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Common Ground Common Sense > National & International News > Daily National and International News > National News Archive
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Snuffysmith
Family ties take new shapes in a prosperous China
A diverse range of family types is now found in urban China, altering
the old social order in the world's fastest rising power. Part 2 of
three in the series 'The Family Revolution.' By Robert Marquand

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p10s01-woap.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
How far will Bush's domestic mandate go?
The administration forges ahead on the president's agenda - and on
selling it to the public. By Liz Marlantes

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p02s01-uspo.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
The snags in N.Y.C. politics going national
What once worked for Rudolph Giuliani and Bernard Kerik raises eyebrows
in Washington. By Alexandra Marks

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p03s01-uspo.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Dan Bartlett
Excerpts from a Monitor Breakfast with White House communications
director Dan Bartlett. By David T. Cook

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p20s02-usmb.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Middle Path on Energy
A private commission's proposals reflect compromises needed for
Congress to set energy policy.

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p08s02-comv.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Safer Teen Drivers
States need to either create or strengthen their graduated driver's
license programs.
http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p08s03-comv.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Iran's intriquing new weave of tradition and change
The role of religion in the lives of Iranians seems deeply contested.
By Helena Cobban

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p09s01-coop.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Charity's guilt-wrapped holidays
I'm not an endangered species, so why do charities send me all this
free stuff? By Mary Z. Gray

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p09s02-coop.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Will technology ruin sports?
Highlights on cellphones and online fantasy teams have altered how fans
view games. By Gregory M. Lamb

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p13s01-stct.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
Tiniest creatures may reveal health of oceans
Plankton may help researchers anticipate how environmental change
affects ocean ecosystems and the atmosphere. By Peter N. Spotts

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p13s02-sten.html?s=hns

On the horizon
News from the frontiers of science. By Peter N. Spotts, with wire
reports

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p14s01-stgn.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
US lags in math, but not as far
Since 1995, US fourth- and eighth-graders have performed consistently
or modestly increased their scores. By Christa Case

http://www.csmonitor.com/2004/1216/p17s01-legn.html?s=hns
Snuffysmith
WHAT OUR TROOPS WANT FOR XMAS: ARMORED HUMVEES ... AND AN EXIT PLAN

By Arianna Huffington

If there is one thing Democrats should have learned from Karl Rove during this year’s election, it is the value of relentlessly attacking — day in and day out — your opponent’s perceived strength.

Well, from now until Congress is asked in January to vote on the next $80 billion the president wants for the war in Iraq, not a day should go by without Democrats shouting from the rooftops that the White House is shamefully betraying the very troops it so vociferously claims to be supporting.

Last week, one brave soldier’s question opened the door on this scandalous subject. Now it’s up to Harry Reid, Nancy Pelosi — and all citizen-activists who have learned what a difference they can make — to kick the door in, and force the media to spend some of the precious oxygen consumed by Scott Peterson’s sentencing and Bernie Kerik’s nanny on the dangerous mess in Iraq, with first on the list the deplorable treatment of the young men and women we’ve sent there.

Some, like Sen. Joe Biden, have begun making the case. “This was a war of choice, not necessity,” said Biden last week. “Why is it that, 20 months after Saddam’s statue fell, our troops still don’t have the protection they need?” He’s right, but these kinds of pointed attacks have been scattershot. To really make a difference, the loyal opposition desperately needs to mount a concerted and impassioned assault on Bush’s bankrupt Iraq policy.

And the ammunition at its disposal is devastating.

For starters, as Army Spc. Thomas Wilson pointed out to the shockingly-still-in-office secretary of defense, our troops continue to have their lives put in jeopardy due to a lack of properly armored vehicles. Indeed, half of U.S. soldiers killed in Iraq might still be alive if these basic tools of a modern Army were available.

Let me repeat that: half of U.S. soldiers killed in Iraq might still be alive if only our troops had been properly equipped. What’s more, one of the companies that makes the protective plates for the Humvees used in Iraq said last week that it could easily have increased its output — if only the Pentagon had asked. Remember how often on the campaign trail the president trotted out his sure-fire applause line, promising, “I’ll make sure our troops have the best. They deserve the best”? Maybe he was referring to the quality of their funerals.

Then there is the deceitful way his administration continues to underreport the number of injured and ill soldiers, leaving as many as 15,000 off the Pentagon’s official casualty count because their wounds — including spinal injuries, bone fractures, heart problems and mental disorders — were not the result of enemy fire. Eighty percent of these soldiers were injured so severely that they never returned to their units — but, to the Pentagon, they are not even worth counting.

As for the injuries they are willing to tally, the numbers tell a chilling tale of suffering. For instance, American soldiers in Iraq are having their limbs amputated at double the rate of previous wars, while Army suicide rates are soaring, up 40 percent in the past year.

Some of the latter can, no doubt, be traced to the lack of a clear purpose guiding our troops. “That,” says Iraq war vet and Operation Truth founder Paul Rieckhoff, “is the most basic tool a soldier needs on the battlefield — a reason to be there.” And it can’t help morale to have the administration repeatedly invoking stop-loss orders (many just in time for the holidays) and turning decades of Pentagon policy on its ear by calling on troops to serve multiple tours of duty overseas.

The situation doesn’t get much brighter once the troops finally make it home. Twenty percent of the nearly 28,000 Iraq war vets who have sought help from the Veterans Administration were diagnosed with a mental disorder, including major depression, anxiety disorders, panic attacks, emotional numbness and violent outbursts. And, stunningly, Iraq war vets are already starting to turn up at our nation’s homeless shelters, the first drops of what homeless-vet advocates fear could become a deluge.

The rotten cherry on top of this disgusting sundae? Reports that wounded soldiers at Walter Reed Hospital are asking for donations because the government refuses to pay for their long-distance phone calls. Feel like talking to your loved ones while you recover from a wound you received fighting for your country? Not unless you can get someone to give you a handout. That is, if you still have a hand to put out. Yet here was Rummy claiming: “We’re focused on the power of saying ‘thank you’ to people. And not just ‘thank you’ to the troops, but also their families.” As long as it’s a local call.

The time has come to stop being cowed by accusations that criticizing the war is the same as criticizing the troops and to start speaking the truth: Tens of thousands of young American men and women are having their lives destroyed because of the Bush administration’s willful negligence.

As Sen. Biden said, this was a war of choice — and the president chose to wage it before our forces were properly equipped for battle. Convinced that the people of Iraq would, in the words of Paul Wolfowitz, “greet us as liberators," the administration wildly miscalculated. The original war plan estimated that we’d have as few as 50,000 troops in Iraq by the end of 2003. Instead, as we head into 2005, the White House is pushing troop levels to 150,000 — the highest since the invasion.

All because the president refuses to course-correct. Which is, after all, the only reason Rumsfeld still has a job. Iraq is Bush’s signature offering to the world — and firing Rummy would be like McDonald’s deciding to pull the Big Mac off its menu.

Instead, the president continues to operate in a fog of denial, serving up rosy assessments of the mayhem he has unleashed. Just last week he held fast to the notion that the Iraqi insurgency is the result of “the few people in Iraq that are trying to stop the march toward democracy.” Even the Pentagon puts the number of insurgents at 20,000, while the British military estimates that it’s closer to 40,000 or 50,000 (and that’s on top of the 24,000 Iraqi rebels who have already been captured or killed). I guess it depends on what your definition of “few” is.

For a more clear-eyed judgment on Iraq, I suggest the president turn away from the mirror and the small circle of yes men and women he surrounds himself with and listen to Republican Sen. Chuck Hagel. “We were unprepared for what we are facing in a post-Saddam Iraq,” said Hagel. “But too many of our leaders in this administration were going around the country reassuring Americans our troops had everything they wanted. Certainly the Congress was passing a lot of money to make sure they had everything they wanted.”

So where exactly has the $150 billion we’ve already spent in Iraq gone — if not to “make sure our troops have the best”? It’s a question that Democrats in Congress should demand an answer to before they rubber-stamp an additional $80 billion for Iraq right after the president is sworn in for his second term.

The loyal opposition needs to finally start opposing this administration’s most catastrophic failure — and make it clear that standing up to its delusions and incompetence is standing up for the truth.

© 2004 ARIANNA HUFFINGTON.
DISTRIBUTED BY TRIBUNE MEDIA SERVICES, INC.
Snuffysmith
http://english.aljazeera.net/NR/exeres/5FE...0E1AB7C9DBB.htm

Karbala Blast Kills Many
Snuffysmith
http://news.amnesty.org/index/ENGEUR450312004

UK/Iraq: UK government must investigate unlawful killings
Amnesty International
Snuffysmith
http://msnbc.msn.com/id/5886720/

China Aims to quadruple nuclear power
Snuffysmith
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/7b965c8e-4e3e-11d...000e2511c8.html

How UN nuclear watchdog fell out with US
Snuffysmith
http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/15/internat...ogin&oref=login

Minister Says Iran is Open to US Talks
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http://pakistantimes.net/2004/12/15/top2.htm

Pakistan, India discuss key Nuclear CBMs, Sir Creek
Snuffysmith
http://www.counterpunch.org/lindorff12152004.html

The DNC, Albright, and Iraq
Snuffysmith
http://www.counterpunch.org/lindorff12142004.html

DNC Meddling in the Ukraine Elections
Snuffysmith
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6714782/

Ohio Offers Lessons for 2008
Snuffysmith
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/9cf0ca44-4ec6-11d...000e2511c8.html

Fears for dollar as foreign inflows slow
Snuffysmith
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/508440a6-4ed9-11d...000e2511c8.html

Carlyle to acquire stake in China Pacific Life
Snuffysmith
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/850d7eca-4e82-11d...000e2511c8.html

Dollar weighed down by structural concerns
Snuffysmith
http://news.ft.com/cms/s/1a895f92-4ed7-11d...000e2511c8.html

Bush bids to reassure markets on Social Security
Snuffysmith
Defense Missile for U.S. System Fails to Launch
By DAVID STOUT and JOHN H. CUSHMAN Jr.
An important test of the United States' fledgling missile
defense system ended in failure early Wednesday, the
Pentagon said.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/politics/16missile.html?th
Snuffysmith
A Flood of Troubled Soldiers Is in the Offing, Experts
Predict
By SCOTT SHANE
The health care system for veterans is facing a potential
deluge of soldiers returning from Iraq with serious mental
health problems.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/national/16stress.html?th
Snuffysmith
House's Author of Drug Benefit Joins Lobbyists
By ROBERT PEAR
Representative Billy Tauzin will become president of the
Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America, the
chief lobby for brand-name drug companies.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/politics/16drug.html?th
Snuffysmith
- QUOTATION OF THE DAY -

"People see the figure of 1,200 dead. Much more rarely do they see the number of seriously wounded. And almost never do they hear anything at all about the psychiatric casualties."
- DR. EVAN KANTER, a psychiatrist at a veterans' hospital in Seattle.


http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/national/16stress.html?th
Snuffysmith
As Iraqi Campaign Begins, a Bomb Kills 9 in Karbala
By JOHN F. BURNS and ROBERT F. WORTH
Iraq's election campaign got off to a bloody start when a
bomb exploded near one of Iraq's holiest Shiite shrines in
Karbala.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/internat.../16iraq.html?th
Snuffysmith
Caught in a Web of Scandal, Important Ally Quits Blair's
Cabinet
By LIZETTE ALVAREZ
The British home secretary, David Blunkett, caught in
overlapping paternity and visa scandals, resigned.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/internat...britain.html?th
Snuffysmith
Hostage Takers Give Up After 18-Hour Standoff on Bus in
Greece
By SUSAN SACHS
The two gunmen who had hijacked an Athens-bound commuter
bus surrendered and released their six remaining captives.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/internat...6greece.html?th
Snuffysmith
Baseball Rejects Terms for Washington Stadium
By JAMES DAO
Major League Baseball's rejection of a stadium financing
plan throws into grave doubt the city's plans to bring the
former Montreal Expos to the district next season.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/sports/b...stadium.html?th
Snuffysmith
A Second Report Shows Charter School Students Not
Performing as Well as Other Students
By DIANA JEAN SCHEMO
A federal Education Department analysis of test scores from
2003 shows that children in charter schools did not perform
as well on exams as those in regular public schools.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/educatio...charter.html?th
Snuffysmith
Money for Vaccinating Children Is Diverted, Officials Say
By GARDINER HARRIS
The federal government is using money that was intended for
vaccinating children to pay for experimental flu vaccines
for adults, health officials said.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/health/16flu.html?th
Snuffysmith
Bush Puts Social Security at Top of Economic Conference
By EDMUND L. ANDREWS
President Bush called for a reduction in "frivolous
lawsuits" while his economic team laid out the arguments
for overhauling Social Security and the tax code.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/politics/16econ.html?th

..................
Snuffysmith
Ex-Military Lawyers Object to Bush Cabinet Nominee
By NEIL A. LEWIS
Several former high-ranking military lawyers are discussing
ways to oppose President Bush's nomination of Alberto R.
Gonzales to be attorney general.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/politics/16jag.html?th
Snuffysmith
It's Planes vs. Satellites in Debate on Spying
By DOUGLAS JEHL
An alternative to a $9.5 billion satellite program calls on
the U.S. to rely on high-flying unmanned aircraft to take
pictures of critical targets around the world.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/politics/16intel.html?th
Snuffysmith
Company Settles Charges on Funds Sold to Soldiers
By DIANA B. HENRIQUES
First Command Financial Services agreed to pay $12 million
to settle accusations that it used misleading information
to sell mutual funds to military officers.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/business...ilitary.html?th
Snuffysmith
S.E.C. Says Fannie Mae Violated Accounting Rules
By STEPHEN LABATON
The S.E.C. has ordered Fannie Mae to restate its earnings
for the last four years after concluding that it had
violated accounting rules.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/business/16fannie.html?th
Snuffysmith
Big Bells Allowed to Charge Rivals More for Line Access
By STEPHEN LABATON
The F.C.C. voted to relax rules that had required the four
large Bell telephone companies to give their rivals access
to their networks at sharply discounted wholesale prices.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/technology/16rates.html?th
Snuffysmith
Politics and War Crimes in Iraq
The best thing Ayad Allawi's interim government can do is
to resist its destructive instinct to play political games
with Saddam Hussein's trial.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/16thu1.html?th
Snuffysmith
Puerto Rico's Disputed Election
Like the states in the union, Puerto Rico should make the
task of ensuring that every vote is counted its highest
priority.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/16thu2.html?th
Snuffysmith
Let My Textiles Go
The signing of a historic pact to increase economic
cooperation between Israel and Egypt has the potential to
be a giant step toward peace in our time.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/16thu3.html?th
Snuffysmith
The Naked Shield
The recent failure of an interceptor rocket is the latest
evidence that a missile shield remains firmly in the dream
stage.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/16thu4.html?th
Snuffysmith
OP-ED COLUMNIST
Holding Up Arab Reform
By THOMAS L. FRIEDMAN
It is inexplicable that the Bush administration is holding
up publication of the next U.N. Arab Human Development
report.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/16friedman.html?th

OP-ED COLUMNIST
Why Not the Coalition of the Shilling?
By MAUREEN DOWD
If Donald Rumsfeld can't adequately supply the Army, maybe
I.B.M. and Xerox can.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/16dowd.html?th
Snuffysmith
Innocents Afield
By BUZZ BISSINGER
High school sports have become an epidemic of
win-at-all-costs in too many places.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/...singer_.html?th
Snuffysmith
OP-ED CONTRIBUTOR
Ready, Willing, Disqualified
By NATHANIEL FRANK
Allowing gays in the military would be the right thing both
for our troops and for national security.

http://www.nytimes.com/2004/12/16/opinion/16frank.html?th
Snuffysmith
Cahill Admits Underestimating Ads' Impact
December 16, 2004 12:28 AM EST

CAMBRIDGE, Mass. - The campaign manager for Sen. John Kerry's failed presidential bid said Wednesday she regrets underestimating the impact of an attack advertisement that questioned Kerry's Vietnam War record.

Mary Beth Cahill, who spoke at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government with Ken Mehlman, President Bush's campaign manager, said the Massachusetts senator's campaign initially thought there would be "no reach" to the ad from Swift Boat Veterans for Truth.

Instead, the ad, which initially aired in just three states, became a central issue of the campaign, eventually forcing Kerry to personally deny the group's allegations that he did not deserve his combat medals.

"This is the best $40,000 investment made by any political group, but it was only because of the news coverage that it got where it did," she said.

"In hindsight, maybe we should have put Senator Kerry out earlier, perhaps we could have cut it off earlier."

Mehlman said that it was natural that the ad had the reach and impact it did, because Kerry decided to make his Vietnam record a central part of his campaign.

"Because Senator Kerry was so focused on that part of his biography, it came out as an issue," he said.

Mehlman but acknowledged that Democrats scored points against Bush, such as raising the specter of a draft reinstatement, which got the attention of young voters.

"I think that was something that worked. It wasn't true, but it worked," he said.

The Swift Boat Veterans for Truth, a group of Republican-funded Vietnam War veterans who patrolled the same Mekong Delta in Swift boats similar to the ones piloted by Navy Lt. John Kerry, challenged Kerry's accounts of his medal-winning service and anti-war protests.

In the first ad, former sailors who served on boats near Kerry's in Vietnam said he lied about his war record. In a second, veterans criticized his subsequent anti-war activities. A third attacked Kerry for throwing away the medals he earned in Vietnam.

Cahill said the Swift boat ads show the power of news coverage, particularly cable news stations, which she said amplified the ads by running them repeatedly.

She said it was frustrating that the first ad continued to eat up so much air time even after the central allegations were debunked.

"For me, this was a very big change. The fact that it was disproved and it was still shown every day as part of the (campaign) coverage," she said.

Cahill said if she could change one thing about the campaign it would be the timing of the conventions. By scheduling their convention about five weeks after the Democrats, the Republicans gained a fund-raising advantage and dominated the news going into the final stretch.

"That was a huge hill to get over," she said.

Both sides agreed the debates were a crucial moment in the campaign.

Mehlman said he felt Bush was comfortable because he had gone through similar debates in 2000 and had gained confidence as president.

Cahill said Kerry practiced "mock debate after mock debate" and tried to avoid political zingers given the seriousness of the debates while the country was at war.

"This was not an election where 'You're no John Kennedy' was going to turn a debate," she said referring to a quip used by Democratic vice presidential candidate Lloyd Bentsen against Republican Dan Quayle in a 1988 debate.

Both sides also agreed that the Internet and other emerging news technologies have transformed the political process by making it more democratic and encouraging more people to become involved.

Copyright 2004 Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
Snuffysmith
http://www.salon.com/opinion/feature/2004/12/16/volunteer/

Its the Incompetence, stupid.
Forget MoveOn and ACT--the real downfall of the Democrats was the Kerry campaign itself. A volunteer speaks out.
- - - - - - - - - - - -
By James Verini

Dec. 16, 2004 | In his Dec. 15 Salon article, "The Revolution Failed -- for Now," Farhad Manjoo spotlights the "lack of coordination" between the Kerry campaign and the celebrated liberal third-party groups, MoveOn.org and America Coming Together. Lack of coordination? Let me tell you about the disorder and complacency inside the Kerry-Edwards campaign itself. Look no further for why Democrats lost the election.

I put in 300 volunteer hours in the campaign, making phone calls and knocking on doors in tightly contested swing states in the Southwest, both of which Bush took, and in a Los Angeles call center that aided the state campaigns in Ohio, Florida and Iowa. In an attempt to recruit Democratic volunteers, I made hundreds of phone calls; all but a handful of people claimed to be too busy to do even a few hours work for Kerry. This, despite many of them admitting to being scared as hell for the future of our country (not to mention that they were answering their home phones at, say, 2 p.m. on a Wednesday).

Most of the Kerry supporters I met on the campaign trail, meanwhile, were really just Bush-haters. The lack of knowledge or even curiosity about Kerry, his career and his proposals, was astonishing. Almost no one working alongside me had the slightest inkling of Kerry's policy initiatives (clearly laid out on his Web site). No one knew what he'd done in the Senate. Many volunteers, even some paid staffers, didn't know how long he'd been a senator. In the Bush offices I visited, posters of the president and vice president were plastered all over the walls, as were posters of Ronald Reagan (strangely, or maybe not so strangely, in one office the Reagan posters outnumbered the Bush posters). But in the four Kerry-Edwards offices there was not so much as a snapshot of either man on public display.


The one thing everyone did know? Kerry was not Bush. For most, that was enough.

In the big Southwestern city operation where I spent the most time, a city that was the main population center of its state, and where Kerry's future would hinge on making direct contact with a few thousand urban and suburban swing voters, the campaign was haphazard and impotent. While the operations and press staff sat at their computers, tracking metrics and trying to spin reporters, no one seemed to want to take responsibility for the hundreds of callers and door-to-door canvassers who, like myself, were actually talking to those crucial voters.

The precinct captains, whose job it was to decide which precincts to target, and to divvy those precincts up and shuttle canvassers to them, were for the most part poorly paid kids in their early 20s, just out of high school or still in college. They, too, seemed to have only the vaguest idea of who Kerry was or why they working for him, outside of a nameless dread of the future. They were committed but left largely unguided and, it appeared to me, uninspired by their superiors, and they had none of the unshakable confidence I saw among the Bush team. The result was that they goofed off a lot. And who could blame them? After spending half the night putting together address lists, they were met the next morning by bands of mostly untrained, uninformed canvassers.

No one bothered to brief the ground troops on how to be persuasive or to even get sufficient fact-sheets into their hands. And they didn't take it upon themselves to get educated. I routinely toured neighborhoods with canvassers who were struck dumb when a door opened and an undecided voter asked for specifics.

"But what does Kerry want to do about unemployment, exactly?"

"Um, ah, um..."

"How many people have lost their jobs in the last four years?"

"Ah, um, oh..."

Of course, there were answers to those questions. Kerry proposed tax credits for new jobs created by manufacturers. He wanted to introduce Buy American guidelines in the defense industry and penalize American companies outsourcing jobs overseas. Bush oversaw the loss of about 1.2 million private-sector jobs and allowed 4 million Americans to descend below the poverty line. These facts, which took about two minutes to find out, had the power to sway undecided voters -- I know, because I swayed many with them.

Perplexed, I approached a volunteer coordinator and expressed my concern. The party doesn't have the time or money to train callers or canvassers, is what I was told. But this clearly wasn't true. This particular office was awash in paid staffers who seemed to have nothing to do.

The problem was just as bad in the phone banks. It's over the phone that a campaign finds wings, it's where you begin polling undecided voters who will later be deluged by "persuasion" calls, mailings and front-door visits. Only weeks before the elections, the state campaign in Ohio, for example, had not finished the task of identifying where potential support lay. Worse, the persuasion callers were, like the canvassers, often clueless. I spent many hours next to men and women whose idea of an appeal was a factually questionable five-minute harangue about Bush's "oil-garchy" or Dick Cheney's stock portfolio. Kerry was rarely mentioned.

Meanwhile, "constituency outreach" didn't seem to be designed to exploit Kerry's advantages. Democrats have traditionally relied on organized labor for the base of their volunteer efforts, and this year was no different. But in a country where unions are becoming increasingly irrelevant -- less than 10 percent of the private sector workforce is any longer unionized -- this seems a losing strategy.

Despite all signs pointing to a massive left-leaning youth turnout, the campaign's presence at the three major Southwestern state universities I visited was nil. Perhaps the Kerry people figured that the 18-24 vote was in the bag. But you should never rely on such assumptions, as the Democrats' increasingly poor showings among minority voters showed. At one major state school, a few volunteers and I were hastily enlisted to counter a Bush rally. While the Republicans had arrived early and set up tents on a lawn and attracted crowds with hot dogs and carnival games -- Toss a cream pie at Kerry! -- we taped Kerry signs to a folding table and handed out lapel stickers.

At the University of New Mexico, I went to help fill out the crowd at a Chris Heinz rally on a grassy knoll by the dorms. Heinz was a popular "surrogate" on the campaign, crisscrossing the country to plug his stepfather. (He was especially popular among young women; his nickname among them in one of the offices was "Crazy Hot Chris Heinz.") But little advance work had been done and at a school with almost 25,000 students, about 50 people showed up to hear him speak. The whole thing was nearly upstaged when a group of undergraduates, carrying a Bush banner and smacking flip-flops, came and protested.

While certain offices seemed to have more resources and people than they knew what to do with, other crucial areas were inexplicably undercut. In Las Cruces, N.M., one of largest cities in the state and a key to Kerry's chances there (he ended up losing New Mexico by a superable 6,000 votes), there was only a skeleton crew, and key staff were arriving just weeks before the election.

The Bush campaign was far better choreographed. First in Ohio and then in other swing states, Karl Rove and Ken Mehlman raised a highly organized, direct-marketing-style ground army, much of it volunteer, with strict accountability and clearly defined tiers right down to the people getting coffee. Rather than bring in precinct captains, they endeavored to find natives with ties to the community. They did it in large part by studying Al Gore's 2000 campaign.

Still, the Kerry staffers I spoke with -- from the operations chiefs to the press crew to the precinct captains -- were possessed of a kind of wishful confidence, based not on any particular allegiance to the senator but on what E.M. Forster would have called panic and emptiness. No one could imagine a Bush win. The prospect was unthinkable. How could America reelect him? It couldn't. So it would elect Kerry. It must. Such went the tortured logic.

"It's going to be a landslide!" people said. I'd ask why and be met with a well-worn refrain about unprecedented numbers of voters and slipping approval ratings in Iraq.

"Why do you think he's going to win?" I asked a staffer with whom I shared a hotel room. To this day I have no idea what his job was.

"Bush's numbers are terrible," he said.

This may have been true, but the Bush campaign seemed suffused with an unflappable drive and couldn't have cared less about their candidate's numbers or, for that matter, policy record. Theirs was a "faith-based" campaign in more ways than one.

Probably the best characterization of the Democrats' bungling came from the only truly dedicated precinct captain I worked with. (He spent his downtime in the phone banks or going door-to-door.) At a Bill Clinton rally just days before the election, we had been waiting nearly two hours and the Comeback Kid still hadn't shown up. There were interminable pauses during which no one came to the podium. Soft jazz crackled out of the speakers. The crowd was tired and antsy.

"I don't think you'd see the Republicans doing this," I said. The precinct leader shook his head in disgust and laughed the laugh of the damned. "Evil or incompetence -- those are your choices," he said.


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