AL RELATIONS Looking Ahead At The Debate This Friday's presidential debate will focus on foreign policy. Sen. John McCain (R-AZ) said in 2005 that on "transcendent issues" like the war on terror, he is in "
total agreement" with President Bush. McCain's foreign policy ideas bear this out. Like Bush, McCain contends that Iraq is the "
central front" in the war on terror, ignoring the fact that there was no al Qaeda in Iraq before there was America Iraq. Invading Iraq has
radicalized scores of young Muslims, who have traveled to Iraq and learned terrorist tactics, which they have now begun to
bring back to their home countries. In remarks to the Council on Foreign Relations on November 5, 2003, McCain responded to a question about whether the United States would "finish the job" in Afghanistan by saying that "
we may muddle through." As a result of the diversion of resources and attention to an unnecessary war in , al Qaeda and the Taliban have regrouped in the Afghanistan-Pakistan border areas and waged an increasingly lethal insurgency. Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Adm. Michael Mullen recently told the House of Representatives Armed Services Committee, "
I'm not convinced we are winning it in Afghanistan…Frankly, we're running out of time." In July, Mullen told reporters, "
I don't have troops I can reach for, brigades I can reach to send into Afghanistan, until I have a reduced requirement in Iraq." McCain has consistently opposed drawing down troops from Iraq.
PROMOTING THE SURGE, IGNORING HIS ROLE AS WAR CHEERLEADER: McCain has made his support for the Iraq surge central to his campaign but ignores the fact that the surge has not delivered on its central objective: achieving a sustainable power consolidation among Iraq's different political forces. According to a recent report from the Center for American Progress, "Iraq's Political Transition After the Surge," the surge "has frozen into place the
accelerated fragmentation that Iraq underwent in 2006 and 2007 and has created disincentives to bridge central divisions between Iraqi factions." These factions remain at loggerheads over significant issues such as the oil law, constitutional reform, and the status of the city of Kirkuk. McCain has also tried to de-couple his support for the surge from his strident advocacy of the 2003 invasion, insisting that the latter is simply
a matter for historians to debate. The fact remains that a surge of 30,000 troops to Iraq would not have been necessary if not for the disastrous decision to invade Iraq in the first place. The Iraq war has resulted in the
deaths of over 4,000 American servicemen and women and has left over 30,000 seriously wounded. The war has also resulted in the
deaths of an estimated 150,000 Iraqis, with many more wounded and maimed, and
over 4 million displaced, both within and outside the country. Economists Joseph Stiglitz of Columbia and Linda Bilmes of Harvard estimated the total cost of the Iraq war to U.S. taxpayers at around $3 trillion. McCain has said that, even knowing that Saddam had no WMD and no connections to al Qaeda, "
there's no question" he would still have voted to authorize the war.
A HARDER LINE THAN BUSH: In the few areas where McCain and Bush disagree, McCain proposes an even harder line than Bush, promising to continue policies that the Bush administration has discarded. President Bush now recognizes the necessity of talking with Iran
abandon[ing] its longstanding position that it would meet face to face with Iran only after the country suspended its uranium enrichment,” and sending Undersecretary of State William Burns to accompany a European Union delegation during a meeting with Iran's top nuclear official in July. At a recent panel, five former U.S. secretaries of state -- Henry Kissinger, Colin Powell, Madeleine Albright, Warren Christopher, and James Baker -- all agreed that "the next American administration
should talk to Iran." Kissinger specifically supported negotiating with Iran "
without conditions," which McCain has called
naive and irresponsible. McCain also advocates a hard line against North Korea, using language that the Washington Post recognized as "
remarkably similar to President Bush's first-term rhetoric." McCain has broken with the Bush administration’s new policy of diplomatic engagement, under which North Korea has provided greater disclosure of its nuclear activities, and destroyed part of its weapons-building reactor. President Bush has recognized as "
important first steps toward the goal of a nuclear weapons-free Korean peninsula." McCain's approach would turn back these gains.
A HYSTERIA-BASED FOREIGN POLICY: McCain's hysterical response to the Russia-Georgia conflict is a troubling indication of how he would handle future international crises. McCain immediate reaction was to declare it "
the first probably serious crisis internationally since the end of the Cold War," this after having spent months declaring the threat of Islamic radicalism "
the transcendent challenge of our time." Even before the Russia-Georgia crisis, McCain had advocated an aggressive posture toward Russia, suggesting that Russia should be thrown out of the G8. Newsweek's Fareed Zakaria called this "
the most radical idea put forward by a major candidate for the presidency in 25 years, a policy that would alienate many countries in Europe and Asia who would see it as an attempt by Washington to begin a new cold war. McCain's anti-Russia stance has serious implications for efforts to contain Iran's nuclear ambitions. Many of America's allies, including the Israelis, believe that
Russia's cooperation is essential for dealing with the Iranian nuclear program. In a recent interview, McCain also
refused to commit to a meeting with Spanish Prime Minister Jose Luis Zapatero, even though Spain is an important NATO ally with more than 700 troops in Afghanistan. After eight years of arrogant unilateralism, McCain proposes a foreign policy approach that would do more to alienate America's allies, and make it more difficult to work together with other countries to address common threats.