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Arneoker
QUOTE(canjcat @ Aug 4 2008, 11:34 AM) *
I agree with everything you say about Biden's unarguable credentials (including his non-stop chatter tongue.gif)......but I still see him more valuable as Secretary of State.

As for VP, I'm still undecided......

I kind of prefer him as SOS myself. On the other hand, I am not sure that I see my perfect VP candidate out there, at least among the individuals most people are discussing.
Arneoker
QUOTE(rla @ Aug 4 2008, 11:33 AM) *
I think the post, over-all condems with feint praise. It gradually builds up the punch line that Obama
is not tried and true.

Heaven forbid that we should ever acknowledge that Obama has some kind of lack that ought to be discussed!
Terra
QUOTE(Pegatha @ Aug 4 2008, 08:16 AM) *
Edwards is out. Kiss him goodbye.


They mean the Edwards from TX.. not the Edwards who maybe remembered he's married to Elizabeth.

Pegatha
QUOTE(Terra @ Aug 4 2008, 01:32 PM) *
QUOTE(Pegatha @ Aug 4 2008, 08:16 AM) *
Edwards is out. Kiss him goodbye.


They mean the Edwards from TX.. not the Edwards who maybe remembered he's married to Elizabeth.


Oh! 'Scuze me. Flee.gif
graham4anything
I think Elizabeth Edwards sic'd the photogs on John to end his egotistical ambitions of higher office

There I said it.

Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned.

Either with or without Hillary's help .
there I said it.

You don't f--k around with a dying woman. You don't make a fool out of her.(Lit&fig'ly)

And I think Elizabeth might also have had ulterior motives politically, in that it appeared Liz was for Hill and John was for Obama.

Good hatchet job on him either way.

"Hatred paralyzes life; love releases it. Hatred confuses life; love harmonizes it. Hatred darkens life; love illumines it." Martin Luther King, Jr.
( I think).

dggfwtx
QUOTE(Terra @ Aug 4 2008, 01:32 PM) *
QUOTE(Pegatha @ Aug 4 2008, 08:16 AM) *
Edwards is out. Kiss him goodbye.


They mean the Edwards from TX.. not the Edwards who maybe remembered he's married to Elizabeth.



Yes, Chet, so far as I know, doesn't have the kind of issues that John does smile.gif
dggfwtx
QUOTE(Arneoker @ Aug 4 2008, 10:24 AM) *
Being a vet is nice, but does he have anything in the way of serious national security credentials?


He apparently didn't serve in the military, but he has worked extensively on veterans and military issues in the House, as he represents the district that includes Fort Hood. So he has tons of military credentials. Anyway, Chet is probably not a big enough name, or from a key swing state, to get serious consideration, but he is one type of potential VP that Obama should be looking for, I think.


Arneoker
QUOTE(dggfwtx @ Aug 4 2008, 03:00 PM) *
He apparently didn't serve in the military, but he has worked extensively on veterans and military issues in the House, as he represents the district that includes Fort Hood. So he has tons of military credentials. Anyway, Chet is probably not a big enough name, or from a key swing state, to get serious consideration, but he is one type of potential VP that Obama should be looking for, I think.

Well assuming that he is compatible enough with Obama on domestic issues it sounds like he could be interesting. But he does sound like a dark horse.
graham4anything
GORE

CAROLINE

CHET

Haven't heard the name chet since Atkins and Huntley
Good name.
rla
QUOTE(Arneoker @ Aug 4 2008, 10:24 AM) *
QUOTE(dggfwtx @ Aug 3 2008, 06:32 PM) *
Chet Edwards is a congressman who represents the district in Central Texas that stretches from Burleson, just south of Fort Worth, to College Station, and includes Crawford and Waco. He is the only one of the seven white Democrats targeted by the GOP in the Texas redistricting scandal to survive. My mother thinks very highly of him and says he is a super nice guy. He's probably more conservative than most people on this site would like, but that isn't necessarily that bad of thing. And he is one of the top veterans advocates in the House.

I doubt he would be under "top-tier" serious consideration, but with Pelosi pushing him, I would imagine his name is at least on the table.

Being a vet is nice, but does he have anything in the way of serious national security credentials?


Security starts with yourself and your imediate herd with Horses and with Persons. If he has Imprinted many new-born Horses and had them loving and respecting Persons and all the paraphanelia that horses are likely to run into, co-habitating with Persons, so that if facilitated by the owner, the horse will love living in your world and winning you awards and cash and be a partnering companion, then I would be inclined to check him out further...
rla
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 4 2008, 01:47 PM) *
I think Elizabeth Edwards sic'd the photogs on John to end his egotistical ambitions of higher office

There I said it.

Hell hath no fury like a woman scorned.

Either with or without Hillary's help .
there I said it.

You don't f--k around with a dying woman. You don't make a fool out of her.(Lit&fig'ly)

And I think Elizabeth might also have had ulterior motives politically, in that it appeared Liz was for Hill and John was for Obama.

Good hatchet job on him either way.

"Hatred paralyzes life; love releases it. Hatred confuses life; love harmonizes it. Hatred darkens life; love illumines it." Martin Luther King, Jr.
( I think).

Martin Luther King's mastery of Philosophy never ceases to amaze me.
dggfwtx
Apparently the stories about Pelosi pushing Chet have been around for a bit. A few weeks ago, a story moved in which Edwards said he would be willing to accept the VP spot. At the time I saw that, I thought, "So ... so would several hundred other Democratic politicians." I thought it was odd and off-the-wall, but apparently it is more serious than that.

BTW, Chet did endorse Obama, but he was a late endorser. He did so just before the Texas primary, if I recall correctly.

Pegatha
QUOTE(dggfwtx @ Aug 4 2008, 02:22 PM) *
BTW, Chet did endorse Obama, but he was a late endorser. He did so just before the Texas primary, if I recall correctly.


That feels like eons ago to me.
Beamer
I think there is unease about Obama with some voters. He's the first black candidate for President of the United States! My God, it's amazing he has gotten this far! The country has come a long way, but there is still a lot of fear about race. We are not color blind. Juan Williams had a commentary in the WSJ today where he said that the race issue was not going to go away.


QUOTE
The Race Issue Isn't Going Away
By JUAN WILLIAMS
August 4, 2008

With polls showing the presidential contest between John McCain and Barack Obama getting closer, a question is now looming larger and larger. Is skin color going to be the deciding factor?

Just last week, Sen. Obama warned voters that Sen. McCain's campaign will exploit the race issue by telling voters that "he doesn't look like all those other presidents on the dollar bills." A few weeks earlier, he said they will attack his lack of experience but also added, "And did I mention he's black?"

The McCain campaign did not counter the first punch, but after last week's jab -- fearing that Mr. Obama was getting away with calling his candidate a racist -- campaign manager Rick Davis responded to the dollar-bill attack by saying, "Barack Obama has played the race card, and he played it from the bottom of the deck. It's divisive, negative, shameful and wrong."

Mr. Obama's campaign concedes it has no clear example of a Republican attack that expressly cites Mr. Obama's name or race. Yet in the last few days some Obama supporters were at it again, suggesting that a McCain ad attacking Mr. Obama as little more than a "celebrity," by featuring young white women such as Britney Spears, is an appeal to white anxiety about black men and white women.

The race issue is clearly not going away. And the key reason -- to be blunt -- is because there is no telling how many white voters are lying to pollsters when they say they plan to vote for a black man to be president. Still, it is possible to look elsewhere in the polling numbers to see where white voters acknowledge their racial feelings and get a truer measure of racism.

In a Wall Street Journal poll last month, 8% of white voters said outright that race is the most important factor when it comes to looking at these two candidates -- a three percentage point increase since Mr. Obama claimed the Democratic nomination. An added 15% of white voters admit the candidates' race is a factor for them. Race is even more important to black voters: 20% say it is the top factor influencing their view of the candidates, and another 14% admit it is among the key factors that will determine their vote. All this contributes to the idea that the presidential contest will boil down to black guy versus white guy.

Consider also a recent Washington Post poll. Thirty percent of all voters admitted to racial prejudice, and more than a half of white voters categorized Mr. Obama as "risky" (two-thirds judged Mr. McCain the "safe" choice). Yet about 90% of whites said they would be "comfortable" with a black president. And about a third of white voters acknowledged they would not be "entirely comfortable" with an African-American president. Why the contradictory responses? My guess is that some whites are not telling the truth about their racial attitudes.

A recent New York Times poll found that only 31% of white voters said they had a favorable opinion of Mr. Obama. That compares to 83% of blacks with a favorable opinion. This is a huge, polarizing differential.

But polling can be tricky. In May, a Pew poll asked voters about Mr. Obama but did not give them the option of saying they are undecided. In that poll, whites split on the candidate, 45% saying they had a favorable opinion, 46% unfavorable. When white voters had the option of being undecided, as they did in the Times poll, 37% of whites said they had an unfavorable opinion of him, but 26% said they were undecided.

To win this campaign, Mr. Obama needs to assure undecided white voters that he shares their values and is worthy of their trust. To do that he has to minimize attention to different racial attitudes toward his candidacy as well as racially polarizing issues, and appeal to the common experiences that bind Americans regardless of color.

Mr. Obama has shown an unprecedented ability to cross the racial divide in American politics. He did particularly well in managing caucus states, such as Iowa, where highly energized supporters, especially idealistic young white supporters, minimized the impact of negative racial attitudes with passionate participation.

But the white Democratic caucus voters in Iowa, where there are relatively few racial issues, are decidedly more liberal than white voters nationally. In primary states from New Hampshire to Texas and California, Mr. Obama lost when one of two things happened. Either working-class white voters did not participate in polls, or some white voters lied and told pollsters they planned to vote for him before casting their votes for another candidate.

There are going to be more of those wobbly white voters in November. The size of the white vote in a general election race dwarfs the white vote in the Democratic primary. Based on the 2004 presidential contest, whites make up about 77% of voters and blacks 11%.

In the Democratic primaries there were states, especially in the South, where blacks made up nearly half of the electorate. But in the general election there are no states where blacks make up so large a percentage. Even in Southern states such as Georgia and North Carolina, where blacks made up about a quarter of the vote in the last presidential election, it will be an upset if Mr. Obama manages to win. Those states have a history of Republican dominance in presidential contests. Even an energized black vote is unlikely to make Mr. Obama a winner anywhere in the South, although some Democrats hold out hope for Virginia.

In 2004, John Kerry had a 46% favorable rating among white voters, barely better than Barack Obama's. But Mr. Kerry lost. Mr. Obama needs to do better with whites. But the white voters' view of him is still clearly unsettled.

Polls show white voters struggling to identify with him as a fellow American who, to quote Bill Clinton, is able to "feel your pain." When the New York Times poll asked whether Mr. Obama cares about "the needs and problems of people like yourself," 70% of whites answered "a lot" or "some." But 28% of whites said Mr. Obama cared about them "not much" or "not at all." Compare that with the 72% of black voters who said Mr. Obama cared about them "a lot." The same Times poll had Mr. Obama leading Mr. McCain by six percentage points, 45-39, but trailing by nine points among white voters, 37-46.

After Jesse Jackson's vicious comments about Mr. Obama, some political strategists suggested that a split with Mr. Jackson and his racially divisive politics could help Mr. Obama with white voters. But polls have yet to reveal this.

Could a Jackson-Obama split cause black voters to lose enthusiasm for him -- dividing their loyalties between the two most prominent black political voices of this era? Opinion surveys do not indicate this is likely. Polling done by Gallup just before Mr. Jackson's outburst indicated that 29% of black Americans chose Mr. Obama as the "individual or leader in the U.S. to speak for you on issues of race." Mr. Jackson came in third with only 4% support (behind Al Sharpton, who had 6%). Last year, a Pew poll focusing on racial attitudes found 76% of blacks judged Mr. Obama a "good influence," a full eight points higher than Mr. Jackson.

Jodie Allen, a senior editor at Pew, wrote recently that a poll Pew conducted last November showed clearly that "the black community is at least as traditional in its views as the larger American public." Blacks in the Pew poll were just as likely as whites to take a hard line opposing crime (as long as black neighborhoods are not unfairly targeted), to condemn the shocking number of children born out of wedlock and express disgust with the violence and misogyny in rap music.

Mr. Obama needs to hammer home these conservative social values to capture undecided white voters. He might lose Mr. Jackson's vote. But he won't lose many black votes, and he will win the undecided white votes he needs to become America's first African-American president.

Mr. Williams is a political analyst for National Public Radio and Fox News.


URL for this article:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB121781107977608809.html

Then, you also have Obama's unusual name that happens to rhyme with the name of Public Enemy #1 of the United States. That too is a hurdle.

All in all, Obama is a different kind of candidate than we have ever seen - obviously, and which makes him a very interesting and compelling figure. However, to relieve some of the concerns people have, Obama is going to have to pick a relatively safe individual as his running mate. I'm agreeing with Arne that having a woman on the ticket or a Hispanic (even though Sibelius and Richardson have a lot of positives) will add to the "strangeness" factor. In my opinion, he's going to have to pick a white guy and one that is fairly well-known, and with foreign policy experience. Biden would be the strongest of the top contenders. I like Joe a lot - a lot more than I used to - but he's such a showboat. Obama generates enough excitement and controversy. He needs someone who is relatively humble - but tough.

As for Kaine, the public is getting to know him a little, but he is an unknown and fairly inexperienced too. There isn't much time left before the convention for Obama to get everyone familiar and comfortable with Kaine - or another relatively unknown person, especially when polls are showing that people still need to be reassured about Obama.

I think he's going to have to pick Biden or Bayh. I think the Midwestern combo is compelling. That area needs some major advocacy. And, I think tapping a former Hillary supporter might mend some fences.

I think Biden would probably add more excitement. But, does Obama want someone who has way more foreign policy experience than he does? Will the contrast with Biden be too much? And, even though Biden is only 65, Obama will be less able to make the contrast with McCain's age.

I think Bayh is the logical choice. He's not the most exciting guy (I have described him many times as white bread), but he's attractive and youthful-looking, and he definitely wants the job. I can just hear the Paul McCartney lyrics now - "Ebony and ivory..." laugh.gif


graham4anything
Obama gets MORE of the white vote talked about above, than either Kerry Gore Mondale or Dukakis did
and, laugingly look how little Bill Clinton actually got (he only got a total of 41 percent of ALL voters, the white vote was much less...without the
black vote, Bill Clinton would have only recieved 28% in the polls and might have come in 3rd place after Perot and Bush41.

That is another red herring statement, because people will not look it up and see the raw numbers of past races

Since 1964 democrats don't get that racist vote much

and its only males

Obama got the women vote, the Hispanic vote, the Asian vote.

If they need a white guy, all they got to do is say MIKE BLOOMBERG.
Even Frenchy has an avitar that says I LIKE MIKE. The whole world loves him.
And he is not boring nor bland.

The McCain crew is getting desparate, this ploy of the obamahaters is just so obvious, throw the kitchen sink...
every day it makes Obama stronger.


and hey beamer- if I liked Bayh, I bet your galoshes that you would then harp on someone else I didn't like. We know the tricks.
You find these oddball writers on the right just to annoy me.

Beamer
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 4 2008, 09:33 PM) *
Obama gets MORE of the white vote talked about above, than either Kerry Gore Mondale or Dukakis did
and, laugingly look how little Bill Clinton actually got (he only got a total of 41 percent of ALL voters, the white vote was much less...without the
black vote, Bill Clinton would have only recieved 28% in the polls and might have come in 3rd place after Perot and Bush41.

That is another red herring statement, because people will not look it up and see the raw numbers of past races

Since 1964 democrats don't get that racist vote much

and its only males

Obama got the women vote, the Hispanic vote, the Asian vote.

If they need a white guy, all they got to do is say MIKE BLOOMBERG.
Even Frenchy has an avitar that says I LIKE MIKE. The whole world loves him.
And he is not boring nor bland.

The McCain crew is getting desparate, this ploy of the obamahaters is just so obvious, throw the kitchen sink...
every day it makes Obama stronger.


and hey beamer- if I liked Bayh, I bet your galoshes that you would then harp on someone else I didn't like. We know the tricks.
You find these oddball writers on the right just to annoy me.


Juan Williams is black. Is he a right winger? He does appear on Fox News, but he's also on NPR.
graham4anything
QUOTE(Beamer @ Aug 5 2008, 12:41 AM) *
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 4 2008, 09:33 PM) *
Obama gets MORE of the white vote talked about above, than either Kerry Gore Mondale or Dukakis did
and, laugingly look how little Bill Clinton actually got (he only got a total of 41 percent of ALL voters, the white vote was much less...without the
black vote, Bill Clinton would have only recieved 28% in the polls and might have come in 3rd place after Perot and Bush41.

That is another red herring statement, because people will not look it up and see the raw numbers of past races

Since 1964 democrats don't get that racist vote much

and its only males

Obama got the women vote, the Hispanic vote, the Asian vote.

If they need a white guy, all they got to do is say MIKE BLOOMBERG.
Even Frenchy has an avitar that says I LIKE MIKE. The whole world loves him.
And he is not boring nor bland.

The McCain crew is getting desparate, this ploy of the obamahaters is just so obvious, throw the kitchen sink...
every day it makes Obama stronger.


and hey beamer- if I liked Bayh, I bet your galoshes that you would then harp on someone else I didn't like. We know the tricks.
You find these oddball writers on the right just to annoy me.


Juan Williams is black. Is he a right winger? He does appear on Fox News, but he's also on NPR.



He is Hispanic. I think he was born outside the US in the same area McCain was born
Fox makes anyone on their station say what Fox wants them to say

Did you hear Jeb who along with 41 and 43 called in rush, together the other day
He asked Rush how was "our man Ailes"
It's no longer a secret even, just a big joke
fair and balanced yeah, never.
graham4anything
from wiki- this sounds like a rightwinger to me-

Sexual harassment allegations
In 1991, Juan Williams was disciplined by the Washington Post after several female employees at the paper claimed he directed "sexually explicit and hostile comments" towards them.[1] Williams' letter of apology read, in part: "Some of my verbal conduct was wrong. I now know that, and I extend my sincerest apology to those whom I offended."[1]

Williams, a staunch defender of then Supreme Court nominee Clarence Thomas against allegations of sexual harassment brought against him by Anita Hill, wrote in an Op-Ed column for the Post that Hill had no "credible evidence" to support her allegations against Thomas, while Williams was still under investigation by the Post for his own behavior towards female colleagues at the paper.[1]

veritas
Senator Webb would be a powerful addition to the ticket, although he would be irreplaceable in the Senate.

QUOTE
http://wacla.org/2008/07/02/blackwater-pla...s-capitol-hill/

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1214962501...=googlenews_wsj
Blackwater Plan Roils Capitol Hill
By August Cole
July 2, 2008; Page A3


Blackwater Worldwide’s bid to expand its military-training business in the San Diego area has already sparked controversy in California and is now posing problems in Washington.

Virginia Democratic Sen. James Webb is holding up the approval of four civilian defense officials until he gets more information from Defense Secretary Robert Gates about a Blackwater training facility in Otay Mesa, Calif. One of the nominees is set to be undersecretary of the Army.

Although the Defense Department has attempted to answer Sen. Webb’s questions, the senator said he isn’t satisfied. “We really don’t have any other alternative,” Sen. Webb said in an interview. “In this case, I asked very specific questions, which in my experience are easily answerable, so I think as a matter of courtesy they should be answered properly.”

Sen. Webb, a former Navy secretary, is potentially a formidable foe for companies like Blackwater. He has been mentioned as a possible running mate for Sen. Barack Obama, the likely Democratic presidential nominee, and has helped establish a commission that will be investigating wartime contracting.

The holdup also creates a potential friction point between Democratic lawmakers and Mr. Gates, who has sought to smooth relations with Congress. A Defense Department spokesman said the secretary’s office plans to provide more information in the near future. “As far as we’re concerned, we have and continue to address some of the questions raised by Sen. Webb and feel as though we have provided him thus far with what he’s asked for,” the spokesman said.

In May, San Diego city officials tried to halt Blackwater from opening a training facility because of permit issues and concerns about an indoor shooting range in an industrial area near the U.S.-Mexico border. Blackwater filed suit and opened the center anyway. Blackwater said it needs a West Coast foothold so it can teach U.S. sailors how to defend ships against terrorist attacks, as well as providing other training for law enforcement and the military.

After a May 20 report in The Wall Street Journal on Blackwater’s plans, Sen. Webb wrote a letter to Mr. Gates asking for information about the facility and Blackwater’s military-training business.

“This article raises several important questions that relate not only to the controversial role of Blackwater vis-à-vis our national-defense policies but also as to how certain decisions are reached within the relationship between the legislative and executive branches of government,” Sen. Webb wrote.

Before he received a written response from the Pentagon, Sen. Webb said, he received an unsolicited response from Blackwater addressing the questions he had directed to Mr. Gates.

“Blackwater supports accountability and transparency for our industry and we welcome the opportunity to inform elected officials and others about what we do and why we do it,” wrote Blackwater President Gary Jackson in a letter faxed to Sen. Webb. (Mr. Jackson also invited the senator to tour the facility.) A copy was also sent to Mr. Gates. A Blackwater spokeswoman said the company received a copy of the senator’s letter from industry sources and “thought it appropriate to reach out to both the senator and the Department of Defense to provide the information that was requested.”

Mr. Gates spoke with Sen. Webb and later sent him a written response, according to both parties. Mr. Gates promised to have the Navy brief Sen. Webb on the subject, as well as to provide more information on the policies dealing with security contractors.

Write to August Cole at august.cole@dowjones.com


Sadly, this tragedy occurred last week,
QUOTE
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/greg-mitchel...o_b_115807.html

Young Aide to Jim Webb Found Dead -- Suicide or Murder?
Posted July 30, 2008


...Webb issued a written statement: "Freddie was one of the most honorable and friendly individuals I have had the pleasure of knowing. He was a mainstay in the Roanoke community and a friend to all who knew him. My condolences go out to his mother, Karen, and the rest of his family and friends. He will be greatly missed."

A Webb spokeswoman said that Hutchins was a rising star "and such a great kid, so full of life, so sweet and so well loved."


..."It's hard to believe, but Freddie Hutchins at age 26 was a grizzled veteran of politics," said Dave "Mudcat" Saunders, a Roanoke political consultant. Saunders told the Roanoke Times that last year he offered Hutchins a higher-profile job as the deputy senior strategist for rural affairs for presidential candidate John Edwards of North Carolina.

"A deputy senior strategist at age 25? That's stuff Harvard kids dream about," Saunders said. "But he had absolute loyalty to Jim Webb."

Articles in the past described Hutchins as a "NASCAR-loving country boy" who loved to hunt and had a permit for a concealed weapon. He said that he considered Webb a role model because of his support for the poor and working-class...
graham4anything
all suicides in politics are murder it is normally found sometimes a long time in the future
rla
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 4 2008, 11:33 PM) *
Obama gets MORE of the white vote talked about above, than either Kerry Gore Mondale or Dukakis did
and, laugingly look how little Bill Clinton actually got (he only got a total of 41 percent of ALL voters, the white vote was much less...without the
black vote, Bill Clinton would have only recieved 28% in the polls and might have come in 3rd place after Perot and Bush41.

That is another red herring statement, because people will not look it up and see the raw numbers of past races

Since 1964 democrats don't get that racist vote much

and its only males

Obama got the women vote, the Hispanic vote, the Asian vote.

If they need a white guy, all they got to do is say MIKE BLOOMBERG.
Even Frenchy has an avitar that says I LIKE MIKE. The whole world loves him.
And he is not boring nor bland.

The McCain crew is getting desparate, this ploy of the obamahaters is just so obvious, throw the kitchen sink...
every day it makes Obama stronger.


and hey beamer- if I liked Bayh, I bet your galoshes that you would then harp on someone else I didn't like. We know the tricks.
You find these oddball writers on the right just to annoy me.


Its the ying and yang of Life and of politics...have fun with it...Persons do their best work when they are most enjoying it...
graham4anything
IT AIN'T GONNA BE BAYH
AND IT AIN'T GONNA WEDNESDAY

I predict Gore is the leftfielder.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1dbfb37e-631d-11...00779fd2ac.html

Obama running mate could come from ‘left field’
By Edward Luce in Youngstown, Ohio

Published: August 5 2008 19:52 | Last updated: August 5 2008 19:52

Fans of Evan Bayh, the clean-cut senator for Indiana, are hoping today will be the day he is selected as Barack Obama’s vice-presidential running mate. They are likely to be disappointed.

Although the two senators will be campaigning together in Indiana – a traditionally Republican state that the Obama campaign is targeting in November – the audition process still has at least 10 days to run.

VP contenders
Evan Bayh

Senator for Indiana

2:1

Pro: A safe pair of hands who would not offend anyone or overshadow Mr Obama; has solid experience of government; a former governor of Indiana, he represents an important rust belt swing state.

Con: Image as a political insider grates with Mr Obama’s change message; lacks the political fighting instinct that Mr Obama may need before November.


Tim Kaine

Governor of Virginia

7:2

Pro: A Spanish-speaking former Catholic missionary, governor of a state which Mr Obama is targeting, and the son of a metalworker, he speaks to several key constituencies: hispanics, Catholics, southerners, and the white working class.

Con: Scant experience in foreign policy - an area where Mr Obama is felt to fall behind Mr McCain - or indeed in office: he assumed the Virginia governorship just over two years ago.


Jo Biden

Senator for Delaware

7:1

Pro: His 35 years in the Senate and more than a decade in the front rank of its foreign relations committee would trump Mr McCain’s claims of superior experience in foreign policy and in Washington.

Con: Has a reputation for making off-message comments. Represents a northeastern state that has become solidly Democratic, doing little to allay fears that Mr Obama’s campaign fails to speak to midwestern swing voters.



Kathleen Sebelius

Governor of Kansas

7:1

Pro: A female Democratic governor from a solidly Republican state, she could reach out to the middle-American centre and help placate disappointed supporters of Hillary Clinton.

Con: Has little national profile or foreign policy experience; candidacy could be seen as tokenism by supporters of Ms Clinton, and a presidential ticket entirely free of white men could further alienate wary white working-class male voters


Hillary Clinton

Senator for New York

10:1

Despite her years in the White House and Senate and powerful support within the Democratic party, bad blood between the Clintons and the Obama camp and fears that she would be too big for the vice-presidential office make her an outside candidate


Odds: Ladbrokes

Compiled by David Fickling

Obama officials say privately it is unlikely a running mate will be selected before the candidate returns from a week’s holiday in Hawaii, which starts this Friday. That leaves about 10 days until the start of the Democratic party convention in Denver.

In spite of ever more feverish speculation about who Mr Obama is likely to choose – Hillary Clinton having made a comeback in the past few days – the decision is unlikely to be leaked. In addition to Michelle Obama, the candidate’s inner circle consists of just three people: David Axelrod, his senior strategist, David Plouffe, his campaign manager, and Robert Gibbs, a senior adviser.

All three are intensely loyal and discreet Obama professionals. “It doesn’t go much beyond this circle,” says a senior Obama staffer. “Others may be consulted on a case-by-case basis. But only the Davids and Robert are always inside the circle.”

It is even unclear whether Mr Obama has yet whittled his choice down to a shortlist. But a straw poll of Obama staff members and Democrats close to the campaign suggests that five or six names recur. Each is deemed capable of helping to neutralise one or more of Mr Obama’s perceived weaknesses: inexperience, lack of national security credentials, the perception that he is aloof and his poor record of winning over blue-collar voters in swing states of the rust belt.

All are evaluated principally on their ability to help Mr Obama win in November, as opposed to the contributions they might make to an administration. In addition, good personal chemistry is ­essential. Mr Bayh is one of the most credible. A former governor of Indiana, he has the executive experience and mainstream credentials that many believe would help blunt voters’ doubts about Mr Obama’s relatively thin curriculum vitae and what some call his “exotic” background.

Mr Bayh, whose father, Birch Bayh, was a presidential candidate in the 1970s, was also a strong supporter of Mrs Clinton. But unlike other Clinton surrogates – including her husband Bill, who still appears unable to offer an unequivocal endorsement of Mr Obama – Mr Bayh did not overstep the mark in his attacks on Mr Obama.

Against Mr Bayh is the widespread feeling that he may be a little too bland.

Then there is Tim Kaine, the governor of Virginia, who had the distinction of being the first outside Mr Obama’s home state of Illinois to endorse him. That, and the fact that Virginia has gone from being a Republican stronghold to a potential swing state, gives Mr Kaine a strong claim. But, like Mr Obama, Mr Kaine has no national security credentials. And he is relatively unknown on the national stage.

The same cannot be said of Jo Biden, the long-running senator for Delaware, former presidential candidate and – most importantly – chairman of the Senate foreign relations committee. Few would question Mr Biden’s grasp of national security. And nobody would accuse him of inexperience. But the voluble senator has a tendency to put his foot in his mouth.

At the start of the campaign he was forced to apologise after he praised Mr Obama for being the first “clean” and “articulate” “mainstream African-American” to run for the office. “Biden would make an appropriate secretary of state,” said one Democratic consultant close to the campaign. “As a running mate he might be a risk.”

Kathleen Sebelius, the governor of Kansas and one of the foremost women in Democratic politics, would present another kind of risk. Although Ms Sebelius would bring both Midwestern credentials and executive experience to the ticket, her selection could alienate supporters of Mrs Clinton, many of whom are still smarting over what they see as her mistreatment by the Obama campaign. “If Obama is going to choose a woman, that leaves just one choice,” says a former Clinton adviser.

Asked whether Mrs Clinton is a possibility, Mr Obama says she would be on anybody’s shortlist. But Obama staffers struggle to contain their incredulity when asked if the prospect is likely. In practice, almost nobody will know whom Mr Obama is going to select until he announces it. And that could be someone “from left field”, as one Obama staffer puts it.

Potential “left fielders” include Chuck Hagel, the dissident Republican senator, Sam Nunn, the former Democratic senator for Georgia, and Chet Edwards, a centrist Democratic congressman from Texas. “I guess Hillary would be from left field,” said the staffer. “Don’t rule anything out.”


Copyright The Financial Times Limited 2008
veritas
QUOTE
]

http://obamaclark.com/

Executive Experience
General Clark is the only potential running mate with experience of leading our nation’s armed forces into war. As NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander, General Clark led Operation Allied Force, which saved 1.5 million Albanians from genocide, without losing a single American soldier.

Military Background
During thirty-four years of service in the United States Army Wesley K. Clark rose to the rank of four-star general as NATO's Supreme Allied Commander, Europe. In previous duty, General Clark was the Commander-in-Chief, US Southern Command, where he was responsible for all US military activities in Latin America and the Caribbean.

General Clark's awards and honors include the Presidential Medal of Freedom, The State Department Distinguished Service Award; the US Department of Defense Distinguished Service Medal;(five awards), The US Army Distinguished Service Medal(two awards), The Silver Star, the Bronze Star (two awards), the Purple Heart, and Honorary Knighthoods from the British and Dutch governments.

Foreign Policy Experience
There is not greater authority on foreign policy in the Democratic Party than General Wesley Clark. As a senior adviser to the International Crisis Group, he has traveled and worked in the Balkans, Northern Ireland, and Africa to bring peace treaties and stability to countries in their time of need.

He is the author of the best selling book Waging Modern War: Bosnia, Kosovo and the Future of Combat (Public Affairs, New York, NY 2001) and Winning Modern War: Iraq, Terrorism and the American Empire (Public Affairs, New York, NY 2003).

Against the War From the Start – Iraq and Iran
General Wesley Clark is one of the few potential running mates and national leaders who, like Senator Barack Obama, opposed the Iraq war from the start. Having a running mate who was clearly against the war provides a strong contrast to John McCain, and gives the ticket credibility in fighting to change the mindset that led us into the war in Iraq.

In 2006, Clark launched StopIranWar.com to help frame the debate and stop the mindset that led us into Iraq, from leading us into a war with Iran. Senator Obama and General Wesley Clark have been outspoken in leading the fight together on this effort.

Helping Down Ballot Tickets
In 2006, General Clark was one of the top 3 most requested surrogates of the DCCC and was able to campaign effectively everywhere in the country. He helped steer candidates to victory such as Admiral Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania, Tim Walz in Minnesota, Nick Lampson in Texas, Carol Shea Porter in New Hampshire, and future Congressman Charlie Brown in California, and Eric Massa in New York, just to name a few.

A True Progressive Without Bush Dog Votes
While many potential running mates have long lists of voting records that include votes to authorize war in Iraq, support trade agreements without the labor and environmental protections needed, and support of bankruptcy bills that hurt working class America, General Clark has no record of support for such legislation and has been outspoken in his opposition to such proposals.

Southern Roots
Wesley Clark was raised and still lives in Little Rock, Arkansas. An Obama-Clark ticket will be in a unique position to compete in the South, especially in Clark’s home state of Arkansas, where polling shows the ticket will be in a strong position to defeat John McCain. Clark will also strengthen the ticket in southern states with large veteran populations that are now competitive such as North Carolina.

Appeal In Latino Community and Southwest
General Clark ran a strong second to John Kerry in Arizona and New Mexico in 2004, even after Kerry wrapped up Iowa and New Hampshire. This is in large part because of Clark’s popularity in the Latino community. His grandchildren and daughter-in-law are Hispanic, and Clark is a fluent Spanish speaker. He is a strong supporter of comprehensive immigration reform and has been an advocate on behalf of the Hispanic community.

A Man of Faith
Although General Clark has never been one to impose his own faith on others, and has close friends and family of several different faiths, his background as a practicing Catholic allows him to discuss issues of faith and connect with voters on levels unique to many Democratic candidates.

Reconciliation with the Clinton Camp
General Clark is the one person who can unite the Clinton and Obama wings of the Democratic Party. As a longtime admirer of Senator Obama, there will be no greater and more loyal advocate for his candidacy than General Wesley Clark. In addition, as a longtime personal friend and neighbor of the Clinton’s in Little Rock, Arkansas, General Clark is in a unique position to consolidate Hillary Clinton’s supporters around Barack Obama’s candidacy for President.

National Grassroots Operation In Place
In 2004, General Wesley Clark was drafted into the race for President of the United States by the Draft Clark movement that had activists working in all 50 states. Hundreds of thousands of these supporters are still active on General Clark’s email network and through WesPac. This network will quickly be able to rally with the Obama grassroots operation to provide an even more potent field mobilization effort in all 50 states.

Widespread Netroots Appeal
As evident from his 2007 keynote speech at the Yearly Kos Conference in Chicago, Illinois, there is no more popular figure in the netroots community than General Wesley Clark. He has been a longtime supporter of the 50 state strategy, and along with DNC Chairman Howard Dean, General Clark has helped develop plans to support candidates and travel to campaign with them all over the United States. He frequently posts on blogs, as well as his own blog on the Clark Community Network (CCN).
Beamer
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 5 2008, 05:14 PM) *
IT AIN'T GONNA BE BAYH
AND IT AIN'T GONNA WEDNESDAY

I predict Gore is the leftfielder.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1dbfb37e-631d-11...00779fd2ac.html

Obama running mate could come from ‘left field’
By Edward Luce in Youngstown, Ohio


Your article basically says the same things I have said about Bayh. Political writers and Democratic insiders think he is the logical choice and makes the most sense. However, I think Obama personally would prefer to choose Sebelius or Kaine.

Bayh also dispelled the rumors that Obama was picking him tomorrow on his visit to Indiana. Bayh is coming to the event alone; he isn't bringing his wife, kids or dad.

People are put off by Bayh's blandness, lack of significant Senate accomplishments, and DLC credentials. However, many think his blandness might be an asset. And, most of the people mentioned as possible picks for Obama are people who would help him with the traditional Democratic base, more conservative Democrats and independents. They all are moderate Democrats. Obama is perceived as coming from the progressive end of the Party, although he isn't sounding like that lately!

I am 100% certain that Gore will not be on this ticket.
Beamer
I am 85% certain that neither Webb nor Clark will be on this ticket.
graham4anything
QUOTE(Beamer @ Aug 5 2008, 09:57 PM) *
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 5 2008, 05:14 PM) *
IT AIN'T GONNA BE BAYH
AND IT AIN'T GONNA WEDNESDAY

I predict Gore is the leftfielder.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1dbfb37e-631d-11...00779fd2ac.html

Obama running mate could come from ‘left field’
By Edward Luce in Youngstown, Ohio


Your article basically says the same things I have said about Bayh. Political writers and Democratic insiders think he is the logical choice and makes the most sense. However, I think Obama personally would prefer to choose Sebelius or Kaine.

Bayh also dispelled the rumors that Obama was picking him tomorrow on his visit to Indiana. Bayh is coming to the event alone; he isn't bringing his wife, kids or dad.

People are put off by Bayh's blandness, lack of significant Senate accomplishments, and DLC credentials. However, many think his blandness might be an asset. And, most of the people mentioned as possible picks for Obama are people who would help him with the traditional Democratic base, more conservative Democrats and independents. They all are moderate Democrats. Obama is perceived as coming from the progressive end of the Party, although he isn't sounding like that lately!

I am 100% certain that Gore will not be on this ticket.



I am 200% certain that Bayh won't be on the ticket. (which is higher surety than even Hillary).

WAPO today was the first MSM that put Gore in as VP in a MSM article.
(not just guessing, but an actual story).

That would be so good to shove it to all those who didn't like him
Especially as the environment and future of the energy issue has Gore being the only one people on all sides look up to.
Only neo-cons now don't buy what Gore is saying...(even T.Bone Pickens agrees with Al gore. and he helped destroy Kerry in 2004.)


but this entire thread's main post is now compltely repudiated, being that even Bayh admits it won't be tomorrow like he said.


This is 2008...if you want logic, Barack Obama would not be running for reelection in 2012 like he will be. Logic said Hillary would have won.
Logic is for vulcans. Does not apply to politics. Bye Byhe Blayh.
Beamer
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 5 2008, 07:02 PM) *
QUOTE(Beamer @ Aug 5 2008, 09:57 PM) *
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 5 2008, 05:14 PM) *
IT AIN'T GONNA BE BAYH
AND IT AIN'T GONNA WEDNESDAY

I predict Gore is the leftfielder.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1dbfb37e-631d-11...00779fd2ac.html

Obama running mate could come from ‘left field’
By Edward Luce in Youngstown, Ohio


Your article basically says the same things I have said about Bayh. Political writers and Democratic insiders think he is the logical choice and makes the most sense. However, I think Obama personally would prefer to choose Sebelius or Kaine.

Bayh also dispelled the rumors that Obama was picking him tomorrow on his visit to Indiana. Bayh is coming to the event alone; he isn't bringing his wife, kids or dad.

People are put off by Bayh's blandness, lack of significant Senate accomplishments, and DLC credentials. However, many think his blandness might be an asset. And, most of the people mentioned as possible picks for Obama are people who would help him with the traditional Democratic base, more conservative Democrats and independents. They all are moderate Democrats. Obama is perceived as coming from the progressive end of the Party, although he isn't sounding like that lately!

I am 100% certain that Gore will not be on this ticket.



I am 200% certain that Bayh won't be on the ticket. (which is higher surety than even Hillary).

WAPO today was the first MSM that put Gore in as VP in a MSM article.
(not just guessing, but an actual story).

That would be so good to shove it to all those who didn't like him
Especially as the environment and future of the energy issue has Gore being the only one people on all sides look up to.
Only neo-cons now don't buy what Gore is saying...(even T.Bone Pickens agrees with Al gore. and he helped destroy Kerry in 2004.)


but this entire thread's main post is now compltely repudiated, being that even Bayh admits it won't be tomorrow like he said.


This is 2008...if you want logic, Barack Obama would not be running for reelection in 2012 like he will be. Logic said Hillary would have won.
Logic is for vulcans. Does not apply to politics. Bye Byhe Blayh.


It won't be tomorrow, but he's still in the running. Gore is not. Get over it.
graham4anything
QUOTE(Beamer @ Aug 5 2008, 10:05 PM) *
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 5 2008, 07:02 PM) *
QUOTE(Beamer @ Aug 5 2008, 09:57 PM) *
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 5 2008, 05:14 PM) *
IT AIN'T GONNA BE BAYH
AND IT AIN'T GONNA WEDNESDAY

I predict Gore is the leftfielder.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1dbfb37e-631d-11...00779fd2ac.html

Obama running mate could come from ‘left field’
By Edward Luce in Youngstown, Ohio


Your article basically says the same things I have said about Bayh. Political writers and Democratic insiders think he is the logical choice and makes the most sense. However, I think Obama personally would prefer to choose Sebelius or Kaine.

Bayh also dispelled the rumors that Obama was picking him tomorrow on his visit to Indiana. Bayh is coming to the event alone; he isn't bringing his wife, kids or dad.

People are put off by Bayh's blandness, lack of significant Senate accomplishments, and DLC credentials. However, many think his blandness might be an asset. And, most of the people mentioned as possible picks for Obama are people who would help him with the traditional Democratic base, more conservative Democrats and independents. They all are moderate Democrats. Obama is perceived as coming from the progressive end of the Party, although he isn't sounding like that lately!

I am 100% certain that Gore will not be on this ticket.



I am 200% certain that Bayh won't be on the ticket. (which is higher surety than even Hillary).

WAPO today was the first MSM that put Gore in as VP in a MSM article.
(not just guessing, but an actual story).

That would be so good to shove it to all those who didn't like him
Especially as the environment and future of the energy issue has Gore being the only one people on all sides look up to.
Only neo-cons now don't buy what Gore is saying...(even T.Bone Pickens agrees with Al gore. and he helped destroy Kerry in 2004.)


but this entire thread's main post is now compltely repudiated, being that even Bayh admits it won't be tomorrow like he said.


This is 2008...if you want logic, Barack Obama would not be running for reelection in 2012 like he will be. Logic said Hillary would have won.
Logic is for vulcans. Does not apply to politics. Bye Byhe Blayh.


It won't be tomorrow, but he's still in the running. Gore is not. Get over it.



Gore isn't running for anything.

Bayh isn't getting it. Hasn't gotten it in years. He is impotent.
Marine
QUOTE(dggfwtx @ Aug 4 2008, 02:00 PM) *
QUOTE(Arneoker @ Aug 4 2008, 10:24 AM) *
Being a vet is nice, but does he have anything in the way of serious national security credentials?


He apparently didn't serve in the military, but he has worked extensively on veterans and military issues in the House, as he represents the district that includes Fort Hood. So he has tons of military credentials. Anyway, Chet is probably not a big enough name, or from a key swing state, to get serious consideration, but he is one type of potential VP that Obama should be looking for, I think.

Chet Edwards is about the definition of a Blue Dog Democrat. He's also pretty much what any old time democrat would be proud to vote for. I doubt if he'd be Obama's running mate on a bet.
real_democrat
Lincoln Chaffee. A reach across the aisle, but not too far across. Great foreign policy credentials too, and no longer a Republican He also endorsed Obama.

dggfwtx
QUOTE(Marine @ Aug 5 2008, 09:53 PM) *
Chet Edwards is about the definition of a Blue Dog Democrat. He's also pretty much what any old time democrat would be proud to vote for. I doubt if he'd be Obama's running mate on a bet.



Chet has already said he would accept. I doubt he would be asked though, but who knows? It is nice to see him start to show up as a long shot on some lists.

veritas








QUOTE


Biden Steps Up
by Steve Kornacki | May 19, 2008


The case against Joe Biden as a vice-presidential prospect is easy to make.

He comes from Delaware, a blue state worth only three electoral votes, and he’s been in the Senate for nearly four decades—not exactly the kind of executive resume to add balance to a ticket led by Barack Obama, a career legislator.

Plus, there’s his knack for talking his way into a mess, whether by lifting words from Neil Kinnock and puffing up his own academic credentials 20 years ago or by awkwardly stumbling into racial politics more recently.

Given the volume of names that Obama will ultimately consider for his No. 2 spot, it’s easy to envision Biden’s being scratched early in the process.

But there is a case to be made for his selection, something we were reminded of when President George W. Bush sought last week—on foreign soil—to liken Obama’s call for more diplomatic engagement with Iran to the naiveté once exhibited by Hitler’s appeasers.

Biden, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and his party’s leading foreign policy voice in that chamber, immediately swung into action, making headlines across the country with his blunt dismissal of Bush’s ploy as “bullshit.” Then he spent the next few days making the talk-show rounds to defend Obama and to place Obama’s views in the context of the actions of the Bush administration, which has engaged—with apparent success—with Muammar el-Qadaffi’s Libyan government and Kim Jong-Il’s North Korean regime.

On ABC’s This Week on Sunday, Biden noted that Bush’s own views on talking with Iran aren’t even shared by senior members of his own administration.

“Maybe [Bush] doesn’t know…what’s going on in his own administration, but as soon as he gets back, he should fire as appeasers [Defense Secretary Robert] Gates and [Condoleezza] Rice, because they both—Gates as recently as a week ago—said we’ve got to sit down and talk with the Iranians directly,” he said.

Biden, like any other self-respecting politician, would never admit that he’s angling for vice-presidential consideration, and he probably had many other reasons (he can’t help himself?) for speaking out this week. Plus, V.P. may not be all that’s on his wish list. Supposedly, he and Richard Holbrooke topped John Kerry’s list of would-be Secretaries of State back in 2004, and the position hasn’t lost any of its luster in the four years since then.

But Biden’s mini-media tour these past few days highlighted the value that he’d bring to the Democratic ticket in a campaign that will feature relentless attacks on Obama’s foreign policy experience.

The presence of the 65-year-old Biden, with his obvious fluency in foreign policy and seasoned appearance, could offer invaluable reassurance to independent voters who are hungry to break with the G.O.P. but who fear that Obama, as Bill Clinton put it a few months ago, is a roll of the dice.

His value goes considerably beyond his age and resume. There are also his formidable communication skills. As he demonstrated this past week, there are few politicians capable of fielding questions about complex diplomatic questions and providing—without hesitation—smooth, expressive and digestible responses.

Intentionally or not, most politicians talk over their audiences’ heads when foreign policy comes up, perhaps calculating that the more boring their answer is, the more comfortable voters will feel. But Biden is the opposite: His goal, it seems, it to make the audience feel his passion—and he’s remarkably good at achieving it.

On “This Week,” he provided a glimpse at how he could turn the tables on John McCain’s running-mate when, as inevitably will happen, that running-mate begins painting Obama as a fringe figure on foreign policy.

“We are weaker in the Middle East (than we were pre-Bush),” Biden said. “We are weaker around the world. Terrorism is stronger than it ever was. Iran is closer to a bomb. Just by any measure, what has their policy wrought? Just a disaster. An absolute disaster.”

There may not be another Democrat out there who would dismantle the Republican attacks on Obama as enthusiastically and authoritatively as Biden. And his appeal might be especially strong among the white working-class masses who, supposedly, are uneasy about Obama. In his words and style, Biden still comes across like the Irish-Catholic kid from Scranton that he once was. For undecided working-class Pennsylvanians, his presence might be just enough to keep them from defecting to McCain?

If Obama were to tap Biden, the media would undoubtedly highlight Biden’s infamous “clean” and “articulate” characterization of Obama last year—evidence, to some, that Biden harbors dated racial attitudes. The analysis is arguable (to say the least), but the controversy would hardly be a distraction for Obama. To white voters of Biden’s generation (among whom Obama has struggled), Obama would be making a powerful statement of inclusion and understanding.

These days, a good vice-presidential candidate has two primary tasks: adding a state or states to his or her party’s column and “winning” the vice-presidential debate. Biden’s selection would have little impact on Delaware, but there are several states—Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and West Virginia—where he could prove very beneficial And anyone judging him based on his performance these past few days—or in any of the Democratic debates last year—would have to figure he’d fare quite well against John McCain’s No. 2
graham4anything
Here's my new take- without regard to whether I personally do or do not like the person or want that person-

with all that's been in the news...it is going to have to be an enourmous name not someone who isn't

esp. after the bad event talked about yesterday in the media

Someone who instantly in a heartbeat will command the people's attention
That means, it must be someone who the entire nation already knows AND cares for.

That means, it instantly disqualifies chet edwards,bayh,vilasak,even wesley clark-these people most of the country as a whole does not know and won't know much in the remaining 80 days.

I believe it WAS (past tense), going to be John Edwards, but unless he gets rid of the doubt of the love-child scandal NOW, he is eliminated.
That leaves on this list Daschle, Gore, Hillary,Richardson,Biden,and Caroline Kennedy.
Daschle is consulting Obama daily.Thought is he will be Chief of Staff.

Al Gore is the superstar.

Caroline being the vetter, I predict it will be Al Gore....And I am not alone. If it's not Al, it will be Hillary. God Help us all if that is the case.
The thing in the media yesterday is why I predict Al Gore will indeed come out of political retirement, becasue he would be just a heartbeat away from the office he already won.

Obama/Gore 2008. Say what you will, but this ticket will be true to the message, and have two people who issue by issue, agree 100%. And those issues are the core issues of 2008.
tazvil04
QUOTE(Beamer @ Aug 3 2008, 01:52 PM) *
On "Meet the Press," they went around and gave their predictions for each candidate.

Obama
Todd - Biden or Kaine
Murphy - Tim Kaine
Mitchell - Bayh or Biden
Woodruff - Bayh, Biden or Kaine

McCain
Todd - No one we're talking about now
Murphy - Romney or Pawlenty
Mitchell - Romney
Woodruff - Pawlenty, Romney or Cantor

I've already said I think Kaine would make the Obama ticket too lightweight, but it would emphasize the Washington outsider factor. I think Biden would tend to overshadow Obama, even though he brings foreign policy heft. So, I pick Bayh, who could bring the best of both worlds, as he had been a governor for eight years, plus help Obama with the Hillary camp (including Bill Clinton), and with working class Democrats in Midwestern states.

As for McCain, I predict he will pick Romney.


Obama ---

Bayh or Clinton

McCain

Romney
tazvil04
QUOTE(veritas @ Aug 5 2008, 06:36 PM) *
QUOTE
]

http://obamaclark.com/

Executive Experience
General Clark is the only potential running mate with experience of leading our nation’s armed forces into war. As NATO’s Supreme Allied Commander, General Clark led Operation Allied Force, which saved 1.5 million Albanians from genocide, without losing a single American soldier.

Military Background
During thirty-four years of service in the United States Army Wesley K. Clark rose to the rank of four-star general as NATO's Supreme Allied Commander, Europe. In previous duty, General Clark was the Commander-in-Chief, US Southern Command, where he was responsible for all US military activities in Latin America and the Caribbean.

General Clark's awards and honors include the Presidential Medal of Freedom, The State Department Distinguished Service Award; the US Department of Defense Distinguished Service Medal;(five awards), The US Army Distinguished Service Medal(two awards), The Silver Star, the Bronze Star (two awards), the Purple Heart, and Honorary Knighthoods from the British and Dutch governments.

Foreign Policy Experience
There is not greater authority on foreign policy in the Democratic Party than General Wesley Clark. As a senior adviser to the International Crisis Group, he has traveled and worked in the Balkans, Northern Ireland, and Africa to bring peace treaties and stability to countries in their time of need.

He is the author of the best selling book Waging Modern War: Bosnia, Kosovo and the Future of Combat (Public Affairs, New York, NY 2001) and Winning Modern War: Iraq, Terrorism and the American Empire (Public Affairs, New York, NY 2003).

Against the War From the Start – Iraq and Iran
General Wesley Clark is one of the few potential running mates and national leaders who, like Senator Barack Obama, opposed the Iraq war from the start. Having a running mate who was clearly against the war provides a strong contrast to John McCain, and gives the ticket credibility in fighting to change the mindset that led us into the war in Iraq.

In 2006, Clark launched StopIranWar.com to help frame the debate and stop the mindset that led us into Iraq, from leading us into a war with Iran. Senator Obama and General Wesley Clark have been outspoken in leading the fight together on this effort.

Helping Down Ballot Tickets
In 2006, General Clark was one of the top 3 most requested surrogates of the DCCC and was able to campaign effectively everywhere in the country. He helped steer candidates to victory such as Admiral Joe Sestak in Pennsylvania, Tim Walz in Minnesota, Nick Lampson in Texas, Carol Shea Porter in New Hampshire, and future Congressman Charlie Brown in California, and Eric Massa in New York, just to name a few.

A True Progressive Without Bush Dog Votes
While many potential running mates have long lists of voting records that include votes to authorize war in Iraq, support trade agreements without the labor and environmental protections needed, and support of bankruptcy bills that hurt working class America, General Clark has no record of support for such legislation and has been outspoken in his opposition to such proposals.

Southern Roots
Wesley Clark was raised and still lives in Little Rock, Arkansas. An Obama-Clark ticket will be in a unique position to compete in the South, especially in Clark’s home state of Arkansas, where polling shows the ticket will be in a strong position to defeat John McCain. Clark will also strengthen the ticket in southern states with large veteran populations that are now competitive such as North Carolina.

Appeal In Latino Community and Southwest
General Clark ran a strong second to John Kerry in Arizona and New Mexico in 2004, even after Kerry wrapped up Iowa and New Hampshire. This is in large part because of Clark’s popularity in the Latino community. His grandchildren and daughter-in-law are Hispanic, and Clark is a fluent Spanish speaker. He is a strong supporter of comprehensive immigration reform and has been an advocate on behalf of the Hispanic community.

A Man of Faith
Although General Clark has never been one to impose his own faith on others, and has close friends and family of several different faiths, his background as a practicing Catholic allows him to discuss issues of faith and connect with voters on levels unique to many Democratic candidates.

Reconciliation with the Clinton Camp
General Clark is the one person who can unite the Clinton and Obama wings of the Democratic Party. As a longtime admirer of Senator Obama, there will be no greater and more loyal advocate for his candidacy than General Wesley Clark. In addition, as a longtime personal friend and neighbor of the Clinton’s in Little Rock, Arkansas, General Clark is in a unique position to consolidate Hillary Clinton’s supporters around Barack Obama’s candidacy for President.

National Grassroots Operation In Place
In 2004, General Wesley Clark was drafted into the race for President of the United States by the Draft Clark movement that had activists working in all 50 states. Hundreds of thousands of these supporters are still active on General Clark’s email network and through WesPac. This network will quickly be able to rally with the Obama grassroots operation to provide an even more potent field mobilization effort in all 50 states.

Widespread Netroots Appeal
As evident from his 2007 keynote speech at the Yearly Kos Conference in Chicago, Illinois, there is no more popular figure in the netroots community than General Wesley Clark. He has been a longtime supporter of the 50 state strategy, and along with DNC Chairman Howard Dean, General Clark has helped develop plans to support candidates and travel to campaign with them all over the United States. He frequently posts on blogs, as well as his own blog on the Clark Community Network (CCN).



I would accept this...

Love Wes Clark...

My only reservation is Obama's assertion that on foreign policy and national security he is confident and would like someone with more of a domestic policy background...

That would not be Clark...

Other than that -- a great choice.
tazvil04
QUOTE(Beamer @ Aug 5 2008, 07:57 PM) *
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 5 2008, 05:14 PM) *
IT AIN'T GONNA BE BAYH
AND IT AIN'T GONNA WEDNESDAY

I predict Gore is the leftfielder.

http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/1dbfb37e-631d-11...00779fd2ac.html

Obama running mate could come from ‘left field’
By Edward Luce in Youngstown, Ohio


Your article basically says the same things I have said about Bayh. Political writers and Democratic insiders think he is the logical choice and makes the most sense. However, I think Obama personally would prefer to choose Sebelius or Kaine.

Bayh also dispelled the rumors that Obama was picking him tomorrow on his visit to Indiana. Bayh is coming to the event alone; he isn't bringing his wife, kids or dad.

People are put off by Bayh's blandness, lack of significant Senate accomplishments, and DLC credentials. However, many think his blandness might be an asset. And, most of the people mentioned as possible picks for Obama are people who would help him with the traditional Democratic base, more conservative Democrats and independents. They all are moderate Democrats. Obama is perceived as coming from the progressive end of the Party, although he isn't sounding like that lately!

I am 100% certain that Gore will not be on this ticket.


Perceived is the word.

Obama is a centrist.

Listen to Obama's talk -- the only way to bring the country together is the middle...

Look at Obama's policies --- what he has supported and has not supported --- his language that he has used for years --- he is as much DLC as you can be without being a member ---

The RNC GOP and MSM have pegged him as a left wing liberal --- but he is not and has never been a left wing liberal ---

The only liberal thing he has ever done was oppose the war --- and Bob Graham is not a left wing liberal and he opposed the war too...

Ron Paul is not a left wing liberal and he opposed the war....

You do not have to be a liberal to have opposed the war...

I keep trying to convey this information to you all so that you are not disappointed when Obama's Administration looks more like the Clinton and Kennedy Administrations than the Carter Administration...

This is reality...IMHO
graham4anything
just for starters

check his wife's lobbyist money and the pharma industry

doesn't look too good

Bayh looked mighty foolish yesterday being caught in a lie, didn't he
tazvil04
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 8 2008, 07:47 AM) *
just for starters

check his wife's lobbyist money and the pharma industry

doesn't look too good

Bayh looked mighty foolish yesterday being caught in a lie, didn't he


What lie?

And his wife has been separated from having any access with his staff --- nice try Graham is that all you have for all those scandals he has been involved in --- rolleyes.gif

Blackstarnews poll

Who Will Win Presidency? Obama vs. McCain

McCain
23%
Obama
77%

http://blackstarnews.com/?c=125&a=4754

http://blackstarnews.com/
Obama Needs Biden; Will Pick Bayh



Biden is Dick Morris' choice but he believes Obama will tap Bayh

The top three choices seem to be Tim Kaine of Virginia, Evan Bayh of Indiana, or Joe Biden of Delaware. My vote would go to Biden. He is a seasoned politician with tremendous national security credentials.
By Dick Morris
August 7th, 2008



[Elections 2008]



Obama has a limited range of pain or gain in his choice of a vice president. With his highly personal and charismatic candidacy, there is little he stands to gain or lose in choosing a vice president.

Unless he chooses Hillary, which would be a total disaster. It would suddenly make him accountable for all of her and Bill’s scandals past, present and future and would bring an uncontrollable element into the equation: Bill.

But since current indications are that Obama has not taken leave of his senses, he will likely not turn to Hillary.

The top three choices seem to be Kaine of Virginia, Bayh of Indiana, or Biden of Delaware. My vote would go to Biden. He is a seasoned politician with tremendous national security credentials. He would bring a touch of reassurance to the ticket in the same way that Cheney did to the novitiate George W. Bush in 2000. He is a fierce speaker, a formidable debater, and could lead the attack on McCain.

Kaine would simply add another inexperienced ingénue to the ticket. Obama’s got inexperience covered already. Why would he need Kaine? His selection could put Virginia in play, but it would probably still go Republican.

I think Obama will choose Evan Bayh, former Indiana governor and now, succeeding his father Birch Bayh, the Senator from the Hoosier state. He seems like a safe choice, but he is a cream puff. I worked hard to get him the keynote speech at the 1996 Democratic Convention but he wouldn’t use the occasion, as every other keynote speaker has, to attack the Republicans in general or Dole in particular. Instead he gave a forgettable and self-serving series of bromides that did him and Clinton very little good.

He can’t be counted on to bring the fight to the other side. He dislikes “getting down in the gutter” and that’s a phobia a vice presidential candidate can’t afford to nurture.

Obama could choose Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius or some other woman. He certainly needs to attract woman voters, especially those over 40. But if he names a woman – other than Hillary – he will have hell to pay with the Clintons. They will see him as deliberately slapping Hillary in the face and will note that he is promoting a rival to the New York Senator. It would be a declaration of war that Obama would hesitate to make.

If Obama’s VP choice doesn’t matter that much, McCain’s could be enormously important.

He needs to jump start his candidacy and inject a “wow” factor. Either choosing a woman (likely Texas Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison – Condi’s not interested) or Joe Lieberman would do nicely.

Its tempting to name a woman and collect all those alienated over 40 women who are not backing Obama. Remember the enthusiasm Geraldine Ferraro generated when Mondale nominated her in 1984? Women who had backed Hillary, will turnout in droves to elect a woman vice president. Even a pro-life one at that. It’s hard to imagine any other VP choice that would produce so many votes.

But…is Kay Bailey up to the job? Would she come across as an old lady to go with an old man? Can she handle the battering of a VP run without making any faux pas? Is she intellectually impressive enough to nominate? I have my doubts.

So I think McCain should choose Joe Lieberman. The first cross-party ticket since Abraham Lincoln named Andrew Johnson in 1864 would send an unmistakable signal of change. It would flag McCain’s determination to transcend the partisan gridlock in Washington and his independence of party orthodoxy. Selecting Lieberman would elevate the national security issue and reassure environmentalists on climate change issues. It would help attract Jewish voters in Florida and Ohio. And Lieberman has proven he can handle the stress of a national campaign. Joe is the way to go.

But McCain will probably choose Mitt Romney who will do him no good at all. Voters are allergic to Romney, perhaps because of his religion. Despite massive spending, topping his rivals by 3:1 in the primaries (largely out of his own pocket) Romney lost Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, Florida and California. The only states he carried were Michigan where his Dad had been governor, Massachusetts where he was, and a bunch of LDS (Mormon) states in the far west. He also carried some Super Tuesday states when his rivals didn’t have the money or time left over after California to fight him.

It is a myth that Romney would stand for economic recovery. He helped the Olympics recover. Big deal.

And Democrats, unlike his primary opponents, will have a field day with the layoffs in the companies Romney “turned around” as a hedge fund guy. They will use class warfare to discredit Romney in a way you couldn’t do in a Republican Primary.

He needs to jump start his candidacy and inject a “wow” factor. Either choosing a woman (likely Texas Senator Kay Bailey Hutchison – Condi’s not interested) or Joe Lieberman would do nicely.


To comment, to subscribe to or advertise in New York’s leading Pan African weekly investigative newspaper, please call (212) 481-7745 or send a note to Milton@blackstarnews.com


graham4anything
Of course DICK MORRIS wants Bayh.
Dickie and Hillary are in tight with each other and always were

Bayh is a clintonite.
Rightwing clintonite

Of course HIllary wants one of her spies in the office, so that she could plot to take over

God Help us if that happens.

Why do you think Al Gore and John Kerry did NOT pick him? He has many, many skeletons in his closet

Dig into it, you can find it. You are good at finding things.
veritas
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 8 2008, 05:40 AM) *
...unless he gets rid of the doubt of the love-child scandal NOW, he is eliminated...

100% IRRELEVANT to me and probably other voters, too. Consider the many past US presidents (and others around the world) alleged to have had extra-marital relationships who proved to be outstanding leaders. There is no criminal conduct or blackmail potential here (since open), therefore, the matter should remain private. In principle, there is absolutely no legitimate reason why his personal romantic life should have any bearing on his qualifications and eligibility.





Another interesting post today from http://www.democraticunderground.com/discu...ess=132x6607312
QUOTE

U.S. Senator Russ Feingold (D-WI) and U.S. Senator Barack Obama (D-IL) as they join together with other Senators to highlight Senate Democrats' commitment to cleaning up Washington with what they say is the toughest ethics reform in a generation January 8, 2007 in Washington, DC.

http://tpmcafe.talkingpointsmemo.com/talk/...hoice-solve.php
Caroline Kennedy is the VP vetter. Russ Feingold, along with John McCain were recipients of the John F. Kennedy Profile in Courage award for their work on McCain-Feingold. Caroline Kennedy was part of that decision and clearly she has a high regard for Feingold. I'm sure he is very much on her radar. Kennedy could have even been placed on the committee to help legitimize the decision. Obama knowing he wanted Feingold, knowing Kennedy would draw the parallels of Obama, Feingold, and her father. Just as she had drawn the parallels of her father and Feingold, and her father and Obama previously.

Third, the issues. Feingold has co-sponsored numerous bills that would help Senator Obama. He voted against the war, Patriot Act, FISA (bring in libertarians, independents), immigration bill. He has recently introduced the Use It or Lose It Oil Bill. The list goes on. Also, Feingold is a great public speaker. He is very intelligent and thoughtful when speaking. He explains complicated issues in a simple, easy to understand manner, as seen here. However, he speaks his mind and can speak forcefully, but I've never heard a gaffe. He'd be a great outspoken attack dog. Also, he has a plain and folksy delivery and loves to reference Wisconsin. He travels to each WI county (all 72) at least once a year.

Clearly, he is popular with libertarians and Independents in Wisconsin. (2004 exit poll results here). Oh, and even Republicans admire his tenacity and his principles. Of course, he also reminds them of the McCain-Feingold bill, which they hate McCain for. Also, important is the possibility of campaign finance violations by the McCain campaign gaining tranction in the traditional media. Feingold would be great to have on hand in that event. Finally, he managed to grab some Bush voters in the 2004 election (5 to 6%).

He is also a budget hawk, sits on the Select-Intelligence Committee (which is HUGE--privileged information), the Judiciary Comm, Budget Comm, and the Foreign Relations Comm, among others. The Select Comm. on Intelligence is really a big one...

Finally, if you want an outsider, you've got one in Feingold.
graham4anything
veritas- I would normally agree, however, would the media let anything get accomplished the next 90 days?
If Edwards would be able to get past the issue, then its one thing. I don't see the media dropping it though.
(It would take Eliz. saying she authorized it or something to get the press to shut up).

as for Russ, 100% for that. He had already said in public he would be willing to take the position if Al Gore was the Pres. candidate (about a year ago I think he said it).
graham4anything
from today's NY Daily news
John Edwards' fellow Democrats see silence as a bad move
BY CELESTE KATZ
DAILY NEWS POLITICAL CORRESPONDENT
http://www.nydailynews.com/news/politics/2...see_silenc.html
Thursday, August 7th 2008, 8:20 PM


Keivom/News

John Edwards
Big-name Democrats don't know if John Edwards really has a love child - but some think he's definitely got a problem.

For two weeks since renewed but unproven reports that he fathered an illegitimate daughter appeared in the National Enquirer, Edwards has kept silent other than to denounce "tabloid trash."

Bad move, party pros say: His role at the Democratic convention, just 17 days away - and his political future - are now in peril.

"The political consequences of leaving something like this unattended are fairly severe," said ex-Democratic National Committee Chairman Don Fowler.

"If no response is made, it festers - and the people who make decisions about opportunities to make speeches, or be on the ticket, or be in the cabinet, or play any significant role politically, have to take these things into consideration," he told the Daily News.

The Enquirer story, though uncorroborated by others, has been seen by millions on political blogs and is joke fodder for Jay Leno.

"The story has taken on a life of its own - regardless of what the underlying facts may or may not be," said Democratic consultant Chris Lehane.

Asked about the love-child story when the Enquirer first headlined it in December, the ex-senator called it "completely untrue, ridiculous" and professed his love for his wife, Elizabeth, who has incurable cancer.

The supposed paramour, videographer Rielle Hunter, also dismissed the stories.

But the Enquirer came back two weeks ago to report sighting Edwards and Hunter at a Beverly Hills hotel. On Wednesday, the supermarket weekly carried a blurry photo of a man it said was Edwards holding a baby.

Edwards spokeswoman Andrea Purse had no comment. The North Carolina Democrat ducked questions from a home-state newspaper last week.

Since quitting the presidential race, Edwards endorsed Obama with such enthusiasm that it inspired talk he could be brought in to an Obama administration.

"John's a relatively young guy" and a good fit for at least three possible cabinet jobs, Fowler said of the 55-year-old ex-trial lawyer. "I don't think his potential [is] in any sense limited to making a speech at the convention or being on the ticket."

The Obama campaign did not respond to requests for comment about Edwards, and a convention spokeswoman yesterday noted the speakers lineup in Denver hasn't been announced.

"Most folks are taking a wait-and-see approach," a Democratic source said.

But Lehane said Edwards is running out of time.

"It just becomes inherently problematic to come to the convention when you know that there will the largest gathering of media outside the Olympics, bored to death, desperate for a story other than what's been prepackaged for them," he said.

Public relations guru Howard Rubenstein told The News that if Edwards were his client, he'd tell him he's "got to resort to the truth as his defense" - or his career's over.

"He's not going to get away with silence," he said.

ckatz@nydailynews.com

tazvil04
QUOTE(graham4anything @ Aug 8 2008, 08:07 AM) *
Of course DICK MORRIS wants Bayh.
Dickie and Hillary are in tight with each other and always were

Bayh is a clintonite.
Rightwing clintonite

Of course HIllary wants one of her spies in the office, so that she could plot to take over

God Help us if that happens.

Why do you think Al Gore and John Kerry did NOT pick him? He has many, many skeletons in his closet

Dig into it, you can find it. You are good at finding things.


Then why would he tar and feather Bayh for his milquetoast 1996 convention Keynote and indicate that Bayh will not attack McCain as Obama needs someone to attack McCain like Biden...

I would think you would agree with Morris for once...

He raises an interesting point regarding Sibelius and exactly what I have been saying about Kaine...and his own inexperience...

I had forgotten about Bayh giving a lousy speech at the 1996 convention...
rla
I've been saying Obama needs to pick a Reformer...I think Russ Feingold serves as an excellent protype.
Arneoker
QUOTE(rla @ Aug 8 2008, 12:36 PM) *
I've been saying Obama needs to pick a Reformer...I think Russ Feingold serves as an excellent protype.

I like Feingold myself, but what about him do you think makes him a model?
tomhye
I doubt Feingold will be the choice, it'd be political suicide because the ticket would be easy to paint as far left doves.

Winning is generally considered better than losing and neither party can win without independent votes, much less without the centrist wing of their party.
tazvil04
QUOTE(rla @ Aug 8 2008, 10:36 AM) *
I've been saying Obama needs to pick a Reformer...I think Russ Feingold serves as an excellent protype.


I would have no problem with Russ Feingold.

He is to the left of Obama, but he is also from the Midwest and could likely have equal crossover appeal with red state voters.

Is he still single?

I know that should not be a determining factor, but there was some discussion about this when he talked of running last year.
graham4anything
Russ is honest

that is one in a million these days

of course, maybe like McCain, he could finda trophy wife who's a billionaire sugary momma
graham4anything

EVAN BAYH (aka BIRCH EVANS BAYH III) (http://bayh.senate.gov)

Member: Bilderberg Group - Attended 1999 meeting in Portugal with Bill Clinton
(source: http://www.cuttingedge.org/news/n1315.cfm)

Father was a Freemason
(source: http://politicalgraveyard.com/bio/bay-bazzle.html#R9M0IOYSM)

Top contributors (1997-2002)
1 Conseco Inc $63,250
2 Morgan Stanley $40,200
3 Goldman Sachs $37,000
4 Eli Lilly & Co $36,450
5 Carlyle Group $26,058
6 CIBC Wood Gundy Holdings $24,750
7 SBC Communications $24,555
8 Bank One Corp $23,544
9 Cinergy Corp $22,500
10 Intl Brotherhood of Electrical Workers $20,000
11 Blue Cross/Blue Shield $19,739
12 Bank of America $19,249
13 State of Indiana $18,148
14 Baker & Daniels $17,650
15 Democratic Senatorial Campaign Cmte $17,500
16 Bear Stearns $17,250
17 Andersen $15,750
17 Citigroup Inc $15,750
17 Swidler, Berlin et al $15,750
20 Independent Insurance Agents of America $15,664
(source: http://www.opensecrets.org/politicians/con...amp;cycle=2002)

"In the presidential election of 2000 Bayh was on the list of possible running mate for Al Gore, and he is often listed among the likely presidential candidates in 2004"
(source: http://www.indystar.com/library/factfiles/...evan/bayh.html)

On bringing back national service: http://bayh.senate.gov/serviceoped.htm

---

Arneoker
QUOTE(tomhye @ Aug 8 2008, 12:50 PM) *
I doubt Feingold will be the choice, it'd be political suicide because the ticket would be easy to paint as far left doves.


While I like Feingold this would be my fear as well. Obama needs to signal reaching out to the center, without choosing someone who would be so far to the Right as to make working together a problem.

QUOTE
Winning is generally considered better than losing and neither party can win without independent votes, much less without the centrist wing of their party.


Yes, and as I think that winning is likely to serve my children's future better than the alternatives (such as losing in a morally glorious way) I favor winning myself.
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