency -- such as a Venezuela -- is a big one. It is particularly burdensome on the intelligence community, which has to produce "threat" estimates and enemy order of battle and target lists.

As planning software improves and the military moves to integrated network operations, the ease with which a plan can be quickly prepared will also increase. Already the Pentagon has shaved the time it takes in the old process to build a plan from 12-22 months to 4-6 months. With Rumsfeld's new "adaptive planning" initiative -- the draft Adaptive Planning Roadmap was approved on March 11 -- a whole new process of quick reaction plans is in the works.


Today, as far as I can surmise, there isn't a contingency plan for Venezuela. But there can be one real soon.

http://blogs.washingtonpost.com/earlywarni...war_p.html#more
Snuffysmith
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New York Times
November 6, 2005
Report Warned Bush Team About Intelligence Doubts
By DOUGLAS JEHL
WASHINGTON, Nov. 5 — A top member of Al Qaeda in American custody was identified as a likely fabricator months before the Bush administration began to use his statements as the foundation for its claims that Iraq trained Al Qaeda members to use biological and chemical weapons, according to newly declassified portions of a Defense Intelligence Agency document.

The document, an intelligence report from February 2002, said it was probable that the prisoner, Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi, “was intentionally misleading the debriefers’’ in making claims about Iraqi support for Al Qaeda’s work with illicit weapons.

The document provides the earliest and strongest indication of doubts voiced by American intelligence agencies about Mr. Libi’s credibility. Without mentioning him by name, President Bush, Vice President Dick Cheney, Colin L. Powell, then secretary of state, and other administration officials repeatedly cited Mr. Libi’s information as “credible’’ evidence that Iraq was training Al 8Qaeda members in the use of explosives and illicit weapons.

Among the first and most prominent assertions was one by Mr. Bush, who said in a major speech in Cincinnati in October 2002 that “we’ve learned that Iraq has trained Al Qaeda members in bomb making and poisons and gases.’’

The newly declassified portions of the document were made available by Senator Carl Levin of Michigan, the top Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee.

Mr. Levin said the new evidence of early doubts about Mr. Libi’s statements dramatized what he called the Bush administration’s misuse of prewar intelligence to try to justify the war in Iraq. That is an issue that Mr. Levin and other Senate Democrats have been seeking to emphasize, in part by calling attention to the fact that the Republican-led Senate intelligence committee has yet to deliver a promised report, first sought more than two years ago, on the use of prewar intelligence.

An administration official declined to comment on the D.I.A. report on Mr. Libi. But Senate Republicans, put on the defensive when Democrats forced a closed session of the Senate this week to discuss the issue, have been arguing that Republicans were not alone in making prewar assertions about Iraq, illicit weapons and terrorism that have since been discredited.

Mr. Libi, who was captured in Pakistan at the end of 2001, recanted his claims in January 2004. That prompted the C.I.A., a month later, to recall all intelligence reports based on his statements, a fact recorded in a footnote to the report issued by the Sept. 11 commission.

Mr. Libi was not alone among intelligence sources later determined to have been fabricating accounts. Among others, an Iraqi exile whose code name was Curveball was the primary source for what proved to be false information about Iraq and mobile biological weapons labs. And American military officials cultivated ties with Ahmad Chalabi, the head of the Iraqi National Congress, an exile group, who has been accused of feeding the Pentagon misleading information in urging war.

The report issued by the Senate intelligence committee in July 2004 questioned whether some versions of intelligence report prepared by the C.I.A. in late 2002 and early 2003 raised sufficient questions about the reliability of Mr. Libi’s claims.

But neither that report nor another issued by the Sept. 11 commission made any reference to the existence of the earlier and more skeptical 2002 report by the D.I.A., which supplies intelligence to military commanders and national security policy makers. As an official intelligence report, labeled DITSUM No. 044-02, the document would have circulated widely within the government, and it would have been available to the C.I.A., the White House, the Pentagon and other agencies. It remains unclear whether the D.I.A. document was provided to the Senate panel.

In outlining reasons for its skepticism, the D.I.A. report noted that Mr. Libi’s claims lacked specific details about the Iraqis involved, the illicit weapons used and the location where the training was to have taken place.

“It is possible he does not know any further details; it is more likely this individual is intentionally misleading the debriefers,’’ the February 2002 report said. “Ibn al-Shaykh has been undergoing debriefs for several weeks and may be describing scenarios to the debriefers that he knows will retain their interest.’’

Mr. Powell relied heavily on accounts provided by Mr. Libi for his speech to the United Nations Security Council on Feb. 5, 2003, saying that he was tracing “the story of a senior terrorist operative telling how Iraq provided training in these weapons to Al Qaeda.’’

At the time of Mr. Powell’s speech, an unclassified statement by the C.I.A. described the reporting, now known to have been from Mr. Libi, as “credible.’’ But Mr. Levin said he had learned that a classified C.I.A. assessment at the time stated “the source was not in a position to know if any training had taken place.’’

In an interview on Friday, Mr. Levin also called attention to a portion of the D.I.A. report that expressed skepticism about the idea of close collaboration between Iraq and Al Qaeda, an idea that was never substantiated by American intelligence but was a pillar of the administration’s prewar claims.

“Saddam’s regime is intensely secular and is wary of Islamic revolutionary movements,’’ the D.I.A. report said in one of two declassified paragraphs. “Moreover, Baghdad is unlikely to provide assistance to a group it cannot control.’’

The request to declassify the two paragraphs was made on Oct. 18 by Mr. Levin and Senator John D. Rockefeller IV of West Virginia, the top Democrat on the Senate intelligence committee. In an Oct. 26 response, Kathleen P. Turner, chief of the D.I.A.’s office for Congressional affairs, said the agency “can find no reason for it to remain classified.’’

At the time of his capture, Mr. Libi was the most senior Qaeda official in American custody. The D.I.A. document gave no indication of where he was being held, or what interrogation methods were used on him.

Mr. Libi remains in custody, apparently at Guantбnamo Bay, Cuba, where he was sent in 2003, according to government officials.

The Senate intelligence committee is scheduled to meet beginning next week to review draft reports prepared as part of a long-postponed “Phase II’’ of the panel’s review of prewar intelligence on Iraq. At separate briefings for reporters on Friday, Republicans staff members said the writing had long been under way, while Senate Democrats on the committee claimed credit for reinvigorating the process, by forcing the closed session. They said that already nearly complete is a look at whether prewar intelligence accurately predicted the potential for an anti-American insurgency.

Other areas of focus include the role played by the Iraqi National Congress, that of the Pentagon in shaping intelligence assessments, and an examination of whether public statements about Iraq by members of the Bush and Clinton administrations, as well as members of Congress, were substantiated by intelligence available at the time.

Copyright 2005 The New York Times Company
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New York Times
November 6, 2005
White House Tries to Keep Distance From Leak Case
By RICHARD W. STEVENSON
WASHINGTON, Nov. 5 - In the hours before the Justice Department informed the White House in late September 2003 that it would investigate the leak of a covert C.I.A. officer's identity, Scott McClellan, the White House press secretary, gave reporters what turned out to be a rare glimpse into President Bush's knowledge of the case.

Mr. Bush, he said, "knows" that Karl Rove, his senior adviser, had not been the source of the leak. Pressed on how Mr. Bush was certain, Mr. McClellan said he was "not going to get into conversations that the president has with advisers," but made no effort to erase the impression that Mr. Rove had assured Mr. Bush that he had not been involved.

Since then, administration officials and Mr. Bush himself have carefully avoided disclosing anything about any involvement the president may have had in the events surrounding the disclosure of the officer's identity or anything about what his aides may have told them about their roles. Citing the continuing investigation and now the pending trial of I. Lewis Libby Jr., Vice President Dick Cheney's former chief of staff, they have declined to comment on almost any aspect of the case.

The issue now for the White House is how long it can go on deflecting the inquiries and trying to keep the focus away from Mr. Bush.

While there has been no suggestion that Mr. Bush did anything wrong, the portrait of the White House that was painted by the special counsel in the indictment of Mr. Libby was one in which a variety of senior officials, including Mr. Cheney, played some role in events that preceded the disclosure of the officer's identity.

Mr. Bush was not mentioned in the indictment. But the fact that so many of his aides seem to have been involved in dealing with the issue that eventually led to the leak - how to rebut or discredit Joseph C. Wilson IV, a former diplomat who had challenged the administration's handling of prewar intelligence - leaves open the question of what the president knew.

The White House has also kept a tight lid on information about what Mr. Bush learned afterward about any involvement that Mr. Cheney, Mr. Libby, Mr. Rove and others may have had in the leak.

People involved in the case have confirmed that Mr. Rove told Mr. Bush and other White House colleagues in September 2003 that he had no involvement, but it is not known what, if anything, Mr. Rove has told Mr. Bush since testifying to the grand jury last year and this year that he had conversations with two reporters that touched on the identity of the officer, Valerie Wilson. What, if anything, Mr. Cheney and Mr. Libby may have told Mr. Bush remains a mystery.

From a political perspective, the investigation now seems to be taking a toll on Mr. Bush. A Washington Post/ABC News poll released on Thursday found that only 40 percent of Americans see him as honest and trustworthy, down from 53 percent in May 2004 and 62 percent soon after he took office in 2001; 58 percent said they did not see him as honest and trustworthy, up from 45 percent last year and 32 percent in 2001.

At the same time, Democrats are demanding that he live up to his earlier pledges to hold his administration to the highest ethical standards, "not only what is legal but what is right, not just what the lawyers allow but what the public deserves," as Mr. Bush put it at the end of the 2000 presidential campaign. And Democrats are drawing renewed attention to an apparent change in Mr. Bush's standard for what would constitute a firing offense, to anyone who "committed a crime," the threshold he used when he addressed the issue in July, from anyone who was "involved in" a leak of classified information, a definition Mr. McClellan used in 2003.

More broadly, Democrats and their allies are trying to place the leak case at the heart of their argument that the administration has shown itself to be incompetent, dishonest and out of touch with middle-class Americans. "Katrina. Iraq. Indictment. George Bush's presidency is in trouble, and he'll do anything to save it," said a new television commercial from People for the American Way, a liberal group opposing the nomination of Judge Samuel A. Alito Jr. to the Supreme Court.

"We're at the very beginning stages of this, not at the end," said Representative Rahm Emanuel, Democrat of Illinois, referring to the political impact of the investigation.

"The president, politically at least, has an obligation to say something to the American people to get some clarity about what did they know and what did they say," he said.

But the Bush White House has always been good at what one close Republican ally refers to admiringly as "making their own reality," meaning that the president and his top aides stick doggedly to their political script and agenda, refusing to be knocked off course. What Democrats consider stubbornness and detachment, Mr. Bush's admirers consider determination, and in this case that trait suggests the White House will be in no rush to acknowledge mistakes or to offer detailed explanations that might swamp the president's second-term plans.

"A White House that is aggressively on message is an unstoppable political tool," said Rich Galen, a Republican consultant. "Just as the Clinton White House got itself back together in '95 and after impeachment, this White House will get itself together, too."

Whatever political problems the Libby indictment creates, he said, "It's a long way from the Veep's office to the Oval. No one has ever hinted that President Bush was involved in this or was even aware of it. I really don't think the issue will have legs beyond the next couple of weeks."

The administration's supporters point out that Mr. Bush has repeatedly emphasized that the White House will cooperate fully with the special counsel, Patrick J. Fitzgerald. The administration raised no issues of executive privilege when it came to documents sought by investigators. Mr. Fitzgerald had given no indication that he was denied any information on the ground of national security. No officials are known to have taken the Fifth Amendment to avoid incriminating themselves.

Therefore, allies of the White House said, it would be hard to make a case, legally or politically, that there was any organized effort to cover up what happened, despite Mr. Libby's indictment on charges of trying to do just that. And assuming that Mr. Fitzgerald does not indict Mr. Rove in the next few weeks, Mr. Bush has a natural firebreak available to him.

He will be away from Washington for much of the rest of the month. After returning from a trip to South America, Mr. Bush will leave for a week in Asia and then will spend Thanksgiving at his ranch in Texas.

When he returns, allies of the White House said, he hopes to regain traction by moving smoothly ahead with Judge Alito's nomination, shifting the focus to the policies he intends to emphasize next year, including reduced government spending and an overhaul of the immigration and border control systems, and making a more effective case for why victory in Iraq is vital.

"I'm not sure he needs to say anything about the case until the investigation is over," Charlie Black, a Republican strategist, said, "and then I'm not sure they need to do anything differently."

Mr. Black said the political repercussions from the case were "a fairly temporary phenomenon" that would fade in the next few weeks, giving way to the problems that had been presenting such a tremendous challenge to Mr. Bush before the leak case flared up this fall.

"The president's job approval long term is driven by Iraq and the economy much more than this leak stuff," he said. "They know that."

Copyright 2005 The New York Times Company
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washingtonpost.com
The FBI's Secret Scrutiny
In Hunt for Terrorists, Bureau Examines Records of Ordinary Americans

By Barton Gellman
Washington Post Staff Writer
Sunday, November 6, 2005; A01



The FBI came calling in Windsor, Conn., this summer with a document marked for delivery by hand. On Matianuk Avenue, across from the tennis courts, two special agents found their man. They gave George Christian the letter, which warned him to tell no one, ever, what it said.

Under the shield and stars of the FBI crest, the letter directed Christian to surrender "all subscriber information, billing information and access logs of any person" who used a specific computer at a library branch some distance away. Christian, who manages digital records for three dozen Connecticut libraries, said in an affidavit that he configures his system for privacy. But the vendors of the software he operates said their databases can reveal the Web sites that visitors browse, the e-mail accounts they open and the books they borrow.

Christian refused to hand over those records, and his employer, Library Connection Inc., filed suit for the right to protest the FBI demand in public. The Washington Post established their identities -- still under seal in the U.S. Court of Appeals for the 2nd Circuit -- by comparing unsealed portions of the file with public records and information gleaned from people who had no knowledge of the FBI demand.

The Connecticut case affords a rare glimpse of an exponentially growing practice of domestic surveillance under the USA Patriot Act, which marked its fourth anniversary on Oct. 26. "National security letters," created in the 1970s for espionage and terrorism investigations, originated as narrow exceptions in consumer privacy law, enabling the FBI to review in secret the customer records of suspected foreign agents. The Patriot Act, and Bush administration guidelines for its use, transformed those letters by permitting clandestine scrutiny of U.S. residents and visitors who are not alleged to be terrorists or spies.

The FBI now issues more than 30,000 national security letters a year, according to government sources, a hundredfold increase over historic norms. The letters -- one of which can be used to sweep up the records of many people -- are extending the bureau's reach as never before into the telephone calls, correspondence and financial lives of ordinary Americans.

Issued by FBI field supervisors, national security letters do not need the imprimatur of a prosecutor, grand jury or judge. They receive no review after the fact by the Justice Department or Congress. The executive branch maintains only statistics, which are incomplete and confined to classified reports. The Bush administration defeated legislation and a lawsuit to require a public accounting, and has offered no example in which the use of a national security letter helped disrupt a terrorist plot.

The burgeoning use of national security letters coincides with an unannounced decision to deposit all the information they yield into government data banks -- and to share those private records widely, in the federal government and beyond. In late 2003, the Bush administration reversed a long-standing policy requiring agents to destroy their files on innocent American citizens, companies and residents when investigations closed. Late last month, President Bush signed Executive Order 13388, expanding access to those files for "state, local and tribal" governments and for "appropriate private sector entities," which are not defined.

National security letters offer a case study of the impact of the Patriot Act outside the spotlight of political debate. Drafted in haste after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, the law's 132 pages wrought scores of changes in the landscape of intelligence and law enforcement. Many received far more attention than the amendments to a seemingly pedestrian power to review "transactional records." But few if any other provisions touch as many ordinary Americans without their knowledge.

Senior FBI officials acknowledged in interviews that the proliferation of national security letters results primarily from the bureau's new authority to collect intimate facts about people who are not suspected of any wrongdoing. Criticized for failure to detect the Sept. 11 plot, the bureau now casts a much wider net, using national security letters to generate leads as well as to pursue them. Casual or unwitting contact with a suspect -- a single telephone call, for example -- may attract the attention of investigators and subject a person to scrutiny about which he never learns.

A national security letter cannot be used to authorize eavesdropping or to read the contents of e-mail. But it does permit investigators to trace revealing paths through the private affairs of a modern digital citizen. The records it yields describe where a person makes and spends money, with whom he lives and lived before, how much he gambles, what he buys online, what he pawns and borrows, where he travels, how he invests, what he searches for and reads on the Web, and who telephones or e-mails him at home and at work.

As it wrote the Patriot Act four years ago, Congress bought time and leverage for oversight by placing an expiration date on 16 provisions. The changes involving national security letters were not among them. In fact, as the Dec. 31 deadline approaches and Congress prepares to renew or make permanent the expiring provisions, House and Senate conferees are poised again to amplify the FBI's power to compel the secret surrender of private records.

The House and Senate have voted to make noncompliance with a national security letter a criminal offense. The House would also impose a prison term for breach of secrecy.

Like many Patriot Act provisions, the ones involving national security letters have been debated in largely abstract terms. The Justice Department has offered Congress no concrete information, even in classified form, save for a partial count of the number of letters delivered. The statistics do not cover all forms of national security letters or all U.S. agencies making use of them.

"The beef with the NSLs is that they don't have even a pretense of judicial or impartial scrutiny," said former representative Robert L. Barr Jr. (Ga.), who finds himself allied with the American Civil Liberties Union after a career as prosecutor, CIA analyst and conservative GOP stalwart. "There's no checks and balances whatever on them. It is simply some bureaucrat's decision that they want information, and they can basically just go and get it."

'A Routine Tool'

Career investigators and Bush administration officials emphasized, in congressional testimony and interviews for this story, that national security letters are for hunting terrorists, not fishing through the private lives of the innocent. The distinction is not as clear in practice.

Under the old legal test, the FBI had to have "specific and articulable" reasons to believe the records it gathered in secret belonged to a terrorist or a spy. Now the bureau needs only to certify that the records are "sought for" or "relevant to" an investigation "to protect against international terrorism or clandestine intelligence activities."

That standard enables investigators to look for conspirators by sifting the records of nearly anyone who crosses a suspect's path.

"If you have a list of, say, 20 telephone numbers that have come up . . . on a bad guy's telephone," said Valerie E. Caproni, the FBI's general counsel, "you want to find out who he's in contact with." Investigators will say, " 'Okay, phone company, give us subscriber information and toll records on these 20 telephone numbers,' and that can easily be 100."

Bush administration officials compare national security letters to grand jury subpoenas, which are also based on "relevance" to an inquiry. There are differences. Grand juries tend to have a narrower focus because they investigate past conduct, not the speculative threat of unknown future attacks. Recipients of grand jury subpoenas are generally free to discuss the subpoenas publicly. And there are strict limits on sharing grand jury information with government agencies.

Since the Patriot Act, the FBI has dispersed the authority to sign national security letters to more than five dozen supervisors -- the special agents in charge of field offices, the deputies in New York, Los Angeles and Washington, and a few senior headquarters officials. FBI rules established after the Patriot Act allow the letters to be issued long before a case is judged substantial enough for a "full field investigation." Agents commonly use the letters now in "preliminary investigations" and in the "threat assessments" that precede a decision whether to launch an investigation.

"Congress has given us this tool to obtain basic telephone data, basic banking data, basic credit reports," said Caproni, who is among the officials with signature authority. "The fact that a national security letter is a routine tool used, that doesn't bother me."

If agents had to wait for grounds to suspect a person of ill intent, said Joseph Billy Jr., the FBI's deputy assistant director for counterterrorism, they would already know what they want to find out with a national security letter. "It's all chicken and egg," he said. "We're trying to determine if someone warrants scrutiny or doesn't."

Billy said he understands that "merely being in a government or FBI database . . . gives everybody, you know, neck hair standing up." Innocent Americans, he said, "should take comfort at least knowing that it is done under a great deal of investigative care, oversight, within the parameters of the law."

He added: "That's not going to satisfy a majority of people, but . . . I've had people say, you know, 'Hey, I don't care, I've done nothing to be concerned about. You can have me in your files and that's that.' Some people take that approach."

'Don't Go Overboard'

In Room 7975 of the J. Edgar Hoover Building, around two corners from the director's suite, the chief of the FBI's national security law unit sat down at his keyboard about a month after the Patriot Act became law. Michael J. Woods had helped devise the FBI wish list for surveillance powers. Now he offered a caution.

"NSLs are powerful investigative tools, in that they can compel the production of substantial amounts of relevant information," he wrote in a Nov. 28, 2001, "electronic communication" to the FBI's 56 field offices. "However, they must be used judiciously." Standing guidelines, he wrote, "require that the FBI accomplish its investigations through the 'least intrusive' means. . . . The greater availability of NSLs does not mean that they should be used in every case."

Woods, who left government service in 2002, added a practical consideration. Legislators granted the new authority and could as easily take it back. When making that decision, he wrote, "Congress certainly will examine the manner in which the FBI exercised it."

Looking back last month, Woods was struck by how starkly he misjudged the climate. The FBI disregarded his warning, and no one noticed.

"This is not something that should be automatically done because it's easy," he said. "We need to be sure . . . we don't go overboard."

One thing Woods did not anticipate was then-Attorney General John D. Ashcroft's revision of Justice Department guidelines. On May 30, 2002, and Oct. 31, 2003, Ashcroft rewrote the playbooks for investigations of terrorist crimes and national security threats. He gave overriding priority to preventing attacks by any means available.

Ashcroft remained bound by Executive Order 12333, which requires the use of the "least intrusive means" in domestic intelligence investigations. But his new interpretation came close to upending the mandate. Three times in the new guidelines, Ashcroft wrote that the FBI "should consider . . . less intrusive means" but "should not hesitate to use any lawful techniques . . . even if intrusive" when investigators believe them to be more timely. "This point," he added, "is to be particularly observed in investigations relating to terrorist activities."

'Why Do You Want to Know?'

As the Justice Department prepared congressional testimony this year, FBI headquarters searched for examples that would show how expanded surveillance powers made a difference. Michael Mason, who runs the Washington field office and has the rank of assistant FBI director, found no ready answer.

"I'd love to have a made-for-Hollywood story, but I don't have one," Mason said. "I am not even sure such an example exists."

What national security letters give his agents, Mason said, is speed.

"I have 675 terrorism cases," he said. "Every one of these is a potential threat. And anything I can do to get to the bottom of any one of them more quickly gets me closer to neutralizing a potential threat."

Because recipients are permanently barred from disclosing the letters, outsiders can make no assessment of their relevance to Mason's task.

Woods, the former FBI lawyer, said secrecy is essential when an investigation begins because "it would defeat the whole purpose" to tip off a suspected terrorist or spy, but national security seldom requires that the secret be kept forever. Even mobster "John Gotti finds out eventually that he was wiretapped" in a criminal probe, said Peter Swire, the federal government's chief privacy counselor until 2001. "Anyone caught up in an NSL investigation never gets notice."

To establish the "relevance" of the information they seek, agents face a test so basic it is hard to come up with a plausible way to fail. A model request for a supervisor's signature, according to internal FBI guidelines, offers this one-sentence suggestion: "This subscriber information is being requested to determine the individuals or entities that the subject has been in contact with during the past six months."

Edward L. Williams, the chief division counsel in Mason's office, said that supervisors, in practice, "aren't afraid to ask . . . 'Why do you want to know?' " He would not say how many requests, if any, are rejected.

'The Abuse Is in the Power Itself'

Those who favor the new rules maintain -- as Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.), chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, put it in a prepared statement -- that "there has not been one substantiated allegation of abuse of these lawful intelligence tools."

What the Bush administration means by abuse is unauthorized use of surveillance data -- for example, to blackmail an enemy or track an estranged spouse. Critics are focused elsewhere. What troubles them is not unofficial abuse but the official and routine intrusion into private lives.

To Jeffrey Breinholt, deputy chief of the Justice Department's counterterrorism section, the civil liberties objections "are eccentric." Data collection on the innocent, he said, does no harm unless "someone [decides] to act on the information, put you on a no-fly list or something." Only a serious error, he said, could lead the government, based on nothing more than someone's bank or phone records, "to freeze your assets or go after you criminally and you suffer consequences that are irreparable." He added: "It's a pretty small chance."

"I don't necessarily want somebody knowing what videos I rent or the fact that I like cartoons," said Mason, the Washington field office chief. But if those records "are never used against a person, if they're never used to put him in jail, or deprive him of a vote, et cetera, then what is the argument?"

Barr, the former congressman, said that "the abuse is in the power itself."

"As a conservative," he said, "I really resent an administration that calls itself conservative taking the position that the burden is on the citizen to show the government has abused power, and otherwise shut up and comply."

At the ACLU, staff attorney Jameel Jaffer spoke of "the profound chilling effect" of this kind of surveillance: "If the government monitors the Web sites that people visit and the books that they read, people will stop visiting disfavored Web sites and stop reading disfavored books. The FBI should not have unchecked authority to keep track of who visits [al-Jazeera's Web site] or who visits the Web site of the Federalist Society."

Links in a Chain

Ready access to national security letters allows investigators to employ them routinely for "contact chaining."

"Starting with your bad guy and his telephone number and looking at who he's calling, and [then] who they're calling," the number of people surveilled "goes up exponentially," acknowledged Caproni, the FBI's general counsel.

But Caproni said it would not be rational for the bureau to follow the chain too far. "Everybody's connected" if investigators keep tracing calls "far enough away from your targeted bad guy," she said. "What's the point of that?"

One point is to fill government data banks for another investigative technique. That one is called "link analysis," a practice Caproni would neither confirm nor deny.

Two years ago, Ashcroft rescinded a 1995 guideline directing that information obtained through a national security letter about a U.S. citizen or resident "shall be destroyed by the FBI and not further disseminated" if it proves "not relevant to the purposes for which it was collected." Ashcroft's new order was that "the FBI shall retain" all records it collects and "may disseminate" them freely among federal agencies.

The same order directed the FBI to develop "data mining" technology to probe for hidden links among the people in its growing cache of electronic files. According to an FBI status report, the bureau's office of intelligence began operating in January 2004 a new Investigative Data Warehouse, based on the same Oracle technology used by the CIA. The CIA is generally forbidden to keep such files on Americans.

Data mining intensifies the impact of national security letters, because anyone's personal files can be scrutinized again and again without a fresh need to establish relevance.

"The composite picture of a person which emerges from transactional information is more telling than the direct content of your speech," said Woods, the former FBI lawyer. "That's certainly not been lost on the intelligence community and the FBI."

Ashcroft's new guidelines allowed the FBI for the first time to add to government files consumer data from commercial providers such as LexisNexis and ChoicePoint Inc. Previous attorneys general had decided that such a move would violate the Privacy Act. In many field offices, agents said, they now have access to ChoicePoint in their squad rooms.

What national security letters add to government data banks is information that no commercial service can lawfully possess. Strict privacy laws, for example, govern financial and communications records. National security letters -- along with the more powerful but much less frequently used secret subpoenas from the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Court -- override them.

'What Happens in Vegas'

The bureau displayed its ambition for data mining in an emergency operation at the end of 2003.

The Department of Homeland Security declared an orange alert on Dec. 21 of that year, in part because of intelligence that hinted at a New Year's Eve attack in Las Vegas. The identities of the plotters were unknown.

The FBI sent Gurvais Grigg, chief of the bureau's little-known Proactive Data Exploitation Unit, in an audacious effort to assemble a real-time census of every visitor in the nation's most-visited city. An average of about 300,000 tourists a day stayed an average of four days each, presenting Grigg's team with close to a million potential suspects in the ensuing two weeks.

A former stockbroker with a degree in biochemistry, Grigg declined to be interviewed. Government and private sector sources who followed the operation described epic efforts to vacuum up information.

An interagency task force began pulling together the records of every hotel guest, everyone who rented a car or truck, every lease on a storage space, and every airplane passenger who landed in the city. Grigg's unit filtered that population for leads. Any link to the known terrorist universe -- a shared address or utility account, a check deposited, a telephone call -- could give investigators a start.

"It was basically a manhunt, and in circumstances where there is a manhunt, the most effective way of doing that was to scoop up a lot of third party data and compare it to other data we were getting," Breinholt said.

Investigators began with emergency requests for help from the city's sprawling hospitality industry. "A lot of it was done voluntary at first," said Billy, the deputy assistant FBI director.

According to others directly involved, investigators turned to national security letters and grand jury subpoenas when friendly persuasion did not work.

Early in the operation, according to participants, the FBI gathered casino executives and asked for guest lists. The MGM Mirage company, followed by others, balked.

"Some casinos were saying no to consent [and said], 'You have to produce a piece of paper,' " said Jeff Jonas, chief scientist at IBM Entity Analytics, who previously built data management systems for casino surveillance. "They don't just market 'What happens in Vegas stays in Vegas.' They want it to be true."

The operation remained secret for about a week. Then casino sources told Rod Smith, gaming editor of the Las Vegas Review-Journal, that the FBI had served national security letters on them. In an interview for this article, one former casino executive confirmed the use of a national security letter. Details remain elusive. Some law enforcement officials, speaking on the condition of anonymity because they had not been authorized to divulge particulars, said they relied primarily on grand jury subpoenas. One said in an interview that national security letters may eventually have been withdrawn. Agents encouraged voluntary disclosures, he said, by raising the prospect that the FBI would use the letters to gather something more sensitive: the gambling profiles of casino guests. Caproni declined to confirm or deny that account.

What happened in Vegas stayed in federal data banks. Under Ashcroft's revised policy, none of the information has been purged. For every visitor, Breinholt said, "the record of the Las Vegas hotel room would still exist."

Grigg's operation found no suspect, and the orange alert ended on Jan. 10, 2004."The whole thing washed out," one participant said.

'Of Interest to President Bush'

At around the time the FBI found George Christian in Connecticut, agents from the bureau's Charlotte field office paid an urgent call on the chemical engineering department at North Carolina State University in Raleigh. They were looking for information about a former student named Magdy Nashar, then suspected in the July 7 London subway bombing but since cleared of suspicion.

University officials said in interviews late last month that the FBI tried to use a national security letter to demand much more information than the law allows.

David T. Drooz, the university's senior associate counsel, said special authority is required for the surrender of records protected by educational and medical privacy. The FBI's first request, a July 14 grand jury subpoena, did not appear to supply that authority, Drooz said, and the university did not honor it. Referring to notes he took that day, Drooz said Eric Davis, the FBI's top lawyer in Charlotte, "was focused very much on the urgency" and "he even indicated the case was of interest to President Bush."

The next day, July 15, FBI agents arrived with a national security letter. Drooz said it demanded all records of Nashar's admission, housing, emergency contacts, use of health services and extracurricular activities. University lawyers "looked up what law we could on the fly," he said. They discovered that the FBI was demanding files that national security letters have no power to obtain. The statute the FBI cited that day covers only telephone and Internet records.

"We're very eager to comply with the authorities in this regard, but we needed to have what we felt was a legally valid procedure," said Larry A. Neilsen, the university provost.

Soon afterward, the FBI returned with a new subpoena. It was the same as the first one, Drooz said, and the university still had doubts about its legal sufficiency. This time, however, it came from New York and summoned Drooz to appear personally. The tactic was "a bit heavy-handed," Drooz said, "the implication being you're subject to contempt of court." Drooz surrendered the records.

The FBI's Charlotte office referred questions to headquarters. A high-ranking FBI official, who spoke on the condition of anonymity, acknowledged that the field office erred in attempting to use a national security letter. Investigators, he said, "were in a big hurry for obvious reasons" and did not approach the university "in the exact right way."

'Unreasonable' or 'Oppressive'

The electronic docket in the Connecticut case, as the New York Times first reported, briefly titled the lawsuit Library Connection Inc. v. Gonzales . Because identifying details were not supposed to be left in the public file, the court soon replaced the plaintiff's name with "John Doe."

George Christian, Library Connection's executive director, is identified in his affidavit as "John Doe 2." In that sworn statement, he said people often come to libraries for information that is "highly sensitive, embarrassing or personal." He wanted to fight the FBI but feared calling a lawyer because the letter said he could not disclose its existence to "any person." He consulted Peter Chase, vice president of Library Connection and chairman of a state intellectual freedom committee. Chase -- "John Doe 1" in his affidavit -- advised Christian to call the ACLU. Reached by telephone at their homes, both men declined to be interviewed.

U.S. District Judge Janet C. Hall ruled in September that the FBI gag order violates Christian's, and Library Connection's, First Amendment rights. A three-judge panel heard oral argument on Wednesday in the government's appeal.

The central facts remain opaque, even to the judges, because the FBI is not obliged to describe what it is looking for, or why. During oral argument in open court on Aug. 31, Hall said one government explanation was so vague that "if I were to say it out loud, I would get quite a laugh here." After the government elaborated in a classified brief delivered for her eyes only, she wrote in her decision that it offered "nothing specific."

The Justice Department tried to conceal the existence of the first and only other known lawsuit against a national security letter, also brought by the ACLU's Jaffer and Ann Beeson. Government lawyers opposed its entry into the public docket of a New York federal judge. They have since tried to censor nearly all the contents of the exhibits and briefs. They asked the judge, for example, to black out every line of the affidavit that describes the delivery of the national security letter to a New York Internet company, including, "I am a Special Agent of the Federal Bureau of Investigation ('FBI')."

U.S. District Judge Victor Marrero, in a ruling that is under appeal, held that the law authorizing national security letters violates the First and Fourth Amendments.

Resistance to national security letters is rare. Most of them are served on large companies in highly regulated industries, with business interests that favor cooperation. The in-house lawyers who handle such cases, said Jim Dempsey, executive director of the Center for Democracy and Technology, "are often former prosecutors -- instinctively pro-government but also instinctively by-the-books." National security letters give them a shield against liability to their customers.

Kenneth M. Breen, a partner at the New York law firm Fulbright & Jaworski, held a seminar for corporate lawyers one recent evening to explain the "significant risks for the non-compliant" in government counterterrorism investigations. A former federal prosecutor, Breen said failure to provide the required information could create "the perception that your company didn't live up to its duty to fight terrorism" and could invite class-action lawsuits from the families of terrorism victims. In extreme cases, he said, a business could face criminal prosecution, "a 'death sentence' for certain kinds of companies."

The volume of government information demands, even so, has provoked a backlash. Several major business groups, including the National Association of Manufacturers and the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, complained in an Oct. 4 letter to senators that customer records can "too easily be obtained and disseminated" around the government. National security letters, they wrote, have begun to impose an "expensive and time-consuming burden" on business.

The House and Senate bills renewing the Patriot Act do not tighten privacy protections, but they offer a concession to business interests. In both bills, a judge may modify a national security letter if it imposes an "unreasonable" or "oppressive" burden on the company that is asked for information.

'A Legitimate Question'

As national security letters have grown in number and importance, oversight has not kept up. In each house of Congress, jurisdiction is divided between the judiciary and intelligence committees. None of the four Republican chairmen agreed to be interviewed.

Roberts, the Senate intelligence chairman, said in a statement issued through his staff that "the committee is well aware of the intelligence value of the information that is lawfully collected under these national security letter authorities," which he described as "non-intrusive" and "crucial to tracking terrorist networks and detecting clandestine intelligence activities." Senators receive "valuable reporting by the FBI," he said, in "semi-annual reports [that] provide the committee with the information necessary to conduct effective oversight."

Roberts was referring to the Justice Department's classified statistics, which in fact have been delivered three times in four years. They include the following information: how many times the FBI issued national security letters; whether the letters sought financial, credit or communications records; and how many of the targets were "U.S. persons." The statistics omit one whole category of FBI national security letters and also do not count letters issued by the Defense Department and other agencies.

Committee members have occasionally asked to see a sampling of national security letters, a description of their fruits or examples of their contribution to a particular case. The Justice Department has not obliged.

In 2004, the conference report attached to the intelligence authorization bill asked the attorney general to "include in his next semiannual report" a description of "the scope of such letters" and the "process and standards for approving" them. More than a year has passed without a Justice Department reply.

"The committee chairman has the power to issue subpoenas" for information from the executive branch, said Rep. Zoe Lofgren (D-Calif.), a House Judiciary Committee member. "The minority has no power to compel, and . . . Republicans are not going to push for oversight of the Republicans. That's the story of this Congress."

In the executive branch, no FBI or Justice Department official audits the use of national security letters to assess whether they are appropriately targeted, lawfully applied or contribute important facts to an investigation.

Justice Department officials noted frequently this year that Inspector General Glenn A. Fine reports twice a year on abuses of the Patriot Act and has yet to substantiate any complaint. (One investigation is pending.) Fine advertises his role, but there is a puzzle built into the mandate. Under what scenario could a person protest a search of his personal records if he is never notified?

"We do rely upon complaints coming in," Fine said in House testimony in May. He added: "To the extent that people do not know of anything happening to them, there is an issue about whether they can complain. So, I think that's a legitimate question."

Asked more recently whether Fine's office has conducted an independent examination of national security letters, Deputy Inspector General Paul K. Martin said in an interview: "We have not initiated a broad-based review that examines the use of specific provisions of the Patriot Act."

At the FBI, senior officials said the most important check on their power is that Congress is watching.

"People have to depend on their elected representatives to do the job of oversight they were elected to do," Caproni said. "And we think they do a fine job of it."

Researcher Julie Tate and research editor Lucy Shackelford contributed to this report.


© 2005 The Washington Post Company
Snuffysmith
In Ohio, The War Matters Most

By David S. Broder

COLUMBUS, Ohio -- A year after the close Ohio vote gave President Bush his second term in the White House, I came back to the capital of this battleground state last week as part of a team of Post reporters interviewing voters in various areas of the country.

Before heading to my precincts, I stopped by the office of a prominent Republican I had known for many years and asked him what he thought I would hear about Bush that afternoon. His answer was succinct: "It's lucky he's not on the ballot this year."

Public and private polls confirm that, as usual, Ohio is an accurate barometer of the national political trends. Bush has slumped badly here, as he has across the country. Ohio adds its own twists to the national story. Some sectors of the economy have shown improvement in the past year. But a series of financial scandals has hit the dominant GOP, and embattled Republican Gov. Bob Taft is suffering from pathetically low approval ratings after admitting that he was slow in reporting free golf outings and other favors from lobbyists. Democrats, who have lost every statewide contest in recent years, sense an opportunity for a comeback in next year's races for governor and senator.

But the dominant factor in the changed political climate -- identified by my Republican friend and confirmed by the voter interviews -- is the war in Iraq. He reminded me that nine Marines from a Columbus-based unit had been ambushed and killed in a single attack in August and that five other Marines from the Cleveland suburb of Brook Park had met a similar fate earlier that same week.

Those deaths are much more personal -- and the wounds much deeper -- than the damage to the president's support that has been caused by any of the more recent controversies roiling the waters in Washington. The ups and downs of Bush's various Supreme Court choices, John Roberts, Harriet Miers and Samuel Alito, have prompted little curiosity among the voters I met.

The plight of Hurricane Katrina's victims does stir their sympathy, but these voters have little patience for trying to sort out the responsibility for the mess in New Orleans among all the officials -- local, state and national -- involved.

As for the indictment of I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby, Vice President Cheney's main man, for allegedly lying to the grand jury investigating the "outing" of Valerie Plame, it might as well be happening on another planet. More often than not, voters say they know something of what has happened, but as they start to describe their reactions, they find themselves saying that they are not sure who was doing what -- or why. Except for an occasional Democratic partisan, I found no one who was upset with Bush for the actions in his official family -- or for the president's silence on the subject up through the time these interviews were being conducted.

But the war is something else. The Republican friend, who is a true Bush loyalist, said he feared that Iraq is splitting this country in a fashion all too familiar from the days of the Vietnam War.

"The opponents of the war are increasingly vocal," he said, "and they want the troops out now, and to hell with the consequences."

But, he said, "I'm also hearing more voices on the other side saying: Let's go in with guns blazing and win this thing, once and for all, so we can get out. People are saying, 'We've got to tell the Sunnis to clean out the insurgents -- or else.' I've heard people say we ought to surround those Sunni villages where the fighters are hiding, give them 24 hours to get out and then level every building, so they can't come back."

"What people can't stand," he said, "is this unending story of two or three more Americans dying every day -- and nothing to show that the end is in sight."

Far more than anything else, the voices in Columbus suggest that the president's biggest problem -- and therefore the Republicans' biggest worry -- is the unresolved and uncertain struggle in Iraq. Bring it to some sort of satisfactory conclusion, and all the other issues confronting the administration at home and abroad probably become manageable. But let it drag on for another year of deaths and frustrations, and you are really tempting the fates.

davidbroder@washpost.com


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Newly Released Data Undercut Prewar Claims

By Walter Pincus

In February 2002, the Defense Intelligence Agency questioned the reliability of a captured top al Qaeda operative whose allegations became the basis of Bush administration claims that terrorists had been trained in the use of chemical and biological weapons in Iraq, according to declassified material released by Sen. Carl M. Levin (D-Mich.).

Referring to the first interrogation report on al Qaeda senior military trainer Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi, the DIA took note that the Libyan terrorist could not name any Iraqis involved, any chemical or biological material used or where the training occurred. As a result, "it is more likely this individual is intentionally misleading the debriefers," a DIA report concluded.

In fact, in January 2004 al-Libi recanted his claims, and in February 2004 the CIA withdrew all intelligence reports based on his information. By then, the United States and its coalition partners had invaded Iraq.

Levin, ranking Democrat on the Senate Armed Services Committee, said he arranged for the material to be declassified by the DIA last month. At the same time that the administration was linking Baghdad to al Qaeda, he said, the DIA and other intelligence agencies were privately raising questions about the sources underlying the claims.

Since then, Levin said in an interview Friday, almost all government intelligence on whether Iraq pursued or possessed weapons of mass destruction has proved faulty. In addition to the allegation of training terrorists loyal to Osama bin Laden, there were government claims that then-Iraq President Saddam Hussein had stocks of chemical and biological weapons, that he had reconstituted his nuclear weapons programs, and that unmanned airborne vehicles posed a threat, Levin said.

He said that he could not be certain that White House officials read the DIA report, but his "presumption" was that someone at the National Security Council saw it because it was sent there.

Administration officials declined to comment for this article.

Levin noted in a prepared statement that, beginning in September 2002, President Bush, Vice President Cheney, then-national security adviser Condoleezza Rice, then-CIA Director George J. Tenet, and then-Secretary of State Colin L. Powell used the alleged chemical and biological training by Baghdad as valid intelligence in speeches and public appearances to gather support for the Iraq war.

In none of the speeches or appearances was reference made to the DIA questioning the reliability of the source of the claims, Levin said. The doubts about al-Libi were contained in the DIA's February 2002 "Defense Intelligence Terrorist Summary,"which was sent to the White House and the National Security Council and circulated among U.S. intelligence agencies.

"The newly declassified information provides additional dramatic evidence that the administration's prewar statements regarding links between Saddam Hussein and al Qaeda represents an incredible deception," Levin said.

Levin pointed specifically to an Oct. 7, 2002, speech in which the president outlined what he said was the "grave threat" from Iraq days before the House and Senate voted on a resolution giving him the authority to go to war.

"We've learned that Iraq has trained al Qaeda members in bomb-making and poisons and deadly gases," Bush said, an assertion that was based, according to Levin, primarily on al-Libi's material. Other less important intelligence on the training of al Qaeda members, carried in the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence report on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction programs, also came from questionable sources, Levin said.

Bush also said in his October 2002 speech: "We know that Iraq and al Qaeda have had high-level contacts that go back a decade." Levin said the DIA's declassified February 2002 report points out that "Saddam's regime is intensely secular and wary of Islamic revolutionary movements. Moreover, Baghdad is unlikely to provide assistance to a group it cannot control."

"Just imagine," Levin said, "the public impact of that DIA conclusion if it had been disclosed at the time. It surely could have made a difference in the congressional vote authorizing the war."

Levin also pointed out that before the war, the CIA had its own reservations about al-Libi, although the agency did not note them in its publicly distributed unclassified statements. In those, Levin said, it described the source -- without naming al-Libi -- as "credible." In the classified version, however, the CIA added that the source "was not in a position to know if any training had taken place."

Levin said: "Imagine if the president or the others had added that the source of the information might have been making it up for his questioners or wasn't in a position to know. . . . Would he have delivered that in his speech?"

Levin said he first obtained the DIA document as part of his continuing investigation as an Armed Services panel member into intelligence activities that took place within the office of Undersecretary of Defense Douglas J. Feith after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks. Feith's Office of Special Plans undertook a review and analyses of prewar al Qaeda intelligence.

Levin said Friday that he was not aware whether the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, on which he also serves, has the document. That panel did not have the DIA document in July 2004 when it completed its Phase 1 report on Iraq's weapons of mass destruction programs.

The committee is now conducting its second-phase investigation of the use of Iraq intelligence, one part of which is to compare prewar public statements by officials and members of Congress with the information known at the time.

Levin took part in a news conference Friday with two other intelligence committee Democrats in which they raised questions about whether the panel had received all the classified material on Iraq, including the February 2002 DIA publication, that Bush administration officials had when they made their public statements.

At that news conference, Levin urged that the process be slowed down to make sure the committee had gathered all the intelligence material.


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No Bush-Chalabi meeting: White House
Published: 11/5/2005
Latest wire from AFP

MAR DEL PLATA - Iraqi Deputy Prime Minister Ahmad Chalabi will not meet with US President George W. Bush during a trip to Washington late this month, the White House said Saturday.

"As campaigns for the December 15 elections are now underway, the president will not be meeting with visiting Iraqi candidates until the election is over," said Fred Jones, spokesman for Bush's national security council.

Chalabi, who assumed a top post in Iraq's new government after earlier falling from grace in the United States, will meet with US Treasury Secretary John Snow and US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, he said.

"Visiting officials will of course meet with their appropriate counterparts," Jones said as Bush attended the 34-nation Summit of the Americas here ahead of stops in Brazil and Panama.

US officials say Chalabi is a "viable" candidate for prime minister of Iraq in the upcoming elections. It was not clear whether he would meet with national security adviser Stephen Hadley.

Chalabi, who vehemently opposed the regime of Saddam Hussein from exile, was once a Pentagon favorite who provided volunteers for the embryo of an Iraqi force during the 2003 US-led invasion.

But he fell out of US favor amid charges last year that he traded US intelligence to Iran. He also faces a jail sentence handed down in absentia by a Jordanian court for embezzling bank funds in 1992.

Chalabi bounced back as a faction leader in the United Iraqi Alliance, the biggest bloc in the Iraqi assembly elected in January. In addition to serving as deputy prime minister, he has temporarily taken over the key oil portfolio.
Snuffysmith
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Some Debate Whether Rove Should Retain Top-Secret Clearance
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By Peter Wallsten and Tom Hamburger
Times Staff Writers

November 5 2005, 6:14 PM PST

WASHINGTON; An intelligence analyst temporarily lost his top-secret security clearance because he faxed his resume using a commercial machine.

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Asia's Power Surging at U.S. Expense
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Trade ties with booming China and India offer weaker nations an alternative to depending on America for economy, protection.

By Tyler Marshall
Times Staff Writer

November 5 2005, 6:24 PM PST

WASHINGTON; As the Bush administration struggles to combat the threat of international terrorism, a far quieter force is challenging America's global influence: the growing economic clout of Asia.

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THE NATION
Senate Panel Squabbles Over Inquiry
The usually cordial Intelligence Committee is split along party lines on the progress of a report on prewar claims about Iraq's weapons.
By Greg Miller
Times Staff Writer

November 5, 2005

WASHINGTON — Republicans and Democrats are locked in what a senior GOP congressional aide described as a "fundamental disagreement" over how to proceed with the Senate Intelligence Committee's inquiry into whether administration officials misused intelligence in making the case for war against Iraq.

The discord centers on the process for determining whether the officials exaggerated the threat posed by Iraq.

Tensions over that issue flared anew Friday, as members of both parties criticized their counterparts just days after Democrats forced a virtual shutdown of the Senate to protest what they described as Republican efforts to impede the politically charged probe.

"We are finally now going to dig into the serious issues of how this administration used or misused intelligence in making the case for going to war," said Sen. John D. Rockefeller IV, the Intelligence Committee's ranking Democrat. Rockefeller said he questioned the GOP's commitment to a thorough probe.

Sen. Pat Roberts (R-Kan.), the committee's chairman, responded with a statement accusing Democrats of grandstanding rather than working to complete the investigation, which represents the second phase of a broad inquiry on intelligence failures concerning Iraq.

"I understand the minority has held yet another press conference today," Roberts said. "If they would work so hard on getting Phase II completed, we might be done by now. This senator has been and is ready to roll up his sleeves and get going."

Such partisan rancor is rare on the Intelligence Committee, which has a tradition of operating more collegially than most congressional panels because it deals with classified matters that often have national security implications.

But the Iraq probe is particularly sensitive because it threatens to draw fresh attention to the Bush administration's prewar claims at a time when polling data suggest the public is increasingly disenchanted with the war.

The tensions also have been heightened by the Oct. 28 indictment of a senior White House official, I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby, who played a key role in assembling the administration's arguments for invading Iraq. He is charged with lying to a federal grand jury in a CIA leak probe. Critics say the leaking of a CIA agent's name was meant to discredit her husband, a diplomat who accused the administration of twisting pre-war intelligence.

Roberts has scheduled a series of committee meetings next week to grapple with how to complete his panel's probe. Each party has named three senators to an informal task force to decide by Nov. 14 how to proceed.

The dispute stems from an inquiry launched nearly two years ago, as it became clear Iraq did not have weapons of mass destruction. In July 2004, the committee issued a 500-page report that sharply criticized the CIA and other U.S. intelligence agencies for erroneous assessments on Iraq's alleged weapons programs. Under an agreement negotiated at the time, the second phase of the investigation was put off until after the 2004 presidential election. The Intelligence Committee's staff director, Bill Duhnke, told reporters Friday that the committee had assembled about 480 statements by administration officials and members of Congress, as well as statements in the 1990s by Clinton administration officials.

He said the panel's staff also collected language from intelligence reports to compare with the statements by officials. But the two parties are at odds over how to determine whether the statements of policymakers were warranted.

"There is a fundamental disagreement between the vice chairman and the chairman over who should make that determination," Duhnke said.

Democrats have urged that committee staff make preliminary judgments that could then be considered by the senators. But Roberts has opposed that approach, arguing that it would not be appropriate for congressional aides to weigh the words of top elected officials, including President Bush and Vice President Dick Cheney.

Roberts' position, Duhnke said, is that "no way is staff going to pass judgment about members of Congress or the president."

He also said that in his view, such an undertaking was highly subjective and ought to be handled by lawmakers.

Duhnke said that of the statements assembled for scrutiny, about 330 were compiled by Democratic members of the committee, and all represented claims by Bush or other members of his administration. The remainder of the list includes about 100 statements by members of Congress — evenly split between Democrats and Republicans — as well as comments by Clinton administration officials.

Duhnke said Roberts' plan called for committee members to evaluate statements without the names of the speakers attached, to guard against partisanship. If necessary, Duhnke said, the committee could hold a vote on each claim to determine whether it appears to have been substantiated by intelligence available at the time. The results would then be presented in a public report that would carry the names of officials and their comments.

Democrats have balked at that plan, saying staff members should make initial determinations on the validity of officials' comments, just as they rendered preliminary judgments on whether the words contained in prewar intelligence reports were warranted. Senators could then endorse or alter the staff's conclusions.

Having committee members wrangle over hundreds of statements "doesn't seem like a productive use of U.S. senators' time," said a Democratic aide, who spoke on condition of anonymity when discussing the issue.

The aide said some questioned whether Republicans intended for the process to become hopelessly bogged down. "Maybe they want … people just to throw up their hands," the aide said.

Duhnke said committee staff had all but finished other portions of the Phase II report, including a section on whether U.S. intelligence agencies warned of potential troubles in postwar Iraq. That section could be presented to lawmakers as early as next week, he said.

Other topics still to be addressed include the use by the intelligence community of information and sources provided by the Iraqi National Congress, a group led by former Iraqi exile leader Ahmad Chalabi that had ties to senior administration officials and spent years agitating for U.S. intervention in Iraq.

Copyright 2005 Los Angeles Times
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Sentries in U.S. Seek Early Signs of the Avian Flu

Peter DaSilva for The New York Times
Dr. Walter M. Boyce, left, and Grace Y. Lee of the University of California, Davis, took a swab from a magpie last month as part of a national effort.

By DONALD G. McNEIL Jr.
Published: November 6, 2005
DAVIS, Calif. - Bang! Inside an improvised duck blind - her parked car - Grace Y. Lee presses a switch, and her gun blasts a square of light volleyball net over the dirt road she is watching.

Peter DaSilva for The New York Times
A technician examines a healthy egg before injecting it with a sample from a wild bird. If the egg dies, an infection is present.

One of the two magpies she has baited into range with cornbread, cheese-flavored rice snacks and dog food is snagged, flopping furiously around.

"We mostly catch the young ones," Ms. Lee said. "These birds are too smart to be caught again. We get them once, and they don't shop here anymore."

With the country waiting nervously for avian flu to arrive, catching wild birds is no hobby. It has become part of a national early detection effort, and Ms. Lee, a researcher at the University of California here, is a sentry on the country's epidemiological ramparts.

She is one of hundreds of ornithologists, veterinarians, amateur bird-watchers, park rangers and others being recruited by the National Wildlife Health Center to join a surveillance effort along the major American migratory flyways. They will test wild birds caught in nets; birds shot by hunters on public lands, who must check in with game wardens; and corpses from large bird die-offs in public parks or on beaches.

The plan also calls for sampling bodies of water for the influenza virus, which is shed in bird feces. And it is designating some ducks and geese - like those in backyard flocks or living year-round in park ponds - as "sentinels" to be captured, tested, released and periodically retested.

Surveillance of poultry is already in place. Long-standing federal and state laws require farmers to report deaths of birds from any flu strain. The surveillance system was worked out this summer by the Agriculture Department, which oversees poultry, and the wildlife health center in Madison, Wis., part of the Interior Department, which oversees wildlife - including migratory birds, which are thought to be the most likely entry route for the flu virus.

Dr. Christopher J. Brand, the center's research chief, estimated the cost at $10 million. [On Nov. 1, President Bush announced a $7.1 billion plan to guard against a flu pandemic; Dr. Brand said he hoped money for the surveillance system would come from that.] The sampling plan had a small test run this fall in Alaska, which Dr. Brand said was the obvious choice because of the flu's surprise appearance in Siberia in July. Birds from there mingle in the summer Arctic nesting grounds with birds that migrate down the North American coast.

Now the flu's recent crossing of Europe "has opened up more eyes," Dr. Brand said. It is unlikely that infected birds will cross the Atlantic, because most migrate north-south and the birds detected in Eastern Europe were from species that migrate to Africa. Still, Dr. Brand said, there is now talk of setting up a surveillance network for Greenland, eastern Canada and the East Coast.

The threat of avian flu has also sped a transformation that was begun by the fear of bioterrorism and fueled by the fight against West Nile virus: veterinarians and doctors, as well as the agencies overseeing them, are joining forces.

Previously, said Dr. William B. Karesh, head of the field veterinary program at the Wildlife Conservation Society, which runs the Bronx Zoo, the two fields almost never worked in tandem.

"Human medicine and veterinary medicine have advanced beautifully in the last 30 years, but they were not linked," Dr. Karesh said. That has always frustrated him, he said, because "diseases don't care which way they flow - there is a whole world of bacteria, viruses and fungi that move between wild animals, domestic animals and humans."

Dr. Karesh described once trying to get a research grant for surveillance of animal diseases that infect humans, known as zoonoses. The National Institutes of Health told him to apply to the Department of Agriculture, he said, and officials there sent him to the Fish and Wildlife Service, which told him it had no mandate to study disease.

"Then we went to Homeland Security, and they understood what we were talking about," Dr. Karesh said. "But they said: 'You're an orphan. No one does this.' And in their rankings, we're lower than people trying to blow up the subway in New York."

Now, instead of sharing information haphazardly and getting into jurisdictional disputes - problems that cropped up during the 2003 monkeypox outbreak and in surveillance for mad cow disease - health officials are writing plans that emphasize teamwork.

The United States still does far better at animal surveillance than most other countries because its medical and veterinary systems are each excellent and because outbreaks cannot be hushed up - as, for example, the SARS outbreak was in China.

But zoonoses fall into a gray area, and the 2003 monkeypox outbreak in the Midwest is a perfect example of what can go wrong, said Peter Daszak, director of the Consortium for Conservation Medicine at the Wildlife Trust, a group specializing in human-animal diseases.

The disease, related to smallpox but less deadly, arrived in a shipment of 18 Gambian giant pouched rats imported for a Chicago pet store, where they infected prairie dogs. By summer's end, there were 37 confirmed human cases - none fatal, but some scary - mostly among prairie-dog owners.

"Millions of live animals come into the country each year, and very few have really good surveillance," Dr. Daszak said. "Fish and Wildlife checks cargoes to see if they have endangered species, but it's the U.S.D.A. that does health checks, and they don't go unless it's an agricultural product, so the pet trade tends to get a pass."

"The C.D.C. does a great job with outbreak investigation, but that's after the fact," he said of the federal Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. "After monkeypox, they put a blanket ban on rodents from some West African countries. But who's looking at rodents from other places? Nobody. And that's a gap."

Surveillance for diseases in wild animals is particularly difficult, since they do not come to hospitals, are not watched by veterinarians and do not like to be caught.

In the case of the magpie in Davis, it took Ms. Lee and her boss, Dr. Walter M. Boyce, director of the university's Wildlife Health Center, more than 30 minutes to disentangle the bird, set up a lab table, zip themselves into disposable coveralls and get a beak swab, a feces swab and a blood sample before releasing the miffed-looking bird, which high-tailed it for the nearest tree.

Dr. Boyce also gets swabs from hunters' ducks, and his colleagues at the state-run agriculture laboratory on campus get them from poultry farms and from dead crows, jays and robins collected by city health departments on the watch for West Nile virus, which arrived in California earlier this year.

During the test run in Alaska, Dr. Jonathan Runstadler, a biology professor at the University of Alaska in Fairbanks, said he had collected nearly 5,000 fecal samples from ducks, geese, gulls and other shorebirds, owls and other raptors, and even songbirds.

With limited money, Dr. Runstadler could not mount his own bird-catching efforts, but university ornithologists and dedicated amateurs who study migratory patterns run what he called "ring and fling" leg-banding operations. "Our technicians and grad students go out with them, pull out a Q-Tip and say, 'Excuse me, can I take a sample here?' " he said.

Another difficulty is deciding which species to pursue. Dr. Karesh expressed frustration that no country with birds dead of flu, from China to Romania, had noted which healthy species were nearby, because survivors were the more likely carriers, he said.

Which explains why Ms. Lee was netting birds that live year-round in Davis.

It's "a bit of a maverick approach," Dr. Boyce admitted, but his theory is that scavengers like magpies, crows and cattle egrets are the most likely vectors for moving the virus from the millions of ducks flying down California's Central Valley each fall to domestic chicken farms.

American industrial farms have high levels of biosecurity, penning thousands of birds in hangar-size barns "that no self-respecting duck or goose is looking to get into," Dr. Boyce said, "but there's a lot of free food there for an opportunist."

Since scavengers also bathe in the ponds where ducks stop over and hang around humans' garbage cans, he said, "we're looking for flu in species that can make the link between wildfowl, poultry and people."
theglobalchinese
At Least 20 Dead After Ind., Ky. Tornado Guardian Unlimited
A tornado tore across western Kentucky and southwestern Indiana early Sunday, killing at least 20 people as it cut through a mobile home park and obliterated trailers and houses while residents slept. The tornado, estimated to have winds of at least 158 mph, hit a horse track near Henderson, Ky., then jumped the Ohio River into Indiana around 2 a.m. ``It was just a real loud roar. It didn't seem like it lasted over 45 seconds to a minute, then it was calm again,'' said Steve Gaiser, who lives near the Eastbrook Mobile Home Park in Evansville. At least 16 people were killed in the mobile home park, according to Eric Williams of the Vanderburgh County Sheriff's Department. Annie Groves, the county's chief deputy coroner, said people were still believed to be trapped in debris. National Guard units were called in to help with search-and-recovery efforts. "They were in trailer homes, homes that were just torn apart by the storm, so they're just now getting in there trying to find people,'' Groves said. "It's just terrible.'' Four other people were confirmed dead in neighboring Warrick County, east of Evansville, where the Ohio River city of Newburgh was hit. No deaths were immediately reported in Kentucky. The storm reduced homes to splinters and scattered debris across the countryside. Entire blocks of buildings were nothing but rubble. Indiana homeland security spokeswoman Pam Bright said about 100 of the 350 or so homes in at the Evansville mobile home park were destroyed and 125 others were damaged. Larry and Christie Brown rode out the storm inside their mobile home. "Man, it was more than words can say,'' Larry Brown said. "We opened the door and there wasn't anything sitting there.'' Chad Bennett, assistant fire chief in Newburgh, told CNN that sirens sounded, but most people didn't hear them because it happened in the middle of the night. The tornado developed in a line of thunderstorms that rolled rapidly eastward across the Ohio Valley. The National Weather Service had posted severe thunderstorm warnings for sections of northern Ohio. Ryan Presley, a weather service meteorologist in Paducah, Ky., said a single tornado touched down near Smith Mills in western Kentucky and cut a 15- to 20-mile swath through Indiana's Vanderburgh and Warrick counties. The tornado appears to have been an F3, with winds ranging from 158 mph to 206 mph, and may have been even stronger, Presley said. Warrick County Sheriff Marvin Heilman said the victims included a woman who was eight months' pregnant, her husband and a young child in the rural town of Degonia Springs. A teenage girl was also killed near Boonville, and her father was critically injured, he said. Tim Martin, 42, was at his parents' mobile home when the tornado struck. The three were awakened by the wind, which picked up the home and moved it halfway into the neighbor's yard. He and his parents escaped unharmed, but they heard several neighbors calling for help. A neighboring mobile home was overturned, he said, and another appeared to have been obliterated. "All I could see was debris,'' he said. "I thought it was a bad dream.'' Patty Ellerbusch, 53, said she and her husband were in bed at their hilltop home in Newburgh when a relative called and warned them of the tornado. They heard a low roar and ran for the basement. She made it downstairs, but her husband did not. He was blasted with shattered drywall, wood and other debris as the tornado shredded the home's roof. "He was running down the hallway, and it knocked him down and ripped his glasses off. He said it felt like being in a wind tunnel,'' she said. The storm stripped the roof off most of the couple's home, destroyed their barn and left surrounding trees shorn of limbs. Bright said it was the deadliest tornado in Indiana since April 3, 1974, when an outbreak of several tornadoes killed 47 people and destroyed 2,069 homes. The Ellis Park racetrack, between Evansville and Henderson, Ky., had significant damage to barns, the grandstand and other buildings, said Paul Kuerzi, the track's vice president and general manager. Kuerzi said some people working at the track suffered minor injuries. "It appears at this point that three horses have died from injuries suffered in storm. It's too early to know if any other horses were injured,'' Kuerzi said in a statement on the track Web site. About 150 horses in training were stabled at the track. Mike Roeder, a spokesman for utility company Vectren, said 25,000 homes were without power, mostly in Warrick County. There also were reports of natural gas leaks.
At Least 20 Dead After Ind., Ky. Tornado ABC News
Tornado Hits Parts of Indiana and Kentucky New York Times
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theglobalchinese
At Summit of the Americas, no trade pact for Bush Christian Science Monitor
His hope of relaunching negotiations hits a big snag as five countries, including Brazil, hold out. By Howard LaFranchi | Staff writer of The Christian Science Monitor. MAR DEL PLATA, ARGENTINA – Despite a five-day trip to South and Central America, President Bush was unable to work the same wonders on US-Latin American relations that he did earlier this year on ties to Europe. Indeed, this trip was unlike Mr. Bush's February journey across the Atlantic, which was widely seen as successful in repairing relations damaged by the US decision to invade Iraq. Instead, the three-country trip that ends Monday has revealed more than anything how distant and dissonant relations with much of the hemisphere - in particular South America - have become. "The sense one has after these few days that Bush spent in the region is that Latin America is very, very far from Washington," says Felix Peña, a specialist in international economic relations in Buenos Aires. "It's not good for anyone involved, but the events don't seem to allow any other conclusion." At last weekend's Summit of the Americas in this seaside city, Bush did not get the green light he sought for a relaunching of hemispheric trade negotiations. What came out of the unusually obdurate talks - which nearly ended in failure - was more of a yellow light. A majority of countries signed on to language in a final summit document that calls for reviving long-stalled negotiations for a Free Trade Area of the Americas sometime next year. But five countries - including summit host Argentina and regional giant Brazil - insisted that conditions are not ripe to proceed toward the FTAA. As part of his trip, Bush had also sought to address US concerns about signs of instability in the region, including in Bolivia. In presidential elections there next month, voters could elect an Indian rights activist who advocates legalization of coca growing and nationalization of the natural-gas industry. But with the free-trade topic dominating conversations, it was unclear how much attention Bush was able to draw to Bolivia in Argentina or Brazil, where Bush met with President Luis Inacio Lula da Silva after the summit. Both countries have influential ties to Bolivia. While at the Summit of the Americas, Bush was also unable to deny Venezuelan President Hugo Chávez a significant piece of the stage. The self-described enemy of "American imperialism" used the platform to amplify his socialist agenda and even warn of what he said are "undeniable" US military plans to invade his country. At the summit's end, which was hours beyond schedule because of the difficulty in reaching a final communiqué, Mr. Chávez crowed that Bush was "the great loser" of the event. The summit was no triumph for Chávez, however, since he had vowed the meeting would be the "tomb" of the free-trade area. Even Argentine officials, while opposing a return to talks on the FTAA under current conditions, acknowledged the project is "not dead" since more than two dozen of the hemisphere's countries favor moving toward completion of the trade agreement. But Chávez did manage to speak for two hours before an estimated 25,000 gathered at a "counter summit" Friday that focused on fighting poverty and US-style capitalism. In comparison, Bush was virtually unseen by the Argentine public, except in televised shots of his arrival and departure. At a bilateral meeting Friday with Argentine President Néstor Kirchner, Bush did make a point of voicing his admiration for Emmanuel "Manu" Ginobili, the Argentine NBA player with the champion San Antonio Spurs. In describing "Manu" as someone giving Americans a positive image of Argentina, Bush seemed to be making a point about another Argentine star athlete, soccer player Diego Maradona, who even as Bush spoke was headlining the anti-American "people's summit" across town. Brazil's President Lula threw cold water on Chávez's tactics, refusing to join him in declaring the FTAA dead. But only hours before receiving Bush, Lula did the United States no favors eitherHe insisted that now is no time to set a return to FTAA negotiations, given that crucial talks on global trade liberalization are set for Hong Kong next month. Those talks are supposed to address the issue of US and European Union farm subsidies, which are of crucial importance to developing agricultural powerhouses like Brazil and Argentina. "When I was invited to this meeting of 24 hours, the theme was to be jobs, jobs, jobs," a visibly annoyed Lula told reporters shortly before leaving the summit early on Saturday. "Nowhere was it mentioned that the theme would be the FTAA." The leaders of 34 countries did approve an "action plan" with 60 "specific actions" that countries are to take to encourage poverty reduction and job creation. But some analysts like Mr. Peña of Buenos Aires fear the media's focus on some rather fine and political differences in trade policy could give publics the impression that nothing of importance to average citizens was discussed or decided. "It would have been more interesting for the public and made the summit seem more relevant if there had been a grand public debate on the issues that really matter to people, like how to create jobs and promote prosperity," Peña says. "Instead, the impression left is that the big debate is ideological, when that's neither the case nor what is important to people." Several officials from South American countries said privately they did not think a rapid return to FTAA negotiations was really a high US priority. What does seem important to Bush is heading off any new trouble spots in the region that could lead to instability. That is one reason the White House is said to be worried about the Bolivian presidential elections and the candidacy of Indian-rights advocate Evo Morales. Talk of a potential Morales victory is pumping fresh steam into a proposal by the wealthier, less-indigenous portion of the country to secede - something that some US officials worry would not only cause conflict in Bolivia, but also unsettle the Andean region. Bush is to conclude his Latin America trip Monday with a stop in Panama. The country is considering an expansion of the Panama Canal to accommodate larger ships.
Bush searches for positives in Brazil Financial Times
Summit of Americas ends in deadlock Boston Globe
Houston Chronicle - Miami Herald - Business Standard - Sify - all 3,727 related »
Snuffysmith
Workers face paycheck pinch
The trend to weak wage growth, several years old now, has worsened in
recent months. By Mark Trumbull
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1107/p01s02-usec.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Schwarzenegger stakes political future
By throwing his full weight behind four ballot initiatives, he's
testing how willing voters are to expand his powers. By Daniel B. Wood
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1107/p01s03-uspo.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
In St. Paul mayoral race, the biggest issue is ... Bush
Democratic incumbent Randy Kelly endorsed the president last fall - a
move that could cost him reelection. By Amanda Paulson
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1107/p02s01-uspo.html?s=hns

It's a slow road to pension reform
Congress has been considering private pension legislation for years,
but action isn't likely before 2006. By David R. Francis
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1107/p16s02-cogn.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
At Summit of the Americas, no trade pact for Bush
His hope of relaunching negotiations hit a big snag as five countries,
including Brazil, held out. By Howard LaFranchi
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1107/p03s01-woam.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Is a home search legal if she says OK, but he balks?
The Supreme Court will hear a case in which police entered a home over
a husband's objection. By Warren Richey
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1107/p04s01-usju.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Erasing the gray areas of prisoner abuse
After Abu Ghraib, Sen. John McCain rightly seeks to realign the US with
world standards. The Monitor's View
http://www.csmonitor.com/2005/1107/p08s01-comv.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
U.S. Marines Eye Replacement For Humvee
http://www.spacewar.com/news/miltech-05zzzz.html

Marine Corps Base Quantico Va (SPX) Nov 07, 2005 - The Marine Corps is searching for a larger, more capable combat transport to replace the Humvee.
Snuffysmith
http://www.nytimes.com/2005/11/07/politics/07fbi.html

Lawmakers Call for Limits on F.B.I. Power to Demand Records in Terrorism Investigations

By ERIC LICHTBLAU
Published: November 7, 2005
WASHINGTON, Nov. 6 - Republicans and Democrats in Congress called on Sunday for greater restrictions on the Federal Bureau of Investigation's ability to demand business and personal records in terrorism investigations without a judge's approval and to retain the records indefinitely.

"We should not ever give up freedom on the basis of fear, and any freedom that we give up should be limited in time and limited in scope," Senator Tom Coburn, an Oklahoma Republican who is a member of the Judiciary Committee, said on the NBC program "Meet the Press."

Mr. Coburn and other senators were responding to an article on Sunday in The Washington Post about the government's increasing use of what are known as national security letters to demand records from businesses and institutions, without a judge's approval, to aid in terrorism and intelligence investigations.

The F.B.I. has long acknowledged that, with new authority granted to it under the antiterrorism law known as the USA Patriot Act, it has increasingly turned to national security letters as a way of collecting information on suspects. But it has refused demands from members of Congress to make data on the use of the letters publicly available and has provided figures only in limited form in classified settings.

The national security letters became particularly controversial in August after it was disclosed that the bureau had used one to demand internal records from a library association in Connecticut. The legal tool bars recipients from publicly disclosing that they have received such a demand, and the Connecticut recipient has gone to court in an effort to have the restriction removed. The New York Times first identified the recipient of the letter, based on court records, as the Library Connection, a consortium in Windsor, Conn.

The Post reported that the bureau was now issuing 30,000 national security letters a year, a sharp increase over pre-Sept. 11 rates. F.B.I. officials declined on Sunday to say how many letters the bureau had issued but expressed some skepticism about the accuracy of the 30,000 figure.

Senator Joseph R. Biden Jr., Democrat of Delaware, said on "This Week" on ABC that "based on the fact there's 30,000 of these letters, which is a stunner to me, it appears to me that this is, if not abused, being close to abused."

Mr. Coburn and other Republicans said they wanted to explore the bureau's use of the letters as part of a House-Senate conference working to make most parts of the antiterrorism law permanent.

Senator Chuck Hagel, Republican of Nebraska, said on "This Week" that he was worried about "the overreach of the Patriot Act," adding, "I have always been concerned about centralization of power and eroding individual rights."

But as part of the conference negotiations, some Republicans, including Senator Pat Roberts of Kansas, the chairman of the Intelligence Committee, are pushing to give the F.B.I. additional power to demand records without a warrant by expanding its authority to issue administrative subpoenas in terrorism investigations.

Senator Edward M. Kennedy, a Massachusetts Democrat who serves on the Judiciary Committee, said he was particularly concerned about a change in policy that allows the bureau to retain and disseminate to other agencies information collected through the letters. Prior policy had required that the material be destroyed if it was not relevant to an investigation.

"Of course it ought to be destroyed," Mr. Kennedy said on "Meet the Press." He said Congress should move to include measures in the Senate version of the Patriot Act reauthorization - but not in the House bill - that would reinstitute the "very careful protections" for destroying personal information.
Snuffysmith
Cheney Fights for Detainee Policy

By Dana Priest and Robin Wright

Over the past year, Vice President Cheney has waged an intense and largely unpublicized campaign to stop Congress, the Pentagon and the State Department from imposing more restrictive rules on the handling of terrorist suspects, according to defense, state, intelligence and congressional officials.

Last winter, when Sen. John D. Rockefeller IV (D-W.Va.), vice chairman of the Senate Select Committee on Intelligence, began pushing to have the full committee briefed on the CIA's interrogation practices, Cheney called him to the White House to urge that he drop the matter, said three U.S. officials.

In recent months, Cheney has been the force against adding safeguards to the Defense Department's rules on treatment of military prisoners, putting him at odds with Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice and acting Deputy Secretary of Defense Gordon R. England. On a trip to Canada last month, Rice interrupted a packed itinerary to hold a secure video-teleconference with Cheney on detainee policy to make sure no decisions were made without her input.

Just last week, Cheney showed up at a Republican senatorial luncheon to lobby lawmakers for a CIA exemption to an amendment by Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) that would ban torture and inhumane treatment of prisoners. The exemption would cover the CIA's covert "black sites" in several Eastern European democracies and other countries where key al Qaeda captives are being kept.

Cheney spokesman Steve Schmidt declined to comment on the vice president's interventions or to elaborate on his positions. "The vice president's views are certainly reflected in the administration's policy," he said.

Increasingly, however, Cheney's positions are being opposed by other administration officials, including Cabinet members, political appointees and Republican lawmakers who once stood firmly behind the administration on all matters concerning terrorism.

Personnel changes in President Bush's second term have added to the isolation of Cheney, who previously had been able to prevail in part because other key parties to the debate -- including Attorney General Alberto R. Gonzales and White House counsel Harriet Miers -- continued to sit on the fence.

But in a reflection of how many within the administration now favor changing the rules, Elliot Abrams, traditionally one of the most hawkish voices in internal debates, is among the most persistent advocates of changing detainee policy in his role as the deputy national security adviser for democracy, according to officials familiar with his role.

At the same time Rice has emerged as an advocate for changing the rules to "get out of the detainee mess," said one senior U.S. official familiar with discussions. Her top advisers, along with their Pentagon counterparts, are working on a package of proposals designed to address all controversial detainee issues at once, instead of dealing with them on a piecemeal basis.

Cheney's camp is a "shrinking island," said one State Department official who, like other administration officials quoted in this article, asked not to be identified because public dissent is strongly discouraged by the White House.

A fundamental question lies at the heart of these disagreements: Four years into the fight, what is the most effective way to wage the campaign against terrorism?

Cheney's camp says the United States does not torture captives, but believes the president needs nearly unfettered power to deal with terrorists to protect Americans. To preserve the president's flexibility, any measure that might impose constraints should be resisted. That is why the administration has recoiled from embracing the language of treaties such as the U.N. Convention Against Torture, which Cheney's aides find vague and open-ended.

On the other side of the debate are those who believe that unconventional measures -- harsh interrogation tactics, prisoner abuse and the "ghosting" and covert detention of CIA-held prisoners -- have so damaged world support for the U.S.-led counterterrorism campaign that they have hurt the U.S. cause. Also, they argue, these measures have tainted core American values such as human rights and the rule of law.

"The debate in the world has become about whether the U.S. complies with its legal obligations. We need to regain the moral high ground," said one senior administration official familiar with internal deliberations on the issue, adding that Rice believes current policy is "hurting the president's agenda and her agenda."

McCain's amendment would limit the military's interrogation and detention tactics to those described in the Army Field Manual, and it would prohibit all U.S. government employees from using cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment.

Cheney pushed hard to have the entire amendment defeated. He twice held meetings with key lawmakers to lobby against the measure, once traveling to Capitol Hill in July, to button-hole Sens. John W. Warner (R-Va.), McCain and Lindsey O. Graham (R-S.C.).

When that tack did not work -- 90 senators supported the measure -- Cheney handed McCain language that would exempt the CIA. Despite Cheney's concerns, Graham said he has not heard any concerns from the CIA suggesting it needs an exemption from the McCain amendment. The CIA declined to comment.

"It shows that we have a philosophical difference here," said Graham, a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee. "The vice president believes in certain circumstances the government can't be bound by the language McCain is pushing. I believe that out of bounds of that language, we do harm to the U.S. image. It doesn't mean he's bad or I'm good; it just means we see it differently."

Cheney and the White House also oppose the language of a separate Defense Department directive, first reported by the New York Times, limiting detainee interrogations. The ongoing internal debate has stalled publication of the directive.

"This is the first issue we've gone to the trenches on," said a senior State Department official.

On the issue of the CIA's interrogation and detention practices, this spring Cheney requested the CIA brief him on the matter. "Cheney's strategy seems to be to stop the broader movement to get an independent commission on interrogation practices and the McCain amendment," said one intelligence official.

Beside personal pressure from the vice president, Cheney's staff is also engaged in resisting a policy change. Tactics included "trying to have meetings canceled ... to at least slow things down or gum up the works" or trying to conduct meetings on the subject without other key Cabinet members, one administration official said. The official said some internal memos and e-mail from the National Security Council staff to the national security adviser were automatically forwarded to the vice president's office -- in some cases without the knowledge of the authors.

For that reason, Rice "wanted to be in all meetings," said a senior State Department official.

Cheney's chief aide in this bureaucratic war of wills is David S. Addington, who was his chief counsel until last week when he replaced I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby as the vice president's chief of staff.

Addington exerted influence on many of the most significant policy decisions after Sept. 11, 2001. He helped write the position on torture taken by the Justice Department's Office of Legal Counsel, a stance rescinded after it became public, and he helped pick Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, as the location beyond the reach of U.S. law for holding suspected terrorists.

When Addington learned that the draft Pentagon directive included language from Article 3 of the Geneva Conventions, which prohibits torture and cruel treatment, including "humiliating and degrading treatment," he summoned the Pentagon official in charge of the detainee issue to brief him.

During a tense meeting at his office in the Eisenhower Executive Office Building, Addington was strident, said officials with knowledge of the encounter, and chastised Deputy Assistant Secretary Matthew C. Waxman for including what he regarded as vague and unhelpful language from Article 3 in the directive.

On Tuesday, Cheney, who often attends the GOP senators' weekly luncheons without addressing the lawmakers, made "an impassioned plea" to reject McCain's amendment, said a senatorial aide who was briefed on the meeting and spoke on the condition of anonymity because of its closed nature. After Senate aides were ordered out of the Mansfield Room, just steps from the Senate chamber, Cheney said that aggressive interrogations of detainees such as Khalid Sheik Mohammed had yielded useful information, and that the option to treat prisoners harshly must not be taken from interrogators.

McCain then rebutted Cheney's comments, the aide said, telling his colleagues that the image of the United States using torture "is killing us around the world." At least one other senator, Ted Stevens (R-Alaska), supported Cheney, as he has in public, the aide said.

Staff writers Charles Babington and Josh White contributed to this report.




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Voter Anger Might Mean an Electoral Shift in '06

By Dan Balz, Shailagh Murray and Peter Slevin

One year before the 2006 midterm elections, Republicans are facing the most adverse political conditions of the 11 years since they vaulted to power in Congress in 1994. Powerful currents of voter unrest -- including unhappiness over the war in Iraq and dissatisfaction with the leadership of President Bush -- have undermined confidence in government and are stirring fears among GOP candidates of a backlash.

Interviews with voters, politicians and strategists in four battleground states, supplemented by a new Washington Post-ABC News poll, found significant discontent with the performance of both political parties. Frustration has not reached the level that existed before the 1994 earthquake, but many strategists say that if the public mood further darkens, Republican majorities in the House and Senate could be at risk.

One bright spot for the Republicans is the low regard in which many Americans hold the Democrats. The public sees the Democrats as disorganized, lacking in clear ideas or a positive alternative to the GOP agenda, and bereft of appealing leaders. In the Post-ABC News poll, voters gave Washington low grades without favor: Just 35 percent said they approved of the job Republicans in Congress were doing, while only 41 percent gave a positive rating to the Democrats.

In shopping malls, town hall meetings and on front porches, Americans expressed their concerns about the country's problems. The president still has strong supporters, but more common are questions about his and the country's priorities. A young mother in the Denver suburbs complained about the state of public education. An Ohio retiree complained about energy prices and said, "We're getting ripped off left and right by the oil companies." Immigration appears to be a volatile issue far from the U.S.-Mexico border. And looming over all else is the U.S. involvement in Iraq, which continues to gnaw at the country's psyche.

Republican strategists and candidates are bracing for losses next year, while hoping that Bush's fortunes and the overall environment improve. They take some comfort in the expectation that the worst of times has come a year ahead of the elections, and relief in the fact that, by historical measures, the number of genuinely competitive contests is likely to be small.

But Republicans have expanded their majorities in Congress in each of the last two elections, and strategists expect, at a minimum, that Democrats will narrow those margins next year. A Democratic takeover of either the House or Senate is not out of the question.

Former House speaker Newt Gingrich (R-Ga.), the architect of the 1994 GOP victory, said Republicans must take the initiative or risk serious losses next year. "If we regroup and reclaim the mantle of reform and change, we are likely to win '06 and '08," he said. "If we do not regroup, we are likely to have a very difficult '06 and '08."

Republicans believe that, given clear choices, voters will continue to favor candidates who preach, if not always practice, smaller government and who favor lower taxes and the vigorous pursuit of terrorists. But the Republican coalition is showing signs of fraying after almost 11 years of nearly continuous majority status. Conservatives have rebelled against some of Bush's priorities, and moderates are voicing increasing disaffection with their leaders.

If next year's elections prove to be a referendum on the party in power, as is often the case in midterm contests, the image of the Democrats may be less important than the broader unrest in the country over Iraq, immigration, energy and health care prices and the president's popularity.

The findings in this report are based on interviews in Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Ohio and Colorado, as well as on a survey of 1,202 randomly selected adults nationwide contacted between Oct. 30 and Nov. 2. The margin of error for the poll is plus or minus three percentage points.

Two-thirds of those surveyed by The Post and ABC News said the country is heading in the wrong direction. Asked whom they were likely to support in next year's House elections, 52 percent of registered voters said the Democratic candidate, while 37 percent said the Republican. While this testing of generic preferences is not always a reliable indicator of elections, the result suggests that Republicans for now are in trouble.

Republicans may find solace in the fact that 60 percent of those surveyed approved of the job their own House member is doing -- but that, too, was the case one year before the 1994 election. Then the percentage declined throughout 1994; if the same happens next year, Republicans will be in serious trouble.

In another indication of unrest, a majority now say they have little or no confidence in the government in Washington to solve problems, another statistic that is similar to findings at this point 12 years ago. Confidence deteriorated steadily throughout 1994.

When asked which party they trusted to handle the main problems facing the nation, registered voters preferred Democrats by 49 percent to 38 percent. On the eve of the 2002 midterms, when the GOP defied historical trends by gaining House and Senate seats, Republicans led on that question among those most likely to vote by 51 percent to 39 percent.

None of these results can be used to predict the future, but together they explain why many GOP strategists privately are in such an anxious mood. One claimed that this is the most sour environment for the party in power since 1994, when Democrats lost 53 House and seven Senate seats and surrendered their majority. Another said Republicans have not faced such potential backlash since 1982, when the party lost 26 House seats in the midst of a recession.

GOP candidates running as challengers or in districts without an incumbent in the race have begun to separate themselves from the problems in Washington, which range from the unpopularity of the Iraq war to the ethical problems of Rep. Tom DeLay (R-Tex.), the former House majority leader.

"I think people are angry and concerned about what's going on in Washington," said Rick O'Donnell, a Republican candidate in Colorado's 7th District, a swing district considered one of the most competitive in the nation. "I don't have to defend what's happened in Washington. If the party made mistakes, I'm going to say so. I'm not necessarily going to Washington for the same old, same old."

Democratic candidates are optimistic but well aware of the GOP's political arsenal, which includes an ample treasury and a tested turnout operation. "At this point the climate is positive for a Democratic candidate because there is trepidation about this Congress and the administration," said Ed Perlmutter, one of several Democrats running in the same Colorado district as O'Donnell. "Whether that remains a year from now is another story. Republicans have been resilient and very disciplined in the way they stay on message and win campaigns."

Pat Swensen, 61, stood on a chilly night with more than a dozen others at a busy intersection in Coon Rapids, Minn., and held a candle in honor and sorrow over the 2,000th American casualty in Iraq. Her niece's husband, an Army soldier, is preparing for a third deployment to Iraq.

"What's so difficult is there is no plan," said Swensen, an assistant registrar at a school in Ham Lake. "Nothing concrete that you can start measuring and say, 'We've done this, we've done that, the troops can start coming home.' How many times will my niece's husband have to go back?"

Swensen's question echoes across the country, among those who backed the war from the beginning and among those who opposed it.

The Post-ABC poll found that 68 percent of Americans say the country is off track, with only 30 percent saying things are going in the right direction. Among those who offered a pessimistic assessment, 30 percent cited one of a basket of economic issues: gas prices, jobs, incomes, inflation, the deficit. This downbeat mood has so far been impervious to strong economic news, including the recent announcement of a 3.8 percent annual growth rate in the third quarter.

"The big concern is the economy," said Nancy Emerick, a Toledo, Ohio, librarian. "There are still layoffs all the time in Toledo. [Auto parts maker] Dana, one of our biggest employers, is cutting jobs. My husband lost his job a couple years ago; he's working now, but he's not making what he did."

The president's Supreme Court nominations, for all the intensity they generate in Washington, do not appear to be significant issues with most voters. Nor did the controversy over the CIA leak case, including the recent indictment of Vice President Cheney's former chief of staff, I. Lewis "Scooter" Libby, register significantly in voter interviews.

But anguish about Iraq comes through unmistakably in conversations at shopping malls, coffee shops and on doorsteps around the country. In the Post-ABC poll, 21 percent of those dissatisfied with the direction of the country cited Iraq as the principal reason.

Kerry Parker, a veterinarian from Lakewood, Colo., opposed the war and believes the administration misled the country about the reasons for the invasion. But like many others, she opposes a hasty withdrawal. "I think that, if we get out, it's just going to go back into chaos with infighting," she said. "There's no one in control over there, and when you take the kingpin species out of the area, everybody else fights. We're trying to establish order and I think we should finish what we started."

Some Americans agree with the president that Iraq is the key to protecting America from terrorism. Others say the United States has already accomplished something positive.

"I think we've accomplished a lot of good," said Frank Erisman, who lives outside Denver. "I think there's a despot [former Iraqi president Saddam Hussein] who's not in power. Who knows what the future is going to be? I think the seeds of discontent are in that part of the world and have been for centuries. We're fooling ourselves thinking we can for all time make it different, but I believe that we have made a difference in a lot of lives."

John Lebenick, a retired engineer attending a congressional town hall meeting near Reading, Pa., said, "I don't like what they're doing in the Middle East." The revelations about intelligence failures in Iraq have left a deep impression on him. "People are going to see this war bogging down and they haven't been told much of the truth."

In Columbus, Army Sgt. Stephen Yeager was home last week from assignment in Iraq. He did not agree with the deployment when it was ordered but has come to believe the United States must stay the longer he has been in Baghdad.

"It is very moving to see the Iraqis," he said. "At first they were pretty hostile, but they are really coming around. And now you see them volunteering for their army, even though they get hit very hard, much harder than we do. But the terrorists are still too strong for them to handle themselves, so we have to stay and help them."

Democrats see hopeful signs in an uneasy public mood. In the Post-ABC poll, Americans prefer the opposition party to congressional Republicans on every issue measured but one, including Iraq. The only exception was on terrorism; there the two parties are tied.

But those strengths are offset by two glaring weaknesses. A majority of Americans say the Democrats are not offering the country a clear direction that is different from the Republicans, and on the question of which party has stronger leaders, Republicans thump the Democrats by 51 percent to 35 percent.

"I just think they're sitting back waiting for something to happen," said Diane Mashman, a retired high school teacher who lives in the Denver suburbs and generally votes Democratic. "I don't know if they have anybody ready to run for president. They need to get their act together."

Ask people to name attractive Democratic leaders and they hesitate, pause or come up empty. Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton of New York enjoys clear support, but even several who said positive things about her questioned whether she could win the presidency, given the controversy that attaches to her history and name.

Republicans have their own divisions to deal with, from ethics scandals in Ohio to conflicts between conservatives and moderates. Prospective Republican candidates fear they will be caught in the fallout next year.

Republican state Rep. Jim Knoblach is running for Congress in Minnesota's 6th District, an open seat. "I've waited my whole life for a Republican president, Republican House and Republican Senate," he said. "Somehow I expected something more. There's a general uncomfortable feeling in the public, too. So many things are so unsustainable at the federal level."

The Post-ABC News poll shows that moderate Republicans are more unhappy with their party than are conservatives. Bush's approval rating stands at 61 percent among GOP moderates, compared with 89 percent among conservatives.

Other Americans are simply fed up with what they see as the "gotcha culture" of Washington. "It's hard to know the truth coming out of Washington," said Stephen Libor of Andover, Minn. " 'This guy did this, this guy did that.' It seems there's no love, kindness or understanding of other people. It's just, 'Nail 'em!' "

As ever in politics, a measure of caution is justified in predicting trends. Stuart Rothenberg, a prominent independent political analyst, wrote a recent column in Roll Call debunking suggestions that there may be 100 competitive House races next year.

At this point, he counts fewer than 40, although he said that could grow to 50 or 55 by the time of the election. Democrats will need some breaks to pick up the 15 seats needed to take back control, but Rothenberg said conditions have deteriorated enough to make that possible: "It's not just a cool breeze in their face, it's a strong gust."

Adding to the Democrats' challenge is the fact that there are only 18 Republican-held seats in districts that voted for Sen. John F. Kerry (D-Mass.) in last year's presidential race, compared with 41 districts held by Democrats that were carried by Bush.

Rep. Jim Gerlach (R-Pa.) is in one of those Kerry districts, in the Philadelphia suburbs and beyond. Mindful of Congress's and Bush's plummeting popularity, Gerlach walks a tightrope with voters. "I may agree with the president on some issues," he said, "but I don't agree with him about everything" -- most prominently Bush's effort to overhaul Social Security by introducing private accounts.

In the Senate, there are perhaps half a dozen GOP seats at risk and a handful of potentially competitive races in states held by the Democrats. Vulnerable Republican seats include Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Tennessee, Missouri and Ohio. Democrats would have to win virtually every competitive race to retake the Senate, while avoiding losses of their own. Sometimes races all break in one direction, but not always.

In recent elections, parties have made their biggest gains in Senate seats where no incumbent was running, but at this point, nearly all the GOP-held seats at risk require the Democrats to defeat the incumbent. "The fact that Democrats have to knock off five Republican incumbents to get the Senate back makes it hard," said Charlie Cook, who produces a leading independent political forecast.

Those watching the public mood most closely today are the candidates gearing up for next year. In Minnesota, state Rep. Philip Krinkie is seeking the GOP nomination in the 6th District, which wraps around the northern edges of the Twin Cities. Bush carried the district handily in 2000 and 2004, and while Krinkie, if he becomes the party's nominee next year, would welcome Bush's help, he recognizes that the president may not be as big an asset as he was in 2002.

"The word I hear most often is 'disappointment,' " he said. "There's some skepticism, some doubt: 'I voted for President Bush. How come he hasn't done a better job?' There's some discontentment. There's a drumbeat in the district, but it hasn't gotten to be loud voices of objection."

Staff writer David S. Broder, polling director Richard Morin and assistant polling director Claudia Deane contributed to this report.


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Prisoner Accounts Suggest Detention At Secret Facilities

By Josh White

Three Yemeni nationals who were arrested in late 2003 say they were transferred to U.S. custody and kept isolated in at least four secret detention facilities that Amnesty International officials believe could be part of a covert CIA prison system.

The three detainees have not said they were physically abused while in U.S. custody, but they describe being whisked away in airplanes to unknown locations where they were interrogated by Americans in civilian clothes, according to an Amnesty International report. At one prison, the detainees were guarded by people in all-black "ninja" suits, who communicated using hand gestures.

During their separate incarcerations, the detainees were never visited by the International Committee of the Red Cross, never had access to lawyers, were unable to correspond with their families and had no contact with the outside world, the report said. Their families believed they were dead or were told that they had gone to Iraq to fight the United States.

The accounts, taken in independent interviews by Amnesty International researchers over the past few months, appear to be consistent with reports of a network of secret CIA detention facilities, according to the report. The detainees could not determine where they were because they were hooded during the flights, but because of the travel time they assumed they were in Europe or the Middle East, according to Amnesty International.

"We've tried working out where they might have been, but it's so subjective," said Anne FitzGerald, senior adviser on research policy for Amnesty International, who interviewed the detainees in two Yemeni prisons. "It's clear they were in facilities that were designed to hold many people, not just them. But they really didn't know where they were."

The CIA declined to comment Friday.

In a telephone interview from London last week, FitzGerald said she believes the detainees' stories are credible because they were each detained separately and were unable to communicate with one another before the United States turned them over to the Yemeni government in May. One of the detainees has never met the other two and is now kept in a separate facility, yet his story is consistent, she said.

Muhammad Assad was arrested in his home of Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, on Dec. 26, 2003, for alleged passport problems. A Yemeni native, Assad had lived in Tanzania for 20 years.

After his arrest and initial questioning, Assad was taken to a waiting airplane, and his family was told that he was deported to Yemen, according to Amnesty International. Yemeni authorities denied that Assad had entered the country, and Tanzania later informed Assad's father that he had been turned over to U.S. officials.

Assad believes he was arrested because of his connections to a charity that was "blacklisted" after the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks for allegedly funding terrorism. The al Haramain Islamic Foundation, a Saudi Arabian charity, had rented space in a building Assad owned. It is the only topic Assad was questioned about in his 15 months of incarceration.

He was first taken on a small airplane that flew for about two to three hours, and was interrogated for two weeks by Arabic-speaking people, according to the report. He was then flown elsewhere, a flight that he believes lasted about 11 hours, with a one-hour stop-over. When he arrived, his surroundings were much colder, and he was interrogated by white men who spoke what he believed to be American English.

"There was nothing haphazard or makeshift about the detention regime, it was carefully designed to induce maximum disorientation, dependence and stress in the detainees," according to the 20-page report. "The men were subjected to extreme sensory deprivation; for over a year they did not know what country they were in, whether it was night or day, whether it was raining or sunny. They spoke to no one but their interrogators, through translators, and no one spoke to them."

Salah Ali and Muhammad Bashmilah, who were living in Indonesia, were arrested in August and October 2003, respectively; Ali in Jakarta and Bashmilah in Amman, Jordan. They were taken to a Jordanian prison and tortured -- badly beaten and chained in uncomfortable positions -- by Jordanian authorities before being transferred to U.S. custody, according to Amnesty International. Both men had traveled to Afghanistan in 2000 to learn about jihad, but neither man fought against the United States, according to FitzGerald.

Ali said he was stripped and beaten with sticks by a ring of masked soldiers. "They tried to force me to walk like an animal, on my hands and feet, and I refused," Ali told Amnesty, "so they stretched me out on the floor and walked on me and put their shoes in my mouth."

Ali and Bashmilah recount similar stories after their transfer to U.S. custody in a place Amnesty International believes could have been Eastern Europe. They were put into a windowless, underground facility, each was isolated in a tiny cell, and their jailers and interrogators spoke English with American accents. In April 2004, they were moved to a new facility with "no pictures or ornaments on the walls, no floor coverings, no windows, no natural light," according to the report. It was here that the guards dressed in all black.

FitzGerald said that the two Indonesian detainees were barely interrogated after their first few weeks, perhaps an acknowledgment that they did not know much. All three were released to Yemeni authorities in May. Ali and Bashmilah are in the central prison in Aden, and Assad is at a security prison at Al Ghaydah. Their families now know they are alive, FitzGerald said.

"The cases of the three 'disappeared' Yemenis documented in this report . . . suggest that the network of clandestine interrogation centres is not reserved solely for high-value detainees, but may be larger, more comprehensive and better organized than previously suspected," the report says.

Such "incommunicado" detentions are against international standards but are consistent with recent reports of how the CIA operated its detention network.

Manfred Nowak, the U.N. rapporteur on torture, said in an interview last week that secret facilities are a particularly important issue because there is no outside oversight and no ability to know which detainees are in custody or where they are held. He condemned the practice.

"Incommunicado detention forms inhumane treatment in and of itself," Nowak said.


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Snuffysmith
Long-Predicted Flu Finally Tops Agenda

By David Brown

Tommy G. Thompson's schedule for Sept. 11, 2001, had penciled into the 9:30 a.m. slot: "flu vaccine briefing."

Experts from several federal agencies were going to tell the new secretary of Health and Human Services what to expect in the upcoming flu season -- and give him a status report on preparations for a possible worldwide outbreak of influenza, a pandemic.

"He wanted to know why the pandemic plan wasn't finished," a person who was there recalled recently. "He was very annoyed -- having been convinced pandemic flu was a danger -- that it had been allowed to languish." Another participant remembers Thompson as "livid."

As the news of that morning's terrorist attacks trickled in, Thompson at first insisted the meeting proceed before dismissing the group, saying they would meet later.

The aborted briefing that morning symbolizes the tortuous route that the issue of pandemic influenza has taken as it has ascended the national agenda -- a place it occupies today in a way few health issues ever do.

Last week, President Bush asked Congress for $7.1 billion to confront the threat, and the administration released a massive and long-awaited flu preparedness plan. Today, U.S. health officials and experts are in Geneva for a three-day international meeting on how to stop the spread of a potential pandemic virus that has begun spreading around the world.

But it took more than an earnest and angry Cabinet secretary to get the country's attention. It took four more years of cajoling, the reappearance of "bird flu" in Asia with a chilling trickle of human deaths, a vaccine debacle, Bush's summer reading, migrating birds and a hurricane. Ironically, the events of Sept. 11 may also have prompted action.

Whatever the reasons, pandemic flu has now arrived -- not the disease, but the issue. The latest milestone in its march into the public eye was last week's release of the "pandemic influenza plan" -- 396 pages of dire prediction and advice. It is the plan Thompson was asking about four years ago.

"There is no question that the tipping point has finally arrived," Thompson, now a private consultant, said recently. "I'm sorry it wasn't two years ago."

But the seemingly overnight appearance of worries about pandemic flu on the front pages and in water-cooler conversations is misleading. The subject has been evolving out of sight for years -- much like the virus itself.

"I think there was always rather intense interest at the level of the [HHS] department," said Anthony S. Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases and a chief adviser of the past two secretaries. "Influenza has always been at the very top of my short list of things to be concerned about."

"The idea that pandemic flu has just gotten traction is not strictly accurate," said Martin G. Myers, former head of the National Vaccine Program Office and now a professor of pediatrics at the University of Texas Medical Branch in Galveston. He said a draft was presented in 1998 to Donna E. Shalala, HHS secretary in the Clinton administration.

An influenza pandemic occurs when a strain of flu virus emerges that has the capacity to be transmitted easily from person to person but is so different from previously circulating strains that just about everyone is susceptible to it. It occurred only three times in the 20th century -- 1918, 1957 and 1968.

Over a long enough period of time, a flu pandemic is inevitable. But the intervals can be long enough that an entire generation reaches maturity with no recollection of one.

"Flu people have a saying: 'The clock is ticking. We just don't know what time it is,'" Myers said.

A hint that pandemic hour might be nigh occurred in 1997 when an unusually virulent form of avian influenza called A/H5N1 appeared in Hong Kong. The virus swept through chicken flocks causing close to 100 percent mortality. More troubling, it occasionally infected people who came into contact with the birds. Over several weeks, 18 people got it and six died.

It was the first time flu viruses of the broad H5 subtype had been known to infect people. Hong Kong authorities ordered every bird in the territory killed to stop the outbreak and prevent further adaptation of the virus to human hosts.

Myers was one of many scientists already convinced that pandemic flu was no idle threat. He convinced Stewart Simonson, HHS deputy general counsel, and Simonson in turn helped convince Thompson.

Thompson soon had pandemic flu and food safety at the top of his list of 20 high-priority issues. The events of Sept. 11, however, and the anthrax attacks that followed, forced pandemic flu down the agenda.

Nevertheless, when Bruce G. Gellin, a physician and epidemiologist from Vanderbilt University, arrived in late summer 2002 to replace Myers, Thompson told him "his first, second and third jobs were to get the pandemic plan out," according to an HHS insider.

The issue took on new urgency in February 2003, when two members of a Hong Kong family that had recently visited mainland China became ill with H5N1 flu, and one died. But what really concerned public health officials was the appearance that same month of a new disease initially mistaken for flu -- SARS, or severe acute respiratory syndrome.

Also arising in China, SARS eventually spread to more than 30 countries over six months. It infected 8,000 people, killed about 800, and cost the world $80 billion. Yet the control of SARS was an unprecedented success. A report by the National Academy of Sciences' Institute of Medicine in 2004 said that "the quality, speed, and effectiveness of the public health response to SARS brilliantly outshone past responses to international outbreaks of infectious disease."

Experts knew a fully human-adapted influenza virus would be far more contagious than the SARS microbe. If a pandemic strain of flu emerged and spread even half as far as SARS, it would be unstoppable. They also knew the only really good tool to stop influenza would be a vaccine.

In 2003, HHS requested $100 million for "pandemic vaccine development" in the 2004 budget. It asked the Office of Management and Budget for more than that, although how much more Thompson will not say. Congress appropriated $49.7 million. The most resistance came from House Republicans.

"I think it was the lack of knowledge and information that people had," Thompson recalled. "This was a new idea and they figured, 'Give them half.' I don't think they understood the science and the probabilities and the possibilities."

The next year HHS again asked for $100 million. Congress again prepared to give it less, with the House appropriations bill calling for $60 million, the Senate's for $75 million. But before the two houses could decide on a final number, the nation's flu vaccine supply was cut in half overnight because of contamination at a Chiron Corp. plant. That led to a panicky search for vaccine by high-risk patients and government-directed rationing of the diminished supply.

The Chiron debacle had nothing to do with pandemic flu. But suddenly congressional committees wanted no part of cutting money for flu vaccine. The full $100 million request was appropriated.

When Thompson resigned last December, the HHS pandemic plan still was not out. In his exit speech, he warned that bird flu was "a really huge bomb that could adversely impact the health care of the world."

The man who replaced him, former Utah governor Mike Leavitt, quickly became a believer, too. Days after his arrival, Simonson handed his new boss a copy of what has become the cause's proselytizing text -- John M. Barry's 2004 bestseller "The Great Influenza," a 546-page history of the 1918 pandemic.

Leavitt read the book in February. He then read it again, tagging and underlining a half-dozen key passages -- all great eye-openers, he said recently. He gave nearly 100 marked copies of Barry's book to Cabinet members, administration staffers and Capitol Hill leaders.

The president himself read "The Great Influenza" during his summer vacation in Crawford, Tex. At a news conference in September, Bush referred to the book when asked a question about pandemic flu.

But something other than persuasion began to make people pay attention to the subject.

In December 2003, the H5N1 virus appeared in Southeast Asia for a third time. Since then, it has led to the death of 140 million birds and infected about 125 people, killing half of them.

In August, the virus showed up in Mongolia, Kazakhstan and Siberia, apparently carried by migrating birds. Last month, it reached Europe, infecting flocks in Romania, Croatia and Greece.

"People realized it was no longer an Asian problem," Charles H. Riemenschneider, an official of the U.N. Food and Agriculture Organization, said in an interview.

Last month, scientists completed a 10-year project in which they reconstructed the 1918 virus from the frozen and chemically preserved tissue of three victims. It showed that Spanish flu was a bird virus that adapted to man, and that the H5N1 strain that has been killing people in Asia bears genetic similarities to it.


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Leaders Share Flu Pandemic Concerns

By Susan Levine

When the flu pandemic is here and the hospitals begin to overflow and there is not near enough staff or medicine or ventilators for every acutely ill patient, who will be treated?

"Are we going to do our best to save the next generation?" Diane Helentjaris, a health director in a Virginia community, wondered aloud. "Or are we going to do our best to prevent deaths?"

Her question hung for a moment in a room of health officials who had before them a 19-page grid titled "Pandemic Influenza Issues and Options." The group was assembled on a beautiful morning last month in a quiet conference center just north of Richmond. The setting, and their dispassionate discussion, made the issues and the options seem chillingly surreal.

There were medically and ethically thorny questions. Beyond the doctors, nurses and other medical staff striving to keep people alive through the pandemic, which hospital workers should get a vaccine, if one exists? The cafeteria cooks needed to feed caregivers and patients? The housekeeping staff keeping beds changed and wards cleaned?

And what about the perils in the community? Should the utility employees, sanitation crews and grocery-store truck drivers critical for maintaining everyday services and order get preference? Should schools be closed to try to contain the outbreak? Gymnasiums claimed for makeshift quarantine units? Or would that further strip the workforce because parents would stay home with their children?

"The decisions," Diane Woolard of Virginia's Health Department said, "are not going to be easy."

The intensity of such discussions probably will deepen now that the Bush administration has released its 396-page plan for what many scientists believe is inevitable: the mutation of today's avian flu into a new, virulent strain that it says could cause as many as 1.9 million deaths in the United States and a far greater toll worldwide.

"Communities as we know them will not exist during the pandemic," Woolard told her audience.

In this region, the Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments estimates that hundreds of thousands of people could become sick in the absence of a vaccine or with inadequate supplies of antiviral drugs. Thousands would die.

The federal preparedness outline gives broad guidance on which groups should be protected through priority treatment but leaves many difficult details to state and local officials. It counts on them to shoulder much of the country's response, without saying how to carry it out. And state and local governments are, in turn, depending on companies and nonprofit groups to devise their own contingencies to reduce transmission while maintaining critical daily operations. Yet few businesses or organizations have focused much on the ramifications of something that could fell a quarter of their staffs and disrupt work for weeks, perhaps months.

"Giant does not have a formal pandemic preparedness plan," said Jamie Miller, a spokesman for the grocery chain. "The feeling is that we have enough employees -- we have over 25,000 employees. If the need arose, we could move these employees around quite a bit to wherever the greatest operational need within the company would be to keep our stores open."

Robert A. Peck, president of the Greater Washington Board of Trade, said, "It's not on the radar screen of most members."

History suggests the folly of inattention. The pandemic influenza that is considered the worst-case scenario swept the country and the world with breathtaking speed. It appeared in Washington in September 1918 and, within one month, had killed so many that coffins andgravediggers were in short supply.

Still, the region today is probably better prepared than many metropolitan areas. The 2001 terrorist strike on the Pentagon, the anthrax threats that fall and the sniper siege the next year made clear that an attack that upends and endangers life is more than speculation here.

Local jurisdictions have since strengthened emergency systems and coordinated across city and county borders. Hospitals have bolstered their capacity to handle a massive surge in patients, added decontamination units and stocked up on medications, masks and protective gear.

"The biggest terrorist is Mother Nature," said Jeffrey A. Elting, medical director of the District of Columbia Hospital Association. The association has been negotiating for several years to use downtown hotels for hospital overflow during a catastrophe. Such institutions as Georgetown University Hospital have looked at other alternatives, including dormitories. Both might be needed in a pandemic.

The anthrax and sniper incidents could be instructive for other reasons. Dan Hanfling, a director of emergency management and disaster medicine for the Inova Health System, remembers the impact each had on the community.

During the anthrax scare, more than 1,100 people crowded his emergency room in barely two weeks because they thought they'd been exposed to anthrax bacterium; they arrived with terror on their faces and nasal swabs in little bags. During the sniper attacks, people changed their daily lives, some radically, as the shootings continued across the metropolitan area.

In both situations, the biggest contagion was fear, he said, and the public's reaction is a worrisome portent of what might happen in a pandemic. In December, Hanfling surveyed staff at Inova Fairfax about a future terrorist attack by chemical, radiological or biological means. Between a quarter and a third of respondents said they would not report to work if contaminated patients were in the hospital.

To sustain a major medical response with many staff workers absent -- perhaps stricken themselves or caring for sick family members -- would be daunting. A pandemic flu, Hanfling said, "keeps on giving. People get sick. They keep presenting."

The government's scenarios have terrifying precedent locally. In 1918, just 10 days after announcing the arrival in several East Coast cities of Spanish influenza -- "the strange prostrating malady which ravaged the German army and later spread into France and England with some discomforting effects on the civil population" -- The Washington Post reported one local death from the disease and several cases of sickness. But, it reassured, "quarantine measures have not been considered necessary by [D.C.] health authorities and will not be put into effect."

Later that week, there was another death and dozens of new cases among the District's Army camps and general population. By Oct. 1, 1918, the death toll hit 18 and the number of cases 176. By Oct. 4, schools were closed, athletic activities halted, theaters and movie houses ordered to stay dark and public meetings prohibited.

By Oct. 7, "despite the sweeping precautionary steps," the region surpassed 10,000 cases and church services and public funerals were banned. Officials warned people to stay away from Washington. "Hospitals So Crowded No Facilities are Left," a headline blared.

With such history as a guide, it should be no surprise that Maryland's Pandemic Influenza Preparedness Plan talks of the need to inventory all personnel who might be available to serve, including retired doctors and nurses and veterinarians. Or that local health departments are asked to "identify facilities/resources with sufficient refrigerated storage to serve as temporary morgues, if necessary."

Maryland's plan -- one of the nation's first, dating to 1999 -- probably will be revised because of the federal document. Changes will filter down to such regional health directors as Ulder J. Tillman, who recently briefed the Montgomery County Council on a pandemic's projected impact within its boundaries: thousands hospitalized or dead. (As for disposal arrangements such as body bags, "they've been discussed, yes," Tillman said.)

Until the past several months, health and government officials, infectious disease specialists, emergency planners and first responders have talked, mainly among themselves. Many nonmedical businesses such as malls or manufacturing plants, for which telecommuting is not an option, and such entities as churches, where shared Communion cups or signs of peace and maybe even services could be suspended, have not taken up the issue.

Slowly, the circle is widening. In August, administrators from every school system in Maryland gathered to consider the possibilities. The program's advertisement suggested: "Imagine teachers and students too ill to come to school. Imagine schools shutting down for weeks or even months."

Just two weeks ago, one of Michael W. Maxwell's bosses stopped by his office and asked what the company would do "if we have an avian flu pandemic." It got Maxwell, vice president of emergency preparedness at Pepco Holdings Inc., thinking and strategizing. How would the company get the different types of masks workers might need? What other protective gear should the company's utilities stock?

"These are the things we have to wrestle with, in terms of utility workers being first- or second-line responders," Maxwell said. "This is the number of people who could respond. Where can we go? Where can't we go?"

At Goodwill of Greater Washington, the conversation among department heads will be guided later this month by an infectious disease doctor from Washington Hospital Center. "We interact with the public so much . . . at our donation sites, our retail stores, our contract sites," Vice President Brendan Hurley said.

And at the most basic community level, the PTA of Chesterbrook Elementary School in McLean will hold a forum next week on pandemic flu. Greg Brandon, a retired Navy engineer who has a second-grader and a third-grader there, proposed the topic because of his own concerns. A few parents opposed him, saying they did not want to create a panic. But Brandon compared the situation to the Y2K computer fears in the months before 1999 gave way to 2000.

"In large part, Y2K didn't happen because people prepared for it," he said.

Judith English heads the infection control branch of National Naval Medical Center and the D.C. hospitals' committee on infection control and infectious diseases. She applauds such proactive steps. "People should be talking about this in their PTAs, their day care," she said. Ditto "hotels and restaurants and bars and jazz clubs." Unlike in 1918, they have advance warning to get ready.

"It should be on everyone's agenda," she said.


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Snuffysmith
Reselling the Wars

By Jackson Diehl

America's ambassadors to Iraq and Afghanistan were both in Washington during the past 10 days. They peddled plans for badly needed corrections of U.S. policy -- and they listened to the furious debate over Scooter Libby, Valerie Plame and the handling of flawed intelligence three years ago. The disconnect they encountered between the challenging realities of two ongoing wars and the otherworldly discussion in Washington could hardly have been greater.

Baghdad envoy Zalmay Khalilzad and Kabul-based Ronald Neumann did not coordinate their home visits or their messages. But they had drawn similar conclusions -- in essence, that the Bush administration's effort to win quickly and cheaply in Afghanistan and then Iraq has boomeranged. Now a new military and political strategy is in place in both theaters that calls for making the long-term investments and fighting the battles that administration strategists -- above all, Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld -- disastrously tried to dodge.

The problem is, that requires selling Washington, from the White House budget office to the media and Congress, on more money and more patience for wars generally regarded as nearly finished or already lost. And Washington is consumed with discussing the insubstantial visit a retired ambassador made to an obscure African country nearly four years ago.

Start with Neumann, a seasoned State Department pro whose father also served as U.S. ambassador to Afghanistan. His visit was a quiet one; he didn't do much talking for the record. But his message was blunt: While there has been some success in Afghanistan, including the recent parliamentary elections, nothing is finished. There is still much to do, and a lot more American money will be needed. It's going to take years, and it's going to be bumpy.

Neumann's problem, in a way, is that Afghanistan looks great compared with Iraq. Yet the elected government of Hamid Karzai still doesn't control the country outside of the capital. Reconstruction remains slow, stalled by bottlenecks in roads and electricity. Drug traffickers control a large part of the rural economy. Meanwhile, training of Afghan police and army forces is proceeding at a snail's pace. Even in Kabul, there is a desperate shortage of competent and uncorrupted officials to staff the government.

Why has more not been accomplished in four years? Because the first-term Bush administration believed reconstruction could be left to others -- allies and contractors -- or limited to bare-bones measures. Neumann is the face of a more hard-nosed second-term team that understands the necessity of a long-term U.S. commitment. He told congressmen that an additional $700 million in reconstruction aid is needed for Afghanistan next year, above the $622 million request for 2006 -- and that sums of that magnitude would be needed for three more years. Senators on the Foreign Relations Committee were receptive, but Afghanistan must compete with Katrina, and with Iraq.

In Iraq, Khalilzad, who brokered the political process that is Afghanistan's signal success, now tries to repeat his feat. Almost orphaned by a president who limits his public discussion of Iraq to brave democrats and evil terrorists, the ambassador has worked with enormous energy to channel the complex and increasingly violent struggle for power among Sunnis, Shiites and Kurds into elections and negotiations. The mistakes of the past 2 1/2 years have made his job much harder: Iraqis are far more polarized along ethnic lines than they were in 2003, and the insurgency is deeply entrenched, thanks to the Pentagon's slowness in taking it seriously.

The ambassador argues that U.S. policy is finally on track. "We do have the beginning of adjustments that I think puts us on the right path," he told Gwen Ifill of PBS in one of his few on-the-record interviews. In addition to his own diplomacy, which has persuaded Sunni parties to compete in upcoming elections and Shiite and Kurdish parties to agree to post-election negotiations, there is, at last, a concerted counterinsurgency campaign underway, aimed at clearing areas of militants and then holding them. Khalilzad believes Baghdad should now be systematically secured, starting with the airport and then moving into the city. But the process will be slow and hard: Just pacifying the capital could take a year.

How to buy the patience for a such an effort, which will surely cost many more American lives, and billions more dollars, in a Washington where debate over Iraq has become unhinged? Khalilzad seems to believe that only the beginning of troop withdrawals will buy the necessary time. In his PBS appearance, he predicted that "significant reductions" would be possible "in the coming year."

In Afghanistan, too, plans for troop withdrawals have been drawn up: 4,000 of 20,000 troops could be brought home next year. A pullback of forces, of course, doesn't really fit with a strategy that otherwise calls for a recommitment of American energy and resources. But for the pragmatists who now quietly strive to give Iraq and Afghanistan a chance for success, it is the price for past mistakes.


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http://www.azcentral.com/news/articles/110...-torture05.html


McCain vows to add torture ban to all major Senate legislation

John Hendren
Los Angeles Times
Nov. 5, 2005 12:00 AM

WASHINGTON - Girding for a potential fight with the Bush administration, supporters of a ban on torturing prisoners of war by U.S. interrogators threatened Friday to include the prohibition in nearly every bill the Senate considers until it becomes law.

The no-torture wording, which proponents say is supported by majorities in both houses of Congress, was included last month in the Senate's version of a defense spending bill. The measure's final form is being negotiated with the House, and the White House is pushing for either a rewording or deletion of the torture ban.

On Friday, at the urging of Sen. John McCain, R-Ariz, the Senate by a voice vote added the ban to a related defense bill as a backup. advertisement




Speaking from the Senate floor, McCain said, "If necessary - and I sincerely hope it is not - I and the co-sponsors of this amendment will seek to add it to every piece of important legislation voted on in the Senate until the will of a substantial bipartisan majority in both houses of Congress prevails. Let no one doubt our determination."

The ban would establish the Army Field Manual as the guiding authority in interrogations and prohibit "cruel, inhumane, and degrading treatment" of prisoners.

The Bush administration has sought to exempt the CIA from the ban.

McCain's stature in the fight is enhanced because he was tortured while he was a prisoner during the Vietnam War. When the Senate voted to include the ban in the defense spending bill last month, it was approved 90-9.

The House's version of the spending bill does not contain the torture ban. But Rep. John Murtha of Pennsylvania, the ranking Democrat on the House Defense Appropriations subcommittee, earlier this week urged his colleagues to accept the Senate provision.

The provision would reverse the Bush administration's contention that conditions placed on the treatment of prisoners of war in the International Covenant on Civil and Political Rights and other international treaties signed by the United States do not apply to foreigners held overseas.

The prisoners "can, apparently, be treated inhumanely," McCain said. "This means that America is the only country in the world that asserts a legal right to engage in cruel and inhumane treatment."

Bush initially threatened to veto the "must-pass" spending bill for the Pentagon if it contained the Senate provision. Later, he sought simply to exempt the CIA from the ban. McCain called that proposal "totally unacceptable."



Opponents of the McCain language contend that setting no-torture ground rules would signal to prisoners that they have little to fear during interrogations, discouraging them from providing information.

Pentagon spokesman Larry DiRita had said Thursday that prisoners captured during the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq "know what we do by virtue of interrogation manuals and procedures, And they are trained to resist."

"So there's a perception that the kind of rigidity that comes with these kinds of amendments could restrict the president's flexibility in the global war on terror," DiRita said. "And anything that restricts our ability to engage this highly agile adversary is not desirable."
Snuffysmith
http://www.wpherald.com/storyview.php?Stor...05-064108-8275r
Four arrests linked to Chinese spy ring
By Bill Gertz
The Washington Times
Published November 5, 2005


WASHINGTON -- Four persons arrested in Los Angeles are part of a Chinese intelligence-gathering ring, federal investigators said, and the suspects caused serious compromises for 15 years to major U.S. weapons systems, including submarines and warships.

U.S. intelligence and security officials said the case remains under investigation but that it could prove to be among the most damaging spy cases since the 1985 one of John A. Walker Jr., who passed Navy communication codes to Moscow for 22 years.


The Los Angeles spy ring has operated since 1990 and has funneled technology and military secrets to China in the form of documents and computer disks, officials close to the case said.

The ring was led by Chi Mak and his wife, Rebecca Laiwah Chiu, along with Mr. Chi's brother, Tai Wang Mak, and his wife, Fuk Heung Li, officials said.

Key compromises uncovered so far include sensitive data on Aegis battle management systems that are the core of U.S. Navy destroyers and cruisers.

China covertly obtained the Aegis technology and earlier this year deployed its first Aegis warship, code-named Magic Shield, intelligence officials have said.

The Chinese also obtained sensitive data on U.S. submarines, including classified details related to the new Virginia-class attack submarines.

Officials said based on a preliminary assessment, China now will be able to track U.S. submarines, a compromise that potentially could be devastating if the United States enters a conflict with China in defending Taiwan.

Mr. Chi, an electrical engineer, also had access to details on U.S. aircraft carriers and once was aboard the USS Stennis. A Pentagon report made public earlier this year said China's military is building up capabilities to attack U.S. aircraft carriers.

China also is thought to have obtained information from the spy ring that will assist Chinese military development of electromagnetic pulse weapons -- weapons that simulate the electronic shock caused by a nuclear blast -- that disrupt electronics.

It also is thought to have obtained unmanned aerial vehicle technology from the spy ring.

All four persons were arrested yesterday and charged with theft of government property. Law-enforcement officials said that the charges are expected to be upgraded to espionage or espionage-related once the nature of the information involved is fully investigated.

Investigators seized hundreds of thousands of pages of documents and computer data from Mr. Chi's home in Downey, Calif., after the arrest.

Mr. Chi and his wife were born in China and are naturalized American citizens. Mr. Tai and his wife are resident aliens who came to the United States from China in May 2001.

The arrests were made after electronic surveillance revealed Mr. Tai and his wife planned to travel to Guangzhou, China, to pass to Chinese officials several CDs that contained Navy weapons data, specifically information on Quiet Electric Drive (QED) systems used in Navy warships, officials said. An FBI affidavit in the case described the QED technology as "extremely sensitive" and banned from export.

The affidavit stated that surveillance showed that Mr. Tai and his wife were "very nervous" and had discussed the risks of carrying the disks to China.

"They were funneling information to 2 PLA," one official said, referring to the military intelligence unit of the People's Liberation Army. "The Chinese now know more about our military than we know about their entire country."

Lawyers for the four arrested yesterday could not be reached for comment.

Investigators think Mr. Tai worked as either a courier or a spy handler with China's Ministry of State Security or the 2 PLA.

Intelligence officials said Mr. Chi held a secret-level security clearance and worked on more than 200 U.S. defense and military contracts as an electrical engineer with the defense contractor Power Paragon, a subsidiary of L3/SPD Technologies/Power Systems Group in Anaheim, Calif.

FBI Agent James E. Gaylord stated in an affidavit made public Monday that Mr. Chi had access to Navy technical records, schematics and other documents that, while unclassified, were "restricted" and barred from foreign distribution.

"Chi uses his workstation at Power Paragon to collect the information he has been tasked to provide to the PRC," Mr. Gaylord stated.

Mr. Chi obtained the information from his office and took it home, where it was copied on CDs and passed to Mr. Tai, who encrypted the data using a coding software program, the affidavit said. Mr. Tai had planned to take the encrypted disks to China on Oct. 28 to give them to an unidentified recipient.
Snuffysmith
http://www.boston.com/news/globe/editorial...ructing_cheney/

Deconstructing Cheney
By James Carroll | November 7, 2005

THE INDICTMENT of the vice president's chief of staff for perjury and obstruction of justice is an occasion to consider just how damaging the long public career of Richard Cheney has been to the United States. He began as a political scientist devoted to caring for the elbow of Donald Rumsfeld. As a congressman, Rumsfeld had reliably voted against programs to help the nation's poor, so (as I recalled in reading James Mann's ''Rise of the Vulcans") it was with more than usual cynicism that Richard Nixon appointed him head of the Office of Economic Opportunity, the antipoverty agency. Rumsfeld named Cheney as his deputy, and the two set out to gut the program-- the beginning of the Republican rollback of the Great Society, what we saw in New Orleans this fall.

When Rumsfeld became Gerald Ford's White House chief of staff, he again tapped Cheney as his deputy. Now they set out to destroy detente, the fragile new relationship between the United States and the Soviet Union. Dismissing detente as moral relativism, Cheney so believed in Cold War bipolarity that when it began to melt in the late 1980s, he tried to refreeze it. As George H.W. Bush's secretary of defense, Cheney was key to America's refusal to accommodate the hopeful new spirit of the age. Violence was in retreat, with peace breaking out across the globe, from the Philippines to South Africa, Ireland, the Middle East, and Central America. When the Berlin Wall fell in 1989, Cheney forged America's response -- which was, little over a month later, to wage an illegal war against Panama.

As Mikhail Gorbachev presided over the nonviolent dismantling of the Soviet Union, Cheney warned Bush not to trust it. When the justification for the huge military machine over which Cheney presided disappeared, he leapt on the next casus belli -- Saddam Hussein's invasion of Kuwait. Hussein, a former ally, was now Hitler.

Against Cheney's own uniformed advisers (notably including Joint Chiefs Chairman Colin Powell), he forged Washington's choice of violence over diplomacy. The first Gulf War, remembered by Americans as justified, was in fact an unnecessary affirmation of military might as the ground of international order, just as an historic alternative was opening up. US responses in that period, mainly shaped by Cheney, stand in stark contrast to Gorbachev's, who, refusing to call on military might even to save the Soviet Union, was ordering his soldiers back to their barracks. The unsentimental Cheney, eschewing human rights rhetoric, was explicit in defining America's Gulf War interest as all about oil. (The oil industry having made Cheney rich.) Cheney's initiatives, more than any other's, defined the insult to the Arab world that spawned Al Qaeda.

With all of this as prelude, it seems as tragic as it was inevitable that Cheney was behind the wheel again when the next fork in the road appeared before the nation. When the World Trade Center towers were hit in New York, it was Cheney who told a shaken President Bush to flee. The true nature of their relationship (Cheney, not Bush, having shaped the national security team; Cheney, not Bush, having appointed himself as vice president) showed itself for a moment.

The 9/11 Commission found that, from the White House situation room, Cheney warned the president that a ''specific threat" had targeted Air Force One, prompting Bush to spend the day hiding in the bunker at Offut Air Force Base in Nebraska. There was no specific threat. In Bush's absence, Cheney, implying an authorizing telephone call from the president, took command of the nation's response to the crisis. There was no authorizing telephone call. The 9/11 Commission declined to make an issue of Cheney's usurpation of powers, but the record shows it.

At world-shaping moments across a generation, Cheney reacted with an instinctive, This is war! He helped turn the War on Poverty into a war on the poor. He helped keep the Cold War going longer than it had to, and when it ended (because of initiatives taken by the other side), Cheney refused to believe it. To keep the US war machine up and running, he found a new justification just in time. With Gulf War I, Cheney ignited Osama bin Laden's burning purpose. Responding to 9/11, Cheney fulfilled bin Laden's purpose by joining him in the war-of-civilizations. Iraq, therefore (including the prewar deceit for which Scooter Libby takes the fall), is simply the last link in the chain of disaster which is the public career of Richard Cheney.

James Carroll's column appears regularly in the Globe.

© Copyright 2005 Globe Newspaper Company.
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In Iran, Syria and North Korea, Bush Second-Term Diplomacy Means Settling for Less An AP News Analysis
By Anne Gearan The Associated Press

Published: Nov 7, 2005

WASHINGTON (AP) - In showdowns over Iran, North Korea and now Syria, Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice seemingly agrees that half a loaf is better than none - an unexpectedly pragmatic streak for a Bush administration better known for going its own way in international affairs.

Rice was an architect of the war in Iraq as President Bush's national security adviser, and long an open advocate of a forceful foreign policy that is often viewed with suspicion abroad. Her rhetoric hasn't changed much now that Rice is Bush's second-term secretary of state.

Despite tough talk, Rice isn't conducting business as an ideologue or an absolutist, said Alan Henrikson, a diplomatic historian at Tufts University's Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy.

"There has been a greater emphasis on diplomacy in the second Bush administration, which is altogether welcome," Henrikson said.

Steven C. Clemons, foreign policy director for the New America Foundation think tank, called Rice a realist, albeit one who appears committed to Bush's second-term mandate to spread democracy even in places such as Saudi Arabia, a close Washington ally where true representational democracy seems a long way off.

"I don't really think the things she's doing are really robust, but she is willing to see the glass as half full," said Clemons, a critic of U.N. Ambassador John R. Bolton and other administration figures seen as hard-liners. "She is moving forward incrementally."

Rice will visit Saudi Arabia next week, after what promises to be difficult talks with Israeli and Palestinian leaders over the increased violence and unexpected pessimism following Israel's withdrawal from the Gaza Strip. Rice is expected to use a firmer hand than she has so far to push both sides toward compromise on issues such as smoother border crossings.

On the nuclear ambitions of Iran and North Korea - both countries Bush once famously labeled part of an axis of evil - Rice has agreed to try carrot-and-stick diplomacy shunned in the first term.

The North Korea talks have been more successful, with an agreement in September that Pyongyang will give up its current nuclear weapons and renounce new ones. The deal capped two years of negotiations that had seemed headed nowhere, and was a diplomatic coup for the United States and the other four countries negotiating with the reclusive communist North.

It also came with a catch for the United States: North Korea now has at least the theoretical right to demand a nuclear reactor to produce electricity, something the administration had previously called a deal-breaker.

A take-what-you-can-get approach was also on display last week when Rice accepted a watered-down statement on Syria from the United Nations Security Council. The resolution does not mention sanctions or make an express threat of military action, but it says Syria will face unspecified further action if it fails to cooperate with a U.N. investigation of the assassination of an anti-Syrian politician in Lebanon.

The administration favored economic or other sanctions, and the initial draft threatened them. Neither Rice nor other Western diplomats, however, could win support for that move from Russia, a close ally of Damascus, or from China and Algeria, the Security Council's only Arab member.

Rice and partner France accepted the milder language and won unanimous support on the council.

On Iran, Rice has quieted fears in Europe and elsewhere that the U.S. planned a second-term invasion or air strike to eliminate what it sees as a looming nuclear threat from the Islamic republic. Although Rice has said the military option remains on the table, she embraced European-led diplomacy with Tehran last spring.

That effort stalled over the summer, but the United States had European powers at its side when Rice and others began to beat the drum for tough U.N. sanctions.

As it later did with Syria, the United States has so far settled for less than it wanted on Iran. The U.N. nuclear watchdog agency first put off a vote and then, in September, passed a resolution that although harshly critical of Iran did not ask the Security Council to step in immediately with sanctions.

U.S. diplomats framed the Iran vote as a victory, in part because only one nation sided outright with Tehran. Others, such as Russia, abstained.

The United States may yet persuade other countries to go along with tough sanctions, or the European diplomacy the administration once viewed with skepticism may one day bear fruit.

If not, Rice will have a half-measure in her pocket, plus the good will of formerly suspicious European diplomats.

EDITOR'S NOTE - Anne Gearan covers diplomacy and foreign affairs for The Associated Press.

AP-ES-11-07-05 0338EST
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Former U.S. Counterterrorism Czar Suggests Copying NY Subway Searches in Other Cities
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By Larry Neumeister Associated Press Writer

Published: Nov 7, 2005

NEW YORK (AP) - Former White House counter-terrorism adviser Richard Clarke says the random search by police of bags on New York subways is a program that should be copied in other cities.

Terrorists who plan attacks with multiple bombs set to go off at the same time rely on the knowledge that they will not encounter surprises by police, Clarke said last week in a deposition for a federal court case challenging the search program.

"They rehearse that, they train it, they do dry runs," Clarke said in response to questions posed by New York Civil Liberties Union Legal Director Christopher Dunn.

Clarke said he believes most U.S. mass transit systems are underprotected.

Clarke, a counterterrorism adviser to former presidents Reagan, Bush and Clinton, has written a book strongly criticizing the current administration for underestimating warnings about al-Qaida before the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.

The NYCLU sued the city on behalf of several subway riders who were searched after the city instituted the new policy in following the deadly terrorist bombings in London's subway system.

The lawsuit claims the policy violates the constitutional right of people not to be subjected to unreasonable search and seizure.

Clarke's testimony was entered into the court record as U.S. District Judge Richard A. Berman conducted a two-day trial. Berman was expected to rule later this year.

Clarke said he recently told key legislators from 36 states a series of specific things they could do to enhance homeland security, including instituting a random passenger search on any subway or light rail system.

There are about 19 subway or light rail systems in the United States, Clarke said. Besides New York, he said Boston and Atlanta had occasionally tried similar searches during similar events.

AP-ES-11-07-05 0531EST
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First U.S. Casualties Reported in Offensive Near Iraq-Syria Border
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By Thomas Wagner Associated Press Writer

Published: Nov 7, 2005

BAGHDAD, Iraq (AP) - U.S. and Iraqi troops met fierce resistance Monday, the third day of a major offensive against al-Qaida insurgents in a town near the Syrian border. The U.S. command reported the first American death in the operation.

The U.S. commander of the joint force, Col. Stephen W. Davis, told The Associated Press late Sunday that his troops had moved "about halfway" through Husaybah, a market town along the Euphrates River about 200 miles northwest of Baghdad.

At least 36 insurgents have been killed since the assault began Saturday, and about 200 men have been detained, Davis said. He did not give a breakdown of nationalities but many were thought to be from a pro-insurgent Iraqi tribe.

A Marine was killed Sunday by small arms fire in Husaybah. The New York Times, which has a journalist embedded with the U.S. forces, reported that three Marines were also wounded Sunday.

The death raised to at least 2,046 the number of members of the U.S. military who have died since the beginning of the Iraq war in March 2003, according to an Associated Press count.

CNN, which also had a reporter accompanying the offensive, said at least one Iraqi soldier has been wounded and that as many as 80 insurgents have died in the fighting.

In a live report from the scene Monday morning, CNN said the house-to-house battles were continuing, with ground forces supported by Humvees and tanks working their way through the narrow streets of the bleak desert town.

"We are meeting quite a bit of resistance here in Husaybah, but the offensive is going well," Capt. Conlon Carabine said in an interview with CNN. "Our strategy is basically to kill the insurgents when we come across them."

Carabine said U.S. and Iraqi forces plan to establish a longterm presence in the town once the insurgents are routed. "Once we clear this town, we're going to stay in this town," he said. "We're not going to leave this population."

Scores of terrified Iraqis fled the besieged town on Sunday, waving white flags and hauling their belongings.

The U.S. military announced Monday that it had killed two regional al-Qaida in Iraq leaders operating in the Husaybah area during airstrikes that destroyed several insurgent "safe houses" on Oct. 31 near the towns of Karabilah and Obeidi.

It identified one of them as Abu Umar, who helped smuggle foreign insurgents into the region and stage deadly roadside bomb attacks against Iraqi and American forces. The other militant was identified as Abu Hamza, who commanded several al-Qaida cells and helped launch attacks against coalition forces, including ones based at U.S. Camp Gannon in the Husaybah area, the military said.

Davis said the militants were putting up a tough fight in Husaybah because "this area is near and dear to the insurgents, particularly the foreign fighters."

Speaking by telephone, he said: "This has been the first stop for foreign fighters, and this is strategic ground for them."

The Marines said American jets struck at least 10 targets around the town Sunday and that the American-Iraqi force was "clearing the city, house by house," taking fire from insurgents holed up in homes, mosques and schools.

Residents of the area said by satellite phone that the sound of explosions diminished somewhat Sunday, although bursts of automatic weapons fire could be heard throughout the day. The residents said coalition forces warned people by loudspeakers to leave on foot because troops would fire on vehicles.

"I left everything behind - my car, my house," said Ahmed Mukhlef, 35, a teacher who fled Husaybah early Sunday with his wife and two children while carrying a white bed sheet tied to a stick. "I don't care if my house is bombed or looted, as long as I have my kids and wife safe with me."

The Marines said in a statement that about 450 people had taken refuge in a vacant housing area in Husaybah under the control of Iraqi forces. Others were believed to have fled to relatives in nearby towns and villages in the predominantly Sunni Arab area of Anbar province.

U.S. officials have described Husaybah, which used to have a population of about 30,000, as a stronghold of al-Qaida in Iraq, which is led by Jordanian extremist Abu Musab al-Zarqawi.

Husaybah had long been identified as an entry point for foreign fighters, weapons and ammunition entering from Syria. From Husaybah, the fighters head down the Euphrates valley to Baghdad and other cities.

Several people identified as key al-Qaida in Iraq officials have been killed in recent airstrikes in the Husaybah area, the U.S. military has said. Most were described as "facilitators" who helped smuggle would-be suicide bombers from Syria.

Damascus has denied helping militants sneak into Iraq, and witnesses said Syrian border guards had stepped up surveillance on their side of the border since the assault on Husaybah began.

The Americans hope the Husaybah operation, codenamed "Operation Steel Curtain," will help restore enough security in the area so the Sunni Arab population can participate in Dec. 15 national parliamentary elections.

If the Sunnis win a significant number of seats in the new parliament, Washington hopes that will persuade more members of the minority to lay down their arms and join the political process, enabling U.S. and other international troops to begin withdrawing next year.

However, a protracted battle in Husaybah with civilian casualties risks a backlash in the Sunni Arab community, which provides most of the insurgents.

On Sunday, Mohsen Abdul-Hamid, head of the largest Sunni Arab political party, Saleh al-Mutlaq, head of another Sunni faction and a member of the committee that drafted the new constitution, both sharply criticized the offensive, saying it was targeting civilians.

The U.S.-led assault includes about 1,000 Iraqi soldiers and will serve as a major test of the fledgling army's capability to battle insurgents - seen as essential to enabling the Bush administration to draw down its 157,000-strong military presence.

Elsewhere, a suicide car bomber exploded his vehicle Monday near an Iraqi army unit responsible for guarding oil pipelines in the Fatha area, 65 miles southwest of Kirkuk. One Iraqi soldier was killed and 12 were injured, according to police Brig. Gen. Sarhad Qadir.

AP-ES-11-07-05 0529EST
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Senate, Cheney Split Over Ban on Torture By DOUGLASS K. DANIEL, Associated Press Writer

A leading Republican senator said Sunday that the Bush administration is making "a terrible mistake" in opposing a congressional ban on torture and other inhuman treatment of prisoners in U.S. custody.

Sen. Chuck Hagel (news, bio, voting record), considered a potential presidential candidate in 2008, said many Republican senators support the ban proposed by Sen. John McCain (news, bio, voting record), R-Ariz., a prisoner of war during the Vietnam War.

The ban was approved by a 90-9 vote last month in the Senate and added to a defense spending bill. The White House has threatened a veto, but the fate of the proposal depends on House-Senate negotiations that will reconcile different versions of the spending measure. The House's does not include the ban.

Vice President Dick Cheney has lobbied Republican senators to allow an exemption for those held by the CIA if preventing an attack is at stake.

"I think the administration is making a terrible mistake in opposing John McCain's amendment on detainees and torture," Hagel, R-Neb., said on "This Week" on ABC. "Why in the world they're doing that, I don't know."

McCain, citing the Senate vote as well as support from the public and from former Secretary of State Colin Powell and others with government service, said he will push the issue with the White House "as far as necessary."

"We need to get this issue behind us," McCain said on "Fox News Sunday." "Our image in the world is suffering very badly, and one of the reasons for it is the perception that we abuse people that we take captive."

Mistreatment of prisoners at Iraq's Abu Ghraib prison and allegations of mistreatment at the U.S.-run camp at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, have drawn withering criticism from around the world. Human rights organizations also contend that the United States sends detainees to countries that it knows will use torture to try to extract intelligence information.

When the White House failed to kill the anti-torture provision while it was pending in the Senate, it began arguing for an exemption in cases of "clandestine counterterrorism operations conducted abroad, with respect to terrorists who are not citizens of the United States."

The president would have to approve the exemption, according to the administration proposal, and any activity would have to be consistent with the Constitution, federal law and U.S. treaty obligations.

Sen. Orrin Hatch (news, bio, voting record), R-Utah, said he supports the vice president's efforts to gain a CIA exemption. While contending that the administration opposes torture, Hatch said, "They're going to everything in their power to make sure that our citizens in the United States of America are protected."

Appearing with Hatch on CBS's "Face the Nation," Sen. Dick Durbin, D-Ill., said cruel, inhuman and degrading treatment of prisoners "is not what America is all about. Those aren't the values that we're fighting for."

Sen. Pat Roberts (news, bio, voting record), the Kansas Republican who chairs the Senate Intelligence Committee, said his vote against the ban doesn't mean he favors torture. He rejected Durbin's comments as "not really relevant to what we are trying to do to detain and interrogate the worst of the worst so that we can save American lives."

Roberts said that success with detention and interrogation depends on the detainee's fear of the unknown. He suggested that passing a law and putting U.S. policies into a manual would tell detainees too much about what to expect.

"As long as you're following the Constitution and there's no torture and no inhumane treatment, I see nothing wrong with saying here is the worst of the worst. We know they have specific information to save American lives in terrorist attacks around the world. That's what we're talking about," Roberts said.

Copyright © 2005 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. The information contained in the AP News report may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed without the prior written authority of The Associated Press.


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Bush Defends Administration's Policy on Detention of Terrorist Suspects
By Deb Riechmann Associated Press Writer

Published: Nov 7, 2005

PANAMA CITY, Panama (AP)- U.S. President Bush on Monday vigorously defended attempts to interrogate suspected terrorists after the public disclosure of secret CIA prisoner camps in eastern European countries. "We do not torture," he declared.

"There's an enemy that lurks and plots and plans and wants to hurt America again," Bush said. "So you bet we will aggressively pursue them but we will do so under the law."

Over White House opposition, the Senate has passed legislation banning torture. With Vice President Dick Cheney as the point man, the administration is seeking an exemption for the CIA. It was recently disclosed that the agency maintains a network of prisons in eastern Europe and Asia, where it holds terrorist suspects.

The European Union is investigating the reports, which have not been confirmed by the White House.

"Our country is at war and our government has the obligation to protect the American people," Bush said. "Any activity we conduct is within the law. We do not torture."

Bush pointedly noted that Congress as well as the White House has an obligation to protect U.S. citizens.

He spoke at a news conference with Panamanian President Martin Torrijos on last day of five-day Latin America trip. Bush ends the day in Virginia at a political event.

On another issue, Bush ducked another question about the CIA leak investigation, declining to say whether he has lived up to his campaign pledge to abide by the spirit of ethics laws.

"We take this investigation very seriously and we'll continue to cooperate during the investigation," he said.

AP-ES-11-07-05 1002EST
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U.S. Supreme Court Will Review Guantanamo Military Tribunals
Nov. 7 (Bloomberg) -- The U.S. Supreme Court will decide whether the Bush administration can use military tribunals to try terrorism suspects, agreeing to consider an appeal from a man accused of being Osama bin Laden's driver.

Yemenese national Salim Ahmed Hamdan contends that President George W. Bush went beyond his authority in establishing the tribunals and that the procedures would violate the Geneva Convention protections for prisoners of war.

``In a system of checks and balances, there can never be a time when the rule of law does not circumscribe power as fundamental as adjudicating culpability and punishment,'' Hamdan's lawyers argued in papers filed in Washington. ``Our forefathers paid a heavy price in blood to establish these principles.''

The case threatens Bush's plan for dealing with more than 500 inmates at Guantanamo Bay in Cuba, most of them captured almost four years ago in the war against the Taliban in Afghanistan. The administration now must defend its policies before a court that last year said the president didn't have a ``blank check'' to fight terrorism.

New Chief Justice John Roberts, who was a member of the appeals court panel that upheld the tribunals, didn't participate in today's decision to hear the case. He said in a written questionnaire in August he won't take part in cases he considered as an appellate judge.

The court probably won't hear arguments until March, by which time a new justice may have been confirmed to succeed retiring Sandra Day O'Connor.

Unanimous Decision

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the D.C. Circuit in July ruled 3-0 that Congress authorized the president to set up military tribunals when it approved the use of force to fight terrorism following the Sept. 11 attacks. The court also said the Geneva Convention isn't enforceable in federal court and doesn't apply to members of bin Laden's al-Qaeda network.

Solicitor General Paul Clement, the administration's top courtroom lawyer, said in court papers that the appeals court correctly concluded the Geneva Convention doesn't authorize detainees to sue in federal court.

The treaty's provisions ``make clear that disagreements and alleged violations are to be addressed via state-to-state negotiations and neutral-party oversight, not by domestic courts,'' Clement wrote.

The tribunals don't offer all the rights afforded to other U.S. criminal defendants. They permit exclusion of the accused from parts of the proceeding, allow witness statements in place of sworn testimony, and direct appeals to either the defense secretary or president, Hamdan's legal team said.

Bodyguard and Driver

Clement said that those issues might not prove relevant in Hamdan's case. He urged the Supreme Court not to get involved at least until Hamdan's trial was completed.

Hamdan's legal team, led by Georgetown University law professor Neal Katyal, said in court papers that ``significant damage to the fabric of American law will ensue'' without immediate high court intervention.

The trial was put on hold last year after a federal district judge in Washington ruled that Hamdan was entitled to be treated as a prisoner of war until a ``competent authority'' concluded otherwise. The D.C. Circuit then reversed that ruling.

The Justice Department says Hamdan, who says he is about 36, served as a bodyguard for bin Laden, as well as his personal driver from 1996 to 2001. The government also contends Hamdan delivered weapons and ammunition to al-Qaeda members.

Hamdan says he was captured while trying to flee Afghanistan and return to Yemen with his family.

The case is Hamdan v. Rumsfeld, 05-184.



To contact the reporter on this story:
Greg Stohr in Washington at gstohr@bloomberg.net.

Last Updated: November 7, 2005 10:03 EST
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Bush Defends US Interrogation Policy ABC News
President Bush Defends Administration's Policy on Detention of Terrorism Suspects, Says 'We Do Not Torture'. President Bush on Monday vigorously defended U.S. attempts to interrogate suspected terrorists after the public disclosure of secret CIA prisoner camps in eastern European countries. "We do not torture," he declared.
Bush: 'We do not torture' Minneapolis Star Tribune (subscription)
We do not torture - Bush News24
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Prewar report cast doubt on Iraq-Al Qaeda connection

Also, British newspaper says Blair's "reliable source" on Niger connection was probably a discredited Italian spy.

By Tom Regan | csmonitor.com

A newly declassified document from the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) shows that, as early as February 2002, there were doubts about an informer who claimed that there was a strong link between Al Qaeda and Iraq. The Associated Press reports that the [Bush] administration was alerted that an "Al Qaeda member in US custody probably was lying about links between the terrorist organization and Iraq."
The document from February 2002 showed that the agency questioned the reliability of Al Qaeda senior military trainer Ibn al-Shaykh al-Libi. He could not name any Iraqis involved in the effort or identify any chemical or biological materials or cite where the training took place, the report said. The agency concluded that al-Libi probably misled the interrogators deliberately, and he recanted the statements in January, according to the document made public by Senator Carl Levin, top Democrat [of Michigan] on the Senate Armed Services Committee.
Senator Levin posted excerpts of the report on his website, including a section from the report that read, "Saddam's regime is intensely secular and is wary of Islamic revolutionary movements. Moreover, Baghdad is unlikely to provide assistance to a group it cannot control." Reuters reports, however, that President Bush, Vice President Cheney, Secretary of State Colin Powell, and other administration officials all mentioned Mr. Libi's input as "credible" evidence that Iraq was training Al Qaeda members. They did not mention him by name at the time. Libi recanted his testimony in January of 2004.
CNN reports that Levin charged that the new evidence showed that the administration continued to accuse Iraq of giving biological and chemical weapons training to Al Qaeda members long after the source of that information had been discredited. And Sen. Jay Rockefeller (D) of West Virginia said "knowing what I know now," he would not have supported the 2002 Congressional resolution that authorized military action against Iraq.


Rockefeller told CNN's "Late Edition" that al-Libi was "an entirely unreliable individual upon whom the White House was placing substantial intelligence trust." He said Sunday's disclosure was another reason the Intelligence Committee needs to wrap up a promised investigation into how policymakers used intelligence data to push for war. The panel's initial probe focused on the quality of the intelligence and not how policymakers used it.
"That is a classic example of a lack of accountability to the American people," Rockefeller said.

Pentagon spokesman Lawrence Di Rita said, however, the report Levin was quoting was a single document "out of context, without the analysis or any other indication as to how it may have factored in." In an interview with CNN, he called its release "irresponsible and ironic, given the underlying allegation that this selected release is intended to address, namely someone's perception that intelligence was used selectively."
The Los Angeles Times reports that the DIA document was made available to the White House, the Pentagon and other agencies, but "it is not clear whether the Senate intelligence panel had access to it."

Meanwhile, another cornerstone of the prewar intelligence that was used to legitimize the war against Iraq continued to further unravel. Last week, Italian intelligence officials named Rocco Martino, an "occasional spy," as the source of the forged documents that indicated that Iraq was trying to buy uranium from Niger. While the US has now said that the Niger information was false, the British government has continued to maintain that the information it received about Niger was credible because it has come from "a foreign intelligence" source. It was the British report that was cited by President Bush in his January 2003 state of the union address.

The British newspaper The Independent, however, reported Sunday that is very likely that the British information on Niger came from Martino. The Independent says Martino had a meeting with Secret Intelligence Service in London as early as the autumn of 2001.

In October 2001, [the Italian military intelligence service] Sismi sent its British and American counterparts a dossier on alleged Iraqi attempts to buy uranium from Niger. Whether Rocco Martino delivered it to MI6 headquarters in Vauxhall Cross, as some Italian reports claim, is not clear.
But officials who have examined the British and Italian documents say that some of the same text in these early reports showed up later in the forged documents. And according to Mr. Martino, he approached the British Embassy in Brussels in January of 2003 saying that he had information on Iraq, Niger, and uranium. Both Martino and Gen. Nicolo Pollari of SISMI have said that Martino was working for French intelligence as the time (on a freelance basis) and that this could be behind Britain's claim that a "separate intelligence agency" was the source of the Niger document.
Finally, Knight Ridder reports that, contrary to Italian denials last week, US officials say that SISMI did pass on "bogus allegations to the United States of an Iraqi effort to buy uranium ore from the African nation of Niger for a nuclear bomb program."

Four US officials said the Italian military intelligence agency known as SISMI passed three reports to the CIA station in Rome between October 2001 and March 2002 outlining an alleged deal for Iraq to buy uranium ore, known as yellowcake, from Niger. Yellowcake is refined into the uranium fuel that powers nuclear weapons. The US officials spoke on condition of anonymity because portions of the matter remain classified.
One of the reports passed by SISMI contained language that turned out to have been lifted verbatim from crudely forged documents that outlined the purported uranium-ore deal, the US officials said.

The Independent writes that some Italian media reports have accused General Pollari of working with a group of American neoconservatives to make sure the now discredited "Niger connection" made its way to the highest levels of the Bush administration.
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